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Hillgrove Resources Limited (AU:HGO)
ASX:HGO
Australian Market

Hillgrove Resources Limited (HGO) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:HGO

Hillgrove Resources Limited

(Sydney:HGO)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.05
▼(-2.00% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by improving operating momentum and manageable leverage, but it is held back by continued losses and negative free cash flow. Technicals are strong but overbought, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Operational Expansion
The completion of the Nugent Decline enhances operational efficiency and access to resources, supporting increased production and long-term growth.
Resource Growth
The significant increase in reserves and resources at Kanmantoo strengthens Hillgrove's long-term production potential and operational viability.
Cash Flow Improvement
Improved cash flow from operations indicates better financial health and supports future investments and operational stability.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges with thin margins and negative EBIT can hinder sustainable growth and financial resilience.
Equity Decline
The decline in equity reflects financial strain and potential dilution risk, impacting investor confidence and financial flexibility.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates ongoing reinvestment needs and potential liquidity constraints, affecting long-term financial stability.

Hillgrove Resources Limited (HGO) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Hillgrove Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHillgrove Resources Limited operates as a mining company in Australia. The company explores for copper, gold, and silver deposits. Its flagship project is Kanmantoo Copper mine located approximately 55km from Adelaide, South Australia. The company was incorporated in 1952 and is headquartered in Unley, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyHillgrove Resources Limited generates revenue through the extraction and sale of copper concentrate from its Kanmantoo Copper Mine. The company's primary revenue stream comes from selling copper concentrate to smelters and refiners, which process the concentrate into finished copper products. Additionally, Hillgrove may engage in strategic partnerships or offtake agreements with other companies to enhance its market reach and secure stable revenue streams. The company's earnings are influenced by copper market prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies at the mine.

Hillgrove Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hillgrove Resources Limited demonstrates revenue growth in 2024 but faces profitability and cash flow challenges. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but persistent negative net income impacts financial health.
Income Statement
Hillgrove Resources Limited showed a significant increase in revenue in 2024 compared to previous years, marking a positive growth trajectory. However, the company has been facing persistent net losses, negatively impacting net profit margins. The gross profit margin is moderate, but the net income remains negative, indicating challenges in controlling costs or generating sufficient revenue to cover expenses.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet indicates moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio that is not excessively high, suggesting some financial stability. However, the company's return on equity (ROE) is negative due to consistent net losses, which is a concern for profitability. The equity ratio shows a reasonable level of equity financing.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement shows a negative free cash flow, indicating the company is spending more on capital expenditures than it is generating from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests some efficiency in generating cash from operations despite the net losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains concerning due to the negative cash flows.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue153.49M112.39M0.000.000.0020.25M
Gross Profit48.59M1.46M-5.98M-165.00K-2.00K-1.36M
EBITDA33.52M21.24M-12.68M-4.46M-5.43M-5.41M
Net Income-17.79M-24.03M-16.33M-5.97M-5.86M-5.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets132.04M107.39M101.06M52.90M51.29M35.89M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.62M3.26M10.24M5.30M10.74M5.60M
Total Debt6.55M8.69M19.30M7.20M0.000.00
Total Liabilities71.30M65.81M46.18M20.33M13.35M12.67M
Stockholders Equity60.74M41.57M54.88M32.57M37.94M23.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.88M-11.22M-31.29M-13.58M-14.29M-6.03M
Operating Cash Flow31.99M21.00M-8.78M-5.71M-4.89M-3.00M
Investing Cash Flow-39.06M-32.02M-22.46M-5.57M-9.39M-2.78M
Financing Cash Flow10.26M4.04M36.17M5.89M19.42M2.04M

Hillgrove Resources Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.05
Price Trends
50DMA
0.04
Positive
100DMA
0.04
Positive
200DMA
0.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
76.51
Negative
STOCH
68.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:HGO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.04, above the 50-day MA of 0.04, and above the 200-day MA of 0.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.51 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:HGO.

Hillgrove Resources Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
AU$292.09M-22.47-4.91%-20.00%
51
Neutral
AU$174.12M-5.93-29.41%281.37%2.27%
49
Neutral
AU$195.57M-25.36-73.21%-11.29%
48
Neutral
AU$9.37M-2.46-157.73%6.15%
46
Neutral
AU$169.88M-1.15-57.00%-1789.13%
44
Neutral
AU$260.84M-3.40
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:HGO
Hillgrove Resources Limited
0.05
0.00
0.00%
AU:HCH
Hot Chili Limited
1.65
0.92
126.58%
AU:CYM
Cyprium Metals Limited
0.53
0.28
114.57%
AU:CVV
Caravel Minerals Limited
0.35
0.15
79.49%
AU:NRX
Noronex Ltd.
0.02
<0.01
15.38%
AU:AR1
Austral Resources Australia Limited
0.10
-0.06
-37.50%

Hillgrove Resources Limited Corporate Events

Hillgrove Hits Key Milestone as Nugent Decline Links to Kavanagh at Kanmantoo
Dec 19, 2025

Hillgrove Resources has completed the Nugent Decline on schedule at its Kanmantoo Copper Mine, successfully linking the Nugent and Kavanagh underground mining areas. The new connection provides efficient access to approximately 1.3 million tonnes of mineral resources and is expected to relieve congestion in the Kavanagh orebody by adding new mining fronts and production levels, while also improving trucking efficiencies via a decline loop. With 2.2 kilometres of development at Nugent finished this year and stoping now underway, the company says it remains on track to lift mining rates to 1.7–1.8 million tonnes per annum in the first half of 2026, reinforcing its push to scale up production and strengthen operational performance at Kanmantoo.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources Director Acquires Additional Shares
Dec 1, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Derek Carter acquiring 1,428,572 ordinary shares through participation in a placement approved at a recent general meeting. This acquisition reflects ongoing strategic positioning within the company, potentially impacting its market operations and signaling confidence in its future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources Issues New Shares to Bolster Capital
Dec 1, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited has issued 146,476,966 fully paid ordinary shares at a price of A$0.035 per share as part of a placement initially announced in September 2025. This move, conducted without disclosure under Part 6D.2 of the Corporations Act, aligns with the company’s compliance with regular reporting obligations and indicates a strategic effort to raise capital, potentially impacting its operational capacity and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Nov 28, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited announced the cessation of 25,286,158 performance rights, as the conditions for these securities were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. This development may impact the company’s capital structure and could influence investor perceptions regarding the company’s future performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources Secures Shareholder Approval for Key Resolutions
Nov 25, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited, an Australian company listed on the ASX, held a General Meeting where all proposed resolutions were passed. The meeting results indicate strong shareholder support for the company’s strategic decisions, including director participation in share placements and the ratification of share issues, which could enhance the company’s financial position and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources Unveils Strategic Presentation at General Meeting
Nov 24, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited announced a presentation by CEO Bob Fulker at their General Meeting, highlighting the company’s ongoing operations and strategic direction. This announcement may impact stakeholders by providing insights into Hillgrove’s future plans and reinforcing its position in the copper industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources Updates Tranche 2 Placement Schedule
Nov 3, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited has announced updates to its proposed issue of securities, specifically regarding the Tranche 2 Placement. The updates include changes to the General Meeting date for approval and the issue date for the Tranche 2 Placement. These adjustments are part of the company’s efforts to manage its capital raising activities effectively, which could impact its operational funding and strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources Boosts Kanmantoo Copper Reserves and Resources
Oct 30, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited has announced a significant increase in its Mineral Resource Estimate (MRE) and Ore Reserve Estimate (ORE) at the Kanmantoo Copper mine. The 2025 Ore Reserve shows a 43% increase in reserve tonnes and a 33% increase in contained copper compared to 2024, while the Mineral Resource Estimate reflects a 14% increase in total tonnes and a 46% increase in contained gold. These updates highlight the strength of the Kanmantoo copper system and suggest an extended life for the mine, bolstering confidence in the long-term viability of Hillgrove’s operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources Achieves Milestones and Advances Growth Initiatives
Oct 28, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited reported significant progress in the September 2025 quarter, with the Nugent Production Centre becoming operational and achieving early access to production tonnes. The company saw an 8% increase in copper production and a 10% reduction in costs. Successful drilling at Emily Star and Nugent has bolstered growth prospects, while a $28 million capital raise will support further development. Hillgrove’s sustainability efforts were recognized as a finalist for an environmental award, highlighting its commitment to positive environmental outcomes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources Schedules General Meeting for Shareholders
Oct 24, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited has announced a General Meeting of Shareholders scheduled for 25 November 2025. The meeting will address shareholder arrangements and provide necessary documents, accessible online, to ensure compliance with the Corporations Act 2001. This meeting is a critical step for the company to engage with its shareholders and discuss future directions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources Reports High-Grade Copper-Gold Discoveries at Kanmantoo
Oct 21, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited has announced significant high-grade copper-gold intersections from its ongoing drilling operations at the Kanmantoo Copper Mine. The recent drilling results have confirmed substantial extensions to the Kavanagh mineralisation, particularly in the East Kavanagh zone, which is expected to enhance the company’s mineral resource estimates for 2026. The drilling efforts have achieved a total of 50,140 metres year-to-date, nearing the 60,000 metre target for 2025, and have contributed to a better understanding of the lode geometry, potentially impacting future resource growth and operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources to Release September 2025 Quarterly Report
Oct 21, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited announced that it will release its September 2025 Quarterly Report on 28 October 2025, followed by a conference call hosted by its CEO and CFO to discuss the results. This announcement is part of Hillgrove’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparency with stakeholders and provide insights into its financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources Showcases at Emerging Copper Stars Conference
Oct 15, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited announced its participation in the Emerging Copper Stars Conference, where CEO Bob Fulker delivered a presentation. This engagement highlights Hillgrove’s active role in the copper industry and its efforts to strengthen its market position by showcasing its capabilities and future prospects to potential investors and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources Begins Production at Nugent, Boosting Kanmantoo Expansion
Oct 15, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited has commenced production from the Nugent deposit ahead of schedule, marking a significant milestone in its growth strategy. The Nugent mining area is expected to play a crucial role in the expansion of the Kanmantoo copper mine, with an anticipated increase in the annualized mining rate to 1.7-1.8 million tonnes per annum by the first half of 2026. This expansion is set to enhance operational flexibility, reduce unit operating costs, and strengthen the company’s production profile, benefiting stakeholders by improving margins and increasing throughput.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources to Present at Emerging Copper Stars Conference
Oct 9, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited announced its participation in the Emerging Copper Stars Conference, where CEO Bob Fulker will present. This engagement highlights Hillgrove’s strategic efforts to position itself as a key player in the copper industry, potentially impacting its market presence and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources Issues Over 653 Million Shares in Strategic Placement
Oct 8, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited has issued 653,523,034 fully paid ordinary shares at A$0.035 per share to institutional shareholders as part of a placement announced on September 30, 2025. This move, executed without disclosure under Part 6D.2 of the Corporations Act, reflects the company’s ongoing compliance with regulatory obligations and its strategy to strengthen its financial position, potentially impacting its market operations and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Oct 7, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited has announced the quotation of 653,523,034 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), effective from October 8, 2025. This move is part of a previously announced transaction, potentially impacting the company’s market presence and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources Updates Tranche 1 Placement Issue Date
Oct 1, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited announced an update regarding the issue date for the Tranche 1 Placement of securities. This update is part of their ongoing efforts to manage their securities offerings and maintain compliance with ASX Listing Rules, potentially impacting investor relations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Sep 30, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited has announced a proposed issue of 800,000,000 ordinary fully paid securities, scheduled for issuance on October 6, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to raise capital, which could potentially strengthen its financial position and support its operational and expansion plans in the mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Hillgrove Resources Secures $28 Million for Copper Expansion
Sep 30, 2025

Hillgrove Resources Limited has successfully raised $28 million through a share placement to institutional and sophisticated investors, aimed at advancing its copper projects. The funds will be used to accelerate development at the Nugent ore body and further exploration at Emily Star, with expectations of increasing production and reducing unit operating costs at the Kanmantoo site.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HGO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hillgrove Resources Limited stock, see the AU:HGO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025