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Aeroports de Paris (ARRPY)
OTHER OTC:ARRPY
US Market
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Aeroports de Paris (ARRPY) AI Stock Analysis

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ARRPY

Aeroports de Paris

(OTC:ARRPY)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(11.48% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/30/26
The score is driven primarily by solid operating fundamentals but constrained by high leverage and weakening free cash flow. Earnings-call updates are supportive due to ERA progress and deleveraging potential, while technicals are mixed (below the 200-day average) and valuation looks demanding at ~28.8x earnings despite a ~3.52% yield.
Positive Factors
Steady revenue growth and strong operating margins
Post‑downturn recovery shows sustained revenue growth and high operating/EBITDA margins driven by regulated aeronautical fees and high‑margin commercial income. These structural margins support durable cash generation and reinvestment capacity across cycles.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage and financing sensitivity
High leverage (net debt €9.1bn, ~3.9x EBITDA pre‑monetization) reduces resilience to traffic shocks and raises refinancing and interest‑rate risk. In a cyclical travel sector this constrains strategic flexibility until disposals or structural cash generation materially reduce debt.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Steady revenue growth and strong operating margins
Post‑downturn recovery shows sustained revenue growth and high operating/EBITDA margins driven by regulated aeronautical fees and high‑margin commercial income. These structural margins support durable cash generation and reinvestment capacity across cycles.
Read all positive factors

Aeroports de Paris (ARRPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aeroports de Paris Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Aeroports de Paris S.A. is a leading international enterprise specializing in the ownership and management of airport facilities across the globe. Its diverse business model is segmented into Aviation, Retail and Services, Real Estate, Internation...
How the Company Makes Money
ADP’s revenue model combines regulated airport charges with commercial and property income, plus contributions from subsidiaries/investments. 1) Regulated aviation (airport) charges: ADP earns fees paid by airlines and other aviation users for th...

Aeroports de Paris Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong evidence of operational resilience and meaningful strategic progress: modest revenue growth (+1.6%), recurring EBITDA down only ~1%, a material one-off monetization gain (EUR 257 million) boosting net income, a clear path on the multi-year ERA with EUR 8.2 billion regulated investment and an identified productivity plan (~EUR 650 million). At the same time, management acknowledged significant near-term headwinds—soft demand related to geopolitical effects (notably AIG -15%), retail weakness, elevated net debt (EUR 9.1bn, 3.9x leverage) and remaining regulatory approval risk. Overall, positives around execution, balance-sheet de‑risking and regulatory milestone weigh heavier than the operational and timing challenges disclosed, but continued execution and regulatory sign-off remain critical to realize the upside.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Group revenue increased 1.6% year-on-year to EUR 3.2 billion in H1 2026, reflecting resilience of a diversified business model despite a more challenging operating environment.
Negative Updates
More challenging operating environment
Indirect consequences of the Middle East conflict depressed demand dynamics (notably long‑haul) and airline behavior; management revised to a more cautious traffic scenario for H2 and full-year Paris traffic now expected around +0.5%.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth
Group revenue increased 1.6% year-on-year to EUR 3.2 billion in H1 2026, reflecting resilience of a diversified business model despite a more challenging operating environment.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The call updated 2026 guidance and longer‑term ERA parameters: Paris traffic is now guided to around +0.5% for 2026 (group average traffic outlook 1.9% p.a. 2026–2034), Extime spend per pax broadly stable at ~EUR 32, recurring EBITDA now expected at EUR 2.30–2.35 billion (including EUR 40–60 million of 2026 savings, roughly half structural), group CapEx roughly unchanged at ~EUR 1.45 billion for 2026, net debt expected around 3.8x recurring EBITDA (net debt was EUR 9.1 billion at end‑June, leverage 3.9x; the GMR monetization crystallized EUR 257 million and would reduce net debt by >EUR 1.3 billion pro forma to ~3.1x), and dividend policy maintained at a 60% payout ratio (flow ~EUR 3/share). On the ERA, the proposal confirms EUR 8.2 billion of regulated investment over eight years, a regulated WACC target/convergence of 5.8% (ART range 5.1–5.9%), tariff trajectory CPI+4 pts for the first two years then CPI+1.5 (capped at CPI+2.1 pts on average), regulated OpEx contained to ~CPI+1.3, transfer of ~EUR 50 million OpEx and ~EUR 64 million of regulated assets out of the perimeter, and a productivity plan targeting ~EUR 140 million annual savings by 2034 (≈EUR 650 million cumulative).

Aeroports de Paris Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance is solid with steady revenue growth and strong operating/EBITDA margins, but the financial profile is constrained by elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.44x in 2025) and weaker, more volatile free cash flow (FCF down sharply in 2025).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.82B6.70B6.16B5.50B4.69B2.78B
Gross Profit2.90B2.36B3.08B2.40B1.69B520.00M
EBITDA2.20B2.11B1.87B2.09B1.83B701.00M
Net Income600.10M382.00M342.00M631.00M516.00M-248.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.27B20.26B20.18B19.66B18.84B18.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.53B1.87B2.10B2.44B2.82B2.49B
Total Debt11.46B10.58B10.14B9.82B9.99B10.34B
Total Liabilities15.94B14.72B14.67B14.36B13.93B14.13B
Stockholders Equity4.31B4.34B4.42B4.36B4.03B3.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow24.98M246.86M435.00M578.00M645.00M24.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.41B1.46B1.52B1.59B1.34B551.00M
Investing Cash Flow-954.84M-1.06B-1.46B-1.15B-726.00M-1.09B
Financing Cash Flow321.28M-438.00M-458.00M-721.00M-367.00M-536.00M

Aeroports de Paris Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$4.99B15.6450.53%5.21%13.97%14.66%
73
Outperform
$3.99B13.8318.34%16.95%99.42%
67
Neutral
$12.32B17.5339.76%5.63%16.80%17.58%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$7.91B13.5431.71%8.24%23.46%-12.16%
61
Neutral
$12.72B18.4113.77%3.71%12.64%591.94%
51
Neutral
$7.83B-8.00-58.25%118568.37%7.33%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARRPY
Aeroports de Paris
12.86
-1.16
-8.26%
OMAB
Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro
103.39
-1.15
-1.10%
PAC
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico
206.98
-44.90
-17.83%
ASR
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste
264.58
-42.42
-13.82%
CAAP
Corporacion America Airports SA
24.48
3.00
13.97%
JOBY
Joby Aviation
7.92
-8.14
-50.68%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2026