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Metro Mining Limited (AU:MMI)
ASX:MMI

Metro Mining Limited (MMI) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:MMI

Metro Mining Limited

(Sydney:MMI)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.07
▼(-1.43% Downside)
Metro Mining Limited's overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth and an attractive valuation due to a low P/E ratio. However, significant financial risks from high leverage and persistent unprofitability, coupled with weak technical indicators, weigh down the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for bauxite and effective market penetration, supporting long-term sales momentum.
Long-term Off-take Agreements
These agreements provide revenue stability and reduce market volatility risk, supporting consistent cash flow and planning.
Cash Flow Improvements
Improved operating cash flow indicates better cash generation from operations, enhancing financial flexibility and sustainability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage downturns.
Persistent Unprofitability
Ongoing unprofitability challenges the company's ability to reinvest in operations and may hinder long-term growth prospects.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow suggests difficulties in funding growth initiatives and covering financial obligations, impacting future stability.

Metro Mining Limited (MMI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Metro Mining Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMetro Mining Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an exploration and mining company in Australia and China. The company explores for coal and bauxite ores. Its flagship project is the Bauxite Hills Mine property covering an area of approximately 1,900 square kilometers located to the north of Weipa on Western Cape York. The company was formerly known as MetroCoal Limited and changed its name to Metro Mining Limited in December 2014. Metro Mining Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyMetro Mining generates revenue primarily through the sale of bauxite ore to international customers, particularly in the aluminum industry. The company's revenue model is based on long-term contracts and spot sales, allowing it to capitalize on fluctuating market prices. Key revenue streams include direct sales to aluminum producers and traders, with a focus on delivering consistent and high-grade bauxite. Additionally, Metro Mining may benefit from strategic partnerships with industry players for logistics, marketing, and distribution, enhancing its market reach and operational efficiency. Factors contributing to its earnings include global aluminum demand, shipping logistics, and competitive pricing strategies.

Metro Mining Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Metro Mining Limited shows strong revenue growth of 64.8% but faces challenges with consistent unprofitability and high leverage. Improvements in operating cash flow are positive, but negative free cash flow indicates issues with capital management. Despite growth, financial stability risks due to profitability and leverage concerns remain.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Metro Mining Limited's revenue growth is positive, with a 64.8% increase from 2023 to 2024, indicating strong sales momentum. However, the company has been consistently unprofitable, with negative net income for the past several years. The gross profit margin improved to 10.2% in 2024, but the net profit margin remains negative. Overall, the income statement reflects growth but with ongoing profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has significantly increased to 2.71 in 2024, suggesting high leverage and potential financial risk. Despite this, equity has improved, reflecting better asset management or capital infusion. The equity ratio is relatively low at 16.7%, indicating a high reliance on debt. The balance sheet shows some improvement in equity but remains highly leveraged, posing a risk to financial stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow showed improvement, increasing significantly from 2023 to 2024. However, free cash flow remains negative, indicating challenges in generating cash after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to earnings. Cash flow performance shows improvements in operations but challenges in covering capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue370.94M307.34M235.84M177.90M160.14M128.25M
Gross Profit72.63M35.46M12.95M-31.53M-30.14M-2.72M
EBITDA65.31M19.89M19.45M-25.07M-79.54M1.00M
Net Income134.81M-22.00M-13.48M-50.12M-105.50M-11.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets357.34M243.21M169.00M129.53M152.27M202.01M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.70M36.57M12.15M12.02M13.88M25.45M
Total Debt108.26M110.10M101.14M59.61M67.36M58.40M
Total Liabilities194.40M202.60M159.04M110.59M110.27M79.09M
Stockholders Equity162.94M40.60M9.95M18.94M41.99M122.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow50.09M-37.00K-142.00K-11.22M-25.90M-8.51M
Operating Cash Flow62.33M29.34M12.32M-1.19M-22.38M-5.88M
Investing Cash Flow-23.41M-59.47M-36.31M-6.69M-3.67M4.39M
Financing Cash Flow-18.78M53.96M27.96M7.62M9.16M-4.80M

Metro Mining Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.07
Price Trends
50DMA
0.07
Negative
100DMA
0.08
Negative
200DMA
0.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
45.13
Neutral
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MMI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.07, below the 50-day MA of 0.07, and above the 200-day MA of 0.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:MMI.

Metro Mining Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
AU$899.69M6.5133.38%45.73%716.15%
77
Outperform
AU$520.67M12.997.01%5.66%16.86%3.03%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
AU$427.76M3.17145.87%45.56%
48
Neutral
AU$461.92M-24.24-7.50%51.47%
44
Neutral
AU$391.48M-24.71-179.67%-100.00%-6.00%
26
Underperform
AU$350.56M-12.32-45.39%-91.89%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MMI
Metro Mining Limited
0.07
0.01
16.67%
AU:JMS
Jupiter Mines Limited
0.27
0.14
109.30%
AU:MLX
Metals X Limited
1.02
0.61
148.78%
AU:MAU
Magnetic Resources NL
1.32
0.20
17.86%
AU:LOT
Lotus Resources Limited
0.17
>-0.01
-5.56%
AU:CAY
Canyon Resources Limited
0.18
0.02
12.50%

Metro Mining Limited Corporate Events

Metro Mining Limited Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Dec 4, 2025

Metro Mining Limited announced the cessation of 10,300,583 performance rights due to the lapse of conditional rights, as the conditions were not met. This cessation could impact the company’s capital structure and may influence stakeholder perceptions regarding the company’s operational performance and future prospects.

Metro Mining Limited Issues Performance Rights to Employees
Dec 4, 2025

Metro Mining Limited has announced the issuance of 32,258,178 performance rights as part of an employee incentive scheme. This move is likely aimed at motivating and retaining employees, potentially impacting the company’s operational efficiency and aligning employee interests with shareholder value.

Metro Mining Achieves Record Bauxite Shipments in November 2025
Dec 3, 2025

Metro Mining Limited announced a successful operational update for November 2025, with 783 thousand Wet Metric Tonnes (WMT) of bauxite shipped, marking a 6.5% increase from the previous month. Despite challenges from Tropical Cyclone Fina and maintenance activities, the company remains on track to meet its annual guidance of 6.2 to 6.6 million WMT. This operational success, including a record capesize vessel loading, underscores Metro Mining’s robust performance and its strategic positioning in the bauxite industry.

Pinnacle Investment Management Ceases Substantial Holding in Metro Mining
Nov 20, 2025

Metro Mining Limited has announced that Pinnacle Investment Management Group Limited and its subsidiaries have ceased to be substantial holders in the company as of November 17, 2025. This change in substantial holding could impact Metro Mining’s shareholder structure and influence, potentially affecting its market strategy and stakeholder interests.

Metro Mining Maintains Shipment Targets Despite October Setback
Nov 6, 2025

Metro Mining Limited reported that its Bauxite Hills Operation shipped 735 thousand Wet Metric Tonnes (WMT) of bauxite in October 2025, which is 5.5% lower than the previous month. The year-to-date shipments total 4.84 million WMT, and the company remains on track to meet its guidance of 6.2 to 6.6 million WMT for the calendar year 2025. The operations faced a temporary setback due to a barge loading facility failure, but it was quickly repaired, minimizing impact on output. The announcement underscores Metro Mining’s operational resilience and its strategic positioning in the bauxite industry, despite minor disruptions.

Metro Mining Limited Releases Investor Update on Operations and Outlook
Oct 26, 2025

Metro Mining Limited has released an investor update that highlights the company’s ongoing operations and future expectations. The update emphasizes the company’s focus on maintaining accurate and current information about its resources and reserves, while also acknowledging the potential risks and uncertainties that could impact its financial performance and operational outcomes.

Metro Mining Director Increases Shareholding
Oct 24, 2025

Metro Mining Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Paul Thomas Lucas acquiring 150,000 ordinary shares through an on-market trade, increasing his total holdings to 1,087,561 shares. This acquisition reflects a strategic move by the director, potentially indicating confidence in the company’s future prospects and stability, which could positively influence stakeholder perception.

Metro Mining Director Increases Stake with On-Market Purchase
Oct 24, 2025

Metro Mining Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Director Douglas Ritchie acquiring 250,000 additional ordinary shares through an on-market purchase. This acquisition increases Ritchie’s indirect holding via Pleiades Partners Pty Ltd, reflecting confidence in the company’s prospects and potentially impacting investor perceptions positively.

Metro Mining to Host Shareholder Webinar on Bauxite Hills Operations
Oct 16, 2025

Metro Mining Limited announced an upcoming webinar for shareholders, where CEO Simon Wensley will discuss the operational activities at the Bauxite Hills Mine over the past quarter. This initiative reflects Metro Mining’s commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement, potentially strengthening its market position and fostering investor confidence.

Metro Mining Achieves Record Bauxite Shipments Amidst Market Growth
Oct 15, 2025

Metro Mining Limited reported a record quarterly shipment of 2.25 million wet metric tonnes (WMT) of bauxite, marking a 6% year-on-year increase and a 33% rise from the previous quarter. Despite facing logistical challenges and an unplanned outage, the company has revised its 2025 production forecast to between 6.2 and 6.6 million WMT. The bauxite market remains robust, with strong demand from China, although supply has moderated. Metro’s operational improvements and cost reductions have resulted in a healthy site EBITDA margin, and the company has been granted Project of Regional Significance status, allowing for future expansion.

Metro Mining Achieves Record Bauxite Shipments in Q3 2025
Oct 3, 2025

Metro Mining Limited announced a record shipment of 779 thousand Wet Metric Tonnes (WMT) from its Bauxite Hills Operation in September 2025, marking a 3.5% increase from the previous month. The company achieved record shipments for the third quarter, totaling 2.3 million WMT, and year-to-date shipments of 4.1 million WMT. The company focused on improving barge cycle productivity, setting new records for daily, 3-day, and 7-day average shipments. A planned 36-hour shutdown was executed for upgrading materials handling chutes, and dozer availability briefly impacted mine production. Pricing outcomes for the fourth quarter are being finalized, with updates expected in the upcoming quarterly review.

Metro Mining Limited Issues New Securities Under Employee Incentive Scheme
Sep 22, 2025

Metro Mining Limited has announced the issuance of 2,681,250 ordinary fully paid securities, which will be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange. This move is part of an employee incentive scheme, indicating the company’s efforts to motivate and retain its workforce. The issuance of these securities may enhance Metro Mining’s operational capabilities and strengthen its market position by aligning employee interests with company performance.

Metro Mining Director Increases Shareholding
Sep 18, 2025

Metro Mining Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Director Paul Thomas Lucas acquiring 120,000 ordinary shares through an on-market trade. This acquisition increases his total holdings to 937,561 ordinary shares, reflecting a strategic move that may indicate confidence in the company’s future prospects and stability, potentially impacting stakeholders’ perceptions positively.

Metro Mining Limited Announces Change in Director’s Shareholding
Sep 16, 2025

Metro Mining Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Jennifer Marilyn Purdie acquiring 120,481 ordinary shares through MJS Aylward Nominees Pty Ltd as trustee for the MJSA Superannuation Fund. This transaction, valued at $9,999.92, was conducted via an on-market trade, reflecting a strategic move in the company’s governance and potential impact on its market positioning.

Metro Mining Limited Applies for Quotation of New Securities
Sep 9, 2025

Metro Mining Limited has announced the application for the quotation of 1,293,965 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). These securities are issued under an employee incentive scheme and are not restricted from transfer. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its market presence and provide incentives to its employees, potentially impacting its operational dynamics and stakeholder engagement.

Metro Mining Reports Strong August Shipment Performance
Sep 8, 2025

Metro Mining Limited announced a successful operational update for August 2025, with a 6% increase in shipped production compared to the previous year, totaling 753,101 Wet Metric Tonnes. The company is on track to meet its annual shipment target of 6.5 to 7.0 million WMT. Despite unfavorable weather conditions affecting operations for a few days, Metro Mining achieved record throughput rates at its Barge Loading Facility, highlighting its focus on continuous improvement in materials handling.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025