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NOVONIX Ltd (AU:NVX)
ASX:NVX
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NOVONIX Ltd (NVX) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

NOVONIX Ltd

(Sydney:NVX)

Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.50
▲(25.00%Upside)
The overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, negative technical momentum, and concerning valuation metrics. The company's persistent losses and negative cash flows are the most critical factors affecting its performance. Technical indicators support the bearish outlook, while the lack of earnings call data and corporate events leaves potential improvements unaddressed.

NOVONIX Ltd (NVX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

NOVONIX Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNovonix Limited develops and supplies battery materials, equipment, and services to the lithium-ion battery market in North America. It operates through three segments: Graphite Exploration and Mining, Battery Technology, and Battery Materials. The Graphite Exploration and Mining segment explores for graphite in Australia. The Battery Technology segment develops battery cell testing equipment and batteries, and consulting services. The Battery Materials segment develops and manufactures battery anode materials. The company is also involved in the investment and battery testing activities. The company was formerly known as Graphitecorp Limited and changed its name to Novonix Limited in July 2017. Novonix Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyNOVONIX Ltd primarily generates revenue through the production and sale of synthetic graphite anode materials used in lithium-ion batteries. The company serves major battery manufacturers and technology companies, offering high-quality materials that enhance battery efficiency and lifespan. Additionally, NOVONIX's battery testing equipment division provides advanced testing solutions and services that cater to battery manufacturers, automotive companies, and research institutions. The company's strategic partnerships with industry leaders and ongoing investments in research and development further bolster its revenue streams by driving innovation and expanding its market reach.

NOVONIX Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NOVONIX Ltd is facing financial difficulties characterized by declining revenues, persistent losses, and negative cash flows. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but the reduction in equity and assets, along with poor cash flow performance, suggests the company is under financial pressure. Strategic improvements in revenue generation and cost management are essential for recovery.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
NOVONIX Ltd has faced significant challenges in its income statement. The company experienced a negative revenue growth rate over the past year, with Total Revenue dropping from $12.13 million to $5.85 million. The Gross Profit Margin improved slightly from 76.77% to 69.75%, but the Net Profit Margin remains negative, showing substantial losses. The absence of EBIT and negative EBITDA further highlight profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.51, indicating some leverage but not excessively high. Stockholders' Equity decreased, and the Total Assets fell from $263.34 million to $226.10 million. The Equity Ratio is 60.86%, suggesting a reasonable reliance on equity over liabilities. However, the decline in equity and assets raises concerns.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative Free Cash Flow growth, with Free Cash Flow dropping from -$55.42 million to -$70.32 million. Operating Cash Flow is negative and worsening, and both the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio and Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio indicate inefficiencies in cash generation relative to income.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.85M12.13M6.10M5.23M
Gross Profit4.08M9.32M-20.63M4.38M-3.28M
EBITDA-66.61M-38.86M-33.28M-43.26M-12.04M
Net Income-74.82M-46.25M-38.08M-51.86M-18.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets226.10M263.34M189.59M302.98M202.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.56M78.63M73.93M142.74M136.66M
Total Debt70.42M68.22M31.34M42.31M20.01M
Total Liabilities88.51M83.74M38.20M51.85M24.68M
Stockholders Equity137.59M183.94M151.39M251.13M178.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-70.32M-55.42M-29.65M-113.02M-25.66M
Operating Cash Flow-40.42M-36.23M-12.89M-29.23M-6.09M
Investing Cash Flow-18.17M-12.04M-16.10M-106.80M-19.68M
Financing Cash Flow25.21M44.16M180.69M103.77M

NOVONIX Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.40
Price Trends
50DMA
0.43
Negative
100DMA
0.44
Negative
200DMA
0.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
46.83
Neutral
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:NVX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.40, below the 50-day MA of 0.43, and below the 200-day MA of 0.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:NVX.

NOVONIX Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
£2.82B10.414.69%3.53%2.40%-24.53%
AUNVX
42
Neutral
$251.30M-47.89%-26.89%-60.25%
$16.83M
$33.00M2.47
AUSGI
68
Neutral
AU$97.80M33.7112.38%1.11%11.82%113.33%
AUVEE
64
Neutral
AU$116.94M25.908.82%0.53%9.97%-22.07%
AULIS
40
Underperform
AU$96.03M-11.59%-18.75%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:NVX
NOVONIX Ltd
0.41
-0.28
-40.88%
REFXF
Redflow Limited
0.06
-0.02
-25.00%
MNSEF
Magnis Energy Technologies Limited
0.03
0.00
0.00%
AU:SGI
Stealth Global Holdings Ltd.
0.77
0.54
234.78%
AU:VEE
Veem Ltd
0.86
-0.94
-52.22%
AU:LIS
Li-S Energy Ltd
0.15
0.03
25.00%

NOVONIX Ltd Corporate Events

NOVONIX Ltd Expands Market Presence with New Securities Quotation
Jun 30, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd announced the quotation of 66,896 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), effective June 30, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its market presence and provide additional value to its stakeholders, reflecting its ongoing commitment to growth and innovation in the energy storage sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NVX) stock is a Buy with a A$0.77 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NOVONIX Ltd stock, see the AU:NVX Stock Forecast page.

NOVONIX Ltd Issues Performance Rights to Boost Employee Engagement
Jun 18, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd announced the issuance of 3,723,971 performance rights as part of an employee incentive scheme. This move is aimed at aligning employee interests with company performance, potentially enhancing productivity and commitment, which could positively impact the company’s market position and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NVX) stock is a Buy with a A$0.77 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NOVONIX Ltd stock, see the AU:NVX Stock Forecast page.

NOVONIX Ltd Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Jun 4, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd has announced the quotation of 36,105 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of June 5, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its financial flexibility and potentially expand its market presence, reflecting its ongoing commitment to growth in the battery materials industry.

NOVONIX Applauds U.S. Tariffs on Chinese Graphite, Plans Expansion
May 22, 2025

NOVONIX Limited has welcomed the U.S. Department of Commerce’s decision to impose up to 721% tariffs on Chinese synthetic and natural graphite anode material, a move aimed at supporting the U.S. graphite industry and promoting energy independence. This decision, part of a broader investigation into China’s graphite exports, is expected to bolster NOVONIX’s operations, particularly with its plans to expand production capacity in Chattanooga, Tennessee, positioning the company as a significant player in the North American battery materials market.

NOVONIX Ltd Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
May 12, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd has announced the quotation of 29,763 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code NVX, effective May 13, 2025. This move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its financial position and expand its market presence, potentially impacting its operations and stakeholder interests positively.

NOVONIX Ltd Issues Performance Rights to Boost Employee Engagement
May 2, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd has announced the issuance of 3,635,728 performance rights as part of an employee incentive scheme. This move is aimed at aligning the interests of employees with the company’s strategic goals, potentially enhancing productivity and commitment. The issuance of these unquoted securities reflects NOVONIX’s efforts to strengthen its workforce and maintain a competitive edge in the rapidly evolving battery technology market.

NOVONIX Ltd Advances Battery Material Operations and Strengthens Financial Position
Apr 30, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd has made significant strides in its operations, including progressing equipment installation at its Riverside facility to support supply agreements and securing a preliminary ITC trade case ruling for US graphite producers. The company has also entered an exclusive license agreement for graphitization furnaces and received approval for land purchase for a new manufacturing plant. Additionally, NOVONIX has completed a share purchase plan, received substantial reimbursements on the MESC grant, and maintained a strong cash balance, indicating robust financial health and strategic growth initiatives.

NOVONIX Expands Operations with New Facility in Chattanooga
Apr 29, 2025

NOVONIX Limited has finalized a definitive agreement to purchase a 182-acre parcel in the Enterprise South Industrial Park in Chattanooga, Tennessee, for approximately US$5 million. This site will host NOVONIX’s second facility for high-performance synthetic graphite, expected to create 450 to 500 full-time jobs and increase the company’s total production capacity in Chattanooga to over 50,000 tonnes per annum. The acquisition is part of NOVONIX’s expansion strategy, supported by local government endorsements and contingent on a US$754 million loan from the U.S. Department of Energy. Additionally, NOVONIX is enhancing its collaboration with local educational institutions to provide career-focused learning opportunities in the battery industry.

NOVONIX Ltd Announces Director’s Acquisition of Share Rights
Apr 29, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Anthony Bellas acquiring 120,594 share rights, valued at approximately $53,664. This change reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to align its leadership’s interests with its strategic goals, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

NOVONIX Ltd Announces Director’s Acquisition of Share Rights
Apr 29, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd announced a change in the director’s interest, with Jean Oelwang acquiring 120,594 share rights, valued at approximately $53,664 based on the closing share price on April 28, 2025. This change reflects a strategic move in the company’s governance, potentially impacting its market positioning and signaling confidence in its future prospects.

NOVONIX Director’s Interest Notice Update
Apr 29, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd has announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically regarding Sharan Burrow. The director has acquired 120,594 share rights, valued at approximately $53,664 based on the closing share price on April 28, 2025. This change reflects an increase in the director’s holdings, which may impact the company’s governance and stakeholder confidence.

NOVONIX Ltd Announces Director’s Share Rights Acquisition
Apr 29, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd has announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically regarding Ron Edmonds, who has acquired 241,188 share rights. This change reflects an estimated value of $107,329 based on the closing share price on April 28, 2025. The update could potentially impact the company’s governance and investor perception, as it indicates confidence in the company’s future performance and strategic direction.

NOVONIX Ltd Announces Director’s Share Rights Acquisition
Apr 29, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd announced a change in the director’s interest, with Robert Natter acquiring 120,594 share rights directly, valued at approximately $53,664. This change reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning its leadership’s interests with its strategic goals, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

NOVONIX Ltd Issues Over One Million Unquoted Share Rights
Apr 28, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd announced the issuance of 1,008,567 unquoted share rights, marking a strategic move to bolster its equity base. This development is significant for the company’s financial structuring and could enhance its market positioning by potentially attracting more investors and stakeholders interested in the growing battery materials sector.

NOVONIX Appoints Michael O’Kronley as New CEO to Drive Growth
Apr 28, 2025

NOVONIX Limited has announced the appointment of Michael O’Kronley as its new Chief Executive Officer, effective May 19, 2025. Mr. O’Kronley, who brings over 30 years of experience in the automotive and lithium-ion battery sectors, is expected to lead the company into its next growth phase, focusing on onshoring the graphite supply chain in North America. His appointment follows the interim leadership of Mr. Robert Long, who will return to his role as Chief Financial Officer. This leadership change is seen as a strategic move to strengthen NOVONIX’s position in the battery technology industry and enhance its operational capabilities.

NOVONIX Ltd Issues Performance Rights to Boost Employee Incentives
Apr 23, 2025

NOVONIX Ltd has announced the issuance of 7,758,413 unquoted performance rights as part of its employee incentive scheme. This move is indicative of the company’s strategy to align employee interests with corporate goals, potentially enhancing productivity and commitment. The issuance of these securities reflects NOVONIX’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its operational framework and maintain a competitive edge in the rapidly evolving battery technology industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025