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Insurance Australia Group Limited (AU:IAG)
ASX:IAG

Insurance Australia Group Limited (IAG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:IAG

Insurance Australia Group Limited

(Sydney:IAG)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
AU$8.00
▲(5.26% Upside)
The overall stock score of 63 reflects strong financial performance, particularly in operational efficiency and cash flow generation, despite revenue decline and inconsistent profitability. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, while valuation metrics suggest the stock is fairly valued with an attractive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Operational efficiency & capital structure
IAG's strong operational efficiency and solid capital structure support durable underwriting capacity and claims-paying ability. Efficient operations reduce expense leakage, enable competitive pricing, and fund investments in claims systems and distribution, improving resilience across insurance cycles.
Free cash flow generation
A 31.26% rise in free cash flow and FCF/net income parity indicate reliable cash generation. Persistent FCF supports reinsurance funding, reserve strengthening, dividends and strategic investments without relying solely on underwriting profits, increasing long-term financial flexibility.
Moderate leverage
A moderate debt-to-equity ratio (~0.40) and strong equity base preserve balance-sheet flexibility. Lower leverage reduces funding risk, helps absorb large loss events, and supports disciplined capital management and steady reinsurance purchasing through adverse cycles.
Negative Factors
Revenue decline
A 12.27% revenue decline shrinks underwriting scale and pricing leverage. Sustained top-line contraction impairs fixed-cost absorption, limits investment in distribution and products, and can force tighter underwriting or higher prices, hindering medium-term growth and market share recovery.
Profitability volatility
Inconsistent profitability and a relatively low net margin indicate earnings volatility and weaker internal capital generation. Over months this constrains reserve accumulation, limits surplus available for growth or payouts, and increases sensitivity to adverse claims or reserving developments.
Natural peril exposure & reinsurance costs
Material exposure to natural perils makes earnings and capital cyclical; reinsurance reduces tail risk but adds recurring expense. With climate-driven increases in event frequency/severity, underwriting volatility and higher capital buffers are structural challenges that pressure margins and pricing.

Insurance Australia Group Limited (IAG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Insurance Australia Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInsurance Australia Group Limited underwrites general insurance products and provides investment management services in Australia and New Zealand. It offers personal and commercial insurance products, including bicycle, comprehensive motor, commercial and motor fleet, commercial property and liability, construction and engineering, consumer credit, compulsory third party, directors and officers, extended warranty, farm, crop, livestock, home and contents, income protection, marine, veteran, vintage and classic car, boat, caravan, travel, life, professional indemnity, public and product liability, security, workers' compensation, motor vehicle, business, and rural and horticultural, as well as reinsurance. The company sells its products through branches and agencies, call centers, online facilities, brokers, agents, authorized representatives, and financial institutions; and third parties under the NRMA Insurance, SGIO, SGIC, RACV, CGU, ROLLiN, WFI, Swann Insurance, NZI, State, AMI, Lumley, and Coles Insurance brands. The company was formerly known as NRMA Insurance Group Limited and changed its name to Insurance Australia Group Limited in 2002. Insurance Australia Group Limited was founded in 1920 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyIAG generates revenue primarily through the sale of insurance premiums. The company collects premiums from policyholders for various types of insurance coverage, including motor, property, and liability insurance. This revenue model is supplemented by investment income derived from the funds held in reserve for future claims, which are strategically invested in a diversified portfolio. Key revenue streams include underwriting income from the difference between premiums collected and claims paid out, as well as fees for services related to insurance policies. IAG has formed significant partnerships with brokers and financial institutions, enhancing its distribution channels and market reach, which contribute to its overall earnings. Additionally, effective risk management and claims processing strategies help to optimize profitability.

Insurance Australia Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Insurance Australia Group Limited demonstrates strong operational efficiency and a solid capital structure. However, the decline in revenue and inconsistent profitability are concerns. The company shows resilience in cash flow generation, which is a positive indicator for future stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. Gross profit margins are exceptionally high, indicating strong pricing power or cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low, suggesting high operating expenses or other costs. Revenue has declined by 12.27% in the latest year, which is a concern, though previous years showed growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the return on equity has been inconsistent, reflecting fluctuating profitability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend with a 31.26% growth in free cash flow, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential issues in converting income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.0, indicating good cash profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.55B14.76B15.99B409.00M7.57B7.88B
Gross Profit15.06B15.06B15.99B8.93B7.57B7.88B
EBITDA2.40B2.63B1.88B1.69B779.00M-67.00M
Net Income1.36B1.36B898.00M832.00M347.00M-427.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.31B26.31B25.62B35.03B34.16B33.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments703.00M703.00M631.00M1.35B938.00M2.00B
Total Debt2.96B2.96B2.94B2.64B2.58B2.57B
Total Liabilities18.52B18.52B18.50B27.98B27.66B26.90B
Stockholders Equity7.33B7.33B6.66B6.65B6.16B6.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow324.00M1.35B1.16B452.00M-526.00M-799.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.35B1.35B1.80B452.00M900.00M1.61B
Investing Cash Flow38.00M38.00M-628.00M394.00M-1.46B-2.42B
Financing Cash Flow-982.00M-982.00M-682.00M-437.00M-527.00M516.00M

Insurance Australia Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price7.60
Price Trends
50DMA
7.74
Negative
100DMA
7.96
Negative
200DMA
8.20
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Positive
RSI
47.70
Neutral
STOCH
63.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:IAG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.65, below the 50-day MA of 7.74, and below the 200-day MA of 8.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:IAG.

Insurance Australia Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
AU$1.59B6.0025.94%5.51%-7.39%30.01%
72
Outperform
AU$3.28B16.2318.51%4.17%5.90%7.22%
71
Outperform
AU$12.72B25.4121.28%3.73%6.37%1.73%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
AU$29.72B9.8018.97%4.68%5.93%14.80%
65
Neutral
AU$18.41B11.9712.51%26.88%-0.54%26.37%
63
Neutral
$17.98B13.2019.09%3.91%8.47%54.09%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:IAG
Insurance Australia Group Limited
7.60
-1.01
-11.77%
AU:HLI
Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Ltd
5.84
1.90
48.26%
AU:MPL
Medibank Private
4.62
0.84
22.19%
AU:NHF
NIB Holdings Ltd
6.73
1.30
23.92%
AU:QBE
QBE Insurance Group Limited
19.74
0.18
0.90%
AU:SUN
Suncorp Group
17.00
-1.92
-10.13%

Insurance Australia Group Limited Corporate Events

IAG Issues 23,920 New Fully Paid Ordinary Shares Following Conversion of Unquoted Securities
Jan 15, 2026

Insurance Australia Group Limited has notified the market of the conversion of unquoted securities into 23,920 fully paid ordinary shares, with the issue dated 22 December 2025. The modest increase in ordinary share capital reflects the exercise or conversion of existing unquoted equity instruments, a routine capital management activity that slightly broadens the company’s shareholder base without indicating any major strategic shift.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IAG) stock is a Hold with a A$8.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Insurance Australia Group Limited stock, see the AU:IAG Stock Forecast page.

IAG Reports Lapse of Performance and Award Rights in Capital Update
Jan 15, 2026

Insurance Australia Group Limited has notified the market of the lapse of 100,470 performance rights and 20,800 award rights, which were conditional equity-based securities that have ceased because their vesting conditions were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. The cessation of these rights, recorded in an Appendix 3H filing, represents an adjustment to IAG’s issued capital and indicates that certain performance or service hurdles tied to executive and employee incentives were not achieved, with implications for the company’s equity-based remuneration structure but no immediate operational impact disclosed.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IAG) stock is a Hold with a A$8.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Insurance Australia Group Limited stock, see the AU:IAG Stock Forecast page.

IAG Issues New Performance and Award Rights Under Employee Incentive Scheme
Jan 15, 2026

Insurance Australia Group Limited has notified the market of the issue of 1,588,590 performance rights and 2,054,340 award rights under its employee incentive scheme, both dated 9 October 2025. The unquoted securities are designed to reward and retain staff and executives through equity-based incentives, aligning employee interests with shareholder value and signalling the ongoing use of long-term incentive structures in IAG’s capital and remuneration framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IAG) stock is a Hold with a A$8.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Insurance Australia Group Limited stock, see the AU:IAG Stock Forecast page.

IAG Integrates RACQ Insurance into Expanded Reinsurance Program
Jan 5, 2026

Insurance Australia Group Limited has integrated newly acquired RACQ Insurance into its core reinsurance framework, bringing the Queensland-focused insurer under IAG’s main catastrophe cover, whole-of-account quota share arrangements and multi-year aggregate stop-loss protection. The expanded program now cedes 35% of IAG’s consolidated business, provides catastrophe cover for two events up to $10 billion with a $500 million attachment, and delivers around $1 billion in annual downside protection from natural perils through to FY29, moves which management says will capture targeted synergies, take advantage of improved global reinsurance market conditions and further reduce earnings volatility for the group.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IAG) stock is a Buy with a A$9.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Insurance Australia Group Limited stock, see the AU:IAG Stock Forecast page.

ACCC Blocks IAG-RAC Strategic Alliance Proposal
Dec 10, 2025

The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) has opposed IAG’s proposed strategic alliance with The Royal Automobile Club of Western Australia (RAC) to provide general insurance products and services. Despite this setback, IAG plans to apply for assessment under the new mandatory merger control regime starting in 2026. The alliance aims to enhance the RAC member experience, bolster resilience against industry challenges, and support local community initiatives, leveraging IAG’s national presence, technological investments, and capital management.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IAG) stock is a Hold with a A$8.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Insurance Australia Group Limited stock, see the AU:IAG Stock Forecast page.

ACCC Blocks IAG’s Acquisition of RAC Insurance Over Competition Concerns
Dec 10, 2025

The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) has opposed IAG’s proposed acquisition of RAC Insurance Pty Limited (RACI), citing concerns over reduced competition in Western Australia’s motor vehicle and home insurance markets. The ACCC’s investigation concluded that the merger would significantly lessen competition, potentially leading to increased premiums and reduced service quality. Despite the presence of other insurers, the ACCC believes they would not sufficiently counterbalance the competitive loss. RACI is deemed capable of continuing as a strong competitor independently, managing industry challenges effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IAG) stock is a Hold with a A$8.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Insurance Australia Group Limited stock, see the AU:IAG Stock Forecast page.

IAG Appoints Phillip Gibson as Chief Executive of New Zealand Operations
Dec 4, 2025

Insurance Australia Group Limited (IAG) has announced the appointment of Phillip Gibson as the Chief Executive of IAG New Zealand, effective March 2, 2026. With over 30 years of experience in insurance, advisory, and technology leadership, Gibson is expected to bring significant expertise to IAG, particularly in executing business strategies that enhance customer and broker satisfaction. He succeeds Amanda Whiting, who has successfully led IAG New Zealand through various challenges and will transition to a group role in Australia.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IAG) stock is a Hold with a A$8.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Insurance Australia Group Limited stock, see the AU:IAG Stock Forecast page.

IAG Responds to Recent Natural Peril Events with Strong Reinsurance Protections
Nov 9, 2025

Insurance Australia Group Limited (IAG) has been significantly impacted by recent natural peril events in Australia, receiving over 10,000 claims related to motor and property hail damage. The company has activated its Major Event Command Centre and deployed teams to assist affected customers, including providing temporary accommodation for vulnerable individuals. IAG’s robust reinsurance protections are mitigating the financial impact of these events, with specific measures in place for its recent acquisition, RACQI. The company maintains its FY26 guidance as previously outlined.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IAG) stock is a Buy with a A$9.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Insurance Australia Group Limited stock, see the AU:IAG Stock Forecast page.

Insurance Australia Group Announces Director’s Interest Update
Nov 4, 2025

Insurance Australia Group Limited announced a change in the director’s interest notice concerning Wendy Thorpe. The notice reveals that there has been no change in the number of ordinary shares held directly or indirectly by Thorpe, maintaining a total of 24,954 shares. Additionally, Thorpe acquired 5,902 Non-Executive Directors Award rights under the IAG Share and Performance Award Rights Plan, indicating a potential increase in her future stake in the company. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning director interests with company performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IAG) stock is a Buy with a A$9.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Insurance Australia Group Limited stock, see the AU:IAG Stock Forecast page.

IAG Director’s Interest Notice Update: Significant Increase in Performance Rights
Nov 4, 2025

Insurance Australia Group Limited announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically concerning Nicholas Hawkins. The update revealed no change in the number of fully paid ordinary shares held by Hawkins, maintaining his holding at 857,832 shares. However, there was a significant increase in his Deferred Awards Rights (DARs) and Executive Performance Rights (EPRs), with an acquisition of 135,410 DARs and 334,440 EPRs, bringing his total to 170,090 DARs and 1,903,780 EPRs. This change reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning executive interests with shareholder value, potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IAG) stock is a Buy with a A$9.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Insurance Australia Group Limited stock, see the AU:IAG Stock Forecast page.

Insurance Australia Group Issues Unquoted Equity Securities for Employee Incentives
Nov 4, 2025

Insurance Australia Group Limited announced the issuance of unquoted equity securities under an employee incentive scheme. This move involves the allocation of performance rights and award rights, which are subject to transfer restrictions, and reflects the company’s strategy to incentivize and retain employees, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and market competitiveness.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:IAG) stock is a Buy with a A$9.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Insurance Australia Group Limited stock, see the AU:IAG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 15, 2025