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Orbital Corporation Limited (AU:OEC)
ASX:OEC

Orbital Corporation Limited (OEC) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:OEC

Orbital Corporation Limited

(Sydney:OEC)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.15
▼(-12.94% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/25/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, margin compression, losses, and negative operating/free cash flow). Technicals are a relative positive with a strong move above key shorter-term moving averages and positive MACD, but valuation remains challenged due to negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Moderate Leverage
A debt-to-equity of 0.35 indicates conservative leverage versus many industrial peers. This reduces interest burden and preserves borrowing capacity, giving management durable financial flexibility to fund product development or bridge cash shortfalls without excessive refinancing risk over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue and Margin Compression
Sustained top-line decline and a halving of gross margin over several years point to either weakening pricing power or rising cost base. That combination undermines fundamental profitability, reduces cash generation capacity, and signals structural competitiveness or execution problems that will be hard to reverse quickly.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Moderate Leverage
A debt-to-equity of 0.35 indicates conservative leverage versus many industrial peers. This reduces interest burden and preserves borrowing capacity, giving management durable financial flexibility to fund product development or bridge cash shortfalls without excessive refinancing risk over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Orbital Corporation Limited (OEC) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Orbital Corporation Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Orbital Corporation Limited provides integrated propulsion systems and flight critical components for tactical uncrewed aerial vehicles in Australia and the United States. It also provides modular propulsion solution, design and development, machi...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Orbital Corporation Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: declining revenue (-7.37%), sharply lower gross margin (55.27% in 2020 to 29.47% in 2025), and negative net/EBIT/EBITDA margins. Cash flow is also pressured with negative operating and free cash flow, partially offset by moderate leverage (debt-to-equity 0.35) and a reasonable equity ratio (49.17%).
Income Statement
35
Negative
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.57M8.23M12.57M16.78M15.72M31.20M
Gross Profit-1.78M2.42M-2.27M7.98M5.32M14.82M
EBITDA-5.07M-2.62M1.65M1.56M-5.13M-7.67M
Net Income-3.80M-4.30M67.00K20.00K-11.13M-11.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.99M17.42M22.23M19.94M22.61M29.79M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.98M1.54M5.53M3.04M2.95M3.70M
Total Debt4.13M2.98M6.07M6.06M9.25M11.81M
Total Liabilities7.14M8.85M11.40M13.00M20.41M22.44M
Stockholders Equity9.85M8.57M10.83M6.94M2.20M7.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-21.50K-5.67M-1.19M-3.78M-4.60M-2.42M
Operating Cash Flow112.00K-2.69M-34.00K-3.49M-4.09M-1.69M
Investing Cash Flow-1.50M-2.51M-790.00K-372.00K-2.20M-2.12M
Financing Cash Flow2.22M1.49M3.30M3.89M5.39M-1.07M

Orbital Corporation Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.17
Price Trends
50DMA
0.13
Positive
100DMA
0.14
Positive
200DMA
0.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
53.98
Neutral
STOCH
44.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:OEC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.14, above the 50-day MA of 0.13, and above the 200-day MA of 0.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:OEC.

Orbital Corporation Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
AU$1.74B92.357.19%-72.88%
57
Neutral
AU$16.35M3.8513.83%-6.52%-20.79%
56
Neutral
AU$17.46M7.144.83%4.32%-15.54%-26.61%
54
Neutral
AU$84.38M-1.38-34.30%1.28%-14.88%-56.89%
47
Neutral
AU$26.86M-4.07-41.28%-34.48%-26000.00%
41
Neutral
AU$11.10M-1.3292.42%-0.52%-38.84%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:OEC
Orbital Corporation Limited
0.15
0.07
78.57%
AU:EOS
Electro Optic Systems Holdings Limited
9.00
7.92
729.49%
AU:EMB
Embelton Limited
8.09
0.05
0.61%
AU:SSH
SSH Group Ltd.
0.15
<0.01
3.45%
AU:AEI
Aeris Environmental Ltd
0.05
>-0.01
-15.09%
AU:VEE
Veem Ltd
0.58
-0.26
-30.72%

Orbital Corporation Limited Corporate Events

Orbital UAV expands global defence drone footprint with new engine, diagnostics order and NATO-aligned MoU
Mar 23, 2026
Orbital UAV has announced a trio of moves that deepen its role in the global unmanned systems market, spanning heavy-lift logistics drones and tactical military platforms. The company continues to pursue a strategy of pairing engine supply with di...
Orbital posts deeper half-year loss despite modest revenue growth
Feb 26, 2026
Orbital Corporation Limited reported half-year revenue from continuing operations of A$4.89 million for the period ended 31 December 2025, a modest 2% increase on the prior corresponding period. However, the company swung to a net loss after tax o...
Orbital UAV Wins Initial Engine Upgrade Deal for Textron Military Drone Fleet
Feb 23, 2026
Orbital UAV has secured an initial order worth about A$475,000 from Textron Systems to supply 25 power upgrade kits for the Textron Aerosonde 4.7 unmanned aerial vehicles currently deployed with the U.S. military. The kits, based on Orbital&#8217;...
Orbital UAV Improves Cash Position and Ramps Up Production of New 350cc UAV Engine
Jan 29, 2026
Orbital UAV reported a materially improved cash performance for the quarter to 31 December 2025, with operating cash inflow of $0.5 million and a modest net cash outflow of $0.2 million, ending the period with $3.5 million in cash, an undrawn $2 m...
Orbital UAV Sets February 2026 Expiry for 17.5 Million Listed Options
Jan 8, 2026
Orbital Corporation has notified the market that 17.5 million quoted options (ASX: OECO), each exercisable at A$0.35, will expire at 5:00pm WST on 7 February 2026, with official quotation of these options on the ASX ceasing on 2 February 2026. If ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 25, 2026