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Hot Chili Limited (AU:HCH)
ASX:HCH

Hot Chili Limited (HCH) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:HCH

Hot Chili Limited

(Sydney:HCH)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.00
▲(11.11% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/10/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses and persistent cash burn), despite a low-debt balance sheet. Technical indicators also point to weak momentum. Valuation is difficult to support given the negative P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Low leverage, conservative balance sheet
Very low debt and sizable equity provide durable financial flexibility for a development-stage miner. Conservative leverage reduces insolvency risk, allows the company to fund permitting and studies through capital markets or partnerships, and preserves optionality during multi-year project development.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative operating cash flow
Sustained negative operating cash flow indicates the core activities are not self-funding and that exploration/development costs outpace any operating receipts. Over months this forces continual external financing, increasing dilution risk and constraining ability to execute long-duration project plans independently.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage, conservative balance sheet
Very low debt and sizable equity provide durable financial flexibility for a development-stage miner. Conservative leverage reduces insolvency risk, allows the company to fund permitting and studies through capital markets or partnerships, and preserves optionality during multi-year project development.
Read all positive factors

Hot Chili Limited (HCH) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Hot Chili Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Hot Chili Limited operates as a mineral exploration company in Australia and Chile. The company explores for copper, gold, and molybdenum, as well as silver deposits. Its flagship property is the Cortadera Copper-Gold Project located along the Chi...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Hot Chili Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: the balance sheet is conservatively levered with very low debt-to-equity and sizable equity (supporting a higher balance sheet score), but operating performance is weak with persistent losses, minimal/volatile revenue, and consistently negative operating and free cash flow that worsened in the latest year.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Sep 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.00483.67K0.000.0091.42K59.40K
Gross Profit-121.50K435.20K-156.00K-131.00K1.39K54.62K
EBITDA-9.07M-8.23M-7.59M-5.25M-4.73M-7.63M
Net Income-8.72M-11.14M-7.57M-5.22M-7.15M-9.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets253.06M244.80M250.88M224.43M231.60M162.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.62M5.19M33.74M2.95M23.72M3.60M
Total Debt335.69K415.30K554.60K333.61K330.85K5.00M
Total Liabilities3.60M5.17M3.46M1.78M6.82M14.10M
Stockholders Equity227.82M217.78M227.78M203.34M205.92M128.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.91M-30.97M-20.19M-20.75M-54.89M-28.96M
Operating Cash Flow-3.86M-6.97M-5.45M-5.25M-6.01M-3.61M
Investing Cash Flow-20.11M-21.34M6.55M-15.50M-48.88M-25.35M
Financing Cash Flow13.50M-194.50K29.37M-146.85K75.48M26.40M

Hot Chili Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.90
Price Trends
50DMA
1.62
Negative
100DMA
1.39
Negative
200DMA
1.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
37.98
Neutral
STOCH
45.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:HCH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.44, below the 50-day MA of 1.62, and below the 200-day MA of 1.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:HCH.

Hot Chili Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
AU$7.41B13.975.39%30.33%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
AU$122.91M1,327.88-29.41%281.37%2.27%
45
Neutral
AU$256.77M-12.92-5.06%-20.00%
44
Neutral
AU$164.83M-4.15-73.21%-11.29%
42
Neutral
AU$58.67M-1.01-47.55%
41
Neutral
AU$185.24M-8.21-14.19%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:HCH
Hot Chili Limited
1.27
0.66
109.23%
AU:SFR
Sandfire Resources Limited
15.88
5.52
53.28%
AU:HGO
Hillgrove Resources Limited
0.04
<0.01
2.86%
AU:CYM
Cyprium Metals Limited
0.37
0.15
70.51%
AU:CVV
Caravel Minerals Limited
0.30
0.13
84.37%
AU:TNC
True North Copper
0.39
0.09
28.33%

Hot Chili Limited Corporate Events

Hot Chili Lists Employee Incentive Shares on ASX
Mar 27, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 226,355 fully paid ordinary shares, to be traded under the ticker HCH from March 27, 2026. These securities were previously issued under an employee incentive scheme and are now becoming fr...
Hot Chili issues interim half-year financial report for 2025 period
Mar 16, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has released its interim financial report for the half-year ended 31 December 2025, covering its operations, financial performance, and position. The document includes a review of operations, directors&#8217; and auditors&#8217; ...
Hot Chili Added to S&P/ASX All Ordinaries in March Rebalance
Mar 10, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has been added to the SP/ASX All Ordinaries Index as part of SP Dow Jones Indices&#8217; March 2026 quarterly rebalance, alongside a broad group of other resource, technology, and industrial companies entering the benchmark. The ...
Hot Chili Performance Rights Lapse Clarifies Capital Structure
Feb 26, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has announced the lapse of 1,854,618 performance rights, designated as HCHAJ securities on the ASX, after the conditions attached to those rights were not met or became incapable of being satisfied as of February 23, 2026. The ce...
Hot Chili Launches A$40 Million Private Placement to Accelerate Costa Fuego Development
Feb 2, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has launched a private placement to raise up to approximately A$40 million through the issue of up to 24.27 million new shares to institutional, professional and other investors in Australia, Canada and certain other jurisdiction...
Hot Chili Securities Placed in Trading Halt Ahead of Proposed Capital Raising
Feb 1, 2026
Hot Chili Limited has requested and been granted a trading halt on its securities by the ASX while the company prepares an announcement regarding a proposed capital raising. The halt will remain in place until either the announcement is released o...
Hot Chili Extends High-Grade Core at La Verde as Drilling Results Boost Costa Fuego Upside
Jan 19, 2026
Hot Chili Limited reported strong new drilling results from its La Verde copper&#8211;gold discovery in Chile, with Phase two diamond drilling significantly expanding the project&#8217;s emerging high-grade, bulk-tonnage core. Key intercepts inclu...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 10, 2026