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Asm International (ASMIY)
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ASM International (ASMIY) AI Stock Analysis

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ASMIY

ASM International

(OTC:ASMIY)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$625.00
▼(-1.65% Downside)
ASM International's strong financial performance and positive long-term outlook from the earnings call are significant strengths. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the stock's valuation appears high, which may limit short-term upside potential.

ASM International (ASMIY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ASM International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionASM International N.V. (ASMIY) is a leading supplier of equipment and materials used in the semiconductor manufacturing industry. The company specializes in the development and production of atomic layer deposition (ALD) and other advanced manufacturing technologies that enable the fabrication of semiconductors and microelectronics. ASM International operates primarily in the semiconductor sector and offers a range of products, including ALD systems, epitaxy systems, and other deposition technologies, aimed at enhancing the performance and efficiency of semiconductor devices.
How the Company Makes MoneyASM International generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor manufacturing equipment and systems, which are sold to foundries and integrated device manufacturers (IDMs) globally. The company's revenue model includes both product sales and ongoing service contracts, which provide maintenance, support, and upgrades for the equipment sold. Key revenue streams include the initial sale of ALD and epitaxy systems, as well as recurring revenue from service agreements and spare parts. Additionally, ASMIY benefits from strategic partnerships with major semiconductor manufacturers and technology companies, which facilitate collaboration on research and development initiatives, further driving growth and innovation in their product offerings.

ASM International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and a robust gross margin, driven by increases in equipment sales and strategic wins in new areas. However, there were significant challenges, including a decline in order intake, market difficulties in China, and ongoing weakness in certain segments. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a positive long-term outlook with increased financial targets for 2030.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Third quarter 2025 revenue reached EUR 800 million, up 8% year-on-year at constant currency, driven by a 10% increase in equipment sales.
Strong Gross Margin
Gross margin remained strong at 51.9%, up from 49.4% in the third quarter of last year.
Positive Cash Flow
Free cash flow amounted to EUR 239 million in Q3, excluding earn-outs, and EUR 628 million in the first nine months.
New Wins in Advanced Packaging
Recent new wins in Epi and ALD dipole and work function-related layers in DRAM HBM expected to ramp in 2026 and 2027.
Increased 2030 Financial Targets
ASM raised its gross margin target to 47%-51% and expects revenue to grow to more than EUR 5.7 billion by 2030.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Orders
New orders amounted to EUR 637 million, a decrease of 7% compared to the second quarter and the third quarter of last year.
China Market Challenges
Significant drop in bookings from China, with expected decline in sales from China in the second half compared to the first half.
Memory Sales Decline
Memory sales decreased compared to Q3 of last year, primarily due to reduced sales from Chinese customers.
Uncertainty in Power/Analog/Wafer Segment
Continued weak market conditions with no immediate signs of recovery in the power/analog/wafer segment.
Impact of Export Controls
Additional impact incurred from export restrictions announced earlier in the month, affecting sales projections.
Company Guidance
During the ASM International Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance highlighting several key metrics and trends. Revenue for Q3 2025 reached EUR 800 million, reflecting an 8% year-on-year increase at constant currency, and was at the high end of their guidance range of flat to down 5%. The gross margin remained strong at 51.9%, up from 49.4% in the previous year, though it is expected to slightly decrease to around 51% for the full year due to a less favorable mix. For Q4 2025, ASM expects revenue between EUR 630 million and EUR 660 million, with full-year revenue growth anticipated to be close to 10% at constant currencies. SG&A expenses decreased by 10% year-on-year, and gross R&D was up by 10%, partially offset by higher capitalized development expenses. Looking forward, ASM projects revenue growth in 2026, driven by advanced logic/foundry and DRAM markets, despite a projected double-digit decline in China sales. The company aims for revenue to exceed EUR 5.7 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of at least 12% from 2024 to 2030, and has raised its gross margin target to 47%-51%.

ASM International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ASM International exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, high profitability margins, low leverage, and effective cash flow management. The company is well-positioned for future growth in the competitive semiconductor industry, with minimal risks due to low debt levels and a strong equity base.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
ASM International shows strong financial performance with increasing revenue and profitability. The Gross Profit Margin stands robust at approximately 50.5% for 2024, reflecting efficient production and pricing strategies. Net Profit Margin is healthy at 23.4%, indicating solid bottom-line profitability. Revenue growth from 2023 to 2024 is notable at 11.3%, showcasing solid business expansion. EBIT and EBITDA Margins are commendable at 27.3% and 33.8%, respectively, highlighting operational efficiency and effective cost management.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects financial stability with a very low Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.006, indicating minimal leverage and low financial risk. The Return on Equity (ROE) is a strong 18.3%, showcasing effective use of shareholder capital to generate profits. The Equity Ratio is high at 72.6%, suggesting a solid equity base and low reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
ASM International demonstrates strong cash flow management with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 27.4% from 2023 to 2024, indicating robust cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.31 reflects efficient conversion of income into cash. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.78, demonstrating good cash retention after capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.26B2.93B2.63B2.41B1.73B1.33B
Gross Profit1.67B1.48B1.27B1.14B828.13M623.57M
EBITDA1.18B990.54M834.57M594.06M667.76M393.79M
Net Income527.15M685.73M752.07M389.11M494.71M285.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.04B5.16B4.23B3.75B2.71B2.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.04B926.00M637.26M419.31M491.51M435.23M
Total Debt0.0035.26M33.56M28.12M23.46M6.22M
Total Liabilities1.47B1.41B999.92M1.00B469.33M375.21M
Stockholders Equity3.57B3.75B3.23B2.75B2.24B1.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow754.20M532.92M418.18M333.01M223.79M101.56M
Operating Cash Flow1.14B897.65M735.89M541.49M380.64M264.35M
Investing Cash Flow-373.25M-349.97M-289.04M-474.88M-114.40M-144.31M
Financing Cash Flow-297.61M-301.03M-236.05M-132.60M-240.26M-170.45M

ASM International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price635.47
Price Trends
50DMA
609.18
Negative
100DMA
566.90
Positive
200DMA
545.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-10.26
Positive
RSI
34.07
Neutral
STOCH
3.44
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASMIY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 635.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 621.83, above the 50-day MA of 609.18, and above the 200-day MA of 545.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -10.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ASMIY.

ASM International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$28.35B32.1621.33%0.58%21.38%49.42%
69
Neutral
$33.69B14.6111.17%2.53%8.01%10.41%
68
Neutral
$18.52B59.453.87%-16.13%-81.06%
63
Neutral
$18.28B14.4010.97%6.68%5.87%-20.93%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$19.89B39.283.00%1.55%-17.33%-76.71%
56
Neutral
$18.22B-0.38%0.25%-106.22%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASMIY
ASM International
570.88
51.60
9.94%
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co
14.07
4.51
47.18%
ON
ON Semiconductor
46.12
-22.35
-32.64%
STM
STMicroelectronics
22.35
-1.91
-7.87%
UMC
United Micro
7.23
0.77
11.92%
GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc
32.94
-9.06
-21.57%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 19, 2025