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Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste (ASR)
:ASR
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Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) AI Stock Analysis

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ASR

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste

(NYSE:ASR)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$341.00
▲(12.67% Upside)
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are significant strengths. However, technical indicators suggest weak momentum, and the earnings call revealed challenges such as flat passenger traffic and increased costs, which impact the overall score.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisition
This acquisition marks ASUR's entry into the U.S. market, expanding its international footprint and diversifying revenue streams, which is a significant long-term growth opportunity.
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth in key regions like Puerto Rico and Colombia indicates strong market demand and effective operational strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Strong Financial Position
A strong financial position with low leverage enhances ASUR's ability to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic fluctuations, ensuring long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Flat Passenger Traffic
Flat passenger traffic, particularly in Mexico, may limit revenue growth and indicate challenges in market expansion, impacting long-term performance.
Higher Operating Costs
Rising operating costs, especially in Colombia, could pressure margins and reduce profitability, challenging ASUR's ability to maintain cost efficiency.
Decline in EBITDA and Margin
A decline in EBITDA and margins indicates potential profitability challenges, which could affect ASUR's financial performance and investment capacity over time.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) is a leading airport management company based in Mexico, responsible for the operation and development of several key airports in the southeastern region of the country, including those in Cancun, Cozumel, Merida, and other locations. The company focuses on enhancing passenger experience and airport efficiency while providing essential services such as terminal operations, maintenance, and commercial activities. ASR is committed to sustainable practices and aims to improve connectivity and economic development in the regions it serves.
How the Company Makes MoneyGrupo Aeroportuario del Sureste generates revenue primarily through aeronautical and non-aeronautical services. Aeronautical revenues come from landing fees, passenger boarding charges, and other fees paid by airlines for using airport facilities. Non-aeronautical revenues are derived from leasing retail and food and beverage spaces within the airports, advertising, and various commercial services offered to travelers. The company also engages in partnerships with airlines and other stakeholders to enhance service offerings and increase passenger traffic. Factors contributing to its earnings include the growth in air travel demand, tourism trends in the region, and investments in infrastructure improvements that enhance operational efficiency.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted the company's strategic acquisition of URW Airports, growth in international passenger traffic in Colombia and Puerto Rico, and strong financial positioning. However, these positives were tempered by flat overall passenger traffic, a decline in Mexican traffic, increased operating costs, and a slight decline in EBITDA and margins.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Acquisition of URW Airports
ASUR entered into a definitive agreement to acquire URW Airports for $295 million, marking a significant step forward in its international expansion strategy with a foothold in the U.S. market.
Passenger Traffic Growth in Colombia and Puerto Rico
Passenger traffic in Colombia rose by 3%, supported by an 11% increase in international traffic. In Puerto Rico, total traffic was up 1%, driven by a nearly 12% increase in international passengers.
Revenue Growth in Puerto Rico and Colombia
Puerto Rico reported revenue growth in the high single digits, driven by a 5% increase in aeronautical revenues and a 10% increase in non-aeronautical revenues. Colombia delivered revenue growth in the high single digits, with non-aeronautical revenues up in the high teens.
Strong Financial Position
ASUR closed the quarter with a solid cash position of MXN 16 billion and a healthy net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.2x.
Negative Updates
Flat Passenger Traffic
Total passenger traffic served was over 17 million, remaining practically flat due to persistent headwinds in Mexico.
Decline in Traffic in Mexico
Traffic in Mexico declined by 1%, with domestic traffic down nearly 2% and international traffic seeing a slight 0.3% contraction.
Higher Operating Costs
Total expenses were up nearly 17% year-on-year, with a significant cost increase in Colombia due to an adjustment in the amortization method of the concession.
Decline in EBITDA and Margin
Consolidated EBITDA declined just over 1% year-on-year, with the adjusted EBITDA margin decreasing by 157 basis points to 66.7%.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter 2025 results conference call for ASUR, several key metrics and strategic developments were discussed. ASUR announced a definitive agreement to acquire URW Airports for an enterprise value of $295 million, a significant move in their international expansion strategy, particularly in the U.S. market, where URW manages commercial programs at major airports like Los Angeles International Airport and Chicago O'Hare International Airport. Passenger traffic across ASUR's airports was stable at over 17 million, with growth in Colombia and Puerto Rico partially offsetting a 1% decline in Mexico. Total revenues increased mid-single digits to over MXN 7 billion, driven by growth in Puerto Rico and Colombia, despite a slight decline in Mexico. EBITDA declined by over 1% to MXN 4.6 billion due to lower traffic and higher costs, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 66.7%. The call also highlighted a strategic shift in Colombia's concession amortization method, aligning it with projected revenue generation, and noted ongoing infrastructure investments in key airports.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste demonstrates strong profitability with a high gross profit margin and a solid balance sheet. However, there is a slight decline in cash flow growth, which could be a concern if it persists.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 71.98% and a net profit margin of 36.63% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The company has maintained a positive revenue growth rate of 3.77% in the TTM period, indicating steady growth. However, the net profit margin has decreased compared to the previous year, suggesting some pressure on net income.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62 in TTM, indicating prudent leverage. Return on equity is strong at 25.25%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not available, which limits a full assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -1.18% in TTM, which could be a concern if it persists. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.03, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust at 0.75, suggesting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.29B31.33B25.82B25.31B18.78B12.62B
Gross Profit25.18B20.16B15.56B18.77B12.26B6.00B
EBITDA22.60B23.52B17.82B17.00B10.64B5.05B
Net Income11.19B13.55B10.20B9.99B5.98B1.97B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.20B83.64B70.34B70.92B65.83B60.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments886.91M20.08B13.87B13.17B8.77B5.19B
Total Debt1.16B13.38B12.25B15.20B13.78B13.90B
Total Liabilities1.80B22.02B18.75B21.90B20.06B18.72B
Stockholders Equity2.02B54.21B44.95B41.62B37.18B33.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.86B11.17B12.07B10.68B6.59B-391.42M
Operating Cash Flow10.69B15.57B13.45B13.46B10.26B2.94B
Investing Cash Flow-2.20B-2.75B-2.45B-3.79B-3.41B-2.88B
Financing Cash Flow-7.42B-8.92B-9.32B-4.83B-3.31B-1.14B

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price302.66
Price Trends
50DMA
310.82
Negative
100DMA
311.69
Negative
200DMA
295.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.59
Negative
RSI
51.32
Neutral
STOCH
59.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 302.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 303.05, below the 50-day MA of 310.82, and above the 200-day MA of 295.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASR.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Risk Analysis

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.98B18.3853.28%4.22%-2.04%-3.82%
73
Outperform
$9.28B16.3624.69%12.86%8.70%-21.15%
72
Outperform
$3.72B25.7613.25%10.45%-62.52%
65
Neutral
$11.67B23.0646.45%5.27%11.58%1.15%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASR
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste
305.21
68.22
28.79%
OMAB
Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro
108.29
46.11
74.16%
PAC
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico
235.73
58.23
32.81%
CAAP
Corporacion America Airports SA
23.50
4.54
23.95%

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Corporate Events

ASUR Reports Passenger Traffic Growth in October 2025
Nov 6, 2025

In October 2025, ASUR reported a total passenger traffic of 5.3 million, marking a 1.0% increase compared to the previous year. The growth was driven by a 5.1% rise in Colombia, while Mexico and Puerto Rico saw declines of 0.2% and 1.7%, respectively. Notably, Colombia experienced a significant boost in international traffic by 14.8%, which contributed to the overall increase. These figures reflect ASUR’s ongoing efforts to enhance its market presence in Colombia, despite challenges in other regions.

ASUR Submits Offer for Airport Participation in Latin America
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, ASUR announced that it has submitted an offer to Motiva Infraestructura de Mobilidade S.A. for participation in airports located in Brazil, Ecuador, Curaçao, and Costa Rica. This move, requested by the Mexican Stock Exchange, highlights ASUR’s strategic expansion efforts in the international airport industry, although no agreements have been finalized yet.

ASUR Reports 3Q25 Results and Announces Strategic U.S. Acquisition
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, ASUR reported its third-quarter results for 2025, highlighting a 0.4% year-over-year increase in total passenger traffic. While passenger traffic decreased by 1.1% in Mexico, it rose by 3.1% in Colombia and 1.1% in Puerto Rico. The company also saw a 17.1% increase in revenues, although its consolidated EBITDA declined by 1.3%. ASUR announced a strategic acquisition of Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield’s airport retail concessions in major U.S. airports for $295 million, marking its entry into U.S. commercial airport operations. This acquisition is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, subject to customary conditions.

ASUR Reports Mixed Passenger Traffic Results for September 2025
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste reported a 1.4% year-over-year decrease in total passenger traffic for September 2025, amounting to 4.8 million passengers. The company experienced a 3.2% increase in Colombia and a 1.6% rise in Puerto Rico, while Mexico saw a 4.5% decline. The results highlight regional disparities, with international traffic in Colombia and Puerto Rico showing significant growth, contrasting with declines in Mexico, impacting ASUR’s operational dynamics and market positioning.

ASUR Reports Mixed Passenger Traffic Trends for August 2025
Sep 8, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste announced a slight increase in total passenger traffic for August 2025, with a 0.6% rise compared to the previous year. The company reported a 4.6% increase in passenger traffic in Puerto Rico and a 2.7% increase in Colombia, while Mexico experienced a 1.6% decrease. These changes reflect varying trends in international and domestic travel across the regions, impacting ASUR’s operational dynamics and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025