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Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd (AU:MCE)
ASX:MCE

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd (MCE) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:MCE

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd

(Sydney:MCE)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.25
▼(-0.40% Downside)
Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd has a low overall stock score due to significant financial challenges, including declining revenue and high leverage. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend with potential for a reversal, while valuation metrics are unattractive due to negative profitability. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events further limits positive catalysts for the stock.
Positive Factors
Niche expertise in advanced composites
MCE's specialization in advanced composites for oil & gas, defense and aerospace creates durable competitive advantages: deep technical know-how, engineering capabilities and certification pathways that raise barriers to entry and support repeat contracts across long lead-time, high-spec projects.
Diversified revenue streams and partnerships
Multiple revenue streams—product sales, bespoke engineering services, maintenance/support and strategic collaborations—reduce concentration risk and provide steadier order visibility. Long-term partnerships with major clients support recurring work and backlog resilience through industry cycles.
Positive gross profit margin
A positive gross margin indicates product-level economics that cover direct manufacturing costs, creating a foundation for margin recovery if overheads are managed. This durability supports potential cash conversion improvements as volumes or pricing recover over several quarters.
Negative Factors
Significant top-line decline
Steep revenue decline undermines operational leverage and makes fixed-cost absorption harder, pressuring margins and profitability. Persistent top-line contraction reduces pricing power and threatens long-term customer retention and investment in product development if not reversed within several quarters.
High financial leverage
A debt-to-equity of 1.26 signals material leverage that increases financing costs and refinancing risk. In capital-intensive, cyclical markets, high leverage constrains flexibility for bid participation, capex or R&D and elevates vulnerability to revenue shocks or interest-rate moves over the medium term.
Weak cash generation
Negative operating cash flow and deteriorating free cash flow limit the company's ability to service debt, fund working capital, invest in R&D or absorb project timing mismatches. Sustained weak cash generation raises liquidity and solvency risk across a 2–6 month horizon without corrective action.

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd (MCE) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMatrix Composites & Engineering Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells composite and material technology solutions to the oil and gas, civil and infrastructure, resources, defense, and transportation industries in Australia and internationally. It offers autonomous underwater vehicles/unmanned underwater vehicles buoyancy, distributed buoyancy module systems, drill riser buoyancy systems, matrix longitudinal groove system (LGS) riser buoyancy system, and Matrix LGS surf systems, as well as Matrix MarineShield, a wraparound corrosion protection system for the preservation of pipelines, risers, piles, and other critical field infrastructure. The company also provides well construction and completion products, such as matrix conductor centralizers for fixed platform wells; matrix riser sealing mandrel to enhance the safety of completion and workover operations on board floating drilling units and workover vessels; and Max R low friction centralizers for well and drilling completions. In addition, it offers VIV suppression equipment for rigid pipelines. Further, the company distributes coatings, including Humiclean, an environmentally friendly, biodegradable, non-toxic, and non-VOC cleaning agent; Humidur Char, a passive fire protection product; Humidur FP, a solvent free epoxy coating; and Humidur TC, a solvent-free epoxy siloxane hybrid top coating. Additionally, it provides Matrix Fibrenetic, a rapid installation and lightweight carbon fiber repair system to remediate corroded structures; Matrix Rotolining, an internal lining system; Kinetica dropped object protection cells for protecting critical equipment and work site areas from dropped objects; Kinetic syntactic foam; and provision of inspection, maintenance, and repair services. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Henderson, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyMCE generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of its composite products and engineering services. The company engages in contracts with major clients in the oil and gas sector, providing bespoke solutions and products tailored to specific project requirements. Additionally, MCE benefits from long-term partnerships with key industry players, which contribute to a steady flow of orders. The company also invests in research and development to innovate new products, ensuring a competitive edge in the market. Revenue is further bolstered by maintenance and support services for its products, along with strategic collaborations that enhance its market reach and operational capabilities.

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd faces significant financial challenges. The income statement shows declining revenue and profitability, the balance sheet indicates high leverage and financial instability, and the cash flow statement reveals cash generation issues. The company needs to address these areas to improve its financial health and stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd has experienced a significant decline in revenue, with a negative revenue growth rate of -23.49% in the latest period. The company also shows negative net profit and EBIT margins, indicating operational challenges. However, the gross profit margin remains positive, suggesting some ability to cover direct costs.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.26, indicating significant leverage. The negative return on equity highlights profitability issues, while the equity ratio suggests a moderate level of equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial instability and potential risk due to high leverage.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
The cash flow statement shows negative free cash flow growth and a negative operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating cash flow challenges. Despite a high free cash flow to net income ratio, the overall cash flow position is weak, reflecting difficulties in generating sufficient cash from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue74.77M74.77M85.04M47.20M28.63M17.62M
Gross Profit10.77M10.77M17.53M3.99M1.20M-3.56M
EBITDA3.67M3.67M11.77M14.64M-42.00K-21.18M
Net Income-2.22M-2.22M3.65M8.68M-4.78M-27.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets80.78M80.78M95.15M79.89M33.22M36.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.34M18.34M23.32M20.02M7.59M7.16M
Total Debt37.06M37.06M39.39M35.48M27.26M27.72M
Total Liabilities51.45M51.45M64.14M53.12M34.52M39.36M
Stockholders Equity29.32M29.32M31.02M26.77M-1.30M-2.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.27M-5.27M6.54M-13.23M-5.66M-7.04M
Operating Cash Flow-416.00K-416.00K10.88M-10.68M-4.11M-3.91M
Investing Cash Flow-5.14M-5.14M2.99M-9.99M-1.45M-3.13M
Financing Cash Flow-50.00K-50.00K-3.10M25.63M5.99M-475.00K

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.25
Price Trends
50DMA
0.24
Positive
100DMA
0.24
Positive
200DMA
0.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
49.30
Neutral
STOCH
2.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MCE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.25, above the 50-day MA of 0.24, and above the 200-day MA of 0.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:MCE.

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
AU$27.95M22.553.66%-9.21%-42.37%
65
Neutral
AU$63.89M16.2817.38%0.49%-8.28%89.71%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
45
Neutral
€55.05M-24.95-7.05%-12.07%-160.00%
44
Neutral
AU$10.39M-1.36-90.66%-6.10%12.50%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MCE
Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd
0.25
>-0.01
-1.20%
AU:EVZ
EVZ Limited
0.23
0.06
31.43%
AU:VBC
Verbrec Ltd
0.22
0.09
71.88%
AU:SOP
Synertec Corporation Limited
0.02
-0.03
-60.00%

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd Corporate Events

Matrix Composites & Engineering Grants Performance Rights and Options to Director
Dec 18, 2025

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd has disclosed a change in director Brendan Cocks’ interests, with the grant of 1,519,680 performance rights and 563,948 options at no cash consideration. The new securities, comprising FY24 and FY25 performance rights and FY24 options, were issued as part of the company’s incentive arrangements and did not involve any on-market trading, signalling ongoing alignment of executive remuneration with company performance and shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MCE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.22 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd stock, see the AU:MCE Stock Forecast page.

Matrix Composites & Engineering Grants New Performance Rights and Options to Director
Dec 18, 2025

Matrix Composites & Engineering has disclosed a change in the securities held by director Aaron Begley, who has been issued 2,237,648 performance rights and 827,123 options at no consideration. The new securities, comprising FY24 and FY25 performance rights and FY24 options, represent equity-based incentives that further align the director’s interests with shareholder value and signal the company’s continued use of performance-linked remuneration for its leadership team.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MCE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.22 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd stock, see the AU:MCE Stock Forecast page.

Matrix Composites & Engineering Issues New Performance Rights and Options Under Incentive Plan
Dec 18, 2025

Matrix Composites & Engineering has notified the market of the issue of 5,985,958 unquoted performance rights and 1,391,071 unquoted options (expiring December 2030 with an exercise price of $0.434) under its employee incentive arrangements. The move expands the company’s pool of equity‑based rewards for staff and executives, reinforcing the use of long‑term incentives to align employees’ interests with shareholders and potentially impacting future dilution and capital structure if these securities vest or are exercised.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MCE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.22 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd stock, see the AU:MCE Stock Forecast page.

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd Announces Cessation of Convertible Notes
Dec 8, 2025

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd announced the cessation of 7,485,000 convertible notes due to repayment or redemption without conversion. This move reflects the company’s ongoing financial management strategy and may impact its capital structure, potentially affecting stakeholders and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MCE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.22 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd stock, see the AU:MCE Stock Forecast page.

Matrix Completes Debt Refinancing with Convertible Note Redemption
Dec 7, 2025

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd has redeemed its $7.5 million Convertible Note, originally issued to Collins Street Asset Management Pty Ltd, by utilizing a new term loan from National Australia Bank. This strategic move is part of Matrix’s broader debt refinancing initiative, resulting in a simplified debt structure that supports future business opportunities without impacting the company’s net debt position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MCE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.22 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd stock, see the AU:MCE Stock Forecast page.

Matrix Composites & Engineering Faces First Strike on Remuneration Report at AGM
Nov 25, 2025

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd held its Annual General Meeting, where the adoption of the Remuneration Report faced a first strike as over 25% of votes were against it. Despite this, other resolutions, including the re-election of a director and the issuance of options and performance rights to executives, were carried. However, the proposal for an additional 10% placement capacity was not approved. The company plans to engage with shareholders to address their concerns regarding the remuneration report.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MCE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd stock, see the AU:MCE Stock Forecast page.

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd Issues Investor Presentation with Key Disclaimers
Nov 25, 2025

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd has released an investor presentation, emphasizing the importance of understanding the risks and limitations associated with their financial disclosures. The presentation highlights that the information provided is a summary and should be considered alongside the company’s full-year accounts and other official disclosures. It also underscores that the presentation is not an offer of securities or investment advice, and investors should independently assess the company’s prospects, considering potential risks such as market conditions, currency fluctuations, and regulatory changes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MCE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd stock, see the AU:MCE Stock Forecast page.

Matrix Composites & Engineering Reports Resilient 2025 Performance Amid Market Challenges
Nov 25, 2025

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd reported strong operational resilience in 2025, with significant growth in its Subsea Umbilicals, Risers, and Flowlines (SURF) business, despite a decline in drilling market conditions. The company achieved its second-highest revenue since 2016, although it faced a net loss due to reduced drilling activity. Matrix is well-positioned for future growth with a strong cash reserve and strategic focus on diversifying revenue streams through advanced materials and opportunities in the defense sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MCE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd stock, see the AU:MCE Stock Forecast page.

Matrix Composites & Engineering to Webcast 2025 AGM for Enhanced Shareholder Engagement
Nov 21, 2025

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd announced that it will webcast its 2025 Annual General Meeting, allowing shareholders to view the proceedings and submit questions online. This initiative aims to enhance shareholder engagement and ensure accessibility for those unable to attend in person, although it does not replace the physical AGM or allow for online voting.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MCE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd stock, see the AU:MCE Stock Forecast page.

Matrix Composites & Engineering Secures New Refinancing Agreement with NAB
Nov 6, 2025

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd has secured a new facility agreement with National Australia Bank to refinance and expand its existing debt facilities. This includes a $7.5 million term loan, a $5 million Trade Finance facility, and a $20 million Bank Guarantee facility, enhancing the company’s financial flexibility and capacity to support its growth pipeline. The new agreement reflects confidence in Matrix’s future, offering improved liquidity and reduced costs, positioning the company to capitalize on upcoming opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MCE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd stock, see the AU:MCE Stock Forecast page.

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd Announces 2025 AGM
Oct 23, 2025

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd has announced its upcoming Annual General Meeting (AGM), scheduled for November 25, 2025, in Henderson, Western Australia. The meeting will address important resolutions affecting shareholders, emphasizing the significance of voting either in person or by proxy. This event is crucial for stakeholders as it will influence the company’s strategic direction and governance, impacting its market positioning and shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MCE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd stock, see the AU:MCE Stock Forecast page.

Matrix Composites & Engineering Issues New Employee Incentive Securities
Oct 15, 2025

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd announced the issuance of unquoted securities under an employee incentive scheme, totaling 926,953 performance rights and 526,316 options expiring in 2030. This move is intended to enhance employee engagement and align their interests with the company’s long-term goals, potentially impacting the company’s operational dynamics and market positioning by incentivizing performance and retention.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MCE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd stock, see the AU:MCE Stock Forecast page.

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd Releases 2025 Annual Report
Oct 15, 2025

Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd is a company involved in providing engineering solutions, likely focusing on composite materials and related technologies. The annual report for 2025 outlines the company’s corporate structure and key personnel, including the Chairman, CEO, and CFO. The release does not provide specific insights into the company’s operations, industry positioning, or implications for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MCE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd stock, see the AU:MCE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 28, 2025