Sandfire Resources Limited (SFR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $5.78B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.77M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 44.0
• Beta (1Y): 1.69
• Revenue Growth: 42.05%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: AU
• Employees: 1,236
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 66
• Industry: Copper
• EPS (TTM): 0.14
• Shares Outstanding: 459,071,870
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,838,964
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,771,296
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.82
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 5.03
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 16.49
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 13.37
• 1Y Price Target: $11.93
• Price Target Upside: -4.83% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 11

• Rating: 57 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$11.00 ▼(-12.21% Downside)

The most significant factor affecting Sandfire Resources' stock score is the positive sentiment and guidance from the latest earnings call, which highlights operational improvements and debt reduction. However, the financial performance remains mixed, with challenges in income stability and cash flow consistency. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio raises concerns about overvaluation. These mixed signals result in a moderate overall stock score.

Sandfire Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Sandfire Resources Limited (SFR) is an Australian mining and exploration company primarily engaged in the production and exploration of copper, gold, and other base metals. With its flagship mine, the DeGrussa Copper-Gold Mine in Western Australia, Sandfire Resources focuses on discovering and developing new mineral deposits, leveraging advanced technologies and sustainable practices. The company's operations span across Australia and other parts of the world, aiming to create significant value for its stakeholders through responsible resource development.

How the Company Makes Money

Sandfire Resources Limited generates revenue primarily through the extraction, production, and sale of copper and gold from its mining operations. The company sells its products to global markets, where the demand for these base metals is driven by various industries, including construction, electronics, and renewable energy. Key revenue streams include the sale of copper concentrate produced at the DeGrussa Copper-Gold Mine. Additionally, Sandfire Resources engages in exploration activities to identify new mineral deposits, which can lead to future revenue generation through expanded mining operations. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other mining companies and stakeholders can also play a role in the company's revenue, as they help to share risks and capitalize on new opportunities for resource development.

Sandfire Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Sandfire Resources Limited shows mixed financial performance. While the company has a solid equity base and manages its debt levels reasonably well, volatility in income and cash flow metrics suggests operational and profitability challenges. A focus on stabilizing revenue growth and improving net income would be beneficial for strengthening the company's financial standing.

Income Statement

Sandfire Resources Limited has faced significant volatility in its income statement metrics. The latest year shows a decline in revenue and a negative net income, resulting in a negative net profit margin. Although the company has maintained a positive gross profit margin, its EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased, highlighting challenges in operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Sandfire Resources indicates a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio that reflects a manageable level of debt. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a stable asset base relative to equity. However, declining stockholders' equity over the years raises concerns about long-term sustainability.

Cash Flow

Sandfire Resources' cash flow statement reveals fluctuating free cash flow trends. Despite generating positive operating cash flow, the company has struggled with maintaining consistent free cash flow growth. The free cash flow to net income ratio is affected by negative net income in the recent year, which is a concern for financial health.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	941.67M	921.57M	1.16B	1.42B	771.83M	645.46M
Gross Profit	287.42M	917.78M	-40.98M	435.96M	236.40M	133.48M
EBITDA	354.55M	358.32M	397.19M	628.87M	338.73M	314.52M
Net Income	-19.67M	-17.35M	-76.68M	153.66M	172.39M	74.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.00B	3.00B	4.75B	4.93B	1.19B	913.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	183.34M	183.34M	213.23M	673.44M	574.51M	291.14M
Total Debt	582.58M	582.58M	896.25M	1.18B	12.77M	12.49M
Total Liabilities	1.33B	1.33B	2.14B	2.51B	278.73M	163.71M
Stockholders Equity	1.67B	1.67B	2.61B	2.42B	907.83M	749.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	90.55M	66.18M	-372.25M	252.22M	346.39M	158.41M
Operating Cash Flow	316.95M	292.01M	113.86M	536.68M	465.23M	272.61M
Investing Cash Flow	-220.27M	-219.73M	-442.24M	-2.25B	-131.10M	-178.79M
Financing Cash Flow	-55.82M	-86.42M	-125.41M	1.78B	-56.95M	-50.18M

Sandfire Resources Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 12.53
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SFR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.85, above the 50-day MA of 11.42, and above the 200-day MA of 10.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.05 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:SFR.

Sandfire Resources Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.31B	6.29	0.76%	2.95%	3.36%	-36.41%
SFR	57 Neutral	$5.78B	44.04	5.39%	―	42.05%	―
HHLKF	―	$95.87M	―	-4.78%	―	―	―
HGO	41 Neutral	AU$101.95M	―	-29.41%	―	281.37%	2.27%
STC	―	€45.31M	―	-52.97%	―	―	―
WA1	46 Neutral	AU$1.39B	―	-4.24%	―	―	-40.25%
AR1	39 Underperform	AU$84.35M	―		―	-25.56%	-339.66%

Sandfire Resources Limited Corporate Events

Sandfire Resources Reports Strong FY25 Results Amid Operational Challenges

Sandfire Resources Limited reported a 12% increase in Group Copper Equivalent production for FY25, despite challenges such as record rainfall and power outages. The company achieved strong operational results with a focus on cost discipline and strategic investments in exploration. Sandfire’s net debt decreased significantly, and the company forecasts further production growth in FY26, although unit costs are expected to rise due to currency fluctuations and operational expansions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SFR) stock is a Buy with a A$9.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandfire Resources Limited stock, see the AU:SFR Stock Forecast page.

Sandfire Resources Confirms High-Grade Copper Extension at Black Butte Project

Sandfire Resources Limited has announced successful exploration drilling results at its Black Butte Copper Project in Montana, USA, confirming the extension of high-grade mineralization in the Johnny Lee Lower Copper Zone. The completed 2024-2025 drilling program, which included 41 drill holes, aims to upgrade and expand the current resource estimates. The results will support a revised Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve estimate expected by December 2025, aiding Sandfire in defining its optimal strategy for the project’s development.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SFR) stock is a Sell with a A$9.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandfire Resources Limited stock, see the AU:SFR Stock Forecast page.

Sandfire Resources to Release June 2025 Quarterly Results

Sandfire Resources Limited has announced that its June 2025 Quarterly Results will be released on July 29, 2025. A teleconference and live webcast will also be held on the same day to discuss the results, indicating the company’s commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement. This announcement is expected to provide insights into the company’s operational performance and future outlook, which could impact its industry positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SFR) stock is a Buy with a A$11.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandfire Resources Limited stock, see the AU:SFR Stock Forecast page.

Sandfire Resources Announces Cessation of Performance Rights

Sandfire Resources Limited announced the cessation of 160,709 performance rights due to the conditions for these securities not being met or becoming incapable of being satisfied. This development may impact the company’s capital structure and could have implications for stakeholders, reflecting on the company’s operational adjustments and strategic focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SFR) stock is a Buy with a A$11.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandfire Resources Limited stock, see the AU:SFR Stock Forecast page.

Sandfire Resources Issues Performance Rights to Employees

Sandfire Resources Limited has announced the issuance of 21,070 performance rights under an employee incentive scheme, which are not intended to be quoted on the ASX. This move is part of the company’s strategy to motivate and retain key personnel, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and market competitiveness.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SFR) stock is a Buy with a A$11.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandfire Resources Limited stock, see the AU:SFR Stock Forecast page.

Principal Global Investors Ceases Substantial Holding in Sandfire Resources

Sandfire Resources Limited has announced that Principal Global Investors, LLC has ceased to be a substantial holder of its shares. This change in substantial holding involves a series of transactions where Principal Global Investors, LLC bought and sold significant amounts of ordinary shares in Sandfire Resources Limited, ultimately reducing their voting power in the company. The impact of these changes may affect the company’s shareholder structure and could have implications for its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SFR) stock is a Buy with a A$11.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandfire Resources Limited stock, see the AU:SFR Stock Forecast page.

Sandfire Resources Showcases MATSA Operation to Financial Community

Sandfire Resources Ltd is hosting a financial community site visit at its MATSA Operation in Spain, highlighting its modern processing facility and commitment to sustainability. The company reports increased production and safety improvements, with plans to extend the mine’s life and continue operations beyond 2040, supported by renewable energy and new mineral discoveries.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SFR) stock is a Buy with a A$10.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandfire Resources Limited stock, see the AU:SFR Stock Forecast page.

Sandfire Resources Unveils Promising Drilling Results at MATSA

Sandfire Resources Ltd has announced promising assay results from its ongoing drilling program at the MATSA mining complex, confirming new mineralised extensions at the Magdalena and Aguas Teñidas sites. These findings are expected to significantly shape future exploration plans and support the company’s strategic objective of increasing ore reserves and extending mine life, thereby enhancing its industry positioning and potential returns for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SFR) stock is a Buy with a A$10.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandfire Resources Limited stock, see the AU:SFR Stock Forecast page.

Sandfire Resources Sells Old Highway Gold Project to Catalyst Metals

Sandfire Resources Limited has entered into a binding Sale and Purchase Agreement with Catalyst Metals Limited for the sale of the Old Highway Gold Project, located near Sandfire’s DeGrussa Copper-Gold Mine in Western Australia, for A$32.5 million. The transaction is expected to aid Sandfire in covering rehabilitation costs at DeGrussa and create opportunities for local stakeholders, while increasing the likelihood of the project’s future development, benefiting stakeholders including traditional owners and the local community.

Sandfire Resources Updates on Director’s Shareholdings

Sandfire Resources Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically concerning Brendan Harris. Mr. Harris acquired 366,667 ordinary shares due to the vesting of Tranche 2 of Sign on Rights and disposed of 172,333 shares to cover tax liabilities. This change reflects the company’s ongoing management of executive compensation and equity interests, potentially impacting shareholder perceptions and market dynamics.