Lycopodium Limited (LYL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$465.53M
• Dividend Yield: 1.69%
• Average Volume (3M): 34.09K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 10.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.90
• Revenue Growth: -1.31%
• EPS Growth: -18.79%
• Country: AU
• Employees: 1,300
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 89
• Industry: Engineering & Construction
• EPS (TTM): 0.64
• Shares Outstanding: 39,740,227
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 39,834
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 34,086
• PEG Ratio: -1.02
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.45
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 11.95
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: AU$11.99
• Price Target Upside: 3.79% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 77 Outperform
• Price Target: AU$12.50 ▲(8.23%Upside)

Lycopodium Limited scores well due to its strong financial health, characterized by robust income growth, efficient cash flow management, and low leverage. The valuation is attractive with a low P/E ratio and a solid dividend yield. Technical analysis presents mixed signals, warranting caution in the short term. The absence of recent earnings call data and notable corporate events slightly limits the overall analysis.

Lycopodium Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Lycopodium Limited (LYL) is an Australian engineering and project management consultancy firm that specializes in the delivery of complex projects across various sectors. The company operates primarily in the mining, mineral processing, and infrastructure industries, providing a comprehensive range of services including feasibility studies, engineering design, project management, and construction management. With a reputation for delivering innovative and cost-effective solutions, Lycopodium serves a diverse client base globally, encompassing both large multinational corporations and smaller enterprises.

How the Company Makes Money

Lycopodium Limited generates revenue through a variety of service offerings primarily focused on engineering and project management. The company's main revenue streams include fees for conducting feasibility studies, providing engineering design services, and managing large-scale construction and infrastructure projects. Lycopodium often enters into contractual agreements with clients in the resources sector, which form the basis for its project engagements. Additionally, the company benefits from long-term partnerships and alliances with key industry players, which can lead to repeat business and steady income. By leveraging its expertise in the mining and infrastructure sectors, Lycopodium capitalizes on the demand for efficient project delivery and consultancy services, contributing significantly to its earnings.

Lycopodium Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Lycopodium Limited displays strong financial performance with robust income growth, efficient cost management, and a solid balance sheet. The company has a strong capacity to generate free cash flow and maintains low leverage, enhancing its financial stability and positioning it well for future opportunities.

Income Statement

Lycopodium Limited's income statement reflects a robust financial performance with strong profit margins and consistent growth. The gross profit margin is impressive, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin is healthy, complemented by a positive revenue growth rate, showcasing consistent business expansion. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, underscoring the company's operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Lycopodium Limited demonstrates a strong equity position with a favorable debt-to-equity ratio, indicating low leverage risk. The return on equity is commendable, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio shows a solid foundation of equity financing, enhancing financial stability. However, there is room for improvement in asset utilization efficiency.

Cash Flow

Lycopodium Limited's cash flow statement reveals a strong capacity to generate free cash flow, which is a positive indicator of financial health. The operating cash flow to net income ratio highlights effective cash conversion from earnings. Additionally, there is a notable growth in free cash flow, signifying improved cash management. However, fluctuations in financing cash flow suggest potential volatility in financial activities.

Breakdown	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021	Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	344.55M	323.88M	228.71M	158.06M	206.66M
Gross Profit	312.49M	80.35M	42.38M	42.99M	24.34M
EBITDA	74.55M	70.48M	45.64M	25.95M	24.19M
Net Income	50.71M	46.78M	27.18M	14.20M	11.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	217.04M	219.83M	224.12M	169.66M	156.66M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	68.19M	82.41M	100.95M	76.84M	102.89M
Total Debt	12.62M	15.70M	16.65M	17.90M	3.66M
Total Liabilities	89.60M	106.87M	124.45M	81.99M	78.82M
Stockholders Equity	128.06M	114.64M	100.50M	88.38M	78.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	26.76M	15.38M	37.72M	-15.82M	62.26M
Operating Cash Flow	27.84M	19.79M	41.68M	-12.91M	63.12M
Investing Cash Flow	1.26M	-4.45M	655.17K	-2.61M	-867.22K
Financing Cash Flow	-40.38M	-34.05M	-18.51M	-11.74M	-18.20M

Lycopodium Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 11.55
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:LYL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.78, above the 50-day MA of 10.77, and above the 200-day MA of 10.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.96 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:LYL.

Lycopodium Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
GNG	84 Outperform	AU$579.04M	14.88	58.99%	5.78%	25.12%	31.13%
LYL	77 Outperform	AU$465.53M	10.00	36.14%	1.69%	-1.31%	-18.79%
DUR	74 Outperform	AU$408.87M	18.20	37.07%	2.16%	-1.02%	-7.39%
ACF	68 Neutral	AU$303.38M	13.13	16.85%	5.89%	28.56%	-19.61%
GNP	67 Neutral	AU$785.61M	32.44	19.31%	0.58%	35.02%	48.51%
SXE	66 Neutral	AU$462.72M	16.22	15.15%	2.86%	49.23%	41.42%
Sector *	59 Neutral	AU$1.64B	9.71	11.24%	3.49%	6.75%	3.18%

Lycopodium Limited Corporate Events

Lycopodium Director Reduces Shareholding in Off-Market Sale

Lycopodium Limited has announced a change in the interests of its director, Bruno Ruggiero, involving the off-market sale of 650,000 fully paid ordinary shares valued at $6,750,705. This transaction reduces Ruggiero’s holdings to 1,000,520 fully paid ordinary shares and 52,047 Class A Performance Rights. The change in director’s interest does not appear to have occurred during a closed period, suggesting compliance with trading regulations.

Lycopodium Limited Appoints New Non-Executive Director

Lycopodium Limited has announced the appointment of Rob Radici as a Non-Executive Director, effective May 20, 2025. With 30 years of experience in major projects across various sectors, Mr. Radici’s expertise in commercial and contractual project delivery is expected to enhance the board’s capabilities, potentially strengthening Lycopodium’s industry positioning and stakeholder confidence.

Lycopodium Secures EPCM Contract for Twin Hills Gold Project in Namibia

Lycopodium Limited has been awarded a significant EPCM contract for the Twin Hills Gold Project in Namibia, valued at approximately A$40 million. This project, which is set to commence immediately with first gold production anticipated in Q1 2027, involves the development of a 5 Mtpa Carbon-in-Leach processing plant. The contract further solidifies Lycopodium’s presence in the region, leveraging their extensive expertise in gold mine development, and is expected to support future earnings.