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Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (AUPH)
NASDAQ:AUPH
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Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (AUPH) AI Stock Analysis

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AUPH

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:AUPH)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(7.53% Upside)
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals demonstrates strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and improved profitability. The earnings call further supports this positive outlook with increased guidance and positive clinical trial results. Technical analysis shows bullish momentum, though overbought signals suggest caution. Valuation metrics indicate the stock might be overvalued, which slightly tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals reported strong 2Q25 financial results with total revenue exceeding consensus estimates, indicating robust company performance.
Market Confidence
Aurinia announced a new $150M share repurchase plan, demonstrating management's confidence in the company's long-term value.
Product Sales
The increase in Lupkynis net sales is attributed to factors such as increased rheumatologist adoption and expansion in the hospital channel.
Negative Factors
Market Structure
There is disappointment that Aurinia will remain standalone, as more value could have been created with strategic synergies in a more established commercial organization.

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (AUPH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing innovative therapies for kidney diseases, particularly lupus nephritis. The company is primarily engaged in the research and development of its lead product, LUPKYNIS (voclosporin), which is designed to improve renal response in patients with this autoimmune condition. Based in Victoria, British Columbia, Aurinia operates in the biopharmaceutical sector, leveraging its expertise in immunology and nephrology to address significant unmet medical needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyAurinia Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the sale of its commercialized product, LUPKYNIS, which was approved by the FDA for the treatment of lupus nephritis. The company earns income from product sales to healthcare providers and patients, and it may also benefit from potential royalties and milestone payments if it enters into partnerships or collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies for further development and commercialization of its pipeline products. Additionally, Aurinia may receive funding through research grants or government programs aimed at supporting innovative drug development in the healthcare sector.

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 33.59%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, improved cash flow, and positive clinical trial results, which have led to increased guidance. However, there are some concerns related to decreased cash reserves and restructuring costs. The highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, suggesting a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q2 2025 was $70 million, up 22% from $57.2 million in Q2 2024. Net product sales of LUPKYNIS were $66.6 million, up 21% from $55 million in Q2 2024.
Increased Guidance
Full-year 2025 total revenue guidance increased from a range of $250 million to $260 million to a range of $260 million to $270 million.
Positive Cash Flow
Cash flow generated from operations was $45.5 million, compared to a negative $2.8 million in the same period of 2024.
Share Repurchase Program
Repurchased $11.2 million of common shares for $90.8 million. Board approved an increase to the share repurchase plan by up to an additional $150 million.
Positive Clinical Trial Results
Reported positive results from the aritinercept Phase I single ascending dose study, with plans to initiate further clinical studies in the second half of 2025.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross margin for Q2 2025 was 90%, compared to 84% in Q2 2024.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Cash Reserves
Cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and investments decreased to $315.1 million as of June 30, 2025, from $358.5 million at December 31, 2024.
Restructuring Costs
Excluded $11.5 million in cash payments made in 2025 in connection with the November 2024 restructuring.
Company Guidance
During Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance metrics reflecting strong performance. Total revenue for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025, was $70 million and $132.5 million, marking increases of 22% and 23% respectively, compared to the same periods in 2024. Net product sales of LUPKYNIS reached $66.6 million and $126.5 million, up 21% and 23%, respectively. The company also recorded a significant positive cash flow from operations of $45.5 million, a turnaround from the negative cash flow of $2.8 million in 2024. Aurinia raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $260 million to $270 million, and net product sales guidance to a range of $250 million to $260 million. Additionally, cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and investments totaled $315.1 million as of June 30, 2025. The company also reported a net income of $21.5 million for the quarter and announced an increase to their share repurchase plan, approving an additional $150 million in common share buybacks.

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals is on a positive financial trajectory, marked by strong revenue growth, improved profitability, and effective cash flow management. The solid equity position and conservative leverage enhance financial stability. While past challenges in profitability and cash flow variability are noted, the recent financial performance suggests the company is well-positioned for future growth. Continued attention to capital management and operational efficiency will be key to sustaining this momentum.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals has demonstrated impressive revenue growth and profitability improvement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data shows a significant increase in total revenue by 10.63% compared to the previous year. Net profit margin improved substantially from the previous negative figures to a positive 23.31%. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 20.00% and 30.15%, respectively, reflecting effective cost management and operational efficiency. However, the company previously faced some profitability challenges which are important to monitor.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity position with an equity ratio of 66.70%, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.24, suggesting conservative leverage and a manageable debt load. Return on equity has improved to 18.08%, showing enhanced shareholder value creation. However, a reduction in stockholders' equity suggests a need for careful capital management moving forward.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals shows strong cash flow management with a notable increase in free cash flow, growing by 109.41% year-over-year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.53, indicating efficient conversion of earnings into cash. Free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust at 1.52, reflecting the company’s strong cash-generating ability. Nevertheless, past periods show some variability in cash flow performance.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue260.11M235.13M175.51M134.03M45.60M50.12M
Gross Profit232.84M206.88M161.37M128.37M44.51M-209.00K
EBITDA86.50M31.73M-63.05M-103.65M-177.44M-102.92M
Net Income60.64M5.75M-78.02M-108.18M-180.97M-102.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets502.56M550.64M548.06M470.86M543.37M463.66M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments315.13M358.48M350.49M389.39M466.08M398.33M
Total Debt81.83M79.37M97.61M8.09M8.74M8.41M
Total Liabilities167.26M173.17M170.11M65.42M64.28M55.91M
Stockholders Equity335.30M377.48M377.95M405.44M479.09M407.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow92.38M44.11M-34.18M-79.82M-159.19M-77.20M
Operating Cash Flow92.66M44.39M-33.46M-79.53M-157.69M-69.86M
Investing Cash Flow46.41M39.26M-6.71M-60.63M-103.87M-158.19M
Financing Cash Flow-119.50M-49.09M-5.13M2.43M221.11M194.38M

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.09
Price Trends
50DMA
9.10
Positive
100DMA
8.55
Positive
200DMA
8.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.92
Negative
RSI
79.58
Negative
STOCH
89.51
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AUPH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.40, above the 50-day MA of 9.10, and above the 200-day MA of 8.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.58 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.51 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AUPH.

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aurinia Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.59B28.2717.33%25.59%
59
Neutral
$1.58B-27.17%-30.25%-9.70%
59
Neutral
$1.41B-39.36%83.88%15.24%
58
Neutral
$2.25B-363.16%30.20%-7.22%
56
Neutral
$2.20B-63.41%-7.26%-15.33%
51
Neutral
$7.44B-0.20-46.00%2.26%22.80%-2.27%
47
Neutral
$886.54M-53.16%636.99%27.10%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AUPH
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals
12.09
5.83
93.13%
CLDX
Celldex
24.94
-9.24
-27.03%
IOVA
Iovance Biotherapeutics
2.45
-8.05
-76.67%
ARDX
Ardelyx
5.84
>-0.01
-0.17%
OCUL
Ocular Therapeutix
12.65
4.54
55.98%
LQDA
Liquidia Technologies
26.09
11.98
84.90%

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Approves New Equity Incentive Plan
Neutral
May 15, 2025

At the annual general meeting held on May 15, 2025, Aurinia Pharmaceuticals‘ shareholders approved an amended Equity Incentive Plan and revised Bylaws allowing shareholders to set the number of directors. The meeting also resulted in the election of several board members and the approval of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the company’s independent accounting firm. These changes are expected to enhance corporate governance and align executive compensation with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AUPH) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurinia Pharmaceuticals stock, see the AUPH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 05, 2025