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NOVONIX Ltd (AU:NVX)
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NOVONIX Ltd (NVX) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:NVX

NOVONIX Ltd

(Sydney:NVX)

Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.50
▲(16.28%Upside)
The most significant factor impacting NOVONIX Ltd's score is its financial performance, marked by declining revenues and negative cash flows. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, with some potential for bullish momentum. However, the valuation is unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data means these factors were not considered.

NOVONIX Ltd (NVX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

NOVONIX Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNovonix Limited develops and supplies battery materials, equipment, and services to the lithium-ion battery market in North America. It operates through three segments: Graphite Exploration and Mining, Battery Technology, and Battery Materials. The Graphite Exploration and Mining segment explores for graphite in Australia. The Battery Technology segment develops battery cell testing equipment and batteries, and consulting services. The Battery Materials segment develops and manufactures battery anode materials. The company is also involved in the investment and battery testing activities. The company was formerly known as Graphitecorp Limited and changed its name to Novonix Limited in July 2017. Novonix Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyNOVONIX Ltd generates revenue through several key streams. The company produces and sells advanced battery materials, including high-performance synthetic graphite anode materials, which are a crucial component of lithium-ion batteries. Additionally, NOVONIX offers battery technology solutions and cell testing equipment, providing services that enhance the performance and lifespan of batteries. Revenue is also derived from strategic partnerships and collaborations with major automotive and battery manufacturers, which help to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. The company's focus on research and development and its investment in innovative technologies further contribute to its earnings by improving product efficiency and opening up new market opportunities.

NOVONIX Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NOVONIX Ltd is facing financial difficulties characterized by declining revenues, persistent losses, and negative cash flows. The income statement shows a significant drop in revenue, and the balance sheet indicates a decrease in both equity and assets. Cash flow analysis further highlights inefficiencies in cash generation.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
NOVONIX Ltd has faced significant challenges in its income statement. The company experienced a negative revenue growth rate over the past year, with Total Revenue dropping from $12.13 million to $5.85 million. The Gross Profit Margin improved slightly from 76.77% to 69.75%, but the Net Profit Margin remains negative, showing substantial losses. The absence of EBIT and negative EBITDA further highlight profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.51, indicating some leverage but not excessively high. Stockholders' Equity decreased, and the Total Assets fell from $263.34 million to $226.10 million. The Equity Ratio is 60.86%, suggesting a reasonable reliance on equity over liabilities. However, the decline in equity and assets raises concerns.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative Free Cash Flow growth, with Free Cash Flow dropping from -$55.42 million to -$70.32 million. Operating Cash Flow is negative and worsening, and both the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio and Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio indicate inefficiencies in cash generation relative to income.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.85M12.13M6.10M5.23M
Gross Profit4.08M9.32M-20.63M4.38M-3.28M
EBITDA-66.61M-38.86M-33.28M-43.26M-12.04M
Net Income-74.82M-46.25M-38.08M-51.86M-18.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets226.10M263.34M189.59M302.98M202.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.56M78.63M73.93M142.74M136.66M
Total Debt70.42M68.22M31.34M42.31M20.01M
Total Liabilities88.51M83.74M38.20M51.85M24.68M
Stockholders Equity137.59M183.94M151.39M251.13M178.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-70.32M-55.42M-29.65M-113.02M-25.66M
Operating Cash Flow-40.42M-36.23M-12.89M-29.23M-6.09M
Investing Cash Flow-18.17M-12.04M-16.10M-106.80M-19.68M
Financing Cash Flow25.21M44.16M180.69M103.77M

NOVONIX Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.43
Price Trends
50DMA
0.44
Negative
100DMA
0.45
Negative
200DMA
0.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Positive
RSI
43.10
Neutral
STOCH
3.97
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:NVX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.48, below the 50-day MA of 0.44, and below the 200-day MA of 0.55, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.97 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:NVX.

NOVONIX Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$10.61B16.567.00%2.15%2.87%-30.79%
46
Neutral
$274.03M-47.89%-26.89%-60.25%
$16.57M
$32.66M2.47
66
Neutral
AU$121.02M26.818.82%1.12%9.97%-22.07%
64
Neutral
AU$88.08M30.3612.38%1.24%11.82%113.33%
40
Underperform
AU$105.63M-11.59%-18.75%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:NVX
NOVONIX Ltd
0.43
-0.19
-30.65%
REFXF
Redflow Limited
0.06
-0.01
-14.29%
MNSEF
Magnis Energy Technologies Limited
0.02
0.00
0.00%
AU:SGI
Stealth Global Holdings Ltd.
0.70
0.50
250.00%
AU:VEE
Veem Ltd
0.89
-0.76
-46.06%
AU:LIS
Li-S Energy Ltd
0.16
0.04
33.33%

NOVONIX Ltd Corporate Events

NOVONIX Ltd Secures Initial Funding Through Convertible Debentures
Jul 25, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd has announced the issuance of its first tranche of convertible debentures, raising up to US$23,275,000, as part of a larger funding agreement with Yorkville Advisors Global, LP. This financial move is designed to bolster the company’s capital structure, allowing for potential growth and expansion in the battery materials sector. The issuance does not require shareholder approval due to the company’s existing placement capacity, but future tranches will require such approval, highlighting a strategic approach to secure substantial funding while adhering to regulatory frameworks.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NVX) stock is a Buy with a A$0.77 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NOVONIX Ltd stock, see the AU:NVX Stock Forecast page.

NOVONIX Issues New Shares Under Funding Agreement
Jul 24, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd has issued 783,867 new fully paid ordinary shares to YA II PN, Ltd as part of a prepayment for interest on convertible debentures. This issuance is part of a funding agreement with Yorkville, reflecting the company’s strategic financial management and compliance with regulatory requirements, potentially impacting its financial stability and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NVX) stock is a Buy with a A$0.77 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NOVONIX Ltd stock, see the AU:NVX Stock Forecast page.

NOVONIX Ltd Issues Unquoted Convertible Debentures
Jul 24, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd announced the issuance of 24,500,000 unquoted convertible debentures, as part of a previously announced transaction. This move is part of the company’s strategic financial activities, potentially impacting its capital structure and offering new opportunities for growth and investment within the battery technology sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NVX) stock is a Buy with a A$0.77 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NOVONIX Ltd stock, see the AU:NVX Stock Forecast page.

NOVONIX Ltd Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Jul 24, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd has announced the quotation of 783,867 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of July 25, 2025. This move is part of previously announced transactions and is expected to impact the company’s market presence by potentially increasing liquidity and investor interest in its shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NVX) stock is a Buy with a A$0.77 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NOVONIX Ltd stock, see the AU:NVX Stock Forecast page.

NOVONIX Ltd Announces Proposed Securities Issuance
Jul 24, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd announced a proposed issuance of securities, including 100,000,000 convertible debentures and 783,867 ordinary fully paid shares, scheduled for July 25, 2025. This move is part of a placement or other type of issue, potentially impacting the company’s capital structure and market positioning, as it seeks to enhance its financial flexibility and support its growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NVX) stock is a Buy with a A$0.77 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NOVONIX Ltd stock, see the AU:NVX Stock Forecast page.

NOVONIX Advances in Graphite Supply and Battery Technology Amid Strategic Developments
Jul 24, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd has made significant strides in the first half of 2025, supplying advanced synthetic graphite samples to 13 customers and progressing equipment installation for a 3,000 tpa capacity to fulfill agreements with major companies like Panasonic. The company also received favorable preliminary rulings from the U.S. Department of Commerce on tariffs against Chinese graphite imports, which could strengthen its market position. Additionally, NOVONIX is expanding its production capabilities with the approval of a new plant site and advancing its zero-waste cathode technology. Key corporate updates include the appointment of a new CEO and a funding agreement for up to $100 million, which could enhance its financial stability and growth prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NVX) stock is a Buy with a A$0.77 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NOVONIX Ltd stock, see the AU:NVX Stock Forecast page.

NOVONIX Secures $100M Funding Agreement with Yorkville Advisors
Jul 24, 2025

NOVONIX Limited has entered into a funding agreement with Yorkville Advisors Global, LP, which involves issuing up to US$100 million in unsecured convertible debentures. The funding will support the continued development of NOVONIX’s Riverside facility in Chattanooga, Tennessee, and general corporate purposes. This agreement enhances NOVONIX’s financial flexibility and positions the company to significantly increase production of synthetic graphite, with commercial shipments expected to begin later this year. The strategic move is expected to strengthen NOVONIX’s position in the battery materials sector and contribute to building a resilient supply chain for next-generation technologies in the U.S.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NVX) stock is a Buy with a A$0.77 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NOVONIX Ltd stock, see the AU:NVX Stock Forecast page.

NOVONIX Ltd Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Jul 18, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd has announced the quotation of 246,377 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of July 18, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its capital structure and potentially improve its market positioning, reflecting its ongoing commitment to growth and expansion in the competitive battery technology industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NVX) stock is a Buy with a A$0.77 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NOVONIX Ltd stock, see the AU:NVX Stock Forecast page.

NOVONIX Ltd Applauds U.S. Tariffs on Chinese Graphite, Boosting Domestic Production
Jul 18, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd welcomes the U.S. Department of Commerce’s decision to impose antidumping tariffs of 93.5% on Chinese graphite imports, raising the effective tariff rate to 160%. This decision supports NOVONIX’s strategy of building a domestic supply chain for critical minerals in North America, enhancing its production capacity and strengthening its market position. The company’s Riverside facility in Chattanooga is set to become the first large-scale production site for high-performance synthetic graphite in North America, with plans to expand capacity to meet growing demand.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NVX) stock is a Buy with a A$0.77 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NOVONIX Ltd stock, see the AU:NVX Stock Forecast page.

NOVONIX Ltd Expands Market Presence with New Securities Quotation
Jun 30, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd announced the quotation of 66,896 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), effective June 30, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its market presence and provide additional value to its stakeholders, reflecting its ongoing commitment to growth and innovation in the energy storage sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NVX) stock is a Buy with a A$0.77 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NOVONIX Ltd stock, see the AU:NVX Stock Forecast page.

NOVONIX Ltd Issues Performance Rights to Boost Employee Engagement
Jun 18, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd announced the issuance of 3,723,971 performance rights as part of an employee incentive scheme. This move is aimed at aligning employee interests with company performance, potentially enhancing productivity and commitment, which could positively impact the company’s market position and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NVX) stock is a Buy with a A$0.77 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NOVONIX Ltd stock, see the AU:NVX Stock Forecast page.

NOVONIX Ltd Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Jun 4, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd has announced the quotation of 36,105 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of June 5, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its financial flexibility and potentially expand its market presence, reflecting its ongoing commitment to growth in the battery materials industry.

NOVONIX Applauds U.S. Tariffs on Chinese Graphite, Plans Expansion
May 22, 2025

NOVONIX Limited has welcomed the U.S. Department of Commerce’s decision to impose up to 721% tariffs on Chinese synthetic and natural graphite anode material, a move aimed at supporting the U.S. graphite industry and promoting energy independence. This decision, part of a broader investigation into China’s graphite exports, is expected to bolster NOVONIX’s operations, particularly with its plans to expand production capacity in Chattanooga, Tennessee, positioning the company as a significant player in the North American battery materials market.

NOVONIX Ltd Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
May 12, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd has announced the quotation of 29,763 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code NVX, effective May 13, 2025. This move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its financial position and expand its market presence, potentially impacting its operations and stakeholder interests positively.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025