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Alphatec (ATEC)
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Alphatec Holdings (ATEC) AI Stock Analysis

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ATEC

Alphatec Holdings

(NASDAQ:ATEC)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▼(-4.20% Downside)
Alphatec Holdings' overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and positive technical indicators, offset by significant financial performance challenges and a weak valuation. The company's robust revenue growth and market positioning are promising, but financial risks and liquidity concerns remain critical factors.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Alphatec reported total revenues of $186M for the quarter, higher than consensus estimate of $179M.
Financial Performance
The company achieved its consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA of $23M, an increase of $18M YoY.
Market Position
ATEC's work to drive clinical differentiation with its enabling technologies and procedural solutions appears to be paying off, as ATEC notes it is an 8% market share player, the largest pure-play spine company.
Negative Factors
International Expansion
International revenues are not expected to make a material impact to the topline in 2025.

Alphatec Holdings (ATEC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alphatec Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlphatec Holdings, Inc., a medical technology company, designs, develops, and advances technologies for the surgical treatment of spinal disorders. The company offers SafeOp Neural InformatiX System, an Alpha InformatiX product platform designed to reduce the risk of intraoperative nerve injury; Sigma transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion pedicle-based access system that provides direct visualization of anatomical landmarks; Sigma PTP Access and Patient Positioning System; squadron lateral retractor designed to maximize patient outcomes; Invictus Spinal Fixation System, a thoracolumbar fixation system to treat a range of pathologies; and Invictus MIS SingleStep System that provides minimally invasive pedicle screw placement. It also provides Invictus Modular Fixation Systems designed to increase adaptability with the power of screw modularity; OsseoScrew system to restore the integrity of the spinal column; Arsenal spinal fixation system, a comprehensive thoracolumbar fixation platform to fix a range of degenerative to deformity pathologies and surgical procedures; Aspida Anterior Lumbar Plating System, a fixation system for anterior lumbar interbody fusion; AMP Anti-Migration Plate; OCT Spinal Fixation System; trestle luxe anterior cervical plate system; and Insignia Anterior Cervical Plate System. In addition, the company offers IdentiTi Porous Ti, Transcend Lateral, and Battalion Posterior Interbody Implants; and biologics consisting of Cervical Structural Allograft Spacers, 3D ProFuse Demineralized Bone Scaffold, Neocore Osteoconductive Matrix, Alphagraft Demineralized and Cellular Bone Matrix, and Amnioshield Amniotic Tissue Barrier, as well as EOS imaging products. It sells its products through a network of independent distributors and direct sales representatives in the United States. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlphatec Holdings generates revenue through the sale of its spinal surgical products, which include implants, surgical instruments, and related technologies. The company's primary revenue streams come from direct sales to hospitals, surgical centers, and healthcare providers. Additionally, ATEC engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with healthcare institutions and surgical experts, which not only enhance its product offerings but also expand its market reach. The company's focus on innovation, including the development of advanced technologies and minimally invasive surgical solutions, contributes to its competitive advantage and revenue growth.

Alphatec Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong quarter with record financial performance, significant revenue growth, and strategic market positioning. While there are some challenges such as flat gross margins and anticipated tariff impacts, the overall outlook remains positive with increased guidance and strong cash flow.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Adjusted EBITDA
Achieved a record $23 million in adjusted EBITDA, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA and a 4x improvement over the same quarter last year.
Significant Revenue Growth
Total revenue reached $186 million, a 27% increase year-over-year, with surgical revenue growing by 29%.
Strong Cash Position
Ended the quarter with $217 million in cash and available cash, demonstrating strong cash management and financial stability.
Market Share Achievement
Achieved the position of third in market share in the U.S. spine market, indicating strong competitive positioning.
Surgeon User Growth
Surgeon user growth reached 21%, reflecting strong adoption and demand for ATEC's products.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Generated $5 million in free cash flow, reinforcing the company's profitability and cash generation capabilities.
Increased Full-Year Guidance
Raised full-year revenue guidance by $8 million to $742 million, reflecting confidence in continued strong performance.
Negative Updates
Flat Gross Margin
Non-GAAP gross margin was flat sequentially and down 130 basis points compared to the previous year, primarily due to product mix changes.
Tariff Impact on Costs
Expected tariffs in the second half of the year are anticipated to impact costs of goods sold by low single-digit millions of dollars.
Sequential Revenue Decline Anticipated
A typical sequential step down in revenue from Q2 to Q3 is expected, reflecting normal seasonality.
Company Guidance
During the ATEC second quarter 2025 financial results call, the company reported a robust performance, highlighting a 29% growth in surgical revenue, significantly outpacing the market. Total revenue reached $186 million, with a 27% year-over-year increase. The company achieved a record adjusted EBITDA of $23 million, marking a 4x improvement from the previous year, and generated $5 million in free cash flow. ATEC also reported a 21% growth in surgeon users, reflecting strong adoption of their procedures. The company's non-GAAP gross margin was 70%, and non-GAAP operating expenses were 66% of sales. ATEC revised its full-year revenue guidance to $742 million, up by $8 million, and expects adjusted EBITDA to reach $83 million, a $5 million increase from prior guidance. The company remains confident in its ability to deliver positive free cash flow for the full year, with expectations of continued strong revenue growth and incremental profit margin expansion.

Alphatec Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alphatec Holdings shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and high leverage. Consistently negative net income and high debt-to-equity ratio are concerning, though strategic financing supports liquidity.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Alphatec Holdings has shown significant revenue growth over the years, with TTM revenue at $589 million compared to $144 million in 2020. However, the company is struggling with profitability as indicated by consistently negative net income and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin remains healthy, but low EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate high operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio due to significant leverage, with total debt at $581 million against equity of $55 million in the latest TTM. Although assets have been growing, equity remains low, suggesting potential solvency concerns. Positive cash and short-term investments provide some liquidity cushion.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Alphatec Holdings has consistently negative free cash flow, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. However, financing activities have provided cash inflows, supporting liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue682.24M611.56M482.26M350.87M243.21M144.86M
Gross Profit469.41M424.26M310.20M233.06M157.76M102.50M
EBITDA-68.13M-53.87M-110.59M-102.58M-106.88M-54.84M
Net Income-166.00M-162.12M-186.64M-152.15M-144.33M-78.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets790.29M775.71M805.21M513.38M572.05M261.22M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments157.06M138.84M220.97M84.70M187.25M107.77M
Total Debt586.63M609.94M541.68M395.86M4.55M5.08M
Total Liabilities742.92M789.88M703.49M550.09M492.63M131.34M
Stockholders Equity47.37M-14.17M101.72M-36.71M79.42M129.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-28.19M-137.79M-165.46M-133.42M-141.98M-70.30M
Operating Cash Flow15.69M-44.65M-78.48M-75.14M-73.43M-46.41M
Investing Cash Flow-47.41M-93.14M-141.97M-58.28M-157.76M-23.86M
Financing Cash Flow88.46M56.21M356.92M31.23M311.97M130.83M

Alphatec Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.18
Price Trends
50DMA
12.67
Positive
100DMA
12.16
Positive
200DMA
11.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.04
Positive
RSI
73.97
Negative
STOCH
57.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATEC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.27, above the 50-day MA of 12.67, and above the 200-day MA of 11.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 73.97 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ATEC.

Alphatec Holdings Risk Analysis

Alphatec Holdings disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alphatec Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alphatec Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.68B24.8719.29%40.98%34.80%
67
Neutral
$1.25B17.224.76%-0.61%
61
Neutral
$3.09B30.62-17.87%8.57%-1154.64%
58
Neutral
$2.38B-376.89%26.27%15.58%
55
Neutral
$2.08B-5.01%7.44%-109.83%
51
Neutral
$7.83B-0.18-40.10%2.29%21.46%-2.03%
48
Neutral
$1.21B-261.18%17.22%1.65%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATEC
Alphatec Holdings
16.18
9.33
136.20%
AORT
Artivion
43.74
16.88
62.84%
UFPT
Ufp Technologies
214.57
-119.72
-35.81%
LIVN
LivaNova
56.49
6.25
12.44%
AHCO
AdaptHealth
9.21
-1.86
-16.80%
ESTA
Establishment Labs Holdings
42.44
-2.08
-4.67%

Alphatec Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Alphatec Holdings Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Alphatec Holdings, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where several key proposals were approved. The stockholders agreed to amend the company’s Certificate of Incorporation to increase the number of authorized shares, elected members to the Board of Directors, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent accounting firm, and approved amendments to the Equity Incentive Plan and executive compensation. These decisions are poised to impact the company’s operational flexibility and governance structure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025