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Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste (ASR)
NYSE:ASR

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) AI Stock Analysis

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ASR

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste

(NYSE:ASR)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$385.00
â–˛(11.55% Upside)
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are significant strengths. However, technical indicators suggest weak momentum, and the earnings call revealed challenges such as flat passenger traffic and increased costs, which impact the overall score.
Positive Factors
High profitability and margins
Sustained high gross and net margins indicate durable pricing power across aeronautical and non‑aeronautical streams, supporting strong cash generation. This margin profile underpins capacity to fund capex, dividends and expansion while insulating profits from moderate traffic dips.
Strong liquidity and low leverage
A large cash buffer and very low net leverage give ASUR structural financial flexibility to absorb cyclical traffic shocks, fund sizeable acquisitions, and sustain investment in infrastructure without immediate refinancing stress, supporting long‑term strategic optionality.
Strategic international expansion
The CPC deal materially diversifies ASUR's network into Brazil and other Latin markets, boosting scale and reducing concentration risk in Mexico. Greater geographic breadth and higher passenger base enhance revenue diversification and commercial leverage over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Flat overall passenger traffic
Persistent flat traffic constrains aeronautical revenue growth and limits upside from existing airport assets. Given airports’ high fixed costs, stagnant passenger volumes reduce operating leverage and slow organic earnings and cashflow expansion absent market share gains.
Rising operating costs and margin pressure
A near‑term structural rise in expenses, including amortization method changes, has already compressed EBITDA margins. If cost bases remain elevated, profitability and free cash flow will be structurally lower, weakening the firm's ability to self‑fund growth and returns.
Slight decline in free cash flow and EPS weakness
A negative FCF growth trend and sharp EPS contraction reduce internal funding for investments and dividends. Combined with ambitious M&A, this elevates the importance of execution and may pressure financing needs or capital allocation flexibility over the medium term.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V. holds concessions to operate, maintain, and develop airports in the southeast region of Mexico. The company operates nine airports that are located in the cities of Cancún, Cozumel, Mérida, Huatulco, Oaxaca, Veracruz, Villahermosa, Tapachula, and Minatitlan. It provides aeronautical services, which include passenger, aircraft landing and parking, passenger walkway, and airport security services. The company also offers non-aeronautical services, such as leasing of space at its airports to retailers, restaurants, airlines, and other commercial tenants; catering, handling, and ground transportation services. In addition, it operates the Luis Muñoz Marín International Airport in San Juan, Puerto Rico; and holds concessions to operate the various airports in Colombia, including the Enrique Olaya Herrera Airport in Medellín and José María Córdova International Airport in Rionegro, the Los Garzones Airport in Montería, the Antonio Roldán Betancourt Airport in Carepa, the El Caraño Airport in Quibdó, and the Las Brujas Airport in Corozal. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
How the Company Makes MoneyASR generates revenue through various streams primarily linked to airport operations. Key revenue sources include aeronautical services, such as landing fees, passenger service charges, and cargo handling fees, which are collected from airlines and passengers using the airports. Additionally, the company earns significant income from non-aeronautical activities, including retail concessions, food and beverage sales, advertising, and parking services available to travelers. ASR also benefits from real estate development around airport facilities, which can provide further financial returns. Strategic partnerships with airlines and other service providers bolster its operational efficiency and enhance service offerings, contributing to its overall revenue generation.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted the company's strategic acquisition of URW Airports, growth in international passenger traffic in Colombia and Puerto Rico, and strong financial positioning. However, these positives were tempered by flat overall passenger traffic, a decline in Mexican traffic, increased operating costs, and a slight decline in EBITDA and margins.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Acquisition of URW Airports
ASUR entered into a definitive agreement to acquire URW Airports for $295 million, marking a significant step forward in its international expansion strategy with a foothold in the U.S. market.
Passenger Traffic Growth in Colombia and Puerto Rico
Passenger traffic in Colombia rose by 3%, supported by an 11% increase in international traffic. In Puerto Rico, total traffic was up 1%, driven by a nearly 12% increase in international passengers.
Revenue Growth in Puerto Rico and Colombia
Puerto Rico reported revenue growth in the high single digits, driven by a 5% increase in aeronautical revenues and a 10% increase in non-aeronautical revenues. Colombia delivered revenue growth in the high single digits, with non-aeronautical revenues up in the high teens.
Strong Financial Position
ASUR closed the quarter with a solid cash position of MXN 16 billion and a healthy net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.2x.
Negative Updates
Flat Passenger Traffic
Total passenger traffic served was over 17 million, remaining practically flat due to persistent headwinds in Mexico.
Decline in Traffic in Mexico
Traffic in Mexico declined by 1%, with domestic traffic down nearly 2% and international traffic seeing a slight 0.3% contraction.
Higher Operating Costs
Total expenses were up nearly 17% year-on-year, with a significant cost increase in Colombia due to an adjustment in the amortization method of the concession.
Decline in EBITDA and Margin
Consolidated EBITDA declined just over 1% year-on-year, with the adjusted EBITDA margin decreasing by 157 basis points to 66.7%.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter 2025 results conference call for ASUR, several key metrics and strategic developments were discussed. ASUR announced a definitive agreement to acquire URW Airports for an enterprise value of $295 million, a significant move in their international expansion strategy, particularly in the U.S. market, where URW manages commercial programs at major airports like Los Angeles International Airport and Chicago O'Hare International Airport. Passenger traffic across ASUR's airports was stable at over 17 million, with growth in Colombia and Puerto Rico partially offsetting a 1% decline in Mexico. Total revenues increased mid-single digits to over MXN 7 billion, driven by growth in Puerto Rico and Colombia, despite a slight decline in Mexico. EBITDA declined by over 1% to MXN 4.6 billion due to lower traffic and higher costs, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 66.7%. The call also highlighted a strategic shift in Colombia's concession amortization method, aligning it with projected revenue generation, and noted ongoing infrastructure investments in key airports.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste demonstrates strong profitability with a high gross profit margin and a solid balance sheet. However, there is a slight decline in cash flow growth, which could be a concern if it persists.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 71.98% and a net profit margin of 36.63% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The company has maintained a positive revenue growth rate of 3.77% in the TTM period, indicating steady growth. However, the net profit margin has decreased compared to the previous year, suggesting some pressure on net income.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62 in TTM, indicating prudent leverage. Return on equity is strong at 25.25%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not available, which limits a full assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -1.18% in TTM, which could be a concern if it persists. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.03, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust at 0.75, suggesting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.29B31.33B25.82B25.31B18.78B12.62B
Gross Profit25.18B20.16B15.56B18.77B12.26B6.00B
EBITDA22.60B23.52B17.82B17.00B10.64B5.05B
Net Income11.19B13.55B10.20B9.99B5.98B1.97B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.20B83.64B70.34B70.92B65.83B60.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments886.91M20.08B13.87B13.17B8.77B5.19B
Total Debt1.16B13.38B12.25B15.20B13.78B13.90B
Total Liabilities1.80B22.02B18.75B21.90B20.06B18.72B
Stockholders Equity2.02B54.21B44.95B41.62B37.18B33.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.86B11.17B12.07B10.68B6.59B-391.42M
Operating Cash Flow10.69B15.57B13.45B13.46B10.26B2.94B
Investing Cash Flow-2.20B-2.75B-2.45B-3.79B-3.41B-2.88B
Financing Cash Flow-7.42B-8.92B-9.32B-4.83B-3.31B-1.14B

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price345.13
Price Trends
50DMA
318.51
Positive
100DMA
312.98
Positive
200DMA
305.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.99
Negative
RSI
66.35
Neutral
STOCH
80.57
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 345.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 331.62, above the 50-day MA of 318.51, and above the 200-day MA of 305.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.99 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.57 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASR.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Risk Analysis

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$5.62B20.8253.28%4.03%-2.04%-3.82%
73
Outperform
$10.38B18.3124.69%11.85%8.70%-21.15%
71
Outperform
$4.83B26.2013.25%―14.87%-47.71%
65
Neutral
$13.88B27.4746.45%4.46%11.58%1.15%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASR
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste
345.13
102.33
42.15%
OMAB
Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro
116.96
42.38
56.82%
PAC
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico
274.91
94.70
52.55%
CAAP
Corporacion America Airports SA
29.64
9.90
50.15%

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Corporate Events

ASUR Shareholders Approve New Acquisition and Debt Powers to Support Expansion
Jan 26, 2026

On January 26, 2026, ASUR’s shareholders, meeting in a General Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting in Mexico City, approved resolutions authorizing the company to acquire all or part of shares and airport operators, including Companhia de Participações em Concessões, either directly or through subsidiaries or special purpose vehicles. Shareholders also granted broad authorization for ASUR to contract debt through bank loans, securities issuances or other financing instruments and to enter into any related agreements, and appointed special delegates to formalize these decisions, positioning the group with additional financial and strategic flexibility for future expansion and consolidation across its airport portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASR) stock is a Hold with a $370.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste stock, see the ASR Stock Forecast page.

ASUR Reports Mixed December 2025 Traffic as Colombia Grows and Mexico, Puerto Rico Decline
Jan 6, 2026

On January 6, 2026, ASUR reported that total passenger traffic across its airports reached 6.7 million in December 2025, a modest 0.4% increase versus December 2024, with performance differing markedly by region. Traffic in Colombia rose 6.0% year-on-year, supported by balanced growth in domestic and international passengers, while Mexico posted a slight 0.4% decline and Puerto Rico fell 4.2% as weaker domestic volumes offset small gains in international flows. For full-year 2025, total traffic across ASUR’s network edged up 0.3% to 71.6 million passengers, highlighting resilience in Colombia and continued recovery in Puerto Rico against softer trends at key Mexican airports such as Cancun, a mix that may influence the group’s regional revenue profile and investment priorities going forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASR) stock is a Buy with a $365.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste stock, see the ASR Stock Forecast page.

ASUR Expands U.S. Presence with Acquisition of URW Airports
Dec 11, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASUR) announced the completion of its acquisition of URW Airports, LLC for $295 million, marking a strategic expansion into major U.S. airport hubs. This acquisition allows ASUR to enhance its commercial capabilities and expand its footprint in the U.S. by managing retail operations at key terminals in Los Angeles, Chicago, and New York airports, positioning ASUR Airports as a significant player in the U.S. airport retail concessions market.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASR) stock is a Sell with a $300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste stock, see the ASR Stock Forecast page.

ASUR Reports November 2025 Passenger Traffic Growth
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, ASUR reported a 1.5% increase in total passenger traffic for November 2025 compared to the same month in 2024, reaching 5.9 million passengers. This growth was driven by a 5.9% increase in Colombia and a 1% rise in Mexico, despite a 2.9% decline in Puerto Rico. The performance in Colombia was bolstered by significant increases in both international and domestic traffic, while Mexico saw a slight increase in international traffic but a minor decrease in domestic traffic. The announcement highlights ASUR’s ongoing efforts to enhance its market position in the international airport industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASR) stock is a Sell with a $300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste stock, see the ASR Stock Forecast page.

ASUR Expands with $936 Million Acquisition of CPC Aeroportos
Dec 5, 2025

On November 18, 2025, ASUR’s subsidiary, Aeropuerto de Cancún, S.A. de C.V., agreed to acquire Companhia de Participações em Concessões (CPC Aeroportos) for approximately $936 million. CPC Aeroportos operates 20 airports across Latin America, including Brazil, Costa Rica, Ecuador, and Curaçao. This strategic acquisition aligns with ASUR’s long-term growth and diversification strategy, enhancing its position as an international leader in airport infrastructure. The transaction is expected to increase ASUR’s passenger traffic and exposure to new markets, with financing support from JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASR) stock is a Sell with a $300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste stock, see the ASR Stock Forecast page.

ASUR Announces Shareholders’ Meeting for Strategic Decisions
Dec 4, 2025

On December 4, 2025, Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASUR) announced a General Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting scheduled for January 26, 2026. The agenda includes discussions on acquiring shares or airport operators, contracting debt, and appointing delegates to formalize resolutions. This meeting reflects ASUR’s strategic focus on expansion and financial structuring, potentially impacting its operational capabilities and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASR) stock is a Sell with a $300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste stock, see the ASR Stock Forecast page.

ASUR Expands with Major Acquisition in Latin America
Nov 19, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASUR) announced a significant acquisition of Companhia de Participações em Concessões (CPC) from Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade. This acquisition, valued at R$5,000 million (US$936 million), expands ASUR’s presence into Brazil, Ecuador, Costa Rica, and Curaçao, adding 20 airports to its portfolio. This strategic move positions ASUR as a leading airport operator in the Americas, increasing its passenger base by over 45 million annually. The transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2026, subject to customary conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASR) stock is a Sell with a $300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste stock, see the ASR Stock Forecast page.

ASUR Reports Passenger Traffic Growth in October 2025
Nov 6, 2025

In October 2025, ASUR reported a total passenger traffic of 5.3 million, marking a 1.0% increase compared to the previous year. The growth was driven by a 5.1% rise in Colombia, while Mexico and Puerto Rico saw declines of 0.2% and 1.7%, respectively. Notably, Colombia experienced a significant boost in international traffic by 14.8%, which contributed to the overall increase. These figures reflect ASUR’s ongoing efforts to enhance its market presence in Colombia, despite challenges in other regions.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASR) stock is a Buy with a $341.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste stock, see the ASR Stock Forecast page.

ASUR Submits Offer for Airport Participation in Latin America
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, ASUR announced that it has submitted an offer to Motiva Infraestructura de Mobilidade S.A. for participation in airports located in Brazil, Ecuador, Curaçao, and Costa Rica. This move, requested by the Mexican Stock Exchange, highlights ASUR’s strategic expansion efforts in the international airport industry, although no agreements have been finalized yet.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASR) stock is a Buy with a $341.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste stock, see the ASR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025