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BASF SE (BASFY)
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BASF SE (BASFY) AI Stock Analysis

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BASFY

BASF SE

(OTC:BASFY)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
▲(9.10% Upside)
BASF SE's overall stock score reflects a balance of mixed financial performance and positive technical indicators. The company's financials show challenges in profitability and cash conversion, while technical analysis indicates bullish momentum. Valuation concerns arise from a high P/E ratio, though the dividend yield provides some offset. The earnings call highlights both achievements and challenges, with a cautious outlook due to economic uncertainties.

BASF SE (BASFY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BASF SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBASF SE is a leading global chemical company based in Germany, renowned for its diverse portfolio that spans across various sectors including chemicals, plastics, agricultural solutions, performance products, and oil and gas. The company operates through six segments: Chemicals, Materials, Industrial Solutions, Surface Technologies, Nutrition & Care, and Agricultural Solutions. BASF's core products include a wide range of chemical intermediates, high-performance plastics, crop protection products, and specialty additives, which serve numerous industries such as automotive, construction, and agriculture.
How the Company Makes MoneyBASF SE generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of chemical products across its various segments. The Chemicals segment contributes significantly by providing intermediates used in diverse applications, while the Materials and Surface Technologies segments focus on high-performance plastics and coatings that cater to automotive and industrial needs. Agricultural Solutions provides crop protection and nutrient products, contributing to revenue from the agricultural sector. The company also engages in strategic partnerships, joint ventures, and collaborations that enhance its product offerings and market reach. Fluctuations in raw material prices, demand from key industries, and global economic conditions also play crucial roles in influencing BASF's earnings.

BASF SE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with notable achievements in the Agricultural Solutions and Surface Technologies segments, supported by strong cost savings initiatives. However, these were tempered by challenges in the Chemicals segment, decreased earnings, and global economic uncertainties.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance in Agricultural Solutions
The Agricultural Solutions segment achieved remarkable growth of 21% compared with the prior year quarter, with volumes increasing across most sectors. Earnings improved by EUR 282 million to EUR 417 million, resulting in a strong EBITDA margin before special items of 30%.
Surface Technologies Segment Growth
The Surface Technologies segment recorded robust volume growth, with volumes increasing by 6.5%. EBITDA before special items rose by around 10% to EUR 350 million, driven by strong contributions from Environmental Catalyst and Metal Solutions.
Portfolio Management Progress
BASF is executing its portfolio management strategy, including the sale of the Decorative Paints business to Sherwin-Williams for USD 1.15 billion and exploring strategic options for the Coatings activities.
Cost Savings and Financial Strength
BASF accelerated cost savings programs, now expecting to generate annual cost savings of EUR 1.6 billion by year-end 2025. Free cash flow increased to EUR 533 million in Q2 2025, compared to EUR 471 million in Q2 2024.
Negative Updates
Decrease in EBITDA and Net Income
EBITDA before special items decreased to EUR 1.8 billion in Q2 2025 from EUR 2 billion in the prior year quarter. Net income decreased to EUR 887 million, with significant declines in net income from shareholdings.
Challenges in the Chemicals Segment
The Chemicals segment faced unfavorable supply and demand conditions, leading to a decline in earnings. Startup costs for the new Verbund site in Zhanjiang burdened earnings by around EUR 70 million in Q2 2025.
Impact of Currency Effects
Currency effects, mainly due to the depreciation of the U.S. dollar, dampened sales in all segments during the second quarter of 2025.
Global Economic Uncertainty
The business environment was challenging, with high uncertainty and cautiousness among customers globally, contributing to significantly lower EBITDA before special items in upstream businesses.
Company Guidance
During the BASF SE half-year press conference for 2025, the company reported financial figures and provided guidance for the remainder of the year. BASF adjusted its full-year outlook due to elevated macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties, particularly highlighting the ongoing margin pressure in the chemical market. The company reported an EBITDA before special items of EUR 1.8 billion for Q2 2025, a decline from EUR 2 billion in the prior year. The Agricultural Solutions segment achieved considerable earnings growth with volumes rising 21% compared to the previous year. The Surface Technologies segment also showed robust performance, with a 10% rise in EBITDA before special items to EUR 350 million. However, the Chemicals segment faced challenges due to unfavorable supply and demand conditions, and startup costs for the new Verbund site in Zhanjiang burdened earnings by EUR 70 million. For the full year 2025, BASF expects EBITDA before special items to range between EUR 7.3 billion and EUR 7.7 billion and free cash flow between EUR 0.4 billion and EUR 0.8 billion. The company is focused on executing portfolio management strategies, including the potential IPO of its Agricultural Solutions segment by 2027 and the divestiture of its Decorative Paints business.

BASF SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BASF SE's financial statements present a mixed picture. The company faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability margins, impacting its income statement. The balance sheet remains relatively stable, but increased leverage and lower ROE are areas to watch. Cash flow shows some improvement in free cash flow growth, but low conversion ratios indicate potential issues in cash generation. Overall, while BASF SE maintains a solid foundation, it faces headwinds in profitability and cash conversion that need to be addressed.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
BASF SE's income statement shows mixed results. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth at -52.5%, reflecting a challenging market environment. Gross profit margin remains stable at around 26%, but the net profit margin has significantly decreased to 0.6% from 2% in the previous year, indicating pressure on profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, suggesting operational challenges. Overall, while the company maintains a decent gross margin, the declining revenue and profit margins are concerning.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet of BASF SE shows a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased slightly to 0.74, indicating a higher reliance on debt financing, but it remains within a manageable range. Return on equity has decreased to 1.1%, reflecting lower profitability. The equity ratio stands at approximately 41.7%, showing a stable capital structure. While the company maintains a solid equity base, the increased leverage and reduced ROE are potential risks.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BASF SE's cash flow statement reveals some positive trends. The free cash flow growth rate has improved by 15.3% in the TTM period, indicating better cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 0.34, suggesting that cash generation from operations is not fully translating into net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also low at 0.08, highlighting potential challenges in converting earnings into cash. Overall, while there is improvement in free cash flow, the low conversion ratios are a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue64.77B65.26B68.90B87.33B78.60B59.15B
Gross Profit16.98B17.09B16.70B21.07B19.80B15.11B
EBITDA6.90B7.77B7.33B10.22B10.84B3.57B
Net Income388.00M1.30B225.00M-391.00M5.52B-1.47B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets77.67B80.42B77.39B84.47B87.38B80.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.57B2.98B2.68B2.75B2.83B4.54B
Total Debt23.85B24.00B21.35B20.95B19.14B21.19B
Total Liabilities44.16B43.53B40.75B43.55B45.30B45.89B
Stockholders Equity32.36B35.60B35.28B36.60B40.79B33.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow468.00M748.00M2.72B3.33B3.71B2.28B
Operating Cash Flow6.11B6.95B8.11B7.71B7.25B5.41B
Investing Cash Flow-3.86B-5.08B-4.99B-3.78B-2.62B-1.90B
Financing Cash Flow-1.86B-1.55B-2.90B-4.01B-6.46B-1.56B

BASF SE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.29
Price Trends
50DMA
12.83
Positive
100DMA
12.41
Positive
200DMA
12.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Positive
RSI
50.86
Neutral
STOCH
13.58
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BASFY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.32, above the 50-day MA of 12.83, and above the 200-day MA of 12.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.58 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BASFY.

BASF SE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$47.31B114.901.10%4.74%-0.25%
61
Neutral
$10.32B6.250.71%2.93%3.36%-36.41%
53
Neutral
$1.94B-10.43%8.96%-1.56%-259.58%
51
Neutral
$17.46B75.91-5.59%9.95%-2.82%-186.41%
47
Neutral
$5.13B6.84-25.69%1.66%-5.83%-183.85%
45
Neutral
$1.42B-8638.28%-3.33%44.37%
45
Neutral
$678.49M-14.11%9.93%0.20%-292.54%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BASFY
BASF SE
13.29
1.53
13.01%
CE
Celanese
47.63
-76.71
-61.69%
BAK
Braskem SA
3.48
-3.03
-46.54%
HUN
Huntsman
11.16
-8.90
-44.37%
TROX
TRONOX
4.28
-7.97
-65.06%
DOW
Dow Inc
24.63
-23.64
-48.97%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025