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Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste (ASR)
NYSE:ASR

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) AI Stock Analysis

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ASR

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste

(NYSE:ASR)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$368.00
â–˛(5.96% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/04/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial quality (strong margins/returns) but tempered by weaker cash flow and higher leverage versus last year. Valuation is supportive thanks to a reasonable P/E and very high dividend yield, while technical signals are soft in the near term. Earnings-call commentary adds moderate optimism from expansion initiatives, offset by clear near-term cost and profitability pressures.
Positive Factors
Diversified revenue model
ASR combines aeronautical fees, growing non-aeronautical retail and advertising, and real estate development. Expanded retail (41 new units) and rising commercial revenue per passenger provide durable, higher-margin cash flows that reduce reliance on cyclical airline volumes and support long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Leverage has increased materially year‑over‑year due to acquisitions and higher capex. While still moderate versus peers, higher debt (and planned debt‑funded Motiva purchase) reduces financial flexibility, raises interest and refinancing risk, and limits capacity to absorb shocks or fund opportunistic investments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified revenue model
ASR combines aeronautical fees, growing non-aeronautical retail and advertising, and real estate development. Expanded retail (41 new units) and rising commercial revenue per passenger provide durable, higher-margin cash flows that reduce reliance on cyclical airline volumes and support long-term profitability.
Read all positive factors

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V. holds concessions to operate, maintain, and develop airports in the southeast region of Mexico. The company operates nine airports that are located in the cities of Cancún, Cozumel, Mérida, Huatul...
How the Company Makes Money
ASR generates revenue through various streams primarily linked to airport operations. Key revenue sources include aeronautical services, such as landing fees, passenger service charges, and cargo handling fees, which are collected from airlines an...

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted material strategic progress—completion of a U.S. acquisition, a signed large Motiva deal, strong full‑year revenue growth, healthy cash and low leverage, and solid commercial expansion—while simultaneously signaling near‑term operational and profitability headwinds: rising operating costs (+25%), a Q4 EBITDA decline (~5%) and notable FX and accounting impacts that reduced net income. Regional performance was mixed (strong Colombia, weakness in Cancun, Puerto Rico and South America). Given the balance between clear strategic/scale gains and meaningful short‑term margin and income pressures, the tone is cautious but constructive.
Positive Updates
Completion of ASUR U.S. Acquisition
Closed acquisition of URW Airports (renamed ASUR U.S.) on Dec 11 at an enterprise value of $295 million; ASUR U.S. contributed approximately $133 million of revenues and $86 million of EBITDA from Dec 11–31. Adds dollar‑denominated commercial exposure, diversification beyond regulated income, and a scalable U.S. platform.
Negative Updates
Q4 Revenue Stagnation
Total consolidated revenues in Q4 were flat year‑on‑year at MXN 7.3 billion, reflecting softer traffic in Mexico and FX headwinds from Mexican peso appreciation on commercial activity.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Completion of ASUR U.S. Acquisition
Closed acquisition of URW Airports (renamed ASUR U.S.) on Dec 11 at an enterprise value of $295 million; ASUR U.S. contributed approximately $133 million of revenues and $86 million of EBITDA from Dec 11–31. Adds dollar‑denominated commercial exposure, diversification beyond regulated income, and a scalable U.S. platform.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that traffic should gradually stabilize in 2026—Mexico normalizing as aircraft availability improves (Cancun expected to recover as comparables ease and Terminal 1 reopens in Q3), while Puerto Rico and Colombia should sustain positive momentum—and that ASUR will begin disclosing more detail on the newly acquired ASUR U.S. from Q1 2026 (the U.S. business contributed about $133 million of revenue and $86 million of EBITDA from Dec. 11–31 and should see a meaningful uplift when the new JFK Terminal 1 opens in Q3), reiterated the Motiva airports purchase price of BRL 5 billion (~$936 million) which would add ~45 million passengers annually (bringing total system traffic to >116 million) and is expected to close in H1 2026 (management later noted regulatory timing could push to late H1/early Q3), that the Motiva deal will be debt‑funded, and reminded investors of balance‑sheet and cash metrics (cash MXN 11.0 billion, net debt MXN 16.0 billion = 0.8x LTM EBITDA), recent investment levels (Q4 CapEx MXN 3.9 billion, FY CapEx MXN 7.8 billion), 2025 dividends of MXN 24 billion, and the phasing out of regulated revenues by 2027 with concessions running through 2032.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and returns with continued revenue growth, but fundamentals are less clean than 2024: net margin has normalized, leverage has risen meaningfully year-over-year, and free cash flow dropped sharply (weaker cash conversion).
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue37.24B31.33B25.82B25.31B18.78B
Gross Profit20.60B20.16B15.56B18.77B12.26B
EBITDA20.25B23.52B17.82B17.00B10.64B
Net Income10.49B13.55B10.20B9.99B5.98B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets88.14B83.64B70.34B70.92B65.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.12B20.08B13.87B13.17B8.77B
Total Debt34.01B13.38B12.25B15.20B13.78B
Total Liabilities41.73B22.02B18.75B21.90B20.06B
Stockholders Equity39.51B54.21B44.95B41.62B37.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.05B11.17B12.07B10.68B6.59B
Operating Cash Flow12.86B15.57B13.45B13.46B10.26B
Investing Cash Flow-10.46B-2.75B-2.45B-3.79B-3.41B
Financing Cash Flow-10.28B-8.92B-9.32B-4.83B-3.31B

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price347.30
Price Trends
50DMA
347.26
Positive
100DMA
329.47
Positive
200DMA
317.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.77
Negative
RSI
56.56
Neutral
STOCH
88.57
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 347.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 329.41, above the 50-day MA of 347.26, and above the 200-day MA of 317.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -1.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.57 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASR.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Risk Analysis

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$5.57B19.4252.26%4.03%-2.04%-3.82%
69
Neutral
$10.32B16.6630.03%11.85%8.70%-21.15%
69
Neutral
$4.19B17.0317.03%―14.87%-47.71%
65
Neutral
$12.49B23.9944.97%4.46%11.58%1.15%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASR
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste
347.30
115.94
50.11%
OMAB
Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro
116.73
46.47
66.14%
PAC
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico
252.27
80.03
46.47%
CAAP
Corporacion America Airports SA
25.66
9.36
57.42%

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Corporate Events

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Sets April 23, 2026 Shareholders’ Meeting and Dividend Proposal
Mar 4, 2026
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, a Mexico-headquartered airport group listed in both Mexico and the U.S., announced on March 4, 2026 that it will hold its Ordinary Annual General Shareholders’ Meeting on April 23, 2026 in Mexico City. The co...
ASUR Q4 2025 Results Show Profit Pressure as U.S. Retail Acquisition Reshapes Balance Sheet
Feb 24, 2026
On February 24, 2026, ASUR reported fourth-quarter 2025 results showing modest overall passenger growth of 0.9% year-on-year, driven by a 5.7% increase in Colombia and flat traffic in Mexico, while Puerto Rico posted a 3.1% decline. Total revenue ...
ASUR Posts 3.6% January Passenger Growth on Strong Colombia Traffic
Feb 9, 2026
On February 9, 2026, ASUR reported that total passenger traffic across its network reached 6.66 million travelers in January 2026, a 3.6% increase versus January 2025, underscoring continued recovery and growth in air travel demand. The performanc...
ASUR Shareholders Approve New Acquisition and Debt Powers to Support Expansion
Jan 26, 2026
On January 26, 2026, ASUR’s shareholders, meeting in a General Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting in Mexico City, approved resolutions authorizing the company to acquire all or part of shares and airport operators, including Companhia de P...
ASUR Reports Mixed December 2025 Traffic as Colombia Grows and Mexico, Puerto Rico Decline
Jan 6, 2026
On January 6, 2026, ASUR reported that total passenger traffic across its airports reached 6.7 million in December 2025, a modest 0.4% increase versus December 2024, with performance differing markedly by region. Traffic in Colombia rose 6.0% year...
ASUR Expands U.S. Presence with Acquisition of URW Airports
Dec 11, 2025
On December 11, 2025, Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASUR) announced the completion of its acquisition of URW Airports, LLC for $295 million, marking a strategic expansion into major U.S. airport hubs. This acquisition allows ASUR to enhance its...
ASUR Reports November 2025 Passenger Traffic Growth
Dec 8, 2025
On December 8, 2025, ASUR reported a 1.5% increase in total passenger traffic for November 2025 compared to the same month in 2024, reaching 5.9 million passengers. This growth was driven by a 5.9% increase in Colombia and a 1% rise in Mexico, des...
ASUR Expands with $936 Million Acquisition of CPC Aeroportos
Dec 5, 2025
On November 18, 2025, ASUR’s subsidiary, Aeropuerto de Cancún, S.A. de C.V., agreed to acquire Companhia de Participações em Concessões (CPC Aeroportos) for approximately $936 million. CPC Aeroportos operates 20 airports ...
ASUR Announces Shareholders’ Meeting for Strategic Decisions
Dec 4, 2025
On December 4, 2025, Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASUR) announced a General Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting scheduled for January 26, 2026. The agenda includes discussions on acquiring shares or airport operators, contracting debt, and ap...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 04, 2026