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Avery Dennison (AVY)
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Avery Dennison (AVY) AI Stock Analysis

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AVY

Avery Dennison

(NYSE:AVY)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$197.00
▲(14.37% Upside)
Avery Dennison demonstrates solid financial performance with strong profitability and operational efficiency. However, declining revenue and high leverage pose risks. The earnings call reflects resilience amidst challenges, but trade policy uncertainties and apparel segment struggles remain concerns. The valuation suggests fair pricing, with a moderate P/E ratio and dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Earnings
AVY posted a modest beat for 2Q with a solid mix from Vestcom and high value categories in Materials.
Financial Performance
AVY's stock is poised for multiple recovery and solid upside due to significant FCF and cash conversion and DD EPS growth.
Growth Potential
AVY has some of the highest EPS growth in the large-cap chemical/material arena, driven by growth in the Solutions segment with its RFID platform and the Materials segment.
Negative Factors
Demand Uncertainty
The outlook for underlying apparel demand remains murky due to tariff uncertainty, as AVY's customers take a wait-and-see approach fearing inflationary pressure.
Guidance
The 3Q guide was slightly below the consensus, reflecting continued uncertainty around tariffs.
Revenue Challenges
Revenues were a bit lighter than expected, reflecting challenges in the apparel sector.

Avery Dennison (AVY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Avery Dennison Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAvery Dennison Corporation (AVY) is a global leader in labeling and packaging materials and solutions. The company operates in two main segments: Label and Graphic Materials, which includes pressure-sensitive materials, and Retail Branding and Information Solutions, which provides a variety of products including tags, labels, and RFID solutions. Avery Dennison serves a diverse range of industries, including food and beverage, consumer goods, pharmaceuticals, and logistics, with a focus on sustainability and innovation in its product offerings.
How the Company Makes MoneyAvery Dennison generates revenue primarily through the sale of its labeling and packaging materials. The company's revenue model is based on several key streams: the production and sale of pressure-sensitive adhesives and labels, RFID tags and solutions, and various retail branding products. The majority of its revenue comes from its Label and Graphic Materials segment, where it sells to manufacturers and retailers. Additionally, the Retail Branding and Information Solutions segment contributes significantly by providing integrated solutions that enhance brand visibility and supply chain efficiency. Avery Dennison also benefits from strategic partnerships with key players in various industries, which enhance its market reach and product offerings. Factors such as the growing demand for sustainable packaging solutions and technological advancements in labeling and RFID technology further contribute to its earnings.

Avery Dennison Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Reveals the profitability of each business segment, indicating which areas are most effective at generating profit and where there may be opportunities for improvement.
Chart InsightsAvery Dennison's Materials Group shows a recovery in operating income after a dip in 2023, aligning with strong EBITDA margins despite slight sales declines. The Solutions Group, after a volatile 2023, is stabilizing with improved margins. The earnings call highlights resilience amid challenges, with growth in logistics and Vestcom offsetting apparel segment declines. Management's cautious outlook reflects trade policy uncertainties and softer apparel volumes, but there's optimism for earnings growth in the fourth quarter, suggesting strategic resilience in navigating market pressures.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Avery Dennison Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.78%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with strong performance in high-value categories, shareholder returns, and growth in food and logistics. However, there were significant challenges with apparel sales decline, trade policy impacts, and softer growth in certain regions. The intelligent labels platform also faced challenges, affecting growth prospects.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Earnings Performance
Adjusted earnings per share of $2.42, up 5% sequentially and comparable to prior year. Strong adjusted free cash flow of nearly $190 million in the quarter.
Dividend Increase and Shareholder Returns
Returned roughly $500 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends in the first 6 months of the year. Announced a 7% increase in quarterly dividend to $0.94 per share.
Strong Performance in High-Value Categories
Materials Group delivered strong productivity and margins with high-value categories constituting over 1/3 of sales. Vestcom was up roughly 10% due to new program rollouts.
Growth in Food and Logistics Categories
Strong growth in food, logistics, and other categories, up mid-teens collectively. Strategic collaboration with Kroger continues to ramp as expected.
Negative Updates
Apparel Sales Decline
Overall apparel sales were down 6% in the quarter, with orders down high single digits in April and exiting the quarter down low single digits.
Impact of Trade Policies
Trade policy uncertainty led to reduced orders and inventory levels in apparel and general retail categories. Indirect effect of tariffs lowered earnings per share by more than $0.10 in the quarter.
Softer Growth in Europe and Asia
Softer growth in Europe and Asia partly attributable to a strong second quarter last year where customers pulled orders forward in anticipation of a price increase.
Challenges in Intelligent Labels Platform
70% of the intelligent label platform linked to apparel and general retail categories, impacting near-term growth due to trade policy. Performance of this platform below expectations.
Company Guidance
During Avery Dennison's earnings call for the second quarter ended June 28, 2025, the company delivered strong financial results with adjusted earnings per share of $2.42, up 5% sequentially, and comparable to the prior year. The Materials Group reported an adjusted EBITDA margin of 17.8% with sales down 1% organically due to modest volume growth offset by price reductions. The Solutions Group's sales also declined 1% organically; however, they achieved a solid adjusted EBITDA margin of 17.1%. Despite a 6% decline in overall apparel sales, segments like food and logistics saw mid-teens growth. The company generated nearly $190 million in adjusted free cash flow and maintained a strong balance sheet with a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 2.3. Avery Dennison is cautiously optimistic about the third quarter, expecting earnings per share to be comparable to the prior year, and anticipates a return to earnings growth by the fourth quarter, driven by productivity efforts and anticipated stabilization in apparel volumes.

Avery Dennison Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Avery Dennison shows solid profitability with strong margins and return on equity. However, challenges include declining revenue and high leverage, which could impact future growth and financial stability. Effective debt management and focus on cash flow generation are crucial.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Avery Dennison's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is healthy at 28.57%, and the net profit margin is stable at 8.14%. However, the company experienced a revenue decline of 16.9% in the TTM, indicating potential challenges in maintaining sales growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.61, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. However, the return on equity is strong at 31.30%, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is moderate, reflecting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 5.85% in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.27, suggesting that cash flow from operations is lower relative to net income, which may impact liquidity. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 76.94%, highlighting strong cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.74B8.76B8.36B9.04B8.41B6.97B
Gross Profit2.50B2.53B2.28B2.40B2.31B1.92B
EBITDA1.41B1.38B1.11B1.37B1.31B1.06B
Net Income711.00M704.90M503.00M757.10M740.10M555.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.57B8.40B8.21B7.95B7.97B6.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments215.90M329.10M215.00M167.20M162.70M252.30M
Total Debt3.55B3.15B3.24B3.10B3.10B2.12B
Total Liabilities6.37B6.09B6.08B5.92B6.05B4.60B
Stockholders Equity2.20B2.31B2.13B2.03B1.92B1.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow626.10M730.00M540.90M662.50M774.70M532.70M
Operating Cash Flow813.80M938.80M826.00M961.00M1.05B751.30M
Investing Cash Flow-185.50M-243.10M-459.00M-332.70M-1.74B-554.20M
Financing Cash Flow-622.50M-576.10M-317.20M-615.20M604.30M-207.70M

Avery Dennison Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price172.25
Price Trends
50DMA
176.57
Negative
100DMA
175.29
Negative
200DMA
182.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.74
Negative
RSI
46.04
Neutral
STOCH
66.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 172.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 173.04, below the 50-day MA of 176.57, and below the 200-day MA of 182.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AVY.

Avery Dennison Risk Analysis

Avery Dennison disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Avery Dennison reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Avery Dennison Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$17.40B19.3020.51%2.59%8.98%25.81%
72
Outperform
$20.13B27.276.55%5.81%10.03%-28.33%
72
Outperform
$11.70B21.1120.64%1.04%2.07%32.37%
70
Outperform
$13.63B19.5931.68%2.08%1.66%14.38%
68
Neutral
$14.66B25.149.59%1.51%-3.12%
66
Neutral
$4.56B30.973.98%4.62%0.90%-118.86%
61
Neutral
C$4.70B7.1215.29%3.62%3.22%5.80%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVY
Avery Dennison
172.25
-37.12
-17.73%
BALL
Ball
52.85
-9.94
-15.83%
CCK
Crown Holdings
98.85
10.68
12.11%
PKG
Packaging
194.11
1.87
0.97%
SON
Sonoco Products
45.48
-3.12
-6.42%
AMCR
Amcor
8.48
-1.62
-16.04%

Avery Dennison Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Avery Dennison Appoints David Flitman to Board
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 23, 2025, Avery Dennison Corporation appointed David Flitman to its Board of Directors. Flitman, CEO of US Foods Holding Corporation, brings extensive experience in dynamic business environments and the food industry, which is a significant growth area for Avery Dennison. His appointment is expected to help the company create long-term value for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVY) stock is a Hold with a $240.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avery Dennison stock, see the AVY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025