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Atlas Copco (ATLKY)
OTHER OTC:ATLKY

Atlas Copco (ATLKY) AI Stock Analysis

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ATLKY

Atlas Copco

(OTC:ATLKY)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
â–²(11.99% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/26/26
The score is anchored by strong underlying financial quality (durable margins, strong ROE, positive free cash flow), but is held back by weakening 2025 growth/cash-flow momentum and very weak technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is relatively expensive versus the modest yield, while the latest earnings call suggests balanced fundamentals with cautious near-term visibility and meaningful currency/restructuring headwinds.
Positive Factors
Durable Profitability
Consistently high gross and EBIT margins with strong ROE indicate structurally profitable operations across cycles. This margin base supports steady operating cash flow and resilience to cyclical downturns, underpinning long‑term ability to fund investments and returns.
Negative Factors
Weakening Revenue Momentum
A shift from prior growth to declining 2025 revenues signals cyclical pressures in equipment demand. Sustained revenue weakness reduces operating leverage, may compress margins and slows earnings and cash‑flow growth until end‑markets recover, over multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Durable Profitability
Consistently high gross and EBIT margins with strong ROE indicate structurally profitable operations across cycles. This margin base supports steady operating cash flow and resilience to cyclical downturns, underpinning long‑term ability to fund investments and returns.
Read all positive factors

Atlas Copco (ATLKY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Atlas Copco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Atlas Copco AB, together with its subsidiaries, provides productivity solutions. The company operates through Compressor Technique, Vacuum Technique, Industrial Technique, and Power Technique segments. It offers piston compressors, oil-free tooth ...
How the Company Makes Money
Atlas Copco primarily makes money through a mix of equipment sales and aftermarket/service revenue across its business areas. (1) Equipment sales: The company sells industrial compressors (including air and gas compressors) along with air treatmen...

Atlas Copco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: clear commercial and operational strengths (organic order growth in key divisions, robust regional growth in Asia and Europe, strong margins in Compressor Technique, resilient service performance, healthy cash generation, active M&A and shareholder returns) were offset by meaningful near-term headwinds (notably currency effects, acquisition dilution, restructuring costs, tariff/pricing pressure, and declines in Industrial and Power order flows). Management emphasized ongoing mitigation actions (restructuring, pricing, local production, rerouting logistics) and cautious near-term visibility, particularly around semiconductor order timing and a forecasted SEK ~1 billion negative currency impact for Q1 2026. Overall the positives and negatives appear balanced.
Positive Updates
Organic Order Growth and Regional Strength
Group organic order growth of 4% in Q4 2025, driven by strong regional performances: Asia +13% and Europe +10%; North America +8% (adjusted +3% excluding NTE acquisition).
Negative Updates
Revenue Stagnation and Declines
Group revenues were largely unchanged organically for the quarter/year. Vacuum Technique revenues were down 3% organically; Industrial Technique revenues down 3% organically; Power Technique revenues down ~4% driven by rental weakness.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Organic Order Growth and Regional Strength
Group organic order growth of 4% in Q4 2025, driven by strong regional performances: Asia +13% and Europe +10%; North America +8% (adjusted +3% excluding NTE acquisition).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The near‑term guidance was cautious: management expects the group's customer activity level to stay broadly flat into Q1 (i.e., no uplift in orders), with Compressor Technique likewise seeing a flat activity level and Vacuum Technique showing more customer interactions but not necessarily Q1 orders; Industrial Technique remains weak (automotive) and is being further reorganized (SEK 261m provision booked). Key numeric forward indicators cited were an expected effective tax rate of ~22.5% in Q1 (vs. the Q4 effective 20.5%), continued negative currency effects (management expects at least ~SEK 1 billion adverse impact on the bottom line in Q1), and ongoing tariff headwinds that were similar to Q3 (estimated at well under 1 percentage point on margin today and to be mitigated over coming quarters by pricing, rerouting and local assembly). They reiterated mid‑20% area profitability (Q4 adjusted profit margin ~20.5%, full‑year adjusted operating margin ~20.7%), noted recent deal activity (8 acquisitions in Q4, 29 for the year) and strong cash generation (Q4 cash flow SEK 6.8bn, full year SEK 26.8bn), and announced a proposed total shareholder distribution of SEK 5 per share (SEK 3 ordinary + SEK 2 extra, paid in April and October).

Atlas Copco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality profitability and returns (gross margin ~41%–44%, EBIT margin ~19%–22%, ROE ~23%–31%) with solid, consistently positive free cash flow. The main drag is weakening momentum: revenue declined in 2025 (-7.4%) and free cash flow fell (-11.7%), suggesting a cyclical slowdown.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue158.24B176.77B172.66B141.32B110.91B
Gross Profit67.88B75.74B75.12B59.38B46.53B
EBITDA41.02B47.50B45.12B36.14B28.69B
Net Income24.83B29.78B28.04B23.48B18.13B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets202.46B208.54B182.68B172.30B136.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.92B19.33B11.22B11.85B19.58B
Total Debt34.90B34.71B32.71B36.30B24.85B
Total Liabilities92.07B94.78B91.18B92.28B69.05B
Stockholders Equity110.21B113.70B91.45B79.98B67.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.58B30.86B22.63B16.35B19.79B
Operating Cash Flow30.61B36.89B28.08B21.38B23.15B
Investing Cash Flow-16.56B-13.32B-9.39B-15.50B-6.12B
Financing Cash Flow-15.39B-15.86B-18.28B-14.65B-10.32B

Atlas Copco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.52
Price Trends
50DMA
19.67
Negative
100DMA
18.92
Positive
200DMA
17.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.39
Negative
RSI
58.53
Neutral
STOCH
85.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATLKY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.79, below the 50-day MA of 19.67, and below the 200-day MA of 17.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ATLKY.

Atlas Copco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$121.93B32.8225.65%0.79%0.22%26.66%
72
Outperform
$77.67B23.4895.18%2.43%-0.41%-10.88%
70
Outperform
$33.16B54.245.70%0.10%4.20%-34.47%
69
Neutral
$80.22B30.8111.60%1.58%2.97%18.14%
68
Neutral
$43.82B35.9427.69%1.33%0.98%-7.51%
67
Neutral
$89.32B32.3724.69%1.29%1.46%-0.30%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATLKY
Atlas Copco
19.27
4.50
30.51%
EMR
Emerson Electric Company
142.66
44.56
45.43%
ITW
Illinois Tool Works
269.51
48.30
21.83%
PH
Parker Hannifin
966.05
411.00
74.05%
ROK
Rockwell Automation
389.97
163.29
72.03%
IR
Ingersoll Rand
84.67
13.80
19.47%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 26, 2026