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Orbital Corporation Limited (AU:OEC)
ASX:OEC

Orbital Corporation Limited (OEC) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:OEC

Orbital Corporation Limited

(Sydney:OEC)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.13
▼(-21.18% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/09/26
The score is primarily driven down by weak financial performance, including declining revenue, negative margins, and negative operating/free cash flow. Technical indicators are broadly neutral and do not offset the fundamental weakness, while valuation remains unattractive/unclear due to a negative P/E and no stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Moderate leverage (Debt-to-equity)
A debt-to-equity of 0.35 indicates conservative leverage versus many peers in capital-intensive aerospace. This level preserves financial flexibility for R&D, contract fulfilment and capital expenditure, reducing bankruptcy risk and supporting multi-month resilience in funding operations.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue
Sustained revenue contraction (-7.37%) signals weakening market traction or lost contracts. For aerospace suppliers, shrinking sales reduce operating leverage, impede investment in product development and make it harder to cover fixed costs, risking further margin and cash pressure over months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Moderate leverage (Debt-to-equity)
A debt-to-equity of 0.35 indicates conservative leverage versus many peers in capital-intensive aerospace. This level preserves financial flexibility for R&D, contract fulfilment and capital expenditure, reducing bankruptcy risk and supporting multi-month resilience in funding operations.
Read all positive factors

Orbital Corporation Limited (OEC) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Orbital Corporation Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Orbital Corporation Limited provides integrated propulsion systems and flight critical components for tactical uncrewed aerial vehicles in Australia and the United States. It also provides modular propulsion solution, design and development, machi...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Orbital Corporation Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are weak: revenue is contracting (-7.37%), profitability is negative with sharply lower gross margin (55.27% in 2020 to 29.47% in 2025), and both operating and free cash flow are negative. Balance sheet leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity 0.35), but negative ROE and cash burn dominate the assessment.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.57M8.23M12.57M16.78M15.72M31.20M
Gross Profit-1.78M2.42M-2.27M7.98M5.32M14.82M
EBITDA-5.07M-2.62M1.65M1.56M-5.13M-7.67M
Net Income-3.80M-4.30M67.00K20.00K-11.13M-11.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.99M17.42M22.23M19.94M22.61M29.79M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.98M1.54M5.53M3.04M2.95M3.70M
Total Debt4.13M2.98M6.07M6.06M9.25M11.81M
Total Liabilities7.14M8.85M11.40M13.00M20.41M22.44M
Stockholders Equity9.85M8.57M10.83M6.94M2.20M7.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-21.50K-5.67M-1.19M-3.78M-4.60M-2.42M
Operating Cash Flow112.00K-2.69M-34.00K-3.49M-4.09M-1.69M
Investing Cash Flow-1.50M-2.51M-790.00K-372.00K-2.20M-2.12M
Financing Cash Flow2.22M1.49M3.30M3.89M5.39M-1.07M

Orbital Corporation Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.17
Price Trends
50DMA
0.13
Positive
100DMA
0.14
Positive
200DMA
0.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
49.06
Neutral
STOCH
34.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:OEC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.15, above the 50-day MA of 0.13, and above the 200-day MA of 0.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:OEC.

Orbital Corporation Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
AU$527.08M7.3922.89%2.51%-3.08%-16.35%
65
Neutral
AU$1.95B23.057.21%24.13%474.03%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
AU$1.91B92.357.19%-72.88%
45
Neutral
AU$236.88M-2.98-75.11%-12.84%-29.62%
44
Neutral
AU$82.01M-1.55-50.97%-12.07%-160.00%
41
Neutral
AU$24.17M-4.07-41.28%-34.48%-26000.00%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:OEC
Orbital Corporation Limited
0.14
0.05
60.71%
AU:ASB
Austal
4.65
0.13
2.88%
AU:EOS
Electro Optic Systems Holdings Limited
9.42
8.32
752.49%
AU:LYL
Lycopodium Limited
13.36
3.28
32.54%
AU:NVX
NOVONIX Ltd
0.28
-0.09
-25.68%
AU:MCE
Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd
0.37
0.19
114.71%

Orbital Corporation Limited Corporate Events

Orbital UAV Wins US$1.1m UAE Engine Order and Seals Long-Term Propulsion Partnership
Apr 7, 2026
Orbital UAV has secured an initial US$1.1 million order from a new sovereign government customer in the United Arab Emirates for its 50HFE propulsion systems and proprietary power management systems, marking the company&#8217;s first sales foothol...
Orbital UAV expands global defence drone footprint with new engine, diagnostics order and NATO-aligned MoU
Mar 23, 2026
Orbital UAV has announced a trio of moves that deepen its role in the global unmanned systems market, spanning heavy-lift logistics drones and tactical military platforms. The company continues to pursue a strategy of pairing engine supply with di...
Orbital posts deeper half-year loss despite modest revenue growth
Feb 26, 2026
Orbital Corporation Limited reported half-year revenue from continuing operations of A$4.89 million for the period ended 31 December 2025, a modest 2% increase on the prior corresponding period. However, the company swung to a net loss after tax o...
Orbital UAV Wins Initial Engine Upgrade Deal for Textron Military Drone Fleet
Feb 23, 2026
Orbital UAV has secured an initial order worth about A$475,000 from Textron Systems to supply 25 power upgrade kits for the Textron Aerosonde 4.7 unmanned aerial vehicles currently deployed with the U.S. military. The kits, based on Orbital&#8217;...
Orbital UAV Improves Cash Position and Ramps Up Production of New 350cc UAV Engine
Jan 29, 2026
Orbital UAV reported a materially improved cash performance for the quarter to 31 December 2025, with operating cash inflow of $0.5 million and a modest net cash outflow of $0.2 million, ending the period with $3.5 million in cash, an undrawn $2 m...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 09, 2026