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Canyon Resources Limited (AU:CAY)
ASX:CAY
Australian Market

Canyon Resources Limited (CAY) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CAY

Canyon Resources Limited

(Sydney:CAY)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.22
▼(-3.04% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance (no revenue, deep and worsening FY2025 losses, and higher cash burn), despite the benefit of having no reported debt. Technicals also lean negative with the price below key long-term moving averages, while valuation is constrained by a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
No reported debt
Reported zero debt across all years materially reduces refinancing and leverage risk for a pre‑production miner. This structural strength gives management flexibility to time project financing, negotiate joint ventures, or use equity without immediate solvency pressure as Minim Martap advances.
Growing equity base
Equity rising from ~A$13M to ~A$45.1M (FY2020–FY2025) strengthens the company’s capital base, providing a larger cushion for exploration and studies. A bigger equity base supports multi‑year development spending and reduces short‑term liquidity strain versus a thinner capital structure.
Strategic bauxite asset
Ownership of the Minim Martap bauxite project aligns with long‑term alumina/aluminium supply chains. Structural demand for upstream bauxite provides a durable market rationale for development; a large, shovel‑ready bauxite asset can capture upstream value when permitting and offtake are secured.
Negative Factors
No revenue / widening losses
Zero reported revenue across multiple years and net losses widening to ~A$‑20.2M in FY2025 indicate the business remains pre‑revenue. This persistent lack of operating income undermines self‑funding ability and increases reliance on external capital to progress development.
Accelerating cash burn
Operating cash flow turning more negative (≈‑9.6M to ≈‑17.7M) and consistent negative free cash flow show accelerating cash burn. Structurally higher funding needs raise execution risk for multi‑year project development and increase probability of future dilution or costly financing.
Negative returns on equity
A ROE near ‑45% in FY2025 signals the company is consuming shareholder capital rather than generating returns. Over time this structural value erosion makes equity financing more punitive, increasing the likelihood of further equity raises and diluting long‑term shareholder value.

Canyon Resources Limited (CAY) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Canyon Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCanyon Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and exploration of bauxite properties and engineering studies in West Africa. Its flagship property is the 100% owned Minim Martap Bauxite project located in central Cameroon. The company was formerly known as Castlemaine Resources Limited and changed its name to Canyon Resources Limited in March 2010. Canyon Resources Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyCanyon Resources Limited generates revenue through the exploration and potential development of its mineral assets, with a primary focus on bauxite, a key raw material in aluminium production. The company aims to monetize its resources by advancing its projects towards production and entering into off-take agreements with aluminium producers. Key revenue streams include the sale of bauxite extracted from their projects and potential strategic partnerships with industry players to finance and develop mining operations. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by the global demand for aluminium, market prices for bauxite, and successful progression of its projects through the exploration and development phases.

Canyon Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Canyon Resources Limited faces significant financial challenges with zero revenue, ongoing losses, and negative cash flows. While the company has a strong equity position and no debt, the absence of operational income and sustainable cash flow poses risks to future viability.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Canyon Resources Limited has consistently reported zero revenue, indicating a pre-revenue stage or significant operational challenges. The company has substantial net losses and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins due to high operational expenses without revenue offset. This reflects significant profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a strong equity base with no debt, indicating low financial leverage. However, the lack of revenue and persistent net losses raise concerns about future sustainability. The equity ratio is robust but offset by ongoing operational losses.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Canyon Resources Limited exhibits negative operating and free cash flows, reflecting significant cash burn without revenue generation. Although there is positive financing cash flow, sustaining operations solely through financing is not viable long-term.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-294.25K-294.25K-97.50K-59.45K-84.79K-99.96K
EBITDA-13.23M-13.23M-9.44M-4.93M-12.69M-4.65M
Net Income-12.66M-20.18M-9.54M-4.99M-12.78M-4.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets51.56M51.56M44.54M29.58M21.59M20.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.48M11.48M22.17M10.73M4.48M2.68M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities6.50M6.50M667.54K741.89K1.18M1.24M
Stockholders Equity45.06M45.06M43.87M28.84M20.40M19.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.59M-17.84M-13.08M-5.93M-8.24M-8.30M
Operating Cash Flow-11.57M-17.69M-9.57M-4.55M-7.98M-3.28M
Investing Cash Flow-11.08M-11.08M-3.50M-1.38M-126.75K-5.02M
Financing Cash Flow18.51M18.51M24.43M12.18M10.13M9.33M

Canyon Resources Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.23
Price Trends
50DMA
0.19
Positive
100DMA
0.22
Positive
200DMA
0.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
64.93
Neutral
STOCH
73.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CAY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.20, above the 50-day MA of 0.19, and above the 200-day MA of 0.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CAY.

Canyon Resources Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
AU$421.64M3.12145.87%45.56%
48
Neutral
AU$557.06M-31.06-7.50%51.47%
47
Neutral
AU$398.86M-26.37-179.67%-100.00%-6.00%
46
Neutral
AU$388.16M-9.06-90.12%-98.20%
44
Neutral
AU$474.29M-16.20-45.39%-91.89%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CAY
Canyon Resources Limited
0.23
0.02
9.52%
AU:SVM
Sovereign Metals Limited
0.60
-0.16
-21.05%
AU:MMI
Metro Mining Limited
0.07
0.01
21.05%
AU:MAU
Magnetic Resources NL
1.35
0.13
10.66%
AU:LOT
Lotus Resources Limited
0.21
-0.03
-10.87%

Canyon Resources Limited Corporate Events

Canyon Resources Switches Auditor to Ernst & Young Ahead of Bauxite Production Push
Jan 12, 2026

Canyon Resources Limited has appointed Ernst & Young as its new external auditor, replacing HLB Mann Judd following a board-led review of the company’s audit arrangements and receipt of regulatory consent for the change. The switch to a Big Four firm is intended to better match Canyon’s increasing scale and complexity as it accelerates development toward initial bauxite production, signalling a strengthening of its governance and financial reporting framework ahead of a more operationally intensive phase, with formal ratification of the appointment to be sought at the next annual general meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAY) stock is a Hold with a A$0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canyon Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CAY Stock Forecast page.

Canyon Resources Keeps Minim Martap Bauxite Project on Track for First Shipment in June 2026
Jan 7, 2026

Canyon Resources has confirmed that development of its Minim Martap Bauxite Project in Cameroon is on schedule, with the surface miner already in-country and mining operations slated to begin in February 2026. Key logistics milestones are progressing, including the expected Q1 2026 delivery of locomotives and wagons, commencement of ore haulage from the Inland Rail Facility to the Port of Douala in Q2 2026, and a first bauxite shipment targeted for late June 2026. Supporting infrastructure work such as haul road upgrades, dredging of the access channel to the Port du Bois berth, and transhipping contract awards are advancing in line with the project timeline, while senior operational appointments have been made and the alumina refinery feasibility study has reached 45% completion, underscoring the company’s push toward near-term production and downstream growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAY) stock is a Hold with a A$0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canyon Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CAY Stock Forecast page.

Canyon Resources Advances Minim Martap Bauxite Project Amid Political Stability
Dec 8, 2025

Canyon Resources Limited has announced significant progress in the development of its Minim Martap Bauxite Project in Cameroon. The company is on schedule to commence mining operations in early 2026, with the first shipment of bauxite expected by June 2026. Key infrastructure developments, including the construction of an ore haulage access road and an Inland Rail Facility, are underway, with the project timeline remaining intact despite minor delays. The re-election of President Paul Biya has stabilized the political environment in Cameroon, facilitating a ‘business as usual’ approach for the project. This progress is crucial for Canyon’s strategic positioning in the bauxite industry and its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAY) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canyon Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CAY Stock Forecast page.

Canyon Resources Director Increases Stake Through Option Exercise
Dec 1, 2025

Canyon Resources Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Mark Hohnen. Mr. Hohnen, through indirect interests, has exercised options to acquire 3 million ordinary shares, increasing his holdings in the company. This move reflects a strategic decision to consolidate his investment position, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future prospects and operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAY) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canyon Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CAY Stock Forecast page.

Canyon Resources Issues New Shares Following Option Exercise
Dec 1, 2025

Canyon Resources Limited has announced the issuance of 3,000,000 fully paid ordinary shares following the exercise of unquoted options by its Executive Chairman, Mark Hohnen. This move allows the new shares to be traded immediately under the exemption provided by section 708A(5) of the Corporations Act 2001, indicating compliance with necessary legal provisions and facilitating liquidity for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAY) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canyon Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CAY Stock Forecast page.

Canyon Resources Limited Issues 3 Million New Securities
Dec 1, 2025

Canyon Resources Limited has announced the issuance of 3,000,000 ordinary fully paid securities, which will be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code CAY. This move, resulting from the exercise of options or conversion of convertible securities, is expected to enhance the company’s capital structure and potentially improve its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAY) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canyon Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CAY Stock Forecast page.

Canyon Resources Secures Shareholder Approval at AGM
Nov 25, 2025

Canyon Resources Limited announced the successful outcome of all resolutions presented at its Annual General Meeting held on 25 November 2025. All resolutions were carried by a poll, reflecting strong shareholder support and potentially reinforcing the company’s strategic direction and governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAY) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canyon Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CAY Stock Forecast page.

Canyon Resources Evaluates Feasibility of Minim Martap Bauxite Project
Nov 25, 2025

Canyon Resources Limited has released a presentation concerning the feasibility and future prospects of its Minim Martap Bauxite Project. The announcement highlights the potential financial outcomes and strategic opportunities for the company, while also acknowledging the risks and uncertainties associated with the project’s development. Stakeholders are advised of the possible implications for the company’s market position and the need for careful consideration of investment decisions due to the inherent risks in mineral resource estimation and project financing.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAY) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canyon Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CAY Stock Forecast page.

Canyon Resources Issues New Shares to Major Shareholder
Nov 18, 2025

Canyon Resources Limited has announced the issuance of 137,415,183 fully paid ordinary shares to its major shareholder, Eagle Eye Asset Holdings Pte Ltd, following the exercise of unquoted options. This transaction, amounting to A$9.6 million, allows the new shares to be traded immediately under the exemptions provided by the Corporations Act 2001, potentially enhancing liquidity and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAY) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canyon Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CAY Stock Forecast page.

Canyon Resources Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Nov 18, 2025

Canyon Resources Limited has announced the quotation of 137,415,183 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of November 18, 2025. This move is part of the company’s efforts to enhance its capital structure and potentially improve its market positioning, which could have significant implications for its stakeholders and future operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAY) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canyon Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CAY Stock Forecast page.

Canyon Resources’ Minim Martap Project Progressing on Schedule
Nov 6, 2025

Canyon Resources Limited has announced an update on its Minim Martap bauxite project in Cameroon, confirming that construction work is ongoing and the project remains on schedule despite minor delays due to post-election unrest in the country. The company is fully financed to reach Stage 1 production, with first bauxite shipments expected in the second quarter of 2026. The project is supported by a combination of debt and equity funding, and key equipment deliveries are on track for early 2026, ensuring the project’s development timeline remains unchanged.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAY) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canyon Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CAY Stock Forecast page.

Canyon Resources Limited Announces Annual General Meeting Details
Oct 24, 2025

Canyon Resources Limited has announced its Annual General Meeting, scheduled for 25 November 2025, at The Park Business Centre in West Perth, Australia. Shareholders are encouraged to lodge proxy forms in advance and can submit questions prior to the meeting. The company emphasizes the importance of reading the Notice of Meeting in full and offers assistance for obtaining necessary documents.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAY) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canyon Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CAY Stock Forecast page.

Canyon Resources Advances Minim Martap Bauxite Project with Strong Economic Outlook
Oct 23, 2025

Canyon Resources Limited announced significant progress in its Minim Martap Bauxite Project, highlighting a Definitive Feasibility Study that confirms the project’s strong economic potential with a net present value of over US$830 million and an internal rate of return of 29%. The company has commenced construction on key infrastructure, including an Inland Rail Facility and ore haulage road upgrades, with the first bauxite shipment scheduled for Q2 2026. The company also completed a strategic funding package, raising approximately A$205 million, and welcomed new leadership with the appointment of Peter Secker as CEO.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAY) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canyon Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CAY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025