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Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro (OMAB)
NASDAQ:OMAB

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro (OMAB) AI Stock Analysis

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OMAB

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro

(NASDAQ:OMAB)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$145.00
▲(14.18% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
OMAB scores well primarily on strong profitability and solid free cash flow, reinforced by a constructive outlook from the earnings call (tariff upside and the approved MDP supporting growth/capacity). The score is tempered by rising leverage and slightly softer recent revenue/cash conversion, while technicals are supportive and valuation is reasonable but not cheap given the P/E.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Passenger Traffic Increase
Rising passenger traffic reflects robust demand and strengthens OMA's market position, supporting future revenue growth and expansion.
Strong Financial Position
A strong financial position with low leverage enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and resilience against economic downturns.
Negative Factors
Increased Operating Costs
Rising operating costs can pressure margins, potentially reducing profitability and limiting resources for future growth initiatives.
Commercial Revenue per Passenger Decline
Declining commercial revenue per passenger may indicate challenges in maximizing non-aeronautical revenue streams, impacting overall profitability.
Contracted Services Cost Rise
Increased costs for contracted services can erode profit margins, necessitating efficiency improvements to maintain financial health.

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro (OMAB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to develop, operate, and maintain airports in Mexico. The company operates 13 international airports in Monterrey, Acapulco, Mazatlán, Zihuatanejo, Ciudad Juárez, Reynosa, Chihuahua, Culiacán, Durango, San Luis Potosí, Tampico, Torreón, and Zacatecas cities. It also operates the NH Collection Hotel in Terminal 2 of the Mexico City International Airport; and a hotel under the Hilton Garden Inn name at the Monterrey International Airport. In addition, the company provides aeronautical services, which include passenger, aircraft landing and parking, boarding and unloading, passenger walkway, and airport security services. Further, it offers complementary services that comprise leasing of space to airlines, cargo handling, baggage-screening, permanent and non-permanent ground transportation, and access rights services; non-aeronautical services, such as leasing of space at its airports to retailers, restaurants, and other commercial tenants, as well as maintaining of parking facilities and advertising; and diversification services, which consists of operation and lease of the industrial park and real estate services, as well as hotel and air cargo logistics services. Additionally, the company provides construction services. It has a strategic alliance with VYNMSA Desarrollo Inmobiliario, S.A. de C.V. to build and operate an industrial park at the Monterrey airport. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
How the Company Makes MoneyOMAB generates revenue primarily through aeronautical and non-aeronautical sources. Aeronautical revenue includes charges for landing rights, passenger boarding fees, and other fees paid by airlines for airport services. Non-aeronautical revenue comes from retail concessions, parking fees, advertising, and real estate leasing within the airport premises. The company has established strategic partnerships with various airlines and service providers, which contribute to its earnings through increased passenger traffic and enhanced service offerings. Additionally, government regulations and airport development projects can impact revenue streams positively by facilitating growth and improving infrastructure.

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 23, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call was constructive: the company demonstrated strong traffic recovery, notable commercial and diversification revenue growth, high EBITDA margins and conservative leverage, supported by the approval of a disciplined MXN 16 billion MDP that should improve capital efficiency. Headwinds include a sizable noncash increase in major maintenance provisions tied to the MDP, cost pressures (contracted services, maintenance and utilities), and FX-related revenue impacts from peso appreciation, plus lingering airline fleet constraints. On balance the operational and financial positives and clear investment plan outweigh the challenges, with management providing visibility on tariff pass-through and expectations for continued growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Approval of 2026-2030 Master Development Program (MDP)
Federal Civil Aviation Agency approved an MDP with an investment commitment of approximately MXN 16 billion (December 2024 pesos) focused on capacity expansion, terminal and airside works, equipment upgrades, pavement rehabilitation, and sustainability; approval provides long-term regulatory visibility and is comparable in real terms to the 2021-2025 cycle, implying improved capital efficiency per passenger.
Strong Full-Year Passenger Growth
Total passengers reached 28.8 million in 2025, up 8.5% year-over-year; domestic passengers +8% and international passengers +12%; seat capacity increased nearly 11% during 2025; 35 new routes opened (24 domestic, 11 international).
Commercial and Diversification Revenue Strength
Full-year commercial lines showed robust growth: restaurants +22%, VIP lounges +30%, parking +13%; industrial park (diversification) revenues +44% and OMA Carga +9% for the year, demonstrating successful commercial mix optimization and diversification execution.
Balanced Aeronautical and Non-Aeronautical Revenue Growth
Aeronautical and non-aeronautical revenues each grew approximately 12% year-over-year in 2025, reflecting recovery in traffic and stronger commercial performance.
High Profitability and EBITDA Margins
Adjusted EBITDA for full year 2025 was MXN 10.2 billion with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 74.5%; fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA was MXN 2.6 billion (up ~6% YoY) with a margin of 73.6%.
Quarterly Operational Highlights (4Q25)
4Q25 passenger traffic totaled 7.5 million (+6% YoY) with seat capacity +8% in the quarter; commercial revenue per passenger was MXN 62 and commercial space occupancy was 93% at quarter end; Volaris traffic +17% (24% of total) and Viva +5% (51% of total) in the quarter.
Solid Balance Sheet and Cash Generation
4Q operating cash flow MXN 1.9 billion; cash balance at quarter end MXN 3.1 billion; total debt MXN 13.6 billion and leverage (net debt / adjusted EBITDA) at a conservative 1.0x; financing expense decreased 12.7% to MXN 290 million in the quarter.
Planned Commercial Upside from Monterrey Investments
Opening expanded commercial areas in Monterrey expected mid-next year with management guidance of a 10%-15% increase in spending per passenger in Monterrey (real, annualized) once new stores/outlets are fully open, with full-year impact reflected by 2028.
Negative Updates
Major Maintenance Provision Increase
Major maintenance provision increased to MXN 216 million in 4Q25 (from MXN 39 million in 4Q24) due to reassessment tied to the MDP; approximately 17% of the MDP is major maintenance and the company expects full-year 2026 provisioning of about MXN 400 million (noncash P&L impact).
Rising Operating Costs and G&A
Cost of airport services and G&A rose 11.6% YoY in 4Q25; contracted services +14.7% (higher security and cleaning costs), minor maintenance +24.1% in the quarter (timing effect; full-year maintenance +4%), and other costs +9.9% driven by IT and transport needs.
FX Headwinds from Peso Appreciation
Peso appreciation (~8% YoY in 4Q) negatively impacted FX-sensitive revenue lines (international passenger charges, VIP lounge, duty-free, industrial park) with estimated 4Q25 impact of MXN 50–60 million and a 1.3% decline in international passenger charges despite international passenger growth of 4.2% in the quarter.
Operational Constraints from Pratt & Whitney Program
Pratt & Whitney engine inspection program continued to affect certain airline fleets in 2025, constraining capacity (although management noted constraints eased vs 2024).
One-time Utility and Timing Impacts
A temporary alternative power supply at Monterrey caused a one-time MXN 6 million higher electricity cost; timing of works and maintenance contributed to elevated quarter maintenance and contracted services expenses.
Tariff Adjustments and Demand Uncertainty
A 6.9% real maximum tariff increase (effective April 10, 2026) was approved; management expects limited elasticity but passing tariff increases carries some demand risk and uncertainty (management forecasts ~93% of maximum tariff realized this year and full adoption over 2–3 years).
Increased Cash Uses for Financing Activities
In 4Q25, investing and financing activities used MXN 663 million and MXN 2.5 billion respectively, reducing immediate liquidity flexibility despite a positive cash balance of MXN 3.1 billion.
Company Guidance
OMA guided that its 2026–2030 Master Development Program commits approximately MXN 16 billion (Dec‑2024 pesos), with roughly 17% of that amount earmarked for major maintenance (implying provisioning of the present value of those spends) and management forecasting a full‑year major‑maintenance provision of ~MXN 400 million in 2026 (non‑cash); the regulator approved a 6.9% real increase in maximum tariffs (effective April 10 — company referenced a ~6.1% nominal increase) that management expects to reach 100% of the maximum tariff in 2–3 years (about 93% by year‑end); traffic is guided to low‑ to mid‑single‑digit growth in 2026; about 20 new routes are already confirmed (17 domestic, 3 international, mostly starting in June), Monterrey’s new commercial area should open mid‑next year and Culiacán’s by year‑end, driving an expected 10–15% real increase in spend per passenger in Monterrey once fully ramped (full effect reflected in 2028), while near‑term commercial revenue per passenger is expected to remain around MXN 62; Q4 capex was MXN 755 million, construction revenues MXN 613 million, year‑end cash was MXN 3.1 billion, total debt MXN 13.6 billion and net debt/adjusted‑EBITDA stood at ~1.0x, with refinancings likely via the CEBURES market.

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation support a high score (TTM gross margin ~70%, net margin ~33%, and free cash flow ~94% of net income). Offsetting factors are a slight TTM revenue decline (~-1.1%), rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.35), and softer cash conversion versus prior periods (operating cash flow coverage down to ~1.13).
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Profitability is a clear strength, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) showing very high gross margin (~70%) and strong net margin (~33%), reflecting solid pricing power and operating efficiency. Revenues expanded sharply from 2021–2024, but TTM revenue is slightly down (~-1.1%), suggesting growth has cooled. Overall earnings remain strong versus prior years, but the recent revenue dip is the key near-term watch item.
Balance Sheet
73
Positive
The company generates strong returns for shareholders (TTM return on equity ~52%), indicating high profitability on the equity base. However, leverage has increased, with debt-to-equity rising to ~1.35 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) from ~1.10 in 2024, reducing balance-sheet flexibility. Assets and equity have grown over time, but the upward drift in leverage is the main risk factor.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is solid: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is strong and free cash flow remains meaningfully positive, with modest free cash flow growth (~2.8%). Free cash flow is close to reported earnings (~94% of net income), supporting earnings quality. The main weakness is reduced cash coverage versus 2023–2024 (operating cash flow coverage down to ~1.13 in TTM from ~1.90 in 2024), indicating somewhat tighter cash conversion recently.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.96B15.07B14.46B11.93B8.72B5.37B
Gross Profit12.07B9.84B9.51B7.34B5.15B2.52B
EBITDA9.82B9.16B8.97B6.78B4.84B2.35B
Net Income5.34B4.93B5.01B3.90B2.86B1.09B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.94B27.23B25.24B23.07B22.89B18.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.10B1.66B2.58B3.34B5.99B2.96B
Total Debt13.59B11.46B10.88B10.39B7.92B4.71B
Total Liabilities19.51B16.69B15.40B14.52B11.65B7.31B
Stockholders Equity11.26B10.38B9.67B8.37B11.06B10.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.48B5.88B5.93B2.08B2.52B-138.16M
Operating Cash Flow7.53B6.20B6.33B4.99B4.45B1.30B
Investing Cash Flow-2.50B-2.51B-2.79B-2.75B-1.79B-1.32B
Financing Cash Flow-3.56B-4.66B-4.30B-4.88B292.27M-528.89M

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price126.99
Price Trends
50DMA
116.14
Positive
100DMA
108.85
Positive
200DMA
105.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.63
Positive
RSI
56.56
Neutral
STOCH
70.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OMAB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 126.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 124.99, above the 50-day MA of 116.14, and above the 200-day MA of 105.73, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.63 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OMAB.

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Risk Analysis

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We could be exposed to risks related to aircraft parts manufacturing. Q4, 2023

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$6.13B23.2853.27%4.03%-2.04%-3.82%
72
Outperform
$10.77B19.2924.69%11.85%8.70%-21.15%
71
Outperform
$4.69B25.4413.25%14.87%-47.71%
65
Neutral
$13.50B27.9046.44%4.46%11.58%1.15%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OMAB
Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro
126.99
53.42
72.61%
PAC
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico
264.50
80.48
43.73%
ASR
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste
355.18
114.68
47.69%
CAAP
Corporacion America Airports SA
28.78
10.11
54.15%

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Corporate Events

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte Posts Higher 4Q25 Traffic, EBITDA and 2025 Growth
Feb 24, 2026

OMA reported strong operating and financial performance for full-year 2025 and the fourth quarter, underscoring continued growth in Mexico’s airport sector. For 2025, passenger traffic rose 8.5% to 28.8 million travelers, adjusted EBITDA increased 12.1% to Ps.10,167 million, and the company invested Ps.2,709 million in capital projects and major maintenance under its Master Development Plans, while keeping leverage low at 1.03x net debt to adjusted EBITDA as of December 31, 2025.

In 4Q25, reported on February 23, 2026, passenger traffic climbed 6.0% year on year to 7.5 million, led by gains in Monterrey, Chihuahua and San Luis Potosí, and the combined aeronautical and non-aeronautical revenues grew 6.1%, supporting a 5.9% rise in adjusted EBITDA to Ps.2,577 million. The quarter also saw Ps.755 million of capital and maintenance investments, higher commercial and cargo revenues, and a significant increase in maintenance provisions linked to the newly approved 2026–2030 development programs and the higher concession tax burden, factors that will influence OMA’s cost base and regulatory-driven capex in coming years.

The most recent analyst rating on (OMAB) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro stock, see the OMAB Stock Forecast page.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte Reports 6% Passenger Traffic Growth in January 2026
Feb 6, 2026

On February 5, 2026, Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte (OMA) reported that passenger traffic across its 13 airports rose 6.0% in January 2026 compared with January 2025, driven by a 7.0% increase in domestic traffic and a more modest 1.4% gain in international traffic, with 99.4% of total passengers classified as commercial and just 0.6% as general aviation. The year-on-year growth in volumes underscores resilient demand in OMA’s domestic markets at the start of 2026 and suggests a steady, if slower, recovery trend in international travel, developments that are likely to be closely watched by investors and other stakeholders given OMA’s role as a key regional infrastructure operator within the VINCI Airports portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (OMAB) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro stock, see the OMAB Stock Forecast page.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte Posts 6.9% Passenger Traffic Growth in December 2025
Jan 8, 2026

On January 7, 2026, OMA reported that terminal passenger traffic across its 13 airports rose 6.9% in December 2025 compared with December 2024, with domestic traffic increasing 6.9% and international traffic up 6.5%, and 99.4% of total traffic coming from commercial passengers versus 0.6% from general aviation. The company also launched ten new routes during the month, underscoring continued demand recovery and network expansion within its portfolio, developments that reinforce OMA’s role in Mexico’s aviation infrastructure and signal ongoing momentum for airlines, tourism-related businesses and other stakeholders served by its airports.

The most recent analyst rating on (OMAB) stock is a Buy with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro stock, see the OMAB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026