AerSale Corporation (ASLE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $325.63M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 273.25K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 64.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.66
• Revenue Growth: -7.63%
• EPS Growth: -1191.00%
• Country: US
• Employees: 636
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 92
• Industry: Airlines, Airports & Air Services
• EPS (TTM): -0.05
• Shares Outstanding: 53,207,348
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 209,047
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 273,255
• PEG Ratio: 16.02
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.88
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -53.25
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.22
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.53
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 7.75
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 14.35
• 1Y Price Target: $6.50
• Price Target Upside: 10.92% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 48 Neutral
• Price Target: $6.00 ▲(2.39%Upside)

AerSale Corporation's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial challenges, including declining revenue and profitability. Technical analysis and valuation further highlight concerns, with bearish price trends and a negative P/E ratio. However, the earnings call provides some optimism with potential growth in core business units and strategic initiatives.

Positive Factors

Demand trends

ASLE has seen encouraging trends with a higher level of interest from potential customers for its 757 freighter aircraft.

Regulatory approvals

AerAware received FAA certification.

Negative Factors

Bid success rate

ASLE bid on more than $250MM of feedstock in Q3, but won just $4MM of the $117MM ultimately awarded.

Insurance uncertainty

ASLE has submitted an insurance claim following the fire at its USM facility, but the insurance recovery size and timing remains TBD.

Order challenges

ASLE hasn't received an order for AerAware, but discussions are ongoing with multiple airlines.

AerSale Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

AerSale Corporation provides aftermarket commercial aircraft, engines, and its parts to passenger and cargo airlines, leasing companies, original equipment manufacturers, and government and defense contractors, as well as maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) service providers worldwide. It operates in two segments, Asset Management Solutions and Technical Operations (TechOps). The Asset Management Solutions segment engages in the sale and lease of aircraft, engines, and airframes, as well as disassembly of these assets for component parts. The TechOps segment provides internal and third-party aviation services, including internally developed engineered solutions, heavy aircraft maintenance and modification, and component MRO, as well as end-of-life disassembly services. This segment also provides aircraft modifications, cargo and tanker conversions of aircraft, and aircraft storage; and MRO services for landing gear, thrust reversers, hydraulic systems, and other aircraft components. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Coral Gables, Florida.

How the Company Makes Money

AerSale Corporation generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily focusing on the sale and leasing of used aircraft, engines, and components. The company capitalizes on its expertise in acquiring used aviation assets at competitive prices, refurbishing them, and selling or leasing them to clients worldwide. Additionally, AerSale provides MRO services, which include aircraft and engine maintenance, repair, and overhaul, further contributing to its revenue. The company also offers end-of-life solutions for aircraft and engines, maximizing value recovery through part-out and resale activities. Key partnerships with airlines, leasing firms, and OEMs enhance AerSale's ability to source and distribute aviation products, thereby supporting its revenue growth.

AerSale Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

AerSale Corporation is experiencing financial difficulties with declining revenues and profitability. While the balance sheet shows a strong equity ratio, the increase in leverage and negative cash flows present significant risks. Improving cash flow management and cost efficiency is crucial for future financial stability.

Income Statement

The company's TTM revenue of $320.3M decreased from the previous annual revenue of $345.1M, indicating a negative growth trend. The gross profit margin stands at 29.1%, which is relatively stable but lower than its previous year. Despite a positive EBITDA margin of 2.8%, the EBIT and net profit margins are negative, at -0.5% and -1.8% respectively, highlighting profitability challenges.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio increased to 0.42, suggesting a rise in leverage. The equity ratio is strong at 62.9%, reflecting a sound equity base. However, the return on equity (ROE) is negative due to net losses, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders.

Cash Flow

The company reported a negative free cash flow of $-35.1M, worsening from the previous period. Operating cash flow is also negative, which is concerning. The free cash flow to net income and operating cash flow to net income ratios are unfavorable, signaling cash flow management issues.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	320.30M	345.07M	334.50M	408.54M	340.44M	208.94M
Gross Profit	93.11M	103.94M	92.42M	151.39M	119.39M	52.79M
EBITDA	8.96M	26.16M	48.00K	66.89M	69.66M	24.41M
Net Income	-5.70M	5.85M	-5.56M	43.86M	36.12M	8.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	646.05M	604.72M	553.94M	531.58M	487.49M	389.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	4.69M	4.70M	5.87M	147.19M	130.19M	29.32M
Total Debt	168.76M	75.97M	66.53M	32.71M	0.00	0.00
Total Liabilities	239.59M	149.10M	108.92M	86.60M	78.61M	36.49M
Stockholders Equity	406.46M	455.62M	445.01M	444.98M	408.88M	352.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-35.07M	-17.85M	-185.51M	-15.71M	75.19M	-19.50M
Operating Cash Flow	-12.56M	11.18M	-174.15M	-113.00K	79.08M	-12.23M
Investing Cash Flow	-19.89M	-16.13M	3.09M	41.37M	13.20M	-21.14M
Financing Cash Flow	34.51M	3.77M	29.74M	-24.26M	8.59M	45.18M

AerSale Corporation Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 5.86
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASLE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.98, below the 50-day MA of 6.12, and below the 200-day MA of 6.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ASLE.

AerSale Corporation Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SNCY	77 Outperform	$716.71M	13.23	9.46%	―	2.24%	-20.24%
Sector *	68 Neutral	€3.69B	22.94	11.11%	3.75%	1.25%	-23.50%
BLDE	58 Neutral	$335.41M	―	-11.64%	―	8.67%	49.62%
ULCC	53 Neutral	$993.05M	14.07	12.71%	―	5.99%	―
UP	50 Neutral	$915.53M	―	-2416.94%	―	-29.68%	95.14%
ASLE	48 Neutral	$325.63M	64.41	-1.33%	―	-7.63%	-1191.00%
FLYX	47 Neutral	$205.93M	28.86	26.01%	―	―	―

AerSale Corporation Corporate Events

AerSale Corporation Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting

On June 5, 2025, AerSale Corporation held its annual meeting of stockholders, where key decisions were made regarding the election of directors and other corporate governance matters. The meeting resulted in the election of seven directors, approval of amendments to the equity incentive plan, and the decision to hold annual advisory votes on executive compensation, reflecting the company’s commitment to shareholder engagement and strategic governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASLE) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AerSale Corporation stock, see the ASLE Stock Forecast page.