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ASM International NV (ASMIY)
OTHER OTC:ASMIY

ASM International (ASMIY) AI Stock Analysis

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ASMIY

ASM International

(OTC:ASMIY)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$904.00
▲(63.11% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/18/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, low leverage, and growing free cash flow). Earnings call commentary supports a positive long-term outlook but flags near-term demand/order and China-related risks. Technicals are strong but appear overextended, while valuation is the main headwind due to a high P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High Profitability
Sustained high gross and net margins indicate durable pricing power and differentiated technology (ALD/epitaxy). Robust margins support reinvestment in R&D, absorb cyclical downturns, and enable consistent internal funding for product development and long-term competitiveness.
Very Low Leverage
Extremely low leverage and a high equity ratio provide financial flexibility to fund capex, M&A or R&D without stressing liquidity. This reduces refinancing and covenant risk, making the company better positioned to weather semiconductor cycle volatility over the next several years.
Strong Cash Generation
Consistent FCF growth and healthy cash conversion underpin sustainable internal funding for product development and shareholder returns. Reliable cash generation also supports resilience through downturns and enables strategic investments to extend competitive advantages in equipment and services.
Negative Factors
China Market Weakness
A substantial decline in China bookings represents a structural revenue risk given China's size in semiconductor demand. Export controls and reduced Chinese customer spending can permanently reduce addressable market share and delay product ramps, pressuring multi-year growth trajectories.
Order Intake Softness
A sustained drop in order intake signals lower near-term demand visibility and potential underutilization of production capacity. If persistent, weaker bookings can compress future revenue and margin scalability, complicating investment planning and the delivery of raised long-term targets.
End-market Concentration Risk
Declines in memory-related sales and ongoing weakness in power/analog/wafer segments highlight exposure to cyclical end-markets. Heavy reliance on memory and select segments increases revenue volatility and may delay commercialization of new product wins in advanced logic and DRAM.

ASM International (ASMIY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ASM International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionASM International NV, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, marketing, and servicing of equipment and materials that are used to produce semiconductor devices in the United States, Europe, and Asia. Its products include wafer processing deposition systems for single-wafer atomic layer deposition, plasma enhanced chemical vapor deposition, epitaxy, and batch diffusion/furnace systems, as well as provides spare parts and support services. The company also manufactures and sells equipment, which is used in wafer processing, encompassing the fabrication steps in which silicon wafers are layered with semiconductor devices. It serves manufacturers of semiconductor devices and integrated circuits. The company was formerly known as Advanced Semiconductor Materials International NV. ASM International NV was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Almere, the Netherlands.
How the Company Makes MoneyASM International generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor manufacturing equipment and systems, which are sold to foundries and integrated device manufacturers (IDMs) globally. The company's revenue model includes both product sales and ongoing service contracts, which provide maintenance, support, and upgrades for the equipment sold. Key revenue streams include the initial sale of ALD and epitaxy systems, as well as recurring revenue from service agreements and spare parts. Additionally, ASMIY benefits from strategic partnerships with major semiconductor manufacturers and technology companies, which facilitate collaboration on research and development initiatives, further driving growth and innovation in their product offerings.

ASM International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and a robust gross margin, driven by increases in equipment sales and strategic wins in new areas. However, there were significant challenges, including a decline in order intake, market difficulties in China, and ongoing weakness in certain segments. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a positive long-term outlook with increased financial targets for 2030.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Third quarter 2025 revenue reached EUR 800 million, up 8% year-on-year at constant currency, driven by a 10% increase in equipment sales.
Strong Gross Margin
Gross margin remained strong at 51.9%, up from 49.4% in the third quarter of last year.
Positive Cash Flow
Free cash flow amounted to EUR 239 million in Q3, excluding earn-outs, and EUR 628 million in the first nine months.
New Wins in Advanced Packaging
Recent new wins in Epi and ALD dipole and work function-related layers in DRAM HBM expected to ramp in 2026 and 2027.
Increased 2030 Financial Targets
ASM raised its gross margin target to 47%-51% and expects revenue to grow to more than EUR 5.7 billion by 2030.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Orders
New orders amounted to EUR 637 million, a decrease of 7% compared to the second quarter and the third quarter of last year.
China Market Challenges
Significant drop in bookings from China, with expected decline in sales from China in the second half compared to the first half.
Memory Sales Decline
Memory sales decreased compared to Q3 of last year, primarily due to reduced sales from Chinese customers.
Uncertainty in Power/Analog/Wafer Segment
Continued weak market conditions with no immediate signs of recovery in the power/analog/wafer segment.
Impact of Export Controls
Additional impact incurred from export restrictions announced earlier in the month, affecting sales projections.
Company Guidance
During the ASM International Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance highlighting several key metrics and trends. Revenue for Q3 2025 reached EUR 800 million, reflecting an 8% year-on-year increase at constant currency, and was at the high end of their guidance range of flat to down 5%. The gross margin remained strong at 51.9%, up from 49.4% in the previous year, though it is expected to slightly decrease to around 51% for the full year due to a less favorable mix. For Q4 2025, ASM expects revenue between EUR 630 million and EUR 660 million, with full-year revenue growth anticipated to be close to 10% at constant currencies. SG&A expenses decreased by 10% year-on-year, and gross R&D was up by 10%, partially offset by higher capitalized development expenses. Looking forward, ASM projects revenue growth in 2026, driven by advanced logic/foundry and DRAM markets, despite a projected double-digit decline in China sales. The company aims for revenue to exceed EUR 5.7 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of at least 12% from 2024 to 2030, and has raised its gross margin target to 47%-51%.

ASM International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: solid revenue growth (TTM +4.79%) and high profitability (gross margin 51.86%, net margin 23.86%). Balance sheet strength stands out with very low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.0149) and healthy ROE (21.15%), supported by growing free cash flow (TTM +14.72%).
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
ASM International has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 4.79% increase in the TTM period. The company maintains impressive profitability metrics, with a gross profit margin of 51.86% and a net profit margin of 23.86%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 36.42% and 43.76%, respectively, indicating efficient operational management. The consistent revenue growth and high margins reflect a competitive position in the semiconductor industry.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The balance sheet of ASM International is solid, characterized by a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0149, which suggests minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 21.15%, indicating effective use of equity capital to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 73.15%, reflecting a stable financial structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity. Overall, the company exhibits financial stability and low leverage risk.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
ASM International's cash flow performance is commendable, with a 14.72% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, indicating healthy cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 69.51% suggests efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The positive cash flow growth and strong cash conversion ratios highlight the company's ability to generate and manage cash effectively.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.28B2.93B2.63B2.41B1.73B1.33B
Gross Profit1.70B1.48B1.27B1.14B828.13M623.57M
EBITDA1.44B990.54M834.57M594.06M667.76M393.79M
Net Income782.58M685.73M752.07M389.11M494.71M285.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.26B5.16B4.23B3.75B2.71B2.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.08B926.00M637.26M419.31M491.51M435.23M
Total Debt57.48M35.26M33.56M28.12M23.46M6.22M
Total Liabilities1.41B1.41B999.92M1.00B469.33M375.21M
Stockholders Equity3.85B3.75B3.23B2.75B2.24B1.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow816.60M532.92M418.18M333.01M223.79M101.56M
Operating Cash Flow1.17B897.65M735.89M541.49M380.64M264.35M
Investing Cash Flow-495.92M-349.97M-289.04M-474.88M-114.40M-144.31M
Financing Cash Flow-316.26M-301.03M-236.05M-132.60M-240.26M-170.45M

ASM International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price554.24
Price Trends
50DMA
743.97
Positive
100DMA
678.85
Positive
200DMA
613.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
22.31
Positive
RSI
60.06
Neutral
STOCH
86.39
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASMIY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 554.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 827.40, below the 50-day MA of 743.97, and below the 200-day MA of 613.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 22.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.39 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASMIY.

ASM International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$27.14B19.4411.43%6.06%5.87%-20.93%
76
Outperform
$41.13B46.2521.33%0.55%21.38%49.42%
69
Neutral
$26.46B29.867.80%0.25%-106.22%
64
Neutral
$27.59B209.801.47%-16.13%-81.06%
64
Neutral
$30.28B178.330.93%1.28%-17.33%-76.71%
63
Neutral
$53.29B39.0612.53%2.29%8.01%10.41%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASMIY
ASM International
844.86
269.80
46.92%
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co
24.82
14.46
139.67%
ON
ON Semiconductor
70.03
18.81
36.72%
STM
STMicroelectronics
34.05
7.36
27.56%
UMC
United Micro
10.92
4.72
76.21%
GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc
47.62
6.98
17.18%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 18, 2026