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Sandfire Resources Limited (AU:SFR)
ASX:SFR

Sandfire Resources Limited (SFR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Sandfire Resources Limited

(Sydney:SFR)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
AU$12.50
▲(8.13%Upside)
Sandfire Resources Limited's stock is supported by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call highlights, including improved production and reduced debt. However, financial performance concerns and a high valuation weigh down the overall score.

Sandfire Resources Limited (SFR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Sandfire Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSandfire Resources Limited, a mining company, engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral tenements and projects. It primarily explores for copper, gold, silver, lead, and zinc deposits. The company owns a 100% interest in the DeGrussa copper operations located in the Bryah Basin mineral province of Western Australia; a 100% interest in the Minas De Aguas Teñidas (MATSA) Copper operations that comprise three underground mines situated in the Huelva Province of south-western Spain; and an 87% interest in the Black Butte copper project located in central Montana, the United States. It also holds interests in the Motheo copper project situated in the Kalahari Copper Belt in Botswana. Sandfire Resources Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneySandfire Resources Limited generates revenue through the extraction, production, and sale of mineral resources, primarily copper and gold. The company's main revenue stream comes from the sale of these metals, which are extracted from its mining operations. Sandfire operates several mining projects, including the DeGrussa Copper-Gold Mine in Western Australia, which is a significant contributor to its income. Additionally, the company invests in exploration activities to discover new mineral deposits and expand its resource base, ensuring long-term revenue generation. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other mining entities also play a role in enhancing Sandfire's operational capabilities and financial performance. The company's ability to effectively manage costs and optimize production processes further supports its profitability.

Sandfire Resources Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.74%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted several positive developments including improved safety metrics, increased copper production, and significant debt reduction. While some challenges were noted, such as production lag at Motheo and copper recovery fluctuations at MATSA, the overall performance and future outlook appear favorable.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Safety Metrics
The quarter closed with a drift of 1.6, a decrease from 1.8 reported in September 2024, indicating improvements in safety protocols.
Mining Authority Approval for New Facility
Received Mining Authority approval for a new tailings facility at MATSA, supporting mining beyond 2040.
Increased Copper Equivalent Production
Group copper equivalent production increased by 5% to 75,100 tonnes, achieving 49% of full-year guidance.
Sustainable Production at Motheo
Motheo achieved a sustainable production rate of 5.6 million tonnes per annum, exceeding design capacity.
Cost Reduction at Motheo
Reduced annual guidance by 7% to $39 per tonne of ore processed and a similar 7% reduction to $1.41 per pound at a C1 unit cost level.
Significant Debt Reduction
Net debt reduced by $57 million to $288 million as of December 31, 2024, with a cumulative reduction of $193 million over nine months.
Negative Updates
Motheo Production Slightly Behind
Motheo's copper equivalent production was slightly behind expectations at 28,600 tonnes for the six-month period.
Fluctuations in Copper Recovery at MATSA
Observed fluctuations in copper recovery at MATSA due to lower grades and metallurgical variations.
Company Guidance
During the Sandfire Resources December 2024 quarterly call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for FY'25. Notably, Sandfire reported a decrease in safety drift to 1.6 from 1.8 seen in the previous quarter. They achieved a 5% increase in group copper equivalent production, reaching 75,100 tonnes, which is 49% of their full-year guidance. Motheo's copper equivalent production was slightly lower than expected at 28,600 tonnes for the half-year, but confidence in the outlook has improved due to consistent operation at 5.6 million tonnes per annum. MATSA sustained an annualized rate exceeding 4.6 million tonnes, achieving 22,800 tonnes of copper equivalent production, also 49% of annual guidance. Cost efficiencies were highlighted, with a 7% reduction in annual guidance to $39 per tonne at Motheo and a similar reduction in C1 unit costs to $1.41 per pound. Financially, Sandfire reported unaudited group sales revenue of $290 million and underlying EBITDA of $134 million, reducing net debt by $57 million to $288 million by the quarter's end. The company remains on track to meet its FY'25 commitments and continues to focus on strict capital discipline, especially in its exploration programs.

Sandfire Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
921.57M1.16B1.42B771.83M645.46M
Gross Profit
917.78M-40.98M435.96M236.40M133.48M
EBIT
17.51M-54.30M422.38M227.88M125.20M
EBITDA
358.32M397.19M628.87M338.73M314.52M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-17.35M-76.68M153.66M172.39M74.05M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
183.34M213.23M673.44M574.51M291.14M
Total Assets
3.00B4.75B4.93B1.19B913.93M
Total Debt
582.58M896.25M1.18B12.77M12.49M
Net Debt
399.24M683.02M510.16M-561.74M-278.65M
Total Liabilities
1.33B2.14B2.51B278.73M163.71M
Stockholders Equity
1.67B2.61B2.42B907.83M749.02M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
66.18M-372.25M252.22M346.39M158.41M
Operating Cash Flow
292.01M113.86M536.68M465.23M272.61M
Investing Cash Flow
-219.73M-442.24M-2.25B-131.10M-178.79M
Financing Cash Flow
-86.42M-125.41M1.78B-56.95M-50.18M

Sandfire Resources Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.56
Price Trends
50DMA
10.34
Positive
100DMA
10.40
Positive
200DMA
10.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.36
Negative
RSI
67.14
Neutral
STOCH
68.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SFR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.99, above the 50-day MA of 10.34, and above the 200-day MA of 10.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:SFR.

Sandfire Resources Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUSFR
67
Neutral
$5.26B40.035.11%42.05%
51
Neutral
$2.01B-1.11-21.16%3.67%2.69%-30.65%
$179.48M-33.63%
$1.86B1,408.33-36.53%6.27%
$2.47B43.31-33.95%4.54%
$290.89M4.6727.43%
AUOML
74
Outperform
AU$902.46M24.494.91%3.18%0.27%6.59%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:SFR
Sandfire Resources Limited
11.56
2.47
27.17%
SYAAF
Syrah Resources
0.18
-0.12
-40.00%
IPGDF
IGO
2.60
-2.09
-44.56%
MALRF
Mineral Resources Limited
15.50
-30.72
-66.46%
MLXEF
Metals X Limited
0.35
0.06
20.69%
AU:OML
oOh media Ltd
1.68
0.31
22.63%

Sandfire Resources Limited Corporate Events

Sandfire Resources Showcases MATSA Operation to Financial Community
May 16, 2025

Sandfire Resources Ltd is hosting a financial community site visit at its MATSA Operation in Spain, highlighting its modern processing facility and commitment to sustainability. The company reports increased production and safety improvements, with plans to extend the mine’s life and continue operations beyond 2040, supported by renewable energy and new mineral discoveries.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SFR) stock is a Buy with a A$10.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandfire Resources Limited stock, see the AU:SFR Stock Forecast page.

Sandfire Resources Unveils Promising Drilling Results at MATSA
May 16, 2025

Sandfire Resources Ltd has announced promising assay results from its ongoing drilling program at the MATSA mining complex, confirming new mineralised extensions at the Magdalena and Aguas Teñidas sites. These findings are expected to significantly shape future exploration plans and support the company’s strategic objective of increasing ore reserves and extending mine life, thereby enhancing its industry positioning and potential returns for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SFR) stock is a Buy with a A$10.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandfire Resources Limited stock, see the AU:SFR Stock Forecast page.

Sandfire Resources Sells Old Highway Gold Project to Catalyst Metals
May 8, 2025

Sandfire Resources Limited has entered into a binding Sale and Purchase Agreement with Catalyst Metals Limited for the sale of the Old Highway Gold Project, located near Sandfire’s DeGrussa Copper-Gold Mine in Western Australia, for A$32.5 million. The transaction is expected to aid Sandfire in covering rehabilitation costs at DeGrussa and create opportunities for local stakeholders, while increasing the likelihood of the project’s future development, benefiting stakeholders including traditional owners and the local community.

Sandfire Resources Updates on Director’s Shareholdings
May 5, 2025

Sandfire Resources Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically concerning Brendan Harris. Mr. Harris acquired 366,667 ordinary shares due to the vesting of Tranche 2 of Sign on Rights and disposed of 172,333 shares to cover tax liabilities. This change reflects the company’s ongoing management of executive compensation and equity interests, potentially impacting shareholder perceptions and market dynamics.

Change in Substantial Holder Interests for Sandfire Resources
May 1, 2025

Sandfire Resources Limited has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, State Street Bank and Trust Company, which has lent securities and retains a relevant interest under a securities lending agreement. This change in voting power and relevant interests could impact the company’s governance and decision-making processes, potentially affecting its stakeholders and market positioning.

Sandfire Resources Reports Strong Q3 Despite Weather Challenges
Apr 28, 2025

Sandfire Resources Limited reported a decrease in its Total Recordable Injury Frequency and maintained robust production results despite extreme weather challenges in Spain and Botswana. The company achieved significant copper equivalent production and managed cost inflation due to exchange rate fluctuations. Sandfire also simplified its funding arrangements by establishing a new $650M Corporate Revolver Facility, reducing net debt significantly. The company remains on track to meet its annual production guidance and plans to increase copper equivalent production at Motheo in FY26, supported by strong commodity pricing and strategic drilling activities.

Sandfire Resources Secures New $650M Revolver Facility to Streamline Debt
Mar 11, 2025

Sandfire Resources Limited has secured a new unsecured US$650 million Corporate Revolver Facility to replace its existing facility, aiming to repay US$440 million in existing debts and use the remainder for general corporate purposes. This refinancing move is expected to simplify Sandfire’s capital structure, reduce financing costs, and enhance cash flow, positioning the company for improved financial stability and flexibility.

Principal Global Investors Acquires Substantial Stake in Sandfire Resources
Mar 6, 2025

Sandfire Resources Limited has announced that Principal Global Investors, LLC has become a substantial holder in the company, holding 23,442,639 ordinary shares, which represents a 5.11% voting power. This development signifies a strategic investment by Principal Global Investors, potentially impacting Sandfire’s market positioning and signaling confidence in its operations.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.