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Austal Limited (AU:ASB)
ASX:ASB

Austal (ASB) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:ASB

Austal

(Sydney:ASB)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
AU$7.50
▲(20.39% Upside)
Austal's strong financial performance is the most significant factor, supported by robust revenue growth and cash flow generation. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Austal's consistent revenue growth indicates robust demand for its naval and commercial vessels, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term financial stability.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation provides Austal with the financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and manage its operations efficiently, ensuring sustainable business expansion.
Balance Sheet Health
Austal's low leverage and stable capital structure enhance its financial resilience, allowing it to withstand economic fluctuations and invest in strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Operational Efficiency
Low operational efficiency, as indicated by the EBIT margin, suggests potential challenges in cost management, which could impact profitability if not addressed.
Profitability Concerns
Moderate return on equity indicates that Austal may not be maximizing shareholder value, highlighting a need for strategies to enhance profitability and asset utilization.
Margin Sustainability
While net profit margins have improved, the low EBIT margin raises concerns about Austal's ability to sustain profitability, especially if cost pressures increase.

Austal (ASB) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Austal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAustal Limited (ASB) is a global shipbuilding company based in Australia, specializing in the design and construction of high-speed defense and commercial vessels. The company operates primarily in the defense sector, manufacturing naval ships for the Australian Navy and international defense forces, as well as providing support services for these vessels. Austal is known for its innovative use of aluminum in shipbuilding, focusing on advanced technology and sustainable practices in the maritime industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyAustal generates revenue primarily through the construction and sale of naval vessels, including patrol boats, frigates, and other military ships, as well as commercial ships such as ferries and offshore support vessels. The company secures contracts through competitive bidding processes with government and defense agencies, which often involve significant multi-year projects. Key revenue streams include shipbuilding contracts, repair and maintenance services for existing vessels, and ongoing support contracts that provide long-term revenue stability. Additionally, strategic partnerships with defense organizations and collaboration on joint ventures enhance its market position and contribute to its financial performance.

Austal Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Austal demonstrates strong financial performance with notable revenue growth and improved profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, and cash flow generation is robust, supporting future growth initiatives. While operational efficiency could be enhanced, the company is well-positioned in the Aerospace & Defense industry.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Austal's income statement shows a strong revenue growth rate of 15.62% in the latest year, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin improved to 12.59%, and the net profit margin increased to 4.92%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin remains relatively low at 0.69%, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20, indicating prudent leverage management. The return on equity is moderate at 6.86%, showing decent profitability from equity investments. The equity ratio of 44.42% suggests a stable capital structure, though there is potential to enhance asset utilization.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a robust free cash flow growth rate of 83.89%, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.55 indicates efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.52 further underscores the company's ability to generate cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.82B1.82B1.47B1.59B1.43B1.57B
Gross Profit229.92M229.60M172.51M99.10M230.28M222.56M
EBITDA174.29M199.76M127.64M56.76M153.96M160.69M
Net Income89.73M89.73M14.88M-13.77M79.56M81.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.95B2.95B2.09B1.93B1.69B1.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments583.93M583.93M173.51M179.20M240.11M346.90M
Total Debt266.99M266.99M281.06M240.46M234.12M204.60M
Total Liabilities1.64B1.64B1.09B885.12M675.97M615.78M
Stockholders Equity1.31B1.31B1.00B948.82M924.28M774.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow211.40M210.68M-82.96M-41.91M-127.42M30.18M
Operating Cash Flow406.32M406.32M-13.05M86.71M37.50M107.33M
Investing Cash Flow-149.23M-149.23M-12.70M-102.78M-127.51M-85.05M
Financing Cash Flow153.76M153.76M19.52M-38.06M-38.33M-46.31M

Austal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.23
Price Trends
50DMA
6.85
Negative
100DMA
7.08
Negative
200DMA
6.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
39.32
Neutral
STOCH
37.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ASB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.57, below the 50-day MA of 6.85, and above the 200-day MA of 6.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:ASB.

Austal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
AU$904.33M13.4210.32%10.77%16.61%3.07%
64
Neutral
$2.62B26.347.54%24.13%474.03%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
AU$195.61M60.365.66%1.32%-14.88%-56.89%
56
Neutral
AU$1.66B21.919.26%1.56%15.14%-7.23%
51
Neutral
$966.69M28.45-28.75%-72.88%
40
Neutral
AU$24.17M-42.31%-34.48%-26000.00%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ASB
Austal
6.23
3.31
113.36%
AU:EOS
Electro Optic Systems Holdings Limited
5.01
3.96
377.14%
AU:OEC
Orbital Corporation Limited
0.14
0.03
28.57%
AU:VEE
Veem Ltd
0.76
-0.57
-42.86%
AU:MGH
MAAS Group Holdings Ltd.
4.49
-0.14
-3.02%
AU:IPH
IPH Ltd.
3.39
-1.18
-25.82%

Austal Corporate Events

State Street Corporation Ceases Substantial Holding in Austal Limited
Dec 5, 2025

Austal Limited has announced that State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries have ceased to be substantial holders of voting securities in the company as of December 3, 2025. This change in substantial holding may impact Austal’s shareholder structure and influence, potentially affecting its strategic decisions and market perception.

Austal Limited Announces Change in Substantial Holding
Dec 1, 2025

Austal Limited has announced a change in substantial holding, as State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries have ceased to be substantial holders in the company as of November 27, 2025. This change in holding may impact Austal’s shareholder structure and could have implications for the company’s governance and strategic decisions moving forward.

State Street Corporation Ceases Substantial Holding in Austal Limited
Nov 26, 2025

Austal Limited has announced that State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries have ceased to be substantial holders in the company as of November 24, 2025. This change in substantial holding may impact Austal’s shareholder composition and could influence its market strategies and investor relations.

State Street Corporation Ceases Substantial Holding in Austal Limited
Nov 14, 2025

Austal Limited has announced that State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries have ceased to be substantial holders in the company as of November 12, 2025. This change in substantial holding could impact Austal’s shareholder dynamics and influence in the market, potentially affecting its strategic decisions and stakeholder relationships.

Austal Secures Strategic Shipbuilding Tasking for LCM Design
Nov 3, 2025

Austal Limited has been awarded a project-specific Tasking Statement under the Strategic Shipbuilding Agreement by the Commonwealth of Australia, appointing Austal Defence Australia as the Design Authority for the Landing Craft Medium (LCM) with a value of approximately A$15 million. This tasking allows Austal Defence Australia to advance the LCM design, with expectations of further tasking for design and construction in late 2025, potentially enhancing Austal’s industry positioning and stakeholder engagement.

State Street Corporation Ceases to be a Substantial Holder in Austal Limited
Oct 30, 2025

Austal Limited has announced that State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries have ceased to be substantial holders of voting securities in the company as of October 28, 2025. This change in substantial holding may impact Austal’s shareholder structure and could influence future voting outcomes and corporate decisions.

Austal Limited Secures Shareholder Support at Annual General Meeting
Oct 28, 2025

Austal Limited’s Annual General Meeting saw the approval of several key resolutions, including the adoption of the remuneration report and the election of board members. The meeting also approved the issuance of share rights to various executives, reflecting strong shareholder support and potentially enhancing the company’s executive alignment with shareholder interests.

Austal Expands Submarine Manufacturing Capabilities with Major Investments
Oct 28, 2025

Austal’s 2025 Annual General Meeting highlighted significant developments, including a US$450 million investment by the US Government to build a new Module Manufacturing Facility (MMF3) to enhance the production of US nuclear submarines. This expansion is expected to significantly boost Austal’s revenue and operational capacity. Additionally, Austal secured $220 million in funding for constructing Final Assembly 2 (FA2), a crucial infrastructure project for assembling various naval vessels, supported by a $488 million debt refinance, demonstrating robust financial backing and strategic growth initiatives.

State Street Corporation Ceases Substantial Holding in Austal Limited
Oct 7, 2025

Austal Limited has announced that State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries have ceased to be substantial holders in the company as of October 3, 2025. This change in substantial holding could impact Austal’s shareholder structure and influence in the market, potentially affecting the company’s strategic decisions and stakeholder interests.

Austal Secures $100M Loan to Boost US Shipbuilding Projects
Oct 7, 2025

Austal Limited has secured a US$100 million loan from Export Finance Australia to support the construction of vessels for the US Navy and US Coast Guard at its Mobile, Alabama Shipyard. This funding will aid in the development of Austal’s Final Assembly 2 project, which includes building up to eleven US Coast Guard Offshore Patrol Cutters and up to seven US Navy Ocean Surveillance vessels. The loan signifies a major milestone for Austal, enhancing its $13.1 billion order book and supporting shared defense objectives between the Australian and US Governments. The expansion reflects the strength of Australian businesses in securing international contracts and investing in defense capabilities.

Austal Limited Prepares for Annual General Meeting with Key Resolutions on Agenda
Oct 3, 2025

Austal Limited has announced the details for its upcoming Annual General Meeting, including instructions for lodging proxy forms and voting procedures. The meeting will address several resolutions, including the election of directors and approval of share rights, which could impact the company’s governance and executive compensation structure.

Austal Limited Seeks Shareholder Approval to Refresh Placement Capacity
Oct 3, 2025

Austal Limited has issued an addendum to its Notice of Meeting for the 2025 Annual General Meeting, introducing a new Resolution 11. This resolution seeks shareholder approval to refresh the company’s 15% placement capacity, which is a common practice among ASX-listed companies to maintain flexibility for future capital requirements and strategic opportunities. The addendum includes a replacement proxy form to ensure shareholders can vote on this additional resolution.

Austal Limited Issues New Securities Under Employee Incentive Scheme
Oct 1, 2025

Austal Limited has announced the issuance of 870,177 ordinary fully paid securities, which are to be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). This move is part of an employee incentive scheme, potentially enhancing employee engagement and aligning their interests with shareholders, thereby strengthening Austal’s operational and market positioning.

Austal Resolves Contract Dispute with US Navy over T-ATS Program
Oct 1, 2025

Austal Limited has reached an agreement with the United States Navy to resolve its Request for Equitable Adjustment concerning the Towing, Salvage, and Rescue Ship (T-ATS) program. Initially valued at $145 million for two vessels, the contract expanded to five vessels with a total value of $380 million. Due to challenges such as late technical data and design discrepancies, the contract was deemed onerous. The resolution results in the permanent halt of construction on two vessels, with the contract now limited to three ships. This agreement aligns with previous financial provisions and is expected to have no further impact on Austal’s revenue or earnings.

Austal Limited Announces Details for 2025 Annual General Meeting
Sep 26, 2025

Austal Limited has announced the details for their upcoming Annual General Meeting, scheduled for October 28, 2025. The meeting will be held physically at the Fremantle Sailing Club in Western Australia, with an option to view the webcast online. Shareholders are encouraged to lodge their proxy forms by October 26, 2025, to participate in the voting process on various resolutions, including the election of directors and approval of share rights. This meeting is crucial for stakeholders as it involves decisions on key management personnel’s remuneration and other strategic resolutions.

Austal Limited Announces In-Person 2025 AGM with Live Webcast
Sep 26, 2025

Austal Limited has announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM) to be held in person at the Fremantle Sailing Club, Western Australia, on October 28, 2025. The meeting will be webcast live, allowing securityholders to listen and view materials, although voting and participation will be restricted to those attending physically. This approach underscores Austal’s commitment to engaging with its stakeholders directly, while also adapting to modern digital conveniences.

Austal Limited Announces Director Change
Sep 19, 2025

Austal Limited announced the cessation of John Rothwell as a director, effective September 1, 2025. This change in the board may impact the company’s governance and strategic direction, given Rothwell’s significant role and interests in the company, including a substantial holding of 18,601,692 securities through Austro Pty Ltd.

Austal Limited Announces Change in Substantial Holding
Sep 16, 2025

Austal Limited has announced a change in its substantial holding status, with State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries ceasing to be substantial holders as of September 12, 2025. This change may impact Austal’s shareholder dynamics and influence in the market, as State Street Corporation’s involvement in voting securities has altered, potentially affecting the company’s governance and strategic decisions.

Austal Limited Announces Change in Substantial Holding
Sep 9, 2025

Austal Limited has announced a change in substantial holding, indicating that a significant shareholder has ceased to hold a substantial interest in the company. This change could impact the company’s shareholder structure and voting dynamics, potentially affecting its strategic decisions and market perception.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025