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BASF SE (BASFY)
OTHER OTC:BASFY

BASF SE (BASFY) AI Stock Analysis

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BASF SE

(OTC:BASFY)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(5.40%Upside)
BASFY's overall score reflects solid operational efficiency and strategic investments, despite challenges in North American volumes and cash flow. The high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, partially offset by a strong dividend yield. The stable EBITDA and commitment to local production are positive, but macroeconomic risks and regional declines remain concerns.

BASF SE (BASFY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BASF SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBASF SE operates as a chemical company worldwide. The company operates through six segments: Chemicals, Materials, Industrial Solutions, Surface Technologies, Nutrition & Care, and Agricultural Solutions. The Chemicals segment provides petrochemicals and intermediates. The Materials segment offers advanced materials and their precursors for applications and systems, such as isocyanates and polyamides, as well as inorganic basic products and specialties for plastic and plastic processing industries. The Industrial Solutions segment develops and markets ingredients and additives for industrial applications, such as polymer dispersions, pigments, resins, electronic materials, antioxidants, light stabilizers, oilfield chemicals, mineral processing, and hydrometallurgical chemicals. The Surface Technologies segment offers chemical solutions and automotive OEM, which include refinish coatings, surface treatment, catalysts, battery materials, and precious and base metal services for the automotive and chemical industries. The Nutrition & Care segment provides nutrition and care ingredients for food and feed producers, as well as pharmaceutical, cosmetics, detergent, and cleaner industries. The Agricultural Solutions segment offers crop protection products and seeds, such as fungicides, herbicides, insecticides, and biological crop production products, as well as seed treatment products. The company has strategic partnerships with Contemporary Amperex TechnologyCo., Limited on battery materials solutions, including cathode active materials and battery recycling. BASF SE was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Ludwigshafen am Rhein, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyBASF SE makes money primarily through the production and sale of chemicals and related products across its diverse business segments. The Chemicals segment, which includes products such as petrochemicals and intermediates, serves as a cornerstone for BASF's operations, supplying essential materials to other segments and industries. The Materials segment focuses on performance materials and monomers, catering to sectors like automotive and construction. Industrial Solutions offers solutions in the form of chemical-based products for various industries including electronics and energy. Surface Technologies is a leading supplier of coatings and catalysts, predominantly serving the automotive industry. In Nutrition & Care, BASF provides ingredients for consumer goods, pharmaceuticals, and animal nutrition. The Agricultural Solutions segment offers a comprehensive portfolio of crop protection products. Additionally, BASF generates revenue from its oil and gas segment through Wintershall Dea, a joint venture focusing on exploration and production of oil and gas resources. Strategic partnerships, diversified product offerings, and a global presence significantly contribute to BASF’s revenue streams.

BASF SE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 02, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.50%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a challenging environment with notable achievements in local production and investments in future growth areas like semiconductors. However, significant volume declines in North America, negative cash flow, and impacts from tariffs create a balanced outlook with both risks and opportunities.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Local Production Footprint
In Europe and North America, 90% of BASF's sales come from locally manufactured products, and in the United States, 80% in 2024, highlighting resilience and commitment to local economies.
Volume Growth in Asia Pacific and Greater China
BASF increased sales volumes by 2% in Asia Pacific and a remarkable 7% in Greater China in Q1 2025.
Investment in Semiconductor Industry
BASF plans a high double-digit million euro investment at the Ludwigshafen site to expand production capacity for semiconductor grade sulfuric acid, expected to start operations by 2027.
Stable EBITDA Performance
EBITDA before special items remained stable at about the level of the prior year quarter, despite challenging conditions.
Strong Balance Sheet
BASF maintains a healthy equity ratio of 45.9%, and credit ratings were affirmed by major agencies, ensuring favorable financing conditions.
Negative Updates
Considerable Volume Decline in North America
BASF observed a 9% volume decline in North America and the United States in Q1 2025 compared to the prior year quarter.
Impact of Tariffs and Market Uncertainty
Market uncertainty and changes in demand due to U.S. tariffs and counter-tariffs are expected to have indirect impacts on BASF's business.
Negative Cash Flow and High Net Debt
Cash flows from operating activities were negative at €982 million, and net debt increased by €1.6 billion to €20.4 billion.
Loss from Wind Farm Sale
BASF incurred a non-cash effective disposal loss of €325 million from the sale of its 49% share in the Nordlicht 1 and 2 wind farms.
Challenges in Chemicals and Nutrition & Care Segments
EBITDA before special items decreased in these segments due to long markets and the aftermath of a plant fire.
Company Guidance
During BASF's Q1 2025 conference call, the company reported that EBITDA before special items remained consistent with the prior year at €2.6 billion, despite a challenging environment. Sales for the quarter were €17.4 billion, with a 1% decline in volumes, attributed to segments like Agricultural Solutions, Chemicals, and Nutrition & Care. BASF saw a significant volume decline of 9% in North America and the U.S., while Asia Pacific and Greater China experienced a 2% and 7% increase, respectively. In terms of regional manufacturing, 90% of sales in Europe and North America were from locally produced goods, with 80% in Asia Pacific and South America, Africa, and the Middle East. The adjusted EBITDA margin was stable at 6.5%, and the company noted an investment in semiconductor-grade sulfuric acid production in Ludwigshafen, expected to start operations by 2027. Looking ahead, BASF maintains its full-year guidance but acknowledges increased risks due to tariffs and macroeconomic uncertainties.

BASF SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BASF SE shows solid operational efficiency with stable margins, but revenue volatility and declining net income pose challenges. The balance sheet reflects prudent leverage use and financial stability, but returns on equity are modest. Cash flow management sees mixed results, with strong operating cash flows but declining free cash flow. Overall, the company needs to address profitability and cash flow sustainability to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) figures show a gross profit margin of 26.08% and a net profit margin of 1.13%, indicating some profitability but with pressure on the bottom line. Revenue has fluctuated with a recent decline, but EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable. This reflects moderate profitability and efficiency in operations despite revenue challenges.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.63, showing a reasonable use of leverage. ROE is low at 2.05%, signaling limited returns on equity. The equity ratio stands at 44.31%, indicating financial stability. Overall, the balance sheet presents a balanced leverage position with stability, though returns could be improved.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The free cash flow growth rate shows a significant decline, reflecting cash flow challenges. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 8.76, demonstrating effective cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow to net income is weak at 0.55, highlighting potential issues in maintaining free cash flow levels.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
65.11B65.26B68.90B87.33B78.60B59.15B
Gross Profit
16.99B17.09B16.70B21.07B19.80B15.11B
EBIT
2.62B2.03B2.24B2.47B7.68B233.00M
EBITDA
7.03B7.77B7.33B10.22B10.84B3.57B
Net Income Common Stockholders
739.00M1.30B225.00M-391.00M5.52B-1.47B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.37B2.98B2.68B2.75B2.83B4.54B
Total Assets
81.42B80.42B77.39B84.47B87.38B80.29B
Total Debt
22.77B24.00B21.35B20.95B19.14B21.19B
Net Debt
20.45B21.08B18.72B18.43B16.51B16.86B
Total Liabilities
44.07B43.53B40.75B43.55B45.30B45.89B
Stockholders Equity
36.09B35.60B35.28B36.60B40.79B33.73B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
406.00M748.00M2.72B3.33B3.71B2.28B
Operating Cash Flow
6.48B6.95B8.11B7.71B7.25B5.41B
Investing Cash Flow
-4.89B-5.08B-4.99B-3.78B-2.62B-1.90B
Financing Cash Flow
-2.00B-1.55B-2.90B-4.01B-6.46B-1.56B

BASF SE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.86
Price Trends
50DMA
12.01
Negative
100DMA
12.24
Negative
200DMA
11.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
44.22
Neutral
STOCH
25.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BASFY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.04, below the 50-day MA of 12.01, and above the 200-day MA of 11.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BASFY.

BASF SE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DODOW
69
Neutral
$20.15B71.231.60%9.82%-2.08%-76.11%
62
Neutral
$43.24B54.272.00%5.25%-3.06%1458.45%
56
Neutral
$871.54M-8.44%9.09%4.15%57.25%
CECE
53
Neutral
$5.95B6.84-26.94%0.22%-5.98%-183.27%
51
Neutral
$1.99B-1.26-21.11%5.30%2.92%-30.46%
BABAK
46
Neutral
$1.52B-8638.28%0.81%-34.74%
HUHUN
46
Neutral
$1.82B-4.46%9.57%0.02%-43.65%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BASFY
BASF SE
11.86
0.00
0.00%
CE
Celanese
53.51
-83.90
-61.06%
BAK
Braskem SA
3.52
-3.20
-47.62%
HUN
Huntsman
10.28
-11.70
-53.23%
TROX
TRONOX
5.25
-12.24
-69.98%
DOW
Dow
27.76
-23.07
-45.39%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.