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Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (AUPH)
NASDAQ:AUPH

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (AUPH) AI Stock Analysis

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Aurinia Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:AUPH)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▲(6.81%Upside)
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals benefits from strong financial performance and positive earnings highlights, driving a solid overall score. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics indicate moderate attractiveness. Risks from patent litigation and market competition introduce uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Aurinia reported 1Q-2025 results beating estimates.
Financial Position
The company generated $23.3M in net income and ended the period with $312.9M in cash, indicating a strong financial position.
Product Performance
Lupkynis product revenue came in ahead of estimates, increasing 25% year-over-year.
Negative Factors
Sales Force
Conservative range could be result of a downsized sales force.
Sales Guidance
Sales guidance for FY25 is within expectations but below consensus.
Strategic Position
Disappointment that Aurinia will remain standalone, as more value could have been created with strategic synergies within a more established commercial organization.

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (AUPH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing therapies to treat autoimmune diseases. Based in Victoria, British Columbia, Canada, Aurinia is primarily engaged in the development of its lead drug, Lupkynis (voclosporin), which is used for the treatment of lupus nephritis, a serious complication of the autoimmune disease systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). The company's mission is to improve the lives of patients living with debilitating autoimmune conditions through innovative therapeutics.
How the Company Makes MoneyAurinia Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the sales of its FDA-approved drug, Lupkynis. The company markets this drug mainly in North America, and it is designed to treat patients with active lupus nephritis. Aurinia also seeks revenue through partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies to expand the reach and application of its products. Additionally, the company may receive milestone payments and royalties as part of licensing agreements with other entities involved in the development and commercialization of its drug. These partnerships and collaborations play a significant role in the company's financial growth and market expansion.

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.37%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong quarter with significant revenue growth, improved cash flow, and reduced operating expenses. However, there are ongoing challenges, including patent litigation, potential regulatory risks, and competition in the lupus nephritis treatment market.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $62.5 million, up 24% from $50.3 million in Q1 2024. Net product sales of LUPKYNIS were $60 million, up 25% from $48.1 million in the same period of 2024.
Improved Cash Flow
Cash flow generated from operations was $1.3 million in Q1 2025, compared to a negative $18.6 million in Q1 2024. Excluding restructuring payments, cash flow was $12.4 million.
Positive Net Income
Net income for Q1 2025 was $23.3 million or $0.17 per share, compared to a net loss of $10.7 million or $0.07 per share in Q1 2024.
Efficient Operations
Total operating expenses decreased to $40.6 million in Q1 2025 from $63.6 million in Q1 2024, primarily due to strategic restructuring efforts.
Rheumatology Market Growth
The company is focusing on educating rheumatologists about LUPKYNIS, seeing improvements in rheumatology prescribing.
Pipeline Progress
The company remains on track to report initial results from the Phase 1 study of AUR200, a dual BAFF/APRIL inhibitor, later in the quarter.
Negative Updates
Cash and Investment Decrease
Cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and investments decreased to $312.9 million as of March 31, 2025, from $358.5 million at the end of 2024.
Patent Litigation
Aurinia faces ANDA patent challenges for LUPKYNIS, with ongoing litigation and uncertainty regarding the outcome.
Potential Regulatory and Market Risks
The company is monitoring potential new federal government policies on tariffs and transfer pricing, as well as competitors like Roche's Gazyva entering the lupus nephritis market.
Company Guidance
During the Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. Q1 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance for the fiscal year, projecting total revenue in the range of $250 million to $260 million and net product sales of LUPKYNIS between $240 million and $250 million. The call highlighted a strong performance in the first quarter, with total revenue reaching $62.5 million, a 24% increase from $50.3 million in Q1 2024, and net product sales of LUPKYNIS at $60 million, up 25% from $48.1 million in the previous year. The company also reported a notable improvement in cash flow, generating $1.3 million from operations, compared to a negative cash flow of $18.6 million in Q1 2024. Aurinia ended the quarter with cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and investments totaling $312.9 million. The company remains focused on commercial execution and operational efficiency, aiming to capitalize on the updated American College of Rheumatology lupus nephritis treatment guidelines by promoting LUPKYNIS as a first-line therapy. Additionally, Aurinia is on track to report initial Phase 1 results for AUR200 later in the quarter.

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, improved profitability, a stable balance sheet with low leverage, and robust cash flows. The company is on a positive trajectory, although maintaining growth and operational efficiency will be crucial as it navigates market challenges.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals has shown impressive revenue growth, with Total Revenue increasing from $134.03 million in 2022 to $247.30 million TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) in 2025, reflecting a robust growth trajectory. The Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin have significantly improved, indicating better operational efficiency and profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have turned positive in the TTM period, showcasing a strong recovery from past losses.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio well under 1, indicating low leverage. The company's Return on Equity has improved due to positive Net Income, enhancing shareholder value. However, the Equity Ratio has decreased slightly, reflecting a more balanced asset and liability management.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The company exhibits a positive trend in Free Cash Flow with significant growth, suggesting improved financial health. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio shows strong cash generation relative to net earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio also indicates that cash flows are robust in relation to profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue247.29M235.13M175.51M134.03M45.60M50.12M
Gross Profit218.22M206.88M161.37M128.37M44.51M-209.00K
EBITDA54.34M31.73M-63.05M-103.65M-177.44M-102.92M
Net Income39.84M5.75M-78.02M-108.18M-180.97M-102.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets504.85M550.64M548.06M470.86M543.37M463.66M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments312.90M358.48M350.49M389.39M466.08M398.33M
Total Debt77.91M79.37M97.61M8.09M8.74M8.41M
Total Liabilities154.66M173.17M170.11M65.42M64.28M55.91M
Stockholders Equity350.19M377.48M377.95M405.44M479.09M407.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow64.02M44.11M-34.18M-79.82M-159.19M-77.20M
Operating Cash Flow64.29M44.39M-33.46M-79.53M-157.69M-69.86M
Investing Cash Flow20.99M39.26M-6.71M-60.63M-103.87M-158.19M
Financing Cash Flow-83.21M-49.09M-5.13M2.43M221.11M194.38M

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.49
Price Trends
50DMA
8.08
Negative
100DMA
8.04
Negative
200DMA
8.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
37.76
Neutral
STOCH
27.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AUPH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.07, below the 50-day MA of 8.08, and below the 200-day MA of 8.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AUPH.

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aurinia Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$1.01B27.0811.23%29.20%
57
Neutral
$933.10M-36.26%127.33%21.31%
55
Neutral
$1.45B-57.19%-0.33%-3.59%
52
Neutral
$1.41B-23.20%24.49%5.14%
51
Neutral
$7.55B0.30-61.90%2.27%17.11%1.58%
48
Neutral
$581.05M-51.85%11070.12%32.07%
44
Neutral
$1.03B-188.03%-11.42%0.26%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AUPH
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals
7.49
1.88
33.51%
CLDX
Celldex
22.11
-13.39
-37.72%
IOVA
Iovance Biotherapeutics
1.75
-5.53
-75.96%
ARDX
Ardelyx
4.19
-1.10
-20.79%
OCUL
Ocular Therapeutix
9.46
2.79
41.83%
LQDA
Liquidia Technologies
12.06
-0.17
-1.39%

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Approves New Equity Incentive Plan
Neutral
May 15, 2025

At the annual general meeting held on May 15, 2025, Aurinia Pharmaceuticals‘ shareholders approved an amended Equity Incentive Plan and revised Bylaws allowing shareholders to set the number of directors. The meeting also resulted in the election of several board members and the approval of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the company’s independent accounting firm. These changes are expected to enhance corporate governance and align executive compensation with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AUPH) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurinia Pharmaceuticals stock, see the AUPH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025