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Hot Chili Limited
(Sydney:HCH)
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Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.50
â–²(66.67% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/08/26
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance—ongoing losses, minimal/uneven revenue, and persistent cash burn (including a notably worse free cash outflow in the latest year). Technicals also lean soft with the price below key shorter-term moving averages, while valuation is constrained by a negative P/E due to losses. The main offset is a low-debt balance sheet that reduces insolvency risk.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
The company's extremely low debt load materially reduces near-term insolvency risk and preserves financial flexibility. Over a multi-month horizon this permits continued exploration and development activity without immediate debt servicing pressure, easing the need for urgent distressed financings.
Negative Factors
Persistent operating cash burn
Negative operating cash flow across years shows the core business is not self-funding and creates ongoing reliance on external capital. Over a 2-6 month horizon, continued OCF deficits increase refinancing and dilution risk and constrain the pace of project advancement without fresh funding.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
The company's extremely low debt load materially reduces near-term insolvency risk and preserves financial flexibility. Over a multi-month horizon this permits continued exploration and development activity without immediate debt servicing pressure, easing the need for urgent distressed financings.
Read all positive factors
Hot Chili Limited (HCH) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$309.10M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)455.04K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)2.03
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS Growth17.44%
CountryAU
Employees29
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryCopper
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.05
Shares Outstanding202,686,040
10 Day Avg. Volume588,483
30 Day Avg. Volume455,043
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.41
Price to Book (P/B)0.42
Price to Sales (P/S)187.98
P/FCF Ratio-2.94
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.04
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Hot Chili Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Hot Chili Limited, an Australian-based mineral exploration firm established in 2008, conducts operations across both Australia and Chile. Headquartered in Applecross, Australia, the company actively seeks out deposits of valuable metals, including...
How the Company Makes Money
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Hot Chili Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
22
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 0.00 | 483.67K | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.42K | 59.40K |
| Gross Profit | -121.50K | 435.20K | -156.00K | -131.00K | 1.39K | 54.62K |
| EBITDA | -4.28M | -8.23M | -7.59M | -5.25M | -4.73M | -7.63M |
| Net Income | -8.72M | -11.14M | -7.57M | -5.22M | -7.15M | -9.64M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 253.06M | 244.80M | 250.88M | 224.43M | 231.60M | 162.00M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 4.62M | 5.19M | 33.74M | 2.95M | 23.72M | 3.60M |
| Total Debt | 335.69K | 415.30K | 554.60K | 333.61K | 330.85K | 5.00M |
| Total Liabilities | 3.60M | 5.17M | 3.46M | 1.78M | 6.82M | 14.10M |
| Stockholders Equity | 227.82M | 217.78M | 227.78M | 203.34M | 205.92M | 128.91M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -3.91M | -30.97M | -20.19M | -20.75M | -54.89M | -28.96M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -3.86M | -6.97M | -5.45M | -5.25M | -6.01M | -3.61M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -20.11M | -21.34M | 6.55M | -15.50M | -48.88M | -25.35M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 13.50M | -194.50K | 29.37M | -146.85K | 75.48M | 26.40M |
Hot Chili Limited Technical Analysis
Negative
0.90
Price Trends
1.87
Negative
1.68
Negative
1.46
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.06
Positive
35.42
Neutral
9.15
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:HCH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.92, below the 50-day MA of 1.87, and below the 200-day MA of 1.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.15 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:HCH.
Hot Chili Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | AU$8.54B | 43.51 | 7.70% | ― | 19.97% | 60.66% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
60 Neutral | AU$219.19M | 44.29 | 0.12% | ― | 49.14% | ― | |
51 Neutral | AU$245.68M | -12.03 | -14.19% | ― | ― | 78.60% | |
48 Neutral | AU$60.60M | -7.57 | -37.71% | ― | -100.00% | 98.64% | |
44 Neutral | AU$309.10M | -31.12 | -3.91% | ― | ― | 17.44% | |
44 Neutral | AU$128.52M | -10.00 | -242.58% | ― | ― | -79.69% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
AU:HCH
Hot Chili Limited
1.60
0.97
155.18%
AU:SFR
Sandfire Resources Limited
18.15
7.15
65.00%
AU:HGO
Hillgrove Resources Limited
0.06
0.02
58.97%
AU:CYM
Cyprium Metals Limited
0.41
0.07
20.54%
AU:CVV
Caravel Minerals Limited
0.23
0.07
39.39%
AU:TNC
True North Copper
0.42
0.03
9.21%
Hot Chili Limited Corporate Events
Hot Chili Amends Investor Presentation After ASX Scrutiny
Jul 7, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has reissued its July 2026 corporate presentation following a request from the ASX, removing a slide that had presented potential in-situ valuations for its projects. The company explicitly advises investors not to rely on the re...
Hot Chili Flags Costa Fuego as Emerging Top-Tier Copper-Gold Project
Jul 6, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has highlighted its Costa Fuego copper-gold project as a potential top global copper development, underpinned by an exciting new porphyry discovery and strategic water assets. The company is emphasizing its adherence to internati...
Hot Chili Secures US$15m OR Royalty Deal to Advance La Verde and Costa Fuego
Jul 6, 2026
Hot Chili has secured an additional US$15 million in non-dilutive funding from OR Royalties Inc. via an amended investment agreement, granting a net smelter return royalty over its La Verde project within the Costa Fuego copper-gold portfolio. Thi...
Hot Chili Director Increases Stake Through Exercise of Vested Rights
Jun 18, 2026
Hot Chili Ltd has reported a change in the equity holdings of director Christian Ervin Easterday following the exercise of vested service and performance rights. Easterday converted 276,250 service rights and 27,625 Class A performance rights into...
Hot Chili seeks ASX quotation for new share issuance
Jun 18, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 467,968 new ordinary fully paid shares, to be listed under its existing ticker HCH. The securities, issued on June 18, 2026 following the exercise or conversion of existing instruments, mod...
Hot Chili Drilling Strengthens High-Grade Potential at La Verde Copper-Gold Discovery
Jun 16, 2026
Hot Chili reported another strong drilling result from its La Verde copper-gold porphyry discovery, with diamond hole DKD044 returning 391.1 metres at 0.51% copper equivalent from surface, including several higher-grade zones. The company says the...
Hot Chili Seeks ASX Quotation for Additional Incentive Scheme Shares
Jun 5, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 38,458 additional ordinary fully paid shares, with an issue date of June 5, 2026. The new securities relate to shares previously issued under an employee incentive scheme, where transfer re...
Hot Chili Flags Costa Fuego as Top-Tier Global Copper-Gold Development
May 5, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has highlighted the Costa Fuego copper-gold project as a top-tier global copper development, underpinned by a new porphyry discovery and associated strategic water assets. The company emphasizes that these operational and resourc...
Hot Chili says incomplete La Verde assay data may explain ASX price moves
May 5, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has responded to an ASX price query by confirming that recent trading in its securities may be linked to incomplete assay information from drillhole DKD040 at its La Verde Project in Chile. The company stated that preliminary res...
Hot Chili Drilling Expands High-Grade Core at La Verde Copper-Gold Discovery
May 5, 2026
Hot Chili has reported further encouraging drilling results from its La Verde copper-gold discovery, about 30 kilometres south of its planned Costa Fuego processing hub in Chile’s Atacama region. Recent work points to continued growth of La ...
Hot Chili Issues New 2026 Incentive Plan Performance Rights
May 1, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has issued 4,429,861 unquoted performance rights under its 2026 Incentive Plan, with the securities not intended to be quoted on the ASX. The move forms part of the company’s employee incentive arrangements, aligning staff ...
Hot Chili Seeks Trading Halt Ahead of La Verde Drilling Update and ASX Price Query Response
May 1, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has requested a trading halt on its ASX-listed securities, as the company prepares to release its next drilling update for the La Verde project and respond to a recent price query from the exchange. The halt, which follows an exi...
Hot Chili Raises A$40m as La Verde Drilling Strengthens Costa Fuego Upside
Apr 29, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has secured A$40 million in a private placement, drawing strong support from Australian, Canadian and overseas institutional investors as well as its three largest shareholders, to accelerate growth and development of its Costa F...
Hot Chili Director Boosts Holding in U.S. OTC Shares
Apr 14, 2026
Hot Chili director Roberto de Andraca Adriasola has increased his direct holding of the company’s U.S. over-the-counter securities, purchasing 50,000 additional HHLKF shares on 9 April 2026 at USD 1.038 each. Following the on-market trade, h...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.