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Associated British Foods (ASBFY)
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Associated British Foods (ASBFY) AI Stock Analysis

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ASBFY

Associated British Foods

(OTC:ASBFY)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$32.00
â–²(4.44% Upside)
Associated British Foods achieves a strong overall stock score, driven primarily by its robust financial performance and solid valuation metrics. The positive technical indicators further enhance the stock's attractiveness, making it a promising option for investors. Continued focus on managing debt and sustaining growth will support long-term success.

Associated British Foods (ASBFY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Associated British Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAssociated British Foods (ASBFY) is a diversified multinational company headquartered in the UK, operating across various sectors including food production, retail, agriculture, and ingredients. The company is known for its prominent brands such as Twinings tea, Kingsmill bread, and the discount retail chain Primark. ASBFY's operations are segmented into several divisions, including Grocery, Sugar, Agriculture, Ingredients, and Retail, allowing it to leverage its extensive portfolio to cater to a wide range of consumer needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyAssociated British Foods generates revenue through multiple streams across its diverse sectors. The Grocery division, which includes well-known brands like Twinings, Ovaltine, and Silver Spoon, contributes significantly to the company's earnings through the sale of packaged food products. The Sugar division, one of the largest sugar producers in Europe, earns revenue from the production and sale of sugar and related products. The Agriculture segment generates income through the production of animal feed and other agricultural products. The Ingredients division specializes in the supply of functional food ingredients, generating revenue from food manufacturers. Notably, Primark, the company's retail arm, is a key revenue driver, known for offering low-cost fashion apparel, attracting a large customer base. ASBFY also benefits from strategic partnerships and economies of scale, enhancing its operational efficiency and profitability. Overall, the company's diversified portfolio and strong brand presence across multiple sectors contribute to its financial performance.

Associated British Foods Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much each business unit contributes to overall sales, highlighting areas of strength and potential growth or risk within the company's diverse operations.
Chart InsightsAssociated British Foods' Retail segment has shown robust growth, indicating strong consumer demand and effective retail strategies. The Sugar segment also experienced significant revenue increases, suggesting favorable market conditions or pricing strategies. However, the Agriculture segment is facing a downward trend, which could signal challenges in that area. Overall, the company's diversified portfolio seems to be balancing out sector-specific fluctuations, with Retail and Sugar providing a solid foundation for revenue growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Associated British Foods Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2024
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 3.03%|
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth and profitability across multiple segments, with substantial investments supporting future growth and shareholder returns. However, challenges in the Sugar division and specific markets like Germany and China were noted, presenting areas of concern.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Substantial Improvement in Profitability
Operating profit increased by 38%, and adjusted earnings per share rose by 39%. Cash generation also saw a significant increase to GBP1.4 billion, an increase of GBP1.1 billion from the previous year.
Strong Performance Across Segments
Revenue grew 4% on a constant currency basis to GBP20.1 billion, with notable performance in Retail, Grocery, Ingredients, and Sugar. Retail operating margin recovered to 11.7%, with adjusted operating profit rising from GBP735 million to over GBP1.1 billion.
Record Investments and Shareholder Returns
ABF invested GBP1.3 billion, supporting future growth and ESG priorities. A total dividend increase of 50% was proposed, and GBP2.3 billion was returned to shareholders over two years through dividends and share buybacks.
Strong Growth in Primark
6% growth at constant currency, driven by strong performance in the US, France, Spain, Italy, and Central and Eastern Europe. Primark's operating margin recovered significantly, and return on average capital employed increased from 12% to 18.7%.
Positive Outlook for Future Growth
Targeted mid-single-digit growth for Primark in 2025. Store rollout plans continue, with a significant opportunity in growth markets and the US.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Sugar Division
European Sugar faced a significant price decline in Q4, impacting profitability and expected to affect the following year. The market faced a surplus due to increased acreage and high yields.
Struggles in Specific Markets
Challenges in the German retail market required restructuring. Additionally, the Agri division saw a decline in compound feed sales, and the Frontier JV was negatively impacted by weather conditions in the UK.
Exit from China
ABF fully exited its business in China to streamline focus and resources, indicating challenges in achieving desired results in that market.
Company Guidance
In the most recent call, ABF reported strong financial results for the fiscal year 2024, ending on September 14. Operating profit saw an impressive increase of 38%, while adjusted earnings per share rose by 39%. Cash generation was notably high, reaching GBP1.4 billion, up by GBP1.1 billion from the previous year. The return on capital employed improved significantly, climbing to 18.1% from 13.6% last year. The group also proposed a total dividend increase of 50%, contributing to a total shareholder return of approximately GBP2.3 billion over the past two years through dividends and share buybacks. The call highlighted operational progress across various segments, with Primark's sales growing 6% and a recovery in operating margin to 11.7%. ABF's grocery and sugar segments also reported strong performances, contributing to an overall substantial improvement in profitability and strategic growth investments.

Associated British Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Associated British Foods demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth, profitability, and operational efficiency. The income statement reflects robust margins, the balance sheet shows financial stability, and cash flow statements indicate effective cash generation. However, increasing liabilities require attention to maintain this position.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Associated British Foods has demonstrated solid revenue growth and consistent profitability. The revenue growth rate is strong with an increase from the previous year, reflecting a positive trajectory. Gross Profit and Net Profit Margins are healthy, indicating efficient cost management and strong bottom-line performance. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also show robust operational efficiency, further supporting its profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a stable balance sheet with an adequate equity ratio, suggesting financial stability. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is moderate, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. Return on Equity is strong, demonstrating effective utilization of equity to generate profits. However, there is a slight increase in total liabilities, which requires monitoring to maintain financial health.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow performance is impressive, with significant growth in Free Cash Flow. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is robust, reflecting efficient conversion of profits into cash. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is also strong, underscoring effective capital expenditure management. These factors indicate a healthy cash position that supports operational and strategic flexibility.
BreakdownSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.07B19.75B17.00B13.88B13.94B
Gross Profit4.88B4.16B3.78B3.13B3.14B
EBITDA3.13B2.48B2.13B1.80B1.81B
Net Income1.46B1.04B700.00M478.00M455.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.01B18.84B19.77B16.89B16.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.66B1.46B2.13B2.31B2.03B
Total Debt3.68B3.72B3.89B3.69B4.11B
Total Liabilities7.74B7.65B8.22B6.89B7.23B
Stockholders Equity11.19B11.09B11.45B9.92B9.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.69B581.00M384.00M786.00M1.13B
Operating Cash Flow2.87B1.65B1.15B1.41B1.75B
Investing Cash Flow-1.33B-906.00M-744.00M-561.00M-518.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.57B-1.28B-677.00M-512.00M-678.00M

Associated British Foods Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.64
Price Trends
50DMA
28.63
Positive
100DMA
27.72
Positive
200DMA
26.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.41
Negative
RSI
68.55
Neutral
STOCH
100.16
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASBFY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.61, above the 50-day MA of 28.63, and above the 200-day MA of 26.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.16 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASBFY.

Associated British Foods Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$21.85B13.5212.04%3.88%1.55%17.02%
73
Outperform
$3.42B15.0616.34%5.88%-1.02%81.53%
70
Outperform
$9.31B8.1213.27%7.18%-3.64%231.77%
69
Neutral
$18.69B24.1914.19%2.56%0.89%4.85%
63
Neutral
$21.00B13.77-6.24%3.09%3.49%-6.25%
63
Neutral
$26.77B12.0424.57%4.90%-1.87%-5.16%
55
Neutral
$32.47B12.81-11.68%5.85%-3.83%-384.08%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASBFY
Associated British Foods
30.64
0.03
0.10%
CAG
Conagra Brands
19.50
-9.58
-32.94%
FLO
Flowers Foods
16.46
-5.19
-23.97%
GIS
General Mills
49.16
-18.44
-27.28%
MKC
McCormick & Company
69.09
-7.10
-9.32%
KHC
Kraft Heinz
27.35
-5.40
-16.49%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 05, 2025