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Caravel Minerals Limited (AU:CVV)
ASX:CVV

Caravel Minerals Limited (CVV) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CVV

Caravel Minerals Limited

(Sydney:CVV)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.38
▼(-0.79% Downside)
Score is held back mainly by weak financial performance (no revenue, ongoing losses, and negative free cash flow), only partly offset by a debt-free balance sheet. Technicals are a positive with strong trend/momentum, but overbought signals raise near-term risk. Valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet: zero reported debt
Zero reported debt materially reduces near-term solvency risk for a pre‑production developer. That balance sheet flexibility supports staged project funding, lowers default risk during multi‑year permitting and construction, and preserves optionality to raise project finance or JV strategically.
Strategic copper asset in Pilbara
A dominant focus on a large copper project in the Pilbara aligns the company with multi‑year structural copper demand (electrification, grids, EVs). Geographic location in a mining jurisdiction with infrastructure and services supports de‑risking and potential offtake or partner interest over the development timeline.
Development-focused workstream (studies & permitting)
A clear, study‑led development pathway (resource definition, technical studies, permitting) indicates methodical de‑risking toward production. Sustained technical and permitting progress improves project bankability and attractiveness to strategic partners or financiers over a multi‑month to multi‑year horizon.
Negative Factors
Pre‑revenue profile with persistent losses
No operating revenue and recurring net losses mean the company cannot self‑fund development; ongoing negative profitability erodes equity and necessitates external capital. Over time this increases dilution risk, constrains strategic flexibility, and elevates execution risk if funding conditions worsen.
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow
Persistent cash burn requires frequent financing or partner funding to sustain exploration and development. The reversal in 2025 shows funding volatility; unpredictable cash needs complicate long‑term planning, increase financing cost and execution risk, and can delay critical milestones if capital is unavailable.
Modest, fluctuating asset base and volatile equity
A small, volatile asset base and unstable shareholder equity limit ability to secure non‑dilutive project finance or leverage assets for credit. This constrains scale, reduces bargaining power with strategic partners, and raises the likelihood of dilutive equity raises to fund development over the medium term.

Caravel Minerals Limited (CVV) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Caravel Minerals Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCaravel Minerals Limited, together with its subsidiaries, explores for mineral tenements. The company's principal property is the Caravel Copper project located in Perth, Western Australia. It also explores for gold and molybdenum deposits. The company was formerly known as Silver Swan Group Limited and changed its name to Caravel Minerals Limited in November 2012. Caravel Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyCaravel Minerals Limited generates revenue primarily through the exploration and development of mineral resources, with a key focus on copper deposits. The company aims to create value by discovering and developing economically viable mining projects, which can be monetized through various channels, including selling stakes in projects, entering joint ventures, or eventually bringing projects into production to sell the extracted minerals. Key revenue streams for Caravel Minerals include capital raised from investors to fund exploration activities and potential future income from selling copper and other minerals extracted from developed sites. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by factors such as mineral prices, exploration success, and strategic partnerships that provide financial and operational support.

Caravel Minerals Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Caravel Minerals Limited is experiencing challenges typical of early-stage exploration companies with no revenue and significant operating losses. The balance sheet is debt-free, which is positive, but there's a heavy reliance on equity financing. Cash flow remains negative, highlighting ongoing operational inefficiencies and a need for continuous external funding.
Income Statement
9
Very Negative
Caravel Minerals Limited has consistently reported zero revenue over the past several years, indicating a pre-revenue stage typical of exploration companies. The company has been incurring significant operating losses with a negative net profit margin, highlighting substantial costs relative to nonexistent revenue. There is no revenue growth trajectory to assess, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are deeply negative, reflecting ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a debt-free structure, which is a positive aspect for financial stability. The company's equity ratio has improved over the years, indicating a strong equity base. However, there are concerns about the lack of revenue generation to support asset growth and the continual reliance on equity financing, as seen from the significant amounts raised through financing activities.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
The company experiences negative operating cash flow due to ongoing operational expenditures without corresponding revenue. Free cash flow remains negative, indicating a need for ongoing financing. While there has been successful capital raising to support operations, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains unfavorable, indicating challenges in translating financial support into operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.00-176.51K-180.51K-75.58K-64.68K-37.09K
EBITDA-3.00M-7.62M-6.72M-10.99M-14.37M-11.16M
Net Income-2.94M-7.45M-6.41M-11.07M-14.44M-11.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.51M9.51M12.94M10.27M5.99M16.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.55M5.55M8.72M6.05M2.45M13.25M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities901.04K901.04K1.09M1.55M1.20M1.68M
Stockholders Equity8.61M8.61M11.85M8.72M4.79M15.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.87K-7.87M-6.80M-10.83M-13.71M-7.44M
Operating Cash Flow-7.78K-7.78M-6.80M-10.24M-13.67M-7.32M
Investing Cash Flow-89.93K-89.93K35.19K-514.09K-44.20K-114.43K
Financing Cash Flow4.70M4.70M9.43M14.36M2.91M20.45M

Caravel Minerals Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.38
Price Trends
50DMA
0.27
Positive
100DMA
0.22
Positive
200DMA
0.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
72.28
Negative
STOCH
80.84
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CVV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.32, above the 50-day MA of 0.27, and above the 200-day MA of 0.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.28 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CVV.

Caravel Minerals Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
AU$300.08M-22.34-4.91%-20.00%
51
Neutral
€209.54M-27.54-73.21%-11.29%
51
Neutral
AU$187.78M-6.63-29.41%281.37%2.27%
48
Neutral
AU$9.37M-2.46-157.73%6.15%
46
Neutral
AU$212.35M-1.61-57.00%-1789.13%
44
Neutral
AU$275.61M-3.60
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CVV
Caravel Minerals Limited
0.38
0.18
85.37%
AU:HCH
Hot Chili Limited
1.64
0.93
133.24%
AU:HGO
Hillgrove Resources Limited
0.06
<0.01
1.79%
AU:CYM
Cyprium Metals Limited
0.56
0.29
109.74%
AU:NRX
Noronex Ltd.
0.02
<0.01
25.00%
AU:AR1
Austral Resources Australia Limited
0.14
-0.02
-12.50%

Caravel Minerals Limited Corporate Events

Caravel Minerals Issues 10 Million Unquoted Call Options
Dec 30, 2025

Caravel Minerals Limited has notified the market of the issue of 10 million unquoted call options, exercisable at $0.42 and expiring on 19 December 2030. The move expands the company’s unquoted equity base and may provide additional future capital if the options are exercised, with potential implications for capital structure and dilution for existing shareholders over the long term.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CVV) stock is a Buy with a A$0.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caravel Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:CVV Stock Forecast page.

Caravel Advances Definitive Feasibility Study and Approvals for Caravel Copper Project
Dec 23, 2025

Caravel Minerals Limited has reported substantial progress on the Definitive Feasibility Study for its Caravel Copper Project, with process plant engineering nearing completion, non-process infrastructure layouts finalised, and detailed work advancing on tailings, water pipeline and geotechnical packages. The company has appointed Mining Plus to deliver the DFS-standard mine plan and an updated JORC-compliant Ore Reserve, progressed environmental approvals following EPA feedback, secured land access for key mining and general purpose leases, expanded groundwater assessment through new bores at the Gillingarra Borefield, and advanced its sustainability agenda alongside strategic negotiations with Adani for concentrate offtake and engagement with European export credit agencies on potential project financing, collectively positioning the project for key permitting, reserve declaration and funding milestones in 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CVV) stock is a Buy with a A$0.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caravel Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:CVV Stock Forecast page.

Caravel Minerals Retracts Strategic Mine Plan Update
Nov 14, 2025

Caravel Minerals Limited has retracted its recent ‘Strategic Mine Plan Update’ announcement due to the need for further disclosure under ASX Listing Rules. The company advises investors not to rely on the previous announcement for investment decisions, as the Definitive Feasibility Study is scheduled for release in the first half of 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CVV) stock is a Buy with a A$0.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caravel Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:CVV Stock Forecast page.

Caravel Minerals Partners with Adani for Copper Project Development
Nov 6, 2025

Caravel Minerals Limited has entered into a non-binding Memorandum of Understanding with Kutch Copper Ltd, a subsidiary of Adani Enterprises, to collaborate on the Caravel Copper Project. This strategic partnership aims to explore funding options and negotiate a potential life-of-mine offtake agreement for up to 100% of copper concentrate, with the goal of reaching a Final Investment Decision by 2026. The collaboration is expected to leverage Adani’s downstream expertise and Caravel’s resource capabilities, enhancing the project’s development and positioning both companies as key players in the sustainable copper supply chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CVV) stock is a Buy with a A$0.62 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caravel Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:CVV Stock Forecast page.

Caravel Minerals Adjusts Director’s Securities Holdings
Nov 6, 2025

Caravel Minerals Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Wayne Trumble acquiring 1,000,000 unlisted options exercisable at $0.22 expiring in November 2027, while 500,000 options exercisable at $0.33 expired. This change, approved at the recent AGM, reflects the company’s strategic adjustments in its executive incentives, potentially impacting its operational focus and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CVV) stock is a Buy with a A$0.62 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caravel Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:CVV Stock Forecast page.

Caravel Minerals Issues New Unquoted Equity Securities
Nov 6, 2025

Caravel Minerals Limited announced the issuance of 26.3 million unquoted equity securities in the form of options, exercisable at 22 cents and expiring on November 1, 2027. This move is part of an employee incentive scheme, which could potentially enhance employee engagement and align their interests with the company’s long-term goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CVV) stock is a Buy with a A$0.62 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caravel Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:CVV Stock Forecast page.

Caravel Minerals Unveils Strategic Mine Plan for Copper Project
Nov 3, 2025

Caravel Minerals Limited has completed a Strategic Mine Plan for its Caravel Copper Project in Western Australia, aiming to optimize its mining operations. The plan confirms the use of a conventional manned diesel-powered mining methodology, which reduces execution risks and operational complexity. The updated mine plan outlines a robust 25-year operation with significant material movement and ore extraction, focusing on maximizing early cash flow and minimizing upfront capital expenditure. The strategic approach includes deferring the development of a second pit, optimizing ore grade profiles, and simplifying site logistics, which collectively enhance the project’s economic viability and reduce environmental impact.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CVV) stock is a Buy with a A$0.62 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caravel Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:CVV Stock Forecast page.

Caravel Minerals Successfully Passes All AGM Resolutions
Oct 31, 2025

Caravel Minerals Limited held its Annual General Meeting on 31 October 2025, where all resolutions were passed successfully. The resolutions included the adoption of the remuneration report, re-election of a director, approval of additional capacity, and issuance of options under an employee incentive scheme, among others. The approval of these resolutions is likely to support the company’s strategic initiatives and enhance its operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CVV) stock is a Buy with a A$0.62 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caravel Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:CVV Stock Forecast page.

Caravel Minerals Confirms Stability in Copper Project Resources
Oct 31, 2025

Caravel Minerals Limited has provided an update on its Caravel Copper Project, confirming that there have been no material changes to the previously disclosed information regarding mineral resources and ore reserves. The company emphasizes the robustness and feasibility of the project, which is expected to have significant implications for stakeholders by reinforcing the project’s viability and potential profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CVV) stock is a Buy with a A$0.62 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caravel Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:CVV Stock Forecast page.

Caravel Minerals to Livestream AGM Presentation for Enhanced Stakeholder Engagement
Oct 30, 2025

Caravel Minerals Limited has announced that it will livestream its Annual General Meeting (AGM) presentation, which will be conducted by Managing Director Don Hyma and Executive Director Alasdair Cooke. The presentation will be available for viewing online but will not allow for voting or questions, and it will be recorded for later access on the company’s website. This initiative aims to enhance transparency and stakeholder engagement by providing broader access to the company’s strategic discussions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CVV) stock is a Buy with a A$0.62 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caravel Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:CVV Stock Forecast page.

Caravel Minerals Advances Copper Project with Key Appointments and Sustainability Focus
Oct 30, 2025

Caravel Minerals Limited has made significant advancements in its Caravel Copper Project, including appointing Primero Group Ltd as the preferred EPCM firm and receiving a preliminary 90MW grid connection offer from Western Power. The company released its inaugural Sustainability Report, highlighting its ESG commitments, and progressed in environmental approvals and water licensing. These developments are crucial for moving towards a Final Investment Decision by mid-2026, with implications for project power supply reliability and sustainable development initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CVV) stock is a Buy with a A$0.62 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caravel Minerals Limited stock, see the AU:CVV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026