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Alphatec Holdings (ATEC)
NASDAQ:ATEC
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Alphatec Holdings (ATEC) AI Stock Analysis

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ATEC

Alphatec Holdings

(NASDAQ:ATEC)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$19.50
▼(-0.56% Downside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by strong earnings call results, showcasing significant revenue growth and improved guidance. However, financial performance is weighed down by high leverage and negative profitability, and valuation metrics are unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio. Technical analysis indicates strong momentum, but caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates expanding market presence and successful product adoption, supporting long-term business expansion.
Product Expansion
Expanding product lines enhance competitive positioning and address diverse market needs, driving sustainable growth.
Cash Position
A strong cash position provides financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and manage economic uncertainties.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and limits the company's ability to invest in growth or weather economic downturns.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues can hinder reinvestment in the business and affect long-term financial health.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow limits the company's ability to fund operations internally, potentially affecting future growth.

Alphatec Holdings (ATEC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alphatec Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlphatec Holdings, Inc., a medical technology company, designs, develops, and advances technologies for the surgical treatment of spinal disorders. The company offers SafeOp Neural InformatiX System, an Alpha InformatiX product platform designed to reduce the risk of intraoperative nerve injury; Sigma transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion pedicle-based access system that provides direct visualization of anatomical landmarks; Sigma PTP Access and Patient Positioning System; squadron lateral retractor designed to maximize patient outcomes; Invictus Spinal Fixation System, a thoracolumbar fixation system to treat a range of pathologies; and Invictus MIS SingleStep System that provides minimally invasive pedicle screw placement. It also provides Invictus Modular Fixation Systems designed to increase adaptability with the power of screw modularity; OsseoScrew system to restore the integrity of the spinal column; Arsenal spinal fixation system, a comprehensive thoracolumbar fixation platform to fix a range of degenerative to deformity pathologies and surgical procedures; Aspida Anterior Lumbar Plating System, a fixation system for anterior lumbar interbody fusion; AMP Anti-Migration Plate; OCT Spinal Fixation System; trestle luxe anterior cervical plate system; and Insignia Anterior Cervical Plate System. In addition, the company offers IdentiTi Porous Ti, Transcend Lateral, and Battalion Posterior Interbody Implants; and biologics consisting of Cervical Structural Allograft Spacers, 3D ProFuse Demineralized Bone Scaffold, Neocore Osteoconductive Matrix, Alphagraft Demineralized and Cellular Bone Matrix, and Amnioshield Amniotic Tissue Barrier, as well as EOS imaging products. It sells its products through a network of independent distributors and direct sales representatives in the United States. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlphatec Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its spinal surgery products, which include surgical implants, instruments, and biologics. The company operates on a model that combines direct sales to hospitals and healthcare providers with partnerships with distributors and surgical centers. Key revenue streams include sales of spinal fusion devices, motion preservation products, and surgical instruments used in various spinal procedures. Additionally, ATEC may benefit from strategic partnerships with healthcare professionals and institutions that facilitate the adoption of its products in clinical settings, leading to increased sales and market penetration.

Alphatec Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
ATEC demonstrated strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, increased surgeon adoption, and positive free cash flow. The company raised its full-year guidance and achieved record adjusted EBITDA. While there are some challenges related to tariff impacts and market disruption, the overall performance and strategic positioning indicate a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
ATEC reported a total revenue of $197 million in Q3 2025, representing a 30% increase year-over-year. Surgical revenue grew by 31% compared to the prior year period.
Increased Surgeon Adoption
New surgeon users increased by 26% in Q3 2025, indicating strong adoption of ATEC's procedures. Same-store sales grew by 30% year-over-year.
Positive Free Cash Flow
ATEC reported positive free cash flow of $5 million for the quarter and $14 million in cash from operating activities.
Raising Full Year Guidance
Due to strong performance, ATEC raised its full year revenue guidance by $18 million to $760 million.
Record Adjusted EBITDA
The company achieved a record adjusted EBITDA of $26 million in Q3 2025, with an 840 basis points improvement year-over-year.
Expansion of Product Offerings
ATEC is expanding its product offerings with multiple new products in the pipeline, including mechanized arms and new solutions for lateral and cervical spine surgeries.
Strong Balance Sheet
ATEC ended the third quarter with $156 million in cash and $60 million of available borrowing on the revolving credit line, totaling $216 million in cash and available cash.
Negative Updates
Tariff Impact on Costs
Adjusted EBITDA guidance includes the impact of expected tariffs in the second half of the year, estimated to be in the low single-digit millions of dollars for the full year.
Challenges in Market Disruption
While market disruption is seen as an opportunity, it poses challenges as these dynamics are multi-year and do not happen overnight.
Company Guidance
During ATEC's third-quarter financial results call, the company emphasized its strong financial performance and positive guidance. ATEC reported a 30% year-over-year increase in total revenue, reaching $197 million, with surgical revenue growing by 31% and EOS revenue increasing by 29%. The company highlighted its adjusted EBITDA of $26 million, representing 13% of revenue and an improvement of 840 basis points. ATEC also achieved a free cash flow of $5 million and ended the quarter with $156 million in cash and $60 million available from its credit line. The company raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance by $18 million to $760 million and expects adjusted EBITDA of $91 million. ATEC's strategic focus on proceduralization and advancing its spine-focused offerings, including new technologies like the Valence system, positions it for durable, profitable growth, with aspirations to reach $1 billion in revenue by 2027.

Alphatec Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alphatec Holdings shows revenue growth but faces significant challenges in profitability and cash flow management. High leverage and negative equity increase financial risk, while declining cash flow metrics highlight liquidity concerns.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Alphatec Holdings shows a positive revenue growth trend with a 6.22% increase in TTM, indicating potential market expansion. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin remains relatively strong at around 68.8%, but the persistent negative net income and EBIT margins highlight ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 12.38 in TTM, indicating potential financial risk. The negative return on equity suggests inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, reflecting a heavy reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if market conditions change.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a concerning decline in free cash flow growth by 65.07% in TTM, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting challenges in converting earnings into cash. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio further underscores the company's struggle to generate positive cash flow from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue728.02M611.56M482.26M350.87M243.21M144.86M
Gross Profit503.99M424.26M310.20M233.06M157.76M102.50M
EBITDA-52.22M-53.87M-110.59M-102.58M-106.88M-54.84M
Net Income-154.96M-162.12M-186.64M-151.29M-143.03M-78.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets787.25M775.71M805.21M520.97M572.05M265.22M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments155.74M138.84M220.97M84.70M187.25M107.77M
Total Debt591.15M609.94M541.68M395.86M355.43M43.16M
Total Liabilities775.74M766.28M703.49M555.63M492.63M107.74M
Stockholders Equity11.51M9.43M101.72M-34.67M79.42M157.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-14.00K-137.79M-165.46M-133.41M-141.86M-70.30M
Operating Cash Flow35.07M-44.65M-78.48M-75.13M-73.32M-46.41M
Investing Cash Flow-41.42M-93.14M-141.97M-58.28M-157.76M-23.86M
Financing Cash Flow80.45M56.21M356.92M31.23M311.97M130.83M

Alphatec Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.61
Price Trends
50DMA
16.38
Positive
100DMA
15.02
Positive
200DMA
13.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.12
Positive
RSI
65.19
Neutral
STOCH
21.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATEC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.98, above the 50-day MA of 16.38, and above the 200-day MA of 13.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 65.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ATEC.

Alphatec Holdings Risk Analysis

Alphatec Holdings disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alphatec Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alphatec Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.69B24.3318.31%29.47%23.24%
72
Outperform
$1.23B16.694.77%-0.23%
61
Neutral
$2.11B-2.45%9.81%-1067.00%
58
Neutral
$2.91B-540.40%27.11%17.66%
58
Neutral
$2.94B-17.63%8.97%-1024.86%
55
Neutral
$1.43B-16.14-338.19%24.76%-10.41%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATEC
Alphatec Holdings
19.61
9.55
94.93%
AORT
Artivion
44.08
15.81
55.93%
UFPT
Ufp Technologies
209.85
-101.42
-32.58%
LIVN
LivaNova
53.42
2.10
4.09%
AHCO
AdaptHealth
9.11
-0.75
-7.61%
ESTA
Establishment Labs Holdings
66.05
22.97
53.32%

Alphatec Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Alphatec Holdings Mourns Loss of Board Member
Negative
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, Alphatec Holdings announced the passing of Jeffrey P. Rydin, a respected member of its Board of Directors, who died on November 3, 2025, after a lengthy illness. Rydin, who joined ATEC in 2016, played a pivotal role in transforming the company’s sales channel and was instrumental in its turnaround efforts. His contributions were highly valued by the company, and his passing is deeply mourned by the ATEC community, highlighting his significant impact on the company’s culture and momentum.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATEC) stock is a Buy with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alphatec Holdings stock, see the ATEC Stock Forecast page.

Alphatec’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth and Positive Outlook
Nov 1, 2025

Alphatec’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health and strategic growth, with the company showcasing significant revenue increases, enhanced surgeon engagement, and a solid cash flow position. Despite facing some challenges from tariffs and market disruptions, the overall sentiment was optimistic, underscoring a positive outlook for the future.

Alphatec Reports Strong Q3 2025 Revenue Growth
Oct 31, 2025

Alphatec Holdings, Inc., a medical device company specializing in innovative spine surgery solutions, has reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025. The company, known for its focus on clinical distinction in spine surgery, operates primarily in the healthcare sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025