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Hot Chili Limited (AU:HCH)
ASX:HCH
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Hot Chili Limited (HCH) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:HCH

Hot Chili Limited

(Sydney:HCH)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.50
▲(66.67% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/06/26
The score is held back primarily by ongoing losses and persistent cash burn, despite a low-debt balance sheet. Technicals add support due to strong momentum above major moving averages, but overbought signals temper that positive. Valuation contributes little given the negative P/E and lack of dividend.
Positive Factors
Low leverage
The company’s extremely low debt relative to equity provides durable financial flexibility to fund exploration and development through cycles without heavy interest burden. This conservatism lowers insolvency risk and helps preserve optionality for capitalising projects or weathering commodity volatility.
Negative Factors
Persistent operating cash outflow
Consistent negative operating cash flow shows the core business is not self-funding and requires external capital to sustain activities. Over the medium term this increases financing dependency and raises dilution or funding-risk concerns until operations generate stable positive cash flow.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage
The company’s extremely low debt relative to equity provides durable financial flexibility to fund exploration and development through cycles without heavy interest burden. This conservatism lowers insolvency risk and helps preserve optionality for capitalising projects or weathering commodity volatility.
Read all positive factors

Hot Chili Limited (HCH) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Hot Chili Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Hot Chili Limited operates as a mineral exploration company in Australia and Chile. The company explores for copper, gold, and molybdenum, as well as silver deposits. Its flagship property is the Cortadera Copper-Gold Project located along the Chi...
How the Company Makes Money
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Hot Chili Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating fundamentals are weak: the company is consistently loss-making with minimal/volatile revenue, and cash flows show persistent negative operating cash flow and materially worse free cash flow in the latest year. The main offset is a conservatively levered balance sheet with very low debt, reducing near-term solvency risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Sep 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.00483.67K0.000.0091.42K59.40K
Gross Profit-121.50K435.20K-156.00K-131.00K1.39K54.62K
EBITDA-9.07M-8.23M-7.59M-5.25M-4.73M-7.63M
Net Income-8.72M-11.14M-7.57M-5.22M-7.15M-9.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets253.06M244.80M250.88M224.43M231.60M162.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.62M5.19M33.74M2.95M23.72M3.60M
Total Debt335.69K415.30K554.60K333.61K330.85K5.00M
Total Liabilities3.60M5.17M3.46M1.78M6.82M14.10M
Stockholders Equity227.82M217.78M227.78M203.34M205.92M128.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.91M-30.97M-20.19M-20.75M-54.89M-28.96M
Operating Cash Flow-3.86M-6.97M-5.45M-5.25M-6.01M-3.61M
Investing Cash Flow-20.11M-21.34M6.55M-15.50M-48.88M-25.35M
Financing Cash Flow13.50M-194.50K29.37M-146.85K75.48M26.40M

Hot Chili Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.90
Price Trends
50DMA
1.51
Positive
100DMA
1.46
Positive
200DMA
1.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
57.72
Neutral
STOCH
86.19
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:HCH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.38, below the 50-day MA of 1.51, and below the 200-day MA of 1.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.19 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:HCH.

Hot Chili Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
AU$8.41B20.948.93%19.97%60.66%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
AU$143.39M-27.870.12%49.14%
50
Neutral
AU$359.88M-12.92-3.91%17.44%
48
Neutral
AU$64.76M-3.97-37.71%-100.00%98.64%
44
Neutral
AU$159.25M-4.15-242.58%-79.69%
41
Neutral
AU$207.77M-8.21-14.19%78.60%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:HCH
Hot Chili Limited
1.78
1.31
277.12%
AU:SFR
Sandfire Resources Limited
18.01
7.60
73.01%
AU:HGO
Hillgrove Resources Limited
0.04
<0.01
20.00%
AU:CYM
Cyprium Metals Limited
0.42
0.18
75.11%
AU:CVV
Caravel Minerals Limited
0.29
0.12
78.12%
AU:TNC
True North Copper
0.43
0.22
112.50%

Hot Chili Limited Corporate Events

Hot Chili Flags Costa Fuego as Top-Tier Global Copper-Gold Development
May 5, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has highlighted the Costa Fuego copper-gold project as a top-tier global copper development, underpinned by a new porphyry discovery and associated strategic water assets. The company emphasizes that these operational and resourc...
Hot Chili says incomplete La Verde assay data may explain ASX price moves
May 5, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has responded to an ASX price query by confirming that recent trading in its securities may be linked to incomplete assay information from drillhole DKD040 at its La Verde Project in Chile. The company stated that preliminary res...
Hot Chili Drilling Expands High-Grade Core at La Verde Copper-Gold Discovery
May 5, 2026
Hot Chili has reported further encouraging drilling results from its La Verde copper-gold discovery, about 30 kilometres south of its planned Costa Fuego processing hub in Chile&#8217;s Atacama region. Recent work points to continued growth of La ...
Hot Chili Issues New 2026 Incentive Plan Performance Rights
May 1, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has issued 4,429,861 unquoted performance rights under its 2026 Incentive Plan, with the securities not intended to be quoted on the ASX. The move forms part of the company&#8217;s employee incentive arrangements, aligning staff ...
Hot Chili Seeks Trading Halt Ahead of La Verde Drilling Update and ASX Price Query Response
May 1, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has requested a trading halt on its ASX-listed securities, as the company prepares to release its next drilling update for the La Verde project and respond to a recent price query from the exchange. The halt, which follows an exi...
Hot Chili Raises A$40m as La Verde Drilling Strengthens Costa Fuego Upside
Apr 29, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has secured A$40 million in a private placement, drawing strong support from Australian, Canadian and overseas institutional investors as well as its three largest shareholders, to accelerate growth and development of its Costa F...
Hot Chili Director Boosts Holding in U.S. OTC Shares
Apr 14, 2026
Hot Chili director Roberto de Andraca Adriasola has increased his direct holding of the company&#8217;s U.S. over-the-counter securities, purchasing 50,000 additional HHLKF shares on 9 April 2026 at USD 1.038 each. Following the on-market trade, h...
Hot Chili Extends High-Grade Core at La Verde with Standout 725m Drill Hit
Apr 7, 2026
Hot Chili has reported its most significant drill result to date from the La Verde copper-gold porphyry discovery in Chile, with hole DKD039 intersecting 725 metres at 0.42% copper equivalent from 18 metres depth. The program confirmed a 200-metre...
Hot Chili Lists Employee Incentive Shares on ASX
Mar 27, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 226,355 fully paid ordinary shares, to be traded under the ticker HCH from March 27, 2026. These securities were previously issued under an employee incentive scheme and are now becoming fr...
Hot Chili issues interim half-year financial report for 2025 period
Mar 16, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has released its interim financial report for the half-year ended 31 December 2025, covering its operations, financial performance, and position. The document includes a review of operations, directors&#8217; and auditors&#8217; ...
Hot Chili Added to S&P/ASX All Ordinaries in March Rebalance
Mar 10, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has been added to the SP/ASX All Ordinaries Index as part of SP Dow Jones Indices&#8217; March 2026 quarterly rebalance, alongside a broad group of other resource, technology, and industrial companies entering the benchmark. The ...
Hot Chili Performance Rights Lapse Clarifies Capital Structure
Feb 26, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has announced the lapse of 1,854,618 performance rights, designated as HCHAJ securities on the ASX, after the conditions attached to those rights were not met or became incapable of being satisfied as of February 23, 2026. The ce...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 06, 2026