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Bayer (BAYRY)
OTHER OTC:BAYRY

Bayer (BAYRY) AI Stock Analysis

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BAYRY

Bayer

(OTC:BAYRY)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▲(5.11% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak profitability, leverage, and deteriorating free cash flow, despite stable operating cash generation. Technicals show an uptrend but are overextended, raising pullback risk. Valuation is supported by a very high dividend yield, while the earnings call adds a modest positive from pharma growth and approvals but is offset by debt, negative free cash flow, and litigation/regulatory risks.
Positive Factors
Diversified life‑sciences footprint
Bayer's multi‑segment business model spreads revenue across pharma, consumer health, crop science and animal health, reducing reliance on any single cyclical market. This diversification supports more stable long‑term cash flows and funding for R&D and strategic investments.
Operating cash generation supportive
Despite net losses, Bayer generates positive operating cash flow, indicating core businesses convert earnings into cash. This durable cash generation helps fund operations, R&D and servicing obligations, providing financial flexibility while management addresses profitability and deleveraging.
Pharma product momentum and approvals
Strong double‑digit growth in key drugs and recent FDA approval give Bayer durable revenue uplift and pipeline validation. Successful launches and rising market share suggest sustainable prescription adoption and recurring revenue, supporting medium‑term top‑line and margin improvement.
Negative Factors
High leverage and large net debt
Elevated leverage and sizable gross/net debt limit strategic flexibility and increase refinancing and interest risks. Over time, high debt burdens constrain investment, reduce agility to pursue M&A or buybacks, and heighten vulnerability to cost or revenue shocks, slowing recovery.
Negative and declining free cash flow
Material negative FCF and weakening FCF growth undermine the company's ability to self‑fund R&D, dividends and debt reduction. Persistent cash deficits force reliance on external financing or asset sales, increasing long‑term cost of capital and constraining strategic investment.
Ongoing litigation and regulatory overhangs
Prolonged litigation and regulatory issues create structural revenue and cost uncertainty, potentially leading to settlements, restrictions or lost product licenses. These overhangs can depress investment, limit market access, and impose recurring legal and compliance costs over multiple years.

Bayer (BAYRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bayer Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBayer Aktiengesellschaft, together its subsidiaries, operates as a life science company worldwide. It operates through Pharmaceuticals, Consumer Health, and Crop Science segments. The Pharmaceuticals segment offers prescription products primarily for cardiology and women's health care; specialty therapeutics in the areas of oncology, hematology, and ophthalmology; and diagnostic imaging equipment and contrast agents, as well as cell and gene therapy. The Consumer Health segment markets nonprescription over-the-counter medicines, medical products, medicated skincare products, nutritional supplements, and self-care solutions in dermatology, nutritional supplements, pain and cardiovascular risk prevention, digestive health, allergy, and cold and cough. The Crop Science segment offers chemical and biological crop protection products, improved plant traits, seeds, digital solution, and pest and weed control products, as well as customer service for agriculture. This segment also provides breeding, propagation, and production/processing of seeds, including seed dressing. The company has a collaboration agreement with MD Anderson Cancer Center to develop oncology drugs; research and license agreement with Dewpoint Therapeutics, Inc. for the development of new treatments for cardiovascular and gynecological diseases; collaboration agreement with Exscientia Ltd, Foundation Medicine Inc., and Evotec AG; research collaboration with Arvinas Inc.; strategic research partnership with University of Oxford to develop novel gynecological therapies; and Kyoto University to identify new drugs candidates for the treatment of pulmonary diseases. It distributes its products through wholesalers, pharmacies and pharmacy chains, supermarkets, online and other retailers, and hospitals, as well as directly to farmers. Bayer Aktiengesellschaft was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in Leverkusen, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyBayer generates revenue through multiple key streams across its business sectors. In pharmaceuticals, the company earns money from the sale of prescription drugs, including treatments for cardiovascular diseases, oncology, and women's health. The consumer health segment contributes by selling over-the-counter medications and health products. In the crop science division, Bayer profits from the sale of seeds, crop protection products, and digital farming solutions that enhance agricultural productivity. Additionally, Bayer's animal health segment generates revenue through veterinary products and services. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations, particularly in research and development, enhancing its product pipeline and market reach, which further contributes to its financial performance.

Bayer Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
EBITDA by Segment
EBITDA by Segment
Reveals the profitability of each business unit before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating which segments drive earnings and operational efficiency.
Chart InsightsBayer's Crop Science segment shows significant volatility, with recent quarters reflecting a downturn, possibly due to market pressures or strategic shifts. Pharmaceutical EBITDA has been relatively stable but shows a slight downward trend, indicating potential challenges in maintaining growth. Consumer Health remains consistent, suggesting resilience in this segment. Without recent earnings call insights, investors should monitor external factors affecting Crop Science and strategic moves in Pharmaceuticals to gauge future performance.
Data provided by:The Fly

Bayer Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in the Pharmaceuticals division and successful product launches, but it also addressed significant financial challenges, litigation risks, and market difficulties in Consumer Health.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Pharmaceuticals Division Growth
Nubeqa sales increased by 60% year-over-year and Kerendia sales increased by nearly 80%, driven by strong growth in the U.S. and China.
Record Uptake of Beyonttra
Beyonttra achieved around 50% market share in new to brand prescriptions in Germany, marking one of the fastest uptakes of a cardiovascular treatment.
Crop Science Corn Segment Growth
Corn sales rose by 22% due to acreage expansion in the U.S. and a strong start to the Latin American season.
FDA Approval of Lynkuet
Lynkuet received FDA approval and is expected to reach the U.S. market this month.
Negative Updates
Free Cash Flow and Debt Concerns
Free cash flow was negative EUR 800 million, and net financial debt was at EUR 32.7 billion.
Consumer Health Market Challenges
Consumer Health faced a challenging market environment, particularly in the U.S. and China, leading to a lowered sales growth expectation for 2025.
Litigation and Regulatory Challenges
Glyphosate litigation remains unresolved, and there are regulatory challenges impacting sales, such as the expiration of Movento's Europe license.
Eylea Sales Decline
Eylea sales declined by 11% in Q3 due to significant pricing pressure in Japan and Canada.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Bayer reported a slight increase in currency and portfolio-adjusted sales both for the quarter and year-to-date. Core earnings per share (EPS) rose by 7% to EUR 4.29, while the free cash flow was negative EUR 800 million, aligning with projections. The Crop Science division saw a moderate sales decline over nine months, although corn sales increased by 9% due to expanded U.S. acreage and a strong start to the LATAM season. Pharmaceuticals reported notable growth for Nubeqa and Kerendia, with increases of 60% and nearly 80% year-over-year, respectively. However, Eylea sales declined due to pricing pressures in Japan and Canada. The Consumer Health segment faced challenges in the U.S. and China, prompting a lowered 2025 sales growth expectation, yet it remained committed to achieving an EBITDA margin between 23% and 24%. Overall, the company is poised to meet its upgraded 2025 guidance, despite challenges like Xarelto sales declines and currency headwinds, while looking forward to growth from new products like Beyonttra and Lynkuet, recently approved by the FDA.

Bayer Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial results are mixed: modest revenue growth and a healthy gross margin are offset by negative net profitability, elevated leverage (debt-to-equity 1.34), and declining free cash flow (-19.37%). Operating cash flow remains supportive despite net losses, but overall profitability and balance-sheet risk limit the score.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Bayer's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a slight revenue growth of 2.86%, but the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -0.43%. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 56.35%, suggesting efficient production processes. However, the negative net income and declining EBIT margins highlight ongoing challenges in cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate level of financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.34 indicates a relatively high leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. The return on equity is negative, at -0.64%, reflecting the company's struggles with profitability. However, the equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some concerns but also strengths. The free cash flow growth is negative at -19.37%, indicating potential liquidity issues. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that the company is generating cash from its operations despite net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.59 indicates a reasonable conversion of earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue47.49B46.61B47.64B50.74B44.08B41.40B
Gross Profit26.75B25.34B27.89B30.87B27.27B22.26B
EBITDA6.10B8.81B4.21B10.44B6.97B-11.48B
Net Income-360.31M-2.55B-2.94B4.15B1.00B-15.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets122.45B110.85B116.26B124.88B120.24B117.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.24B8.09B10.59B10.15B7.74B11.88B
Total Debt46.57B40.70B44.79B41.65B39.53B41.55B
Total Liabilities87.55B78.81B83.18B85.95B87.07B86.35B
Stockholders Equity34.75B31.91B32.93B38.77B33.02B30.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.70B4.59B2.37B4.14B2.48B2.48B
Operating Cash Flow6.63B7.37B5.12B7.09B5.09B4.90B
Investing Cash Flow-2.29B164.00M-4.01B-2.38B855.00M-4.07B
Financing Cash Flow-2.64B-7.18B-679.00M-4.22B-5.64B423.00M

Bayer Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.32
Price Trends
50DMA
11.13
Positive
100DMA
9.58
Positive
200DMA
8.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.71
Positive
RSI
67.63
Neutral
STOCH
39.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BAYRY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.60, above the 50-day MA of 11.13, and above the 200-day MA of 8.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 67.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BAYRY.

Bayer Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$181.42B22.1940.53%2.52%2.76%6407.19%
77
Outperform
$114.53B15.0135.61%3.41%5.97%128.66%
73
Outperform
$117.30B18.9133.84%4.84%1.26%
73
Outperform
$152.26B18.956.65%4.44%128.96%
69
Neutral
$117.01B13.156.76%4.58%-9.32%120.62%
54
Neutral
$52.36B-153.40-0.99%0.29%-0.40%66.67%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BAYRY
Bayer
13.32
7.85
143.73%
BMY
Bristol-Myers Squibb
57.62
0.78
1.37%
GILD
Gilead Sciences
146.23
49.29
50.85%
GSK
GlaxoSmithKline
57.23
21.07
58.27%
PFE
Pfizer
26.78
2.13
8.64%
SNY
Sanofi
48.08
-3.77
-7.27%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026