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Assa Abloy (ASAZY)
OTHER OTC:ASAZY
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Assa Abloy (ASAZY) AI Stock Analysis

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ASAZY

Assa Abloy

(OTC:ASAZY)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$19.50
▲(3.94% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/29/26
The score is supported primarily by resilient profitability and solid cash generation, but is held back by negative/slow TTM revenue growth and a higher leverage profile. Technically, the stock’s weak momentum (below major moving averages with negative MACD) and a relatively elevated P/E with only a modest dividend yield further cap the overall rating.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
High free cash flow that converts roughly 0.88x of net income and grew ~4.6% indicates durable internal funding. That cash conversion supports capital expenditures, product investment, dividends or debt reduction, giving the company flexibility through business cycles.
Negative Factors
Slowing / negative revenue growth
A shift from prior strong expansion to negative TTM revenue growth signals weakening end-market demand or pricing pressure. Persistent revenue decline reduces operating leverage, limits reinvestment capacity and could force margin trade-offs to defend share.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
High free cash flow that converts roughly 0.88x of net income and grew ~4.6% indicates durable internal funding. That cash conversion supports capital expenditures, product investment, dividends or debt reduction, giving the company flexibility through business cycles.
Read all positive factors

Assa Abloy (ASAZY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Assa Abloy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
ASSA ABLOY AB (publ), a company founded in 1954 and headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden, operates as a leading global provider of door opening products, integrated solutions, and related services. Its extensive market reach spans institutional, com...
How the Company Makes Money
Assa Abloy makes money primarily by selling access-related products and solutions to building owners, contractors, locksmiths, distributors, retailers, and OEM/industrial customers. Key revenue streams include: (1) Mechanical locking and door hard...

Assa Abloy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call conveys a constructive and resilient operational performance: strong organic growth in Q4, record margins, exceptional cash conversion, active M&A execution and robust divisional performances (notably Global Tech and Americas). These positives were materially offset in reported results by significant FX headwinds, notable weakness in Greater China/APAC and some acquisition dilution (notably Level Lock). Management highlighted actions (pricing, cost savings, pipeline) to mitigate headwinds, but flagged near-term seasonality, FX and commodity uncertainty which may pressure Q1. On balance, the company reported strong execution and structural improvements while facing tangible short-term macro and transactional challenges.
Positive Updates
Record quarterly margins and operating leverage
Q4 record margins: EBIT margin 16.8% (up ~30 bps year-over-year) and EBITA margin 17.9%; strong operating leverage across the group (quarter-level operating leverage ~80 bps; Americas 120 bps; Global Tech significant leverage). EBIT in Q4 was SEK 6.5 billion.
Negative Updates
Material currency headwinds
Major FX drag: ~-10% FX effect on Q4 top line leading to reported sales down ~3% despite organic +4% and acquisitions +3%. Full-year FX ~-7%; Q1 FX calculation deteriorated (mentioned -13% for Q1 in updated calculation) and FX reduced bottom-line by ~30 bps in Q4 with expectations of similar or larger impact in Q1.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record quarterly margins and operating leverage
Q4 record margins: EBIT margin 16.8% (up ~30 bps year-over-year) and EBITA margin 17.9%; strong operating leverage across the group (quarter-level operating leverage ~80 bps; Americas 120 bps; Global Tech significant leverage). EBIT in Q4 was SEK 6.5 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that pricing for 2026 should be roughly 1.5–2% (with some tariff carry‑over), warned currencies remain a major headwind (Q1 FX calc ~‑13% in the January update, full‑year FX ~‑8%) with FX already shaving ~30 bps off Q4 margins and likely larger in Q1, and reiterated a continued M&A cadence (ambition ~5% acquired net growth per year; carry‑over M&A ~1% for 2026 and ~3% in Q1) while relying on operational leverage to defend margins (record Q4 EBIT 16.8% / EBITA 17.9%; 12‑month operating margin trend 16.2% and EBITA 17.2%), expecting to offset material inflation with price measures, and pointing to strong cash metrics (Q4 cash conversion 137%, FY cash conversion 106%), a solid balance sheet (net debt/EBITDA ~2.1, net debt/equity ~63%) and a proposed dividend of SEK 6.4 per share.

Assa Abloy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials reflect a durable, cash-generative business with stable margins (TTM gross ~42.6%, operating ~15.3%) and steady net margin (~9.6%). The main drags are slowing/negative TTM revenue growth (-1.4%) and higher leverage versus prior years (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.69), which increases downside sensitivity despite solid free cash flow conversion (~0.88x of net income).
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
73
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue149.66B152.41B150.16B140.72B120.79B95.01B
Gross Profit64.78B64.97B62.73B56.50B47.93B37.78B
EBITDA30.50B29.43B29.85B26.95B22.66B18.02B
Net Income15.79B14.70B15.64B13.63B13.29B10.90B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets218.56B208.37B223.60B196.35B154.56B129.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.51B1.40B4.53B1.70B3.42B4.33B
Total Debt66.47B65.35B73.50B65.19B33.73B28.75B
Total Liabilities109.93B106.65B116.52B104.71B68.54B60.38B
Stockholders Equity108.46B101.60B107.07B91.63B86.01B69.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.22B17.68B19.33B18.66B12.36B10.74B
Operating Cash Flow21.63B20.13B21.39B21.29B14.36B12.46B
Investing Cash Flow-7.51B-12.37B-13.93B-47.90B-10.56B-3.09B
Financing Cash Flow-15.69B-10.51B-4.45B24.73B-4.70B-7.81B

Assa Abloy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price18.76
Price Trends
50DMA
18.67
Negative
100DMA
19.18
Negative
200DMA
18.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Negative
RSI
55.24
Neutral
STOCH
96.47
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASAZY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 18.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.72, above the 50-day MA of 18.67, and below the 200-day MA of 18.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.47 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ASAZY.

Assa Abloy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$6.27B21.7422.02%1.30%5.56%2.16%
71
Outperform
$11.49B18.3232.08%1.27%8.87%2.90%
70
Outperform
$5.29B8.7916.74%2.73%3.29%22.63%
68
Neutral
$1.34B36.2720.86%1.29%8.83%-16.34%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$40.15B24.1315.32%1.27%10.83%21.62%
48
Neutral
$4.79B-9.84-17.64%8.08%-1039.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASAZY
Assa Abloy
18.30
2.95
19.21%
MSA
MSA Safety
162.54
-0.58
-0.36%
NSSC
Napco Security Technologies
37.49
9.50
33.96%
ALLE
Allegion
134.87
-0.03
-0.03%
ADT
Adt
6.72
-1.18
-14.94%
REZI
Resideo Technologies
32.25
11.29
53.86%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 29, 2026