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QBE Insurance Group Limited (AU:QBE)
ASX:QBE
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QBE Insurance Group Limited (QBE) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:QBE

QBE Insurance Group Limited

(Sydney:QBE)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
AU$23.00
▲(12.63% Upside)
QBE Insurance's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the primary drivers of its overall score. The company's robust revenue and profit growth, improved leverage, and substantial cash flows position it well for future growth. However, technical analysis indicates potential bearish momentum, which slightly offsets the positive financial and valuation aspects.

QBE Insurance Group Limited (QBE) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

QBE Insurance Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQBE Insurance Group Limited underwrites general insurance and reinsurance risks. The company offers range of commercial, personal, and specialty products, such as commercial and domestic property, motor and motor casualty, agriculture, public/product liability, professional indemnity, workers' compensation, marine, energy and aviation, accident and health, financial and credit, and other insurances, as well as risk management solutions. It also manages Lloyd's syndicates, as well as offers investment management services. The company operates in Australia, Europe, North America, Asia, and the Pacific. QBE Insurance Group Limited was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyQBE Insurance Group Limited generates revenue primarily through the underwriting and sale of insurance policies across its global operations. The company's key revenue streams include premium income from policyholders and investment income from the management of its insurance funds. Premiums are collected in exchange for providing coverage against various insured risks, while investment income is earned by investing the float – the pool of premiums collected before claims are paid out. Additionally, QBE benefits from reinsurance services, where it assumes or cedes risks with other insurance companies to balance its portfolio and optimize capital efficiency. These activities, combined with strategic partnerships and an extensive distribution network, contribute significantly to QBE's earnings.

QBE Insurance Group Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record investment income, improved return on equity, and a solid capital position. However, challenges remain in the crop insurance sector and non-core segment losses in North America. The overall sentiment leans towards positive due to the significant achievements outweighing the challenges.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Growth
Headline growth of 3% includes a drag from exited lines and crop. Excluding these, QBE delivered underlying growth of around 9%. The combined operating ratio improved to 93.1% from the previous year.
Record Investment Income
QBE achieved a record investment result with a total income of around $1.5 billion, representing a return of almost 5%.
Return on Equity
QBE reported a return on equity of 18.2%, marking the highest in well over a decade.
Dividend Increase
The final dividend was announced at $0.63, bringing the full-year dividend to $0.87, which is 40% higher than the prior year and represents a full-year payout ratio of 50%.
Improved Catastrophe Costs
Catastrophe costs were comfortably below the allowance, marking the third consecutive year where natural catastrophe costs have trended at or below budget.
Capital Position
QBE's capital position remains very strong with the PCA multiple at 1.86x, and both S&P and Fitch revised their outlook on QBE from stable to positive.
Negative Updates
Underperformance in Crop
QBE's crop insurance performance was disappointing with a combined ratio of 99%, affected by drought and commodity price weakness in specific states.
North America Non-Core Segment Loss
The non-core segment in North America reported a loss of around $220 million due to exposure to convective storms and hurricanes.
Expense Ratio Increase
The expense ratio increased to 12.2%, primarily reflecting higher change spend to support modernization programs.
Company Guidance
In the QBE FY '24 call, the company reported a headline growth of 3% for the fiscal year, while underlying growth, excluding exited lines and crop, was around 9%. QBE's combined operating ratio improved to 93.1%, outperforming their plan of 93.5%. A record investment result yielded a total income of $1.5 billion, reflecting a return of almost 5%. The return on equity was 18.2%, the highest in over a decade. The balance sheet remains strong, with a final dividend of $0.63, bringing the full-year dividend to $0.87, a 40% increase from the previous year, and a payout ratio of 50%. For 2025, QBE anticipates mid-single-digit growth and aims to improve the combined operating ratio to around 92.5%. The company maintained a strong capital position with a PCA multiple of 1.86x and plans to continue focusing on growth opportunities, efficiency, and disciplined capital management.

QBE Insurance Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
QBE Insurance demonstrates strong financial performance with revenue and profit growth, improved leverage, and robust cash flows. The income statement shows a positive trajectory with increased revenue and net profit margins. The balance sheet reflects reduced leverage and strong equity growth, while cash flows indicate substantial operating and free cash flow increases.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
QBE Insurance has shown a positive revenue growth trajectory with Total Revenue increasing from $21.68 billion in 2023 to $22.71 billion in 2024, a 4.75% increase. Gross Profit Margin remains robust at 100%, indicating strong operational efficiency. The Net Profit Margin improved significantly from 6.25% in 2023 to 7.84% in 2024, reflecting enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins, though not calculable due to revenue equaling gross profit and EBIT, show solid absolute figures and an upward trend in EBITDA, suggesting better core earnings performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The Debt-to-Equity ratio has improved, reflecting a reduction in leverage, with Total Debt decreasing while Stockholders' Equity increased to $10.73 billion in 2024. The Return on Equity stands strong at 16.58%, indicating efficient use of equity capital to generate profits. The Equity Ratio is consistent, suggesting a stable asset base primarily funded by equity, but there's room for improvement in asset efficiency.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating Cash Flow has seen a substantial increase to $2.575 billion in 2024 from $1.503 billion in 2023, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. Free Cash Flow increased to $2.341 billion, with a notable Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio, indicating effective conversion of profits to cash. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is impressive, underscoring robust cash performance, though there is slight volatility in financing activities.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.75B17.45B13.40B13.20B11.79B
Gross Profit18.75B17.45B13.40B13.20B11.79B
EBITDA2.46B186.67M153.79M146.79M190.49M
Net Income1.78B1.35B587.00M750.00M-1.52B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets43.85B42.11B33.22B43.24B40.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.64B1.37B569.27M593.63M587.44M
Total Debt2.90B3.09B3.07B3.61B4.25B
Total Liabilities33.12B32.16B24.30B34.38B33.05B
Stockholders Equity10.73B9.93B8.92B8.85B7.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.34B1.33B2.63B2.54B1.25B
Operating Cash Flow2.58B1.50B2.79B2.66B1.37B
Investing Cash Flow-1.48B-428.00M-1.98B-2.68B-2.41B
Financing Cash Flow-745.00M-498.00M-778.79M97.54M1.33B

QBE Insurance Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price20.42
Price Trends
50DMA
21.43
Negative
100DMA
22.09
Negative
200DMA
21.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.34
Positive
RSI
41.28
Neutral
STOCH
35.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:QBE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.79, below the 50-day MA of 21.43, and below the 200-day MA of 21.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:QBE.

QBE Insurance Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
13.22B26.403.75%6.37%1.73%
72
Outperform
1.57B5.9721.43%5.57%-7.39%30.01%
72
Outperform
$30.83B10.0818.97%4.60%5.93%14.80%
72
Outperform
3.61B18.0517.98%3.91%5.90%7.22%
71
Outperform
21.83B14.3817.24%23.59%-0.54%
65
Neutral
19.23B14.1418.54%3.81%8.47%54.09%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:QBE
QBE Insurance Group Limited
20.42
4.60
29.04%
DE:0GI0
Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Ltd
3.20
1.21
60.80%
IAUGF
Insurance Australia Group Limited
5.34
0.49
10.10%
MDBPF
Medibank Private
3.17
1.27
66.84%
DE:3GU
NIB Holdings Ltd
3.90
0.51
15.04%
SNMYF
Suncorp Group
13.34
2.78
26.33%

QBE Insurance Group Limited Corporate Events

QBE Insurance Group Issues New Unquoted Equity Securities
Sep 5, 2025

QBE Insurance Group Limited has announced the issuance of 2,081 unquoted equity securities, specifically ordinary fully paid shares, as of September 2, 2025. This move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its equity securities, which could have implications for its capital structure and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:QBE) stock is a Buy with a A$24.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QBE Insurance Group Limited stock, see the AU:QBE Stock Forecast page.

QBE Insurance Issues New Unquoted Equity Securities
Sep 3, 2025

QBE Insurance Group Limited announced the issuance of 5,655 unquoted equity securities, specifically ordinary fully paid shares, as of August 28, 2025. This move signifies the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its equity structure and could potentially impact its market positioning and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:QBE) stock is a Buy with a A$24.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QBE Insurance Group Limited stock, see the AU:QBE Stock Forecast page.

QBE Insurance Announces CFO Resignation and Transition Plan
Aug 27, 2025

QBE Insurance Group Limited announced the resignation of its Chief Financial Officer, Inder Singh, who is leaving to take up a similar role outside the insurance sector. The company is conducting a search for a new CFO, with Singh remaining in his position to ensure a smooth transition. This leadership change could impact QBE’s financial strategy and operations, and stakeholders will be observing the transition closely.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:QBE) stock is a Buy with a A$25.77 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QBE Insurance Group Limited stock, see the AU:QBE Stock Forecast page.

Macquarie Group Ceases Substantial Holding in QBE Insurance
Aug 25, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited, along with its controlled entities, has ceased to be a substantial holder in QBE Insurance Group Limited. This change in holding reflects a shift in Macquarie’s investment strategy and could impact QBE’s shareholder composition, potentially influencing its market dynamics and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:QBE) stock is a Buy with a A$25.77 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QBE Insurance Group Limited stock, see the AU:QBE Stock Forecast page.

QBE Insurance Announces Director’s Share Acquisition
Aug 14, 2025

QBE Insurance Group Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Kathryn Lisson. The change reflects an acquisition of 697 fully paid ordinary shares under the Directors’ Share Acquisition Plan, increasing her total holdings in this plan to 41,029 shares. This transaction was conducted as an on-market purchase, indicating continued confidence and investment in the company’s prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:QBE) stock is a Buy with a A$19.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QBE Insurance Group Limited stock, see the AU:QBE Stock Forecast page.

QBE Insurance Issues Unquoted Securities for Employee Incentive
Aug 14, 2025

QBE Insurance Group Limited announced the issuance of 78,594 unquoted securities under an employee incentive scheme, with restrictions on transfer until the restriction period ends. This move is part of QBE’s strategy to incentivize its employees, potentially impacting its operational dynamics by aligning employee interests with company performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:QBE) stock is a Buy with a A$19.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QBE Insurance Group Limited stock, see the AU:QBE Stock Forecast page.

QBE Insurance Clarifies Dividend Payment Options
Aug 11, 2025

QBE Insurance Group Limited announced an update to its previous dividend distribution notification, clarifying that the default option for shareholders is a cash payment rather than participation in the Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) or Bonus Share Plan (BSP). This update impacts the company’s financial operations by ensuring clarity in shareholder options, potentially affecting investor relations and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:QBE) stock is a Buy with a A$19.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QBE Insurance Group Limited stock, see the AU:QBE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2025