Production Increase and 2026 Target
Production rose 9% year‑on‑year to approximately 6.2 million tonnes in FY2025 (management reference point). The company targets 7.0+ million tonnes for 2026 as flow‑sheet elements have demonstrated required capacity and variability is being addressed.
Record Underlying EBITDA and Margin Strength
Record underlying EBITDA of $73 million in FY2025, representing almost a 100% improvement versus prior year. Margins exceeded $30 per tonne in the first half of the year.
Balance Sheet Improvement and Debt Reduction
Cash of $57.5 million versus gross debt of $58.9 million — the company was just over $1 million short of a net cash position after paying down more than $23 million of debt during the year. Clean auditor report received.
Foreign‑Exchange Risk Management
Management locked approximately 75% of net USD exposure for 2026 at around AUD/USD $0.64–$0.65, improving currency certainty and protecting margins.
Material Tax Shields (Carryforward Losses)
Available gross carryforward losses of about $184 million. Management expects to begin utilizing these through 2026 and does not expect to be in a tax‑paying position until roughly the second half of 2027, providing a significant near‑term tax shield.
Capital Management: On‑Market Buyback
Board approved an on‑market buyback targeting retirement of 5% of shares over 12 months. Management cites buybacks as a tax‑efficient way to return capital given expected carryforward losses and perceived undervaluation of the shares.
Operational Derisking and Asset Upgrades
Several operational improvements implemented to increase resilience and reduce variability: upgraded hauling fleet (speed/payload), replacement of vibrating screens with roller screens, commissioning of Ikamba (floating terminal) to operate in tougher sea conditions, and multi‑year freight contracts. Management expects these changes to lower the cost curve and improve delivery consistency.
Freight Contract Advantage
Longer‑term freight contracts entered (2–4 year) are currently AUD 2–3 per tonne 'in the money' relative to prevailing Capesize freight rates for 2026, reducing delivered cost exposure and supporting competitiveness versus West African supply.
Positive Market Outlook for Aluminum/Bauxite Demand
Management cites structural aluminum deficits, continued aluminum demand growth (electrification, transport, substitution for copper), and shifts in alumina capacity (older inland Chinese plants closing; new coastal import‑focused plants) as supportive for traded bauxite demand over the medium term, despite some short‑term price volatility.