Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico (PAC) AI Stock Analysis

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Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico

(NYSE:PAC)

Rating:73Outperform

Price Target:

$259.00

▲(8.86%Upside)

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico scores highly due to its strong financial health, characterized by robust profitability and effective cash flow management. The technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, though potential overbought conditions warrant caution. Valuation is moderate, with a good dividend yield supporting the score.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico (PAC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap

$12.12B

Dividend Yield4.6%

Average Volume (3M)78.14K

Price to Earnings (P/E)25.9

Beta (1Y)1.18

Revenue Growth-2.56%

EPS Growth-14.94%

CountryUS

Employees3,541

SectorIndustrials

Sector Strength91

IndustryAirlines, Airports & Air Services

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)2.88

Shares Outstanding42,948,586

10 Day Avg. Volume68,486

30 Day Avg. Volume78,139

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG Ratio2.80

Price to Book (P/B)8.18

Price to Sales (P/S)0.00

P/FCF Ratio23.90

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

$205.00

Price Target Upside-13.84% Downside

Rating ConsensusHold

Number of Analyst Covering0

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico (PAC) is a leading Mexican company that operates and manages airport facilities across the Pacific region of Mexico. The company is responsible for the administration, operation, and development of a network of airports, which includes both domestic and international terminals. PAC aims to provide efficient and high-quality services to passengers, airlines, and other stakeholders, ensuring smooth airport operations and enhancing travel experiences.

How the Company Makes MoneyGrupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico primarily generates revenue through several key streams: aeronautical services, non-aeronautical services, and commercial activities. Aeronautical services include fees charged to airlines for the use of airport facilities, such as landing, parking, and passenger service charges. Non-aeronautical services encompass revenues from terminal space rentals, car parking, and ground transportation services. Additionally, PAC earns significant income from commercial activities, including leasing of retail spaces, food and beverage concessions, and advertising opportunities within its airports. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with airlines, government entities, and commercial enterprises, which contribute to its financial performance.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2025

(Q3-2024)

% Change Since: 17.81%|

Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2025

Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral

The earnings call highlighted strong performance in commercial revenue growth and a solid financial position, despite challenges with passenger traffic and increased operational expenses. While there are significant achievements, the issues with engine inspections and revenue declines present notable challenges.

Q3-2024 Updates

Positive Updates

Master Development Plan Approval

Approval of the 2025-2029 Master Development Plan for 12 Mexican airports, including a CapEx commitment of MXN 43.2 billion, with 40% invested in terminal buildings.

Commercial Revenue Growth

An exceptional 39% increase in non-aeronautical revenues driven by strategic expansion and business acquisitions.

Strong Financial Position

Maintained a healthy balance sheet with cash and cash equivalents totaling MXN 15.8 billion and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.8x.

Cargo Business Performance

Cargo and freight flight facility consolidation contributed MXN 354 million to non-aeronautical revenue with EBITDA margins expected to reach 50-55%.

Negative Updates

Passenger Traffic Decline

A 5.7% decline in passenger traffic due to ongoing inspections of Pratt & Whitney engines.

Aeronautical Revenue Decline

Aeronautical revenue declined by 3.8% due to lower passenger traffic and reaching only about 94% of the maximum tariff.

Operational Expenses Increase

Operational expenses increased by 21% due to consolidation of cargo business, employee-related expenses, and inflationary pressures.

Company Guidance

During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico (GAP), key metrics and guidance were discussed by executives. The company announced a total CapEx commitment of MXN 43.2 billion over five years, with 40% allocated to terminal buildings and a forecasted 54% increase in terminal space. The gradual implementation of a new tariff will span 15 months, reaching full implementation by January 2026. Despite a 5.7% decline in passenger traffic due to Pratt & Whitney engine inspections, non-aeronautical revenues surged by 39%, driven by strategic expansions and acquisitions, including a cargo facility contributing MXN 354 million. The company's EBITDA margin remained solid at 67%, with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.8x. Growth projections for the following year anticipate a 5% increase in traffic, with full recovery from the engine recall expected by December 2026.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico exhibits strong financial health with solid revenue growth, robust profitability, and effective cash flow management. While leverage has increased slightly, the company maintains a healthy balance sheet and strong cash flow generation.

Income Statement

Positive

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico demonstrates consistent revenue growth with strong gross and net profit margins. Despite a revenue decline in 2024, the company maintains solid profitability, indicating effective cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, underscoring operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

Positive

The company has a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting a balanced approach to leverage. The return on equity is strong, indicating effective use of equity capital. However, equity ratio trends suggest a slight increase in leverage over time, which should be monitored.

Cash Flow

Very Positive

Cash flows show a positive trend, with significant growth in free cash flow, enhancing financial flexibility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. The company effectively converts its earnings into cash.

TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Breakdown
Income Statement		Total Revenue
33.66B	26.78B	33.22B	27.38B	19.01B	11.87B
	Gross Profit
20.22B	20.67B	19.41B	14.54B	9.38B	4.10B
	EBIT
15.76B	15.05B	15.14B	13.81B	8.86B	3.82B
	EBITDA
19.07B	18.11B	18.68B	16.10B	10.90B	5.82B
	Net Income Common Stockholders
9.00B	8.61B	9.54B	9.01B	6.00B	1.97B
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
16.23B	13.47B	10.06B	12.37B	13.33B	14.44B
	Total Assets
84.23B	81.65B	67.44B	60.51B	55.32B	51.36B
	Total Debt
0.00	48.03B	40.62B	34.41B	27.92B	24.38B
	Net Debt
-16.23B	34.56B	30.57B	22.04B	14.59B	9.94B
	Total Liabilities
56.80B	57.03B	46.50B	40.68B	34.89B	28.51B
	Stockholders Equity
25.05B	22.35B	19.78B	18.64B	19.29B	21.79B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
8.47B	8.83B	3.49B	4.09B	6.15B	406.46M
	Operating Cash Flow
16.62B	16.67B	13.93B	12.52B	11.10B	3.57B
	Investing Cash Flow
-8.94B	-8.78B	-11.09B	-8.48B	-4.97B	-3.22B
	Financing Cash Flow
-3.83B	-5.02B	-4.79B	-4.93B	-7.35B	6.29B

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Positive

Last Price237.93

Price Trends

50DMA

205.89

Positive

100DMA

196.63

Positive

200DMA

185.02

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

8.51

Negative

RSI

71.30

Negative

STOCH

91.63

Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PAC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 237.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 226.26, above the 50-day MA of 205.89, and above the 200-day MA of 185.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.30 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.63 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PAC.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico Risk Analysis

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks

Increasing scrutiny and evolving expectations from customers, regulators, investors and other stakeholders with respect to our environmental, social and governance practices may impose additional costs on us or expose us to new or additional risks. Q4, 2023

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ASR	80 Outperform	$9.71B	13.24	25.76%	6.83%	9.99%	17.81%
OMAB	77 Outperform	$5.03B	18.69	44.27%	3.81%	-10.13%	-6.82%
PAC	73 Outperform	$12.12B	25.90	36.66%	4.60%	-2.56%	-14.94%
LTM	71 Outperform	$11.72B	10.84	138.69%	1.65%	6.41%	49.58%
ALK	69 Neutral	$6.37B	19.07	8.90%	―	20.82%	47.79%
Sector *	66 Neutral	$4.51B	12.29	5.40%	248.53%	4.14%	-12.41%
AAL	61 Neutral	$7.77B	13.60	-21.27%	―	1.92%	36.07%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

PAC

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico

237.93

82.25

52.83%

ALK

Alaska Air

51.73

10.38

25.10%

OMAB

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro

103.70

34.13

49.06%

ASR

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste

318.90

32.02

11.16%

AAL

American Airlines

11.76

0.27

2.35%

LTM

LATAM Airlines Group SA Sponsored ADR

38.73

14.01

56.67%

Glossary

OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.

NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.

UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.