QBE Insurance Group Limited (AU:QBE)
ASX:QBE
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QBE Insurance Group Limited
(Sydney:QBE)
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Rating:83Outperform
Price Target:
AU$27.00
▲(18.58% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:03/26/26
The score is driven primarily by strengthening financial performance (higher earnings and materially improved cash generation) and supportive earnings-call guidance on growth, combined ratio, ROE and capital returns. Valuation is also favorable (low P/E and high dividend yield). Technicals are constructive but less decisive, while risks center on earnings volatility typical of the sector, U.S. specialty remediation needs, and the 2025 increase in debt.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Materially stronger operating and free cash flow in 2025 increases QBE's ability to fund underwriting volatility, pay dividends and execute buybacks without eroding capital. Durable cash generation improves financial flexibility for reinsurance, reserve strengthening, and continued alternative capital deployment over the medium term.
Negative Factors
U.S. specialty performance issues
Persistent underperformance in U.S. specialty lines creates a structural earnings drag and requires remediation through repricing, tighter underwriting or portfolio exits. These actions take multiple renewal cycles to correct, raising the risk of below-target returns and higher reserve requirements in coming periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Materially stronger operating and free cash flow in 2025 increases QBE's ability to fund underwriting volatility, pay dividends and execute buybacks without eroding capital. Durable cash generation improves financial flexibility for reinsurance, reserve strengthening, and continued alternative capital deployment over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
QBE Insurance Group Limited (QBE) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$33.82B
Dividend Yield4.68%
Average Volume (3M)3.66M
Price to Earnings (P/E)11.3
Beta (1Y)0.63
Revenue Growth8.05%
EPS Growth25.40%
CountryAU
Employees13,275
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryInsurance - Property & Casualty
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.43
Shares Outstanding1,494,024,400
10 Day Avg. Volume4,045,955
30 Day Avg. Volume3,658,213
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.38
Price to Book (P/B)2.57
Price to Sales (P/S)1.20
P/FCF Ratio6.90
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$24.41Price Target Upside7.19% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering7
EPS Forecast (FY)1.36
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$20.39B
QBE Insurance Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
QBE Insurance Group Limited underwrites general insurance and reinsurance risks. The company offers range of commercial, personal, and specialty products, such as commercial and domestic property, motor and motor casualty, agriculture, public/prod...
How the Company Makes Money
QBE primarily makes money through underwriting income and investment income generated from managing insurance float. Underwriting income comes from collecting premiums in exchange for assuming insured risks across its insurance and reinsurance por...
QBE Insurance Group Limited Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 14, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a strongly positive operational and financial performance: robust profitability (USD 2.1bn profit, ~20% ROE), above-guidance top-line growth, improved combined ratio, record investment returns, stronger capital metrics and active capital management (dividend increase, buyback, ratings upgrades). Headwinds were concentrated in U.S. specialty (A&H, Aviation), crop-related net revenue impacts from increased cessions, some rate softening in pockets (Lloyd's, reinsurance), and elevated large-claim risk historically. Management provided medium-term guidance of mid-single-digit GWP growth and 15%+ ROE and outlined measures (pricing, portfolio remediation, alternative capital, expense efficiency and AI deployment) to sustain performance. Overall, the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights.Positive Updates
Strong Profitability and ROE
Post-tax profit of USD 2.1 billion and EPS up ~25% for the year; Return on Equity increased to ~19.8% (around 20%), marking QBE's fourth consecutive double-digit ROE and outperformance versus guidance.
Negative Updates
U.S. Specialty Underperformance
U.S. specialty businesses (notably Accident & Health and Aviation) saw elevated claims and large losses, pushing parts of U.S. specialty to a combined operating ratio above 100% and weighing on divisional results.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Profitability and ROE
Post-tax profit of USD 2.1 billion and EPS up ~25% for the year; Return on Equity increased to ~19.8% (around 20%), marking QBE's fourth consecutive double-digit ROE and outperformance versus guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
QBE’s guidance reiterated mid‑single‑digit GWP growth for 2026 and over the medium term (next three years), a 2026 combined operating ratio around 92.5%, and a Group ROE trending at 15%+ (assuming an effective tax rate of ~25% and investment returns sustained at 3%+); management said >90% of the portfolio is expected to be at or above rate adequacy, expects an expense ratio of ~12% in 2026 (down from 12.4% in 2025), and confirmed a 40–60% dividend payout framework (current payout 50%, full‑year dividend AUD 1.09, final AUD 0.78, franking 30%) with buybacks to return surplus capital (≈$90m executed to date). Capital flexibility remains strong with a year‑end PCA multiple of 1.87x (pro‑forma ~1.73x after distributions), a lowered group catastrophe budget (~$1.13bn) and CAP attachment reduced to $250m, and management expects ongoing surplus capital generation supported by alternative capital levers; for context 2025 results included GWP $24bn (+7%), combined ratio 91.9%, profit ~$2.1bn, EPS +~25% and an investment return of 4.9% (~$1.6bn income).QBE Insurance Group Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 24.96B | 18.75B | 17.45B | 13.40B | 13.53B |
| Gross Profit | 24.96B | 21.41B | 21.85B | 6.08B | 13.53B |
| EBITDA | 3.41B | 2.69B | 2.20B | 1.27B | 1.22B |
| Net Income | 2.23B | 1.78B | 1.35B | 587.00M | 750.00M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 49.19B | 43.85B | 42.11B | 33.22B | 43.24B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.87B | 1.64B | 1.37B | 839.44M | 819.00M |
| Total Debt | 4.11B | 2.90B | 3.09B | 3.04B | 3.61B |
| Total Liabilities | 37.51B | 33.12B | 32.16B | 24.30B | 34.38B |
| Stockholders Equity | 11.68B | 10.73B | 9.93B | 8.86B | 8.85B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 4.35B | 2.34B | 1.33B | 2.63B | 2.54B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 4.37B | 2.58B | 1.50B | 2.79B | 2.75B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.97B | -1.48B | -428.00M | -2.01B | -2.77B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.11B | -745.00M | -498.00M | -790.00M | 101.00M |
QBE Insurance Group Limited Technical Analysis
Positive
22.77
Price Trends
22.35
Positive
21.05
Positive
20.32
Positive
Market Momentum
0.19
Positive
48.10
Neutral
18.98
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:QBE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.89, above the 50-day MA of 22.35, and above the 200-day MA of 20.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.98 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:QBE.
QBE Insurance Group Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
83 Outperform | AU$33.82B | 11.28 | 19.29% | 4.68% | 8.05% | 25.40% | |
73 Outperform | AU$18.42B | 19.02 | 9.55% | 26.88% | 6.10% | -29.98% | |
72 Outperform | AU$17.91B | 16.67 | 14.85% | 3.91% | 8.36% | -13.93% | |
69 Neutral | AU$13.22B | 28.53 | 19.79% | 3.73% | 5.81% | -5.34% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
63 Neutral | AU$4.52B | 12.68 | 15.06% | 3.70% | 11.53% | 51.82% | |
60 Neutral | AU$3.41B | 16.12 | 11.69% | 2.95% | 11.02% | 62.95% |
* Financial Sector Average
AU:QBE
QBE Insurance Group Limited
22.64
0.35
1.58%
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AU:SUN
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QBE Insurance Group Limited Corporate Events
QBE completes issuance of unquoted securities tied to prior transaction
May 24, 2026
QBE Insurance Group has notified the ASX of the issue of unquoted securities, following a previously flagged transaction under an earlier Appendix 3B filing. The new securities were issued on 19 May 2026, are not intended to be quoted on the excha...
QBE updates ASX filing after completing bookbuild for proposed securities issue
May 12, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has lodged an updated Appendix 3B with the ASX detailing a proposed issue of securities, marking this filing as an amendment to a previous announcement. The company states that the update is driven by the completion of ...
QBE prices AUD500 million Additional Tier 1 Capital Notes
May 12, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has priced an issue of AUD500 million wholesale Floating Rate Capital Notes under its Note Issuance Programme, which will qualify as Additional Tier 1 Capital under APRA’s capital adequacy standards. The notes for...
QBE Plans Wholesale AUD Floating Rate Capital Notes to Bolster AT1 Capital
May 11, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has announced a proposed issue of wholesale Australian dollar floating rate capital notes under its existing note issuance programme, subject to market conditions and final terms. The company plans to use the proceeds t...
QBE to Redeem USD524 Million Subordinated Notes in June 2026
May 10, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited will redeem in full its USD524,124,000 5.875% Fixed Rate Subordinated Notes due 2046, originally issued in 2016, on 17 June 2026 at par plus accrued and unpaid interest. The redemption, which has received approval from ...
QBE Director Michael Wilkins Departs Board, Discloses Final Share Interests
May 8, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has announced that director Michael Wilkins has ceased to be a director of the company as of 8 May 2026. According to the final director’s interest notice lodged with the ASX, Wilkins holds indirect interests in a...
QBE Investors Back Board and Pay, Reject Climate Proposals at 2026 AGM
May 8, 2026
QBE Insurance Group has released the voting outcomes from its 2026 Annual General Meeting, detailing proxy, direct, and poll results on key resolutions. Shareholders supported the adoption of the remuneration report, the grant of long-term incenti...
QBE Highlights Resilient 2025 Performance and Push for Global Risk Resilience
May 8, 2026
QBE Insurance Group used its 2026 Annual General Meeting to highlight another year of resilient progress in 2025, crediting disciplined execution of its strategy and strong operational foundations across the group. The company emphasised the essen...
QBE Reaffirms 2026 Outlook as Premium Growth Accelerates in First Quarter
May 8, 2026
QBE Insurance Group reported a solid start to 2026, highlighting targeted premium growth supported by resilient underwriting and disciplined investment management. The company reaffirmed its outlook for mid-single-digit gross written premium growt...
QBE Cancels 8.2 Million Shares Following On-Market Buy-Back
Apr 24, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has reduced its issued capital through the cancellation of 8,229,987 ordinary fully paid shares. The shares ceased on 23 April 2026 following completion of an on-market buy-back, marginally consolidating the companyR...
QBE Discloses Routine Increase in Director Stephen Ferguson’s Shareholding
Apr 22, 2026
QBE Insurance Group has reported a change in the indirect shareholding of director Stephen Ferguson under its Director’s Share Acquisition Plan. Ferguson received an issue of 188 fully paid ordinary shares at $20.99 per share through the QBE...
QBE Issues 645,803 Unquoted Employee Conditional Rights Under Incentive Scheme
Apr 22, 2026
QBE Insurance Group has notified the market of the issue of 645,803 unquoted employee conditional rights under its incentive scheme, with an issue date of April 17, 2026. These securities are subject to transfer restrictions and will not be quoted...
QBE Seeks ASX Quotation for New Shares Issued Under Dividend Plan
Apr 21, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 462,778 new ordinary fully paid shares, issued on April 17, 2026 under its dividend or distribution plan. The move modestly increases QBE’s listed share capital and reflects...
QBE Completes AUD 450 Million On-Market Share Buy-Back
Apr 21, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has completed an on-market share buy-back of its ordinary fully paid shares, repurchasing a total of 21,135,231 securities. The program, initially notified in late November 2025, concluded with total consideration of ap...
QBE Updates Market on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back
Apr 21, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has provided an update on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program involving its ordinary fully paid shares listed on the ASX. The latest notification, dated 22 April 2026, confirms that a total of 20,992,504 shares...
QBE Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back With Latest Daily Repurchase Update
Apr 20, 2026
QBE Insurance Group has continued its on-market share buy-back program, repurchasing ordinary fully paid shares under its previously announced capital management initiative. The latest daily notification reports that the company bought back 650,40...
QBE Updates Market on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back
Apr 19, 2026
QBE Insurance Group has provided an update on its on-market share buy-back program, confirming that it repurchased 714,726 ordinary fully paid shares on the previous trading day. This brings the total number of shares bought back under the current...
QBE Updates Market on Progress of Ongoing On-Market Share Buy-Back
Apr 16, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited, a global general insurer and reinsurer listed on the ASX under the code QBE, provides property, casualty, and specialty coverage to corporate, commercial, and retail customers worldwide. The company operates across mul...
QBE Updates Market on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back
Apr 14, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for ordinary fully paid shares. The update dated 15 April 2026 confirms that the company has repurchased a cumulativ...
QBE Updates Market on Ongoing On-Market Share Buy-Back Activity
Apr 13, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has issued an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares. The latest update, dated 14 April 2026, reports that the company has repurchased a...
QBE Issues Daily Update on Ongoing On-Market Share Buy-Back
Apr 12, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has provided an update on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares. The company reported that it has repurchased a cumulative total of 15,270,343 shares prior to the latest trading...
QBE Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back With Daily ASX Update
Apr 9, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back of ordinary fully paid shares. The latest daily disclosure shows the program, first notified in late November 2025, continue...
QBE Issues Over 5.3 Million Unquoted Employee Conditional Rights
Apr 8, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has notified the market that it will issue 5,329,626 unquoted employee conditional rights under its employee incentive scheme, with an issue date of April 2, 2026. These securities are subject to transfer restrictions a...
QBE Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back Program
Apr 7, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has updated the market on the progress of its on-market share buy-back of ordinary fully paid shares under the ASX code QBE. The latest notification, dated 8 April 2026, reports cumulative repurchases and confirms that ...
QBE updates DRP and BSP pricing for 2025 year-end dividend
Apr 6, 2026
QBE Insurance Group has updated its previously announced dividend details for holders of its ordinary fully paid shares. The revision specifies the dividend reinvestment plan (DRP) price and bonus share plan (BSP) price for the interim distributio...
QBE Director Kathy Lisson to Retire from Group Board in May 2026
Mar 29, 2026
QBE Insurance Group has announced that Non-Executive Director Kathy Lisson will retire from the Group Board at the conclusion of its Annual General Meeting on 8 May 2026. Lisson, who has served on the Board since 2016 and previously held the role ...
QBE Sets May 2026 AGM, Highlights Climate-Focused Reporting
Mar 29, 2026
QBE Insurance Group has scheduled its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 8 May 2026 at the Wesley Conference Centre in Sydney, with shareholders able to attend either in person or online and participate through various voting and question channels. T...
QBE Cancels 8.3 Million Shares in On-Market Buy-Back
Mar 19, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has cancelled 8,266,954 ordinary fully paid shares following completion of an on-market share buy-back, as disclosed in its latest capital notification to the ASX. The reduction in issued capital may enhance earnings pe...
QBE Updates Market on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 12, 2026
QBE Insurance Group has provided an updated notification on its on-market share buy-back, covering its ordinary fully paid shares traded on the ASX. The program, originally notified in November 2025, is being reported to the market on a daily basi...
QBE Updates Market on Progress of On‑Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 9, 2026
QBE Insurance Group has provided an updated notification to the ASX on progress under its on-market share buy-back program involving its ordinary fully paid shares. The latest daily report shows that a total of 8,982,616 shares had been repurchase...
QBE Updates Market on Progress of Ongoing Share Buy‑Back
Mar 8, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has provided an update on its ongoing on‑market share buy‑back program for its ordinary fully paid shares. The company reported that a total of 8,391,057 shares had been repurchased prior to the latest tradi...
QBE Faces Shareholder-Requisitioned Resolutions at 2026 AGM
Mar 5, 2026
QBE Insurance Group has disclosed that shareholders have formally requisitioned resolutions under section 249N of the Corporations Act for consideration at the company’s 2026 Annual General Meeting in Sydney on 8 May 2026. The resolutions, l...
QBE updates market on CEO Andrew Horton’s share transactions and equity holdings
Mar 4, 2026
QBE Insurance Group has disclosed changes in the holdings of its chief executive, Andrew Horton, following the vesting, sale, and transfer of certain equity awards. The filing details movements between unlisted conditional rights and fully paid or...
QBE Updates Market on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 3, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its on-market share buy-back of fully paid ordinary shares. The update confirms that the company is continuing to execute its previously announced capital manage...
QBE Reports Lapse of 416,088 Employee Conditional Rights
Feb 26, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has notified the market that 416,088 employee conditional rights, trading under ASX code QBEAL, have lapsed. The lapse occurred because the conditions attached to these rights were not met or could no longer be satisfie...
QBE Issues New Tranche of Unquoted Employee Conditional Rights
Feb 26, 2026
QBE Insurance Group Limited has notified the market of the issue of 77,363 unquoted employee conditional rights under its employee incentive scheme. These securities, which are subject to transfer restrictions and are not quoted on the ASX, were i...
QBE Discloses Lapse of Director Andrew Horton’s Incentive Rights
Feb 26, 2026
QBE Insurance Group has reported a change in the security holdings of its director, Andrew Horton, reflecting adjustments to his incentive-related interests. The filing details the lapse of a portion of his unlisted conditional rights under the co...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.