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Atlas Copco (ATLKY)
OTHER OTC:ATLKY
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Atlas Copco (ATLKY) AI Stock Analysis

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ATLKY

Atlas Copco

(OTC:ATLKY)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$20.50
▲(24.09% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/30/26
The score is driven primarily by strong profitability and a solid balance sheet, tempered by sharply weaker recent revenue and free-cash-flow momentum. Technicals are mildly weak versus key short/intermediate moving averages, and valuation is high (P/E 32.37). The latest earnings call reinforces a cautious near-term outlook due to currency, tariffs, and restructuring, partially offset by resilient margins, cash generation, and shareholder distributions.
Positive Factors
High and stable margins
Persistently strong gross, operating and net margins indicate durable pricing power, efficient operations and attractive unit economics across industrial segments. High margins support sustained cash generation, fund R&D and dividends, and provide a buffer versus cyclical revenue swings.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue contraction
A pronounced TTM revenue decline signals weakening end-market demand or order timings that can persist across quarters in cyclical industrial end markets. Extended top-line pressure risks underutilized capacity, margin erosion and reduced ability to leverage fixed costs over time.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High and stable margins
Persistently strong gross, operating and net margins indicate durable pricing power, efficient operations and attractive unit economics across industrial segments. High margins support sustained cash generation, fund R&D and dividends, and provide a buffer versus cyclical revenue swings.
Read all positive factors

Atlas Copco (ATLKY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Atlas Copco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Atlas Copco AB, together with its subsidiaries, provides productivity solutions. The company operates through Compressor Technique, Vacuum Technique, Industrial Technique, and Power Technique segments. It offers piston compressors, oil-free tooth ...
How the Company Makes Money
Atlas Copco primarily makes money through a mix of equipment sales and aftermarket/service revenue across its business areas. (1) Equipment sales: The company sells industrial compressors (including air and gas compressors) along with air treatmen...

Atlas Copco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: clear commercial and operational strengths (organic order growth in key divisions, robust regional growth in Asia and Europe, strong margins in Compressor Technique, resilient service performance, healthy cash generation, active M&A and shareholder returns) were offset by meaningful near-term headwinds (notably currency effects, acquisition dilution, restructuring costs, tariff/pricing pressure, and declines in Industrial and Power order flows). Management emphasized ongoing mitigation actions (restructuring, pricing, local production, rerouting logistics) and cautious near-term visibility, particularly around semiconductor order timing and a forecasted SEK ~1 billion negative currency impact for Q1 2026. Overall the positives and negatives appear balanced.
Positive Updates
Organic Order Growth and Regional Strength
Group organic order growth of 4% in Q4 2025, driven by strong regional performances: Asia +13% and Europe +10%; North America +8% (adjusted +3% excluding NTE acquisition).
Negative Updates
Revenue Stagnation and Declines
Group revenues were largely unchanged organically for the quarter/year. Vacuum Technique revenues were down 3% organically; Industrial Technique revenues down 3% organically; Power Technique revenues down ~4% driven by rental weakness.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Organic Order Growth and Regional Strength
Group organic order growth of 4% in Q4 2025, driven by strong regional performances: Asia +13% and Europe +10%; North America +8% (adjusted +3% excluding NTE acquisition).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The near‑term guidance was cautious: management expects the group's customer activity level to stay broadly flat into Q1 (i.e., no uplift in orders), with Compressor Technique likewise seeing a flat activity level and Vacuum Technique showing more customer interactions but not necessarily Q1 orders; Industrial Technique remains weak (automotive) and is being further reorganized (SEK 261m provision booked). Key numeric forward indicators cited were an expected effective tax rate of ~22.5% in Q1 (vs. the Q4 effective 20.5%), continued negative currency effects (management expects at least ~SEK 1 billion adverse impact on the bottom line in Q1), and ongoing tariff headwinds that were similar to Q3 (estimated at well under 1 percentage point on margin today and to be mitigated over coming quarters by pricing, rerouting and local assembly). They reiterated mid‑20% area profitability (Q4 adjusted profit margin ~20.5%, full‑year adjusted operating margin ~20.7%), noted recent deal activity (8 acquisitions in Q4, 29 for the year) and strong cash generation (Q4 cash flow SEK 6.8bn, full year SEK 26.8bn), and announced a proposed total shareholder distribution of SEK 5 per share (SEK 3 ordinary + SEK 2 extra, paid in April and October).

Atlas Copco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and consistent profitability (TTM gross margin ~43%, operating margin ~20%, net margin ~15.7%) and a conservatively financed balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.29; ROE ~24%). Offsetting these strengths are sharply weakening momentum: revenue contraction (TTM about -45%) and a steep deterioration in free cash flow growth (TTM about -581%) despite still-positive cash conversion (~88% of net income).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue157.53B158.24B176.77B172.66B141.32B110.91B
Gross Profit67.13B67.88B75.74B75.12B59.38B46.53B
EBITDA41.05B41.02B47.50B45.12B36.14B28.69B
Net Income26.21B24.83B29.78B28.04B23.48B18.13B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets214.45B202.46B208.54B182.68B172.30B136.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.27B15.92B19.33B11.22B11.85B19.58B
Total Debt35.28B34.90B34.71B32.71B36.30B24.85B
Total Liabilities93.11B92.07B94.78B91.18B92.28B69.05B
Stockholders Equity121.15B110.21B113.70B91.45B79.98B67.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow25.50B26.58B30.86B22.63B16.35B19.79B
Operating Cash Flow29.17B30.61B36.89B28.08B21.38B23.15B
Investing Cash Flow-15.13B-16.56B-13.32B-9.39B-15.50B-6.12B
Financing Cash Flow-13.90B-15.39B-15.86B-18.28B-14.65B-10.32B

Atlas Copco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.52
Price Trends
50DMA
19.53
Positive
100DMA
19.17
Positive
200DMA
17.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.36
Negative
RSI
69.88
Neutral
STOCH
93.03
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATLKY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.37, below the 50-day MA of 19.53, and below the 200-day MA of 17.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.03 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ATLKY.

Atlas Copco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$114.78B32.8225.65%0.79%2.78%13.31%
73
Outperform
$45.94B35.9427.69%1.33%5.84%8.84%
72
Outperform
$74.36B23.4895.18%2.43%0.92%-10.50%
69
Neutral
$88.54B32.3723.75%1.29%6.16%0.83%
69
Neutral
$78.97B30.8111.60%1.58%3.61%-2.57%
67
Neutral
$31.25B5.80%0.10%6.86%-26.67%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATLKY
Atlas Copco
19.25
3.76
24.28%
EMR
Emerson Electric Company
137.45
30.90
29.00%
ITW
Illinois Tool Works
255.47
19.13
8.09%
PH
Parker Hannifin
882.23
268.88
43.84%
ROK
Rockwell Automation
407.43
157.61
63.09%
IR
Ingersoll Rand
77.99
1.33
1.74%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026