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Boliden (BDNNY)
OTHER OTC:BDNNY
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Boliden (BDNNY) AI Stock Analysis

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BDNNY

Boliden

(OTC:BDNNY)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$76.00
▲(5.39% Upside)
Boliden's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and a solid financial position. The company's valuation is reasonable, and despite some challenges highlighted in the earnings call, the outlook remains cautiously optimistic. The primary risks include declining revenue growth and market challenges in zinc pricing.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Boliden's robust cash flow generation underpins its ability to reinvest in operations and fund strategic initiatives, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Successful Integration of Acquisitions
Effective integration of acquisitions boosts production capacity and operational efficiency, strengthening Boliden's competitive position in the mining sector.
Record Production Levels
Record production levels at Aitik enhance Boliden's ability to meet demand and optimize resource utilization, supporting sustained revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Declining Zinc Prices
Falling zinc prices pressure Boliden's revenue and profitability, challenging the company to maintain margins in a competitive market environment.
Negative Currency Impact
Adverse currency movements can erode earnings and complicate financial planning, impacting Boliden's international competitiveness.
Challenges in Garpenberg Mining
Operational setbacks in Garpenberg could delay production targets and affect resource extraction efficiency, impacting future output and revenue.

Boliden (BDNNY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Boliden Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBoliden AB (publ) engages in the exploring, extracting, and processing of base metals and precious metals in Sweden, other Nordic region, Germany, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, North America, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Business Area Mines and Business Area Smelters. It explores for copper, zinc, nickel, lead, gold, silver, cobalt, tellurium, platinum, and palladium deposits. The company operates the Aitik, the Boliden Area, and Garpenberg mines in Sweden; the Tara mine in Ireland; and the Kevitsa mines in Finland. Its products include zinc and lead ingot, copper cathode, gold bar, and silver granule, and other products, such as sulphuric acid; copper, lead, nickel, and zinc concentrates; and by-products, including copper sulphate, zinc clinker, iron sand, copper telluride, selenium, nickel matte, and crude nickel sulphate, as well as palladium, platinum, rhodium, iridium, ruthenium, and osmium concentrates. The company sells its metals primarily to industrial customers, as well as construction, electronics, and automotive industries; and paper manufacturers. Boliden AB (publ) was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyBoliden generates revenue through the sale of extracted and processed metals. The company's primary revenue streams include the production and sale of zinc, copper, and lead concentrates, as well as refined metals like gold and silver. Boliden's vertically integrated operations allow it to maximize value by controlling the entire process from mining to smelting. Additionally, Boliden benefits from strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with various industrial clients who demand a consistent supply of these essential metals. The company's financial performance is influenced by global metal prices, production efficiencies, and sustainable practices that enhance operational cost-effectiveness.

Boliden Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 18, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Boliden's earnings call reflected a mixed performance. The company highlighted strong production achievements, successful integration of new assets, and solid cash flow generation. However, they also faced challenges such as unfavorable currency impacts, declining zinc prices, and operational setbacks in some mining areas. Despite these challenges, the company's major projects remain on track, supporting a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Production in Aitik
Achieved record production in Aitik with an ore production pace of 40 million tonnes, improving flexibility for future operations.
Successful Integration of Lundin Mines
Integration of two Lundin mines is progressing well, contributing positively to overall production and cash flow.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Reported SEK 2 billion in free cash flow, excluding acquisition proceeds, with significant contribution from insurance money.
Stable Production and Cash Flow
Reported stable production and underlying cash flow across most units, with smelters showing strong performance.
Progress in Major Projects
Major projects like the Odda project and Kristineberg expansion are on track, with commissioning ongoing and project completion expected in the second half of the year.
Negative Updates
Negative Currency Impact
Experienced a negative currency effect of SEK 600 million compared to last year and the first quarter.
Lower Zinc Prices
Zinc prices have been declining, contributing to challenges in the market, affecting revenue.
Challenges in Garpenberg Mining
Encountered slower-than-expected progress in high-grade sill pillar mining in Garpenberg, affecting zinc grade guidance.
Depressed Copper Treatment Charges
Copper treatment charges remain low, which is problematic for the smelting industry despite current market conditions.
Lower Production in Tara
Production in Tara mine decreased quarter-over-quarter due to development delays, impacting ramp-up expectations.
Company Guidance
In Boliden's Q2 2025 results presentation, the company reported a profit, excluding inventory revaluation, of nearly SEK 1.3 billion, despite a negative currency effect of SEK 600 million. The quarter was characterized by stable production and a strong underlying cash flow with a free cash flow of SEK 2 billion, excluding acquisition costs. The integration of the newly acquired Lundin mines progressed well, contributing to increased volumes. The company highlighted a record ore production pace of 40 million tonnes at Aitik, along with stable operations across other mine sites. Capital expenditure for the quarter was SEK 4.2 billion, in line with full-year guidance, and the gearing ratio was maintained at 29%, reflecting a robust balance sheet. While some costs increased due to the integration of new assets, the overall financial performance remained solid, with smelters delivering close to SEK 600 million in EBIT. Looking ahead, Boliden aims to maintain stable operations, with expected improvements in recoveries at Aitik and a ramp-up of the Odda project in the latter half of the year. The company reiterated its commitment to its purpose, vision, and values, while also noting the challenges posed by low treatment charges in the smelting industry.

Boliden Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Boliden demonstrates a stable financial position with strengths in profitability and capital structure. However, the recent decline in revenue growth and pressure on margins are areas of concern. The company shows potential for cash flow improvement, but needs to address revenue growth challenges to enhance its financial performance.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Boliden's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has experienced a significant decline in revenue growth rate in the TTM period, which is a concern. However, the company maintains decent profitability with a net profit margin of 8.80% and an EBIT margin of 12.67%. The gross profit margin has slightly decreased over time, indicating some pressure on cost management.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively strong, with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39 in the TTM period, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity is healthy at 12.10%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend in free cash flow growth, which increased by 71.40% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.73, indicating reasonable cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 0.21, suggesting limited free cash flow relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue91.39B89.21B78.55B86.44B68.64B56.32B
Gross Profit13.05B12.90B10.74B18.15B12.93B10.80B
EBITDA19.25B20.58B14.57B22.07B16.27B14.62B
Net Income8.04B10.02B6.07B12.41B8.70B6.80B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets136.21B116.19B101.96B96.38B80.55B72.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.60B7.05B4.98B12.16B8.25B5.06B
Total Debt27.38B16.51B14.58B11.19B6.16B6.15B
Total Liabilities65.59B51.18B45.54B38.05B29.67B26.85B
Stockholders Equity70.59B64.99B56.40B58.31B50.87B45.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.94B2.67B-3.35B6.37B7.16B4.96B
Operating Cash Flow18.82B17.66B12.18B16.40B13.14B11.26B
Investing Cash Flow-29.27B-15.00B-15.54B-10.07B-6.00B-6.30B
Financing Cash Flow11.00B-590.00M-3.83B-2.42B-3.96B-1.27B

Boliden Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price72.11
Price Trends
50DMA
66.14
Positive
100DMA
64.42
Positive
200DMA
63.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.67
Negative
RSI
62.96
Neutral
STOCH
94.57
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BDNNY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 72.11 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.04, above the 50-day MA of 66.14, and above the 200-day MA of 63.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.67 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.57 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BDNNY.

Boliden Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$2.36B148.981.79%0.49%5.55%-79.38%
78
Outperform
$45.53B8.8313.49%7.51%-12.89%-46.86%
77
Outperform
$134.91B15.2719.51%4.01%-7.86%14.17%
75
Outperform
$106.18B9.7818.18%5.97%-0.44%-4.20%
74
Outperform
$10.10B12.8011.67%1.47%15.19%4.19%
61
Neutral
$10.48B7.52-0.05%2.87%2.87%-36.73%
60
Neutral
$11.16B-9.57%39.42%-172.40%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BDNNY
Boliden
72.11
14.38
24.91%
BHP
BHP Group
54.07
2.69
5.24%
MTRN
Materion
111.29
6.78
6.49%
RIO
Rio Tinto
62.44
2.89
4.85%
VALE
Vale SA
10.67
0.83
8.43%
MP
MP Materials
63.51
49.50
353.32%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025