Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro (OMAB) AI Stock Analysis

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Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro

(NASDAQ:OMAB)

Rating:77Outperform

Price Target:

$115.00

▲(10.23%Upside)

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro is well-positioned with robust financial performance and promising growth in core operations. Technical indicators suggest positive momentum despite overbought conditions. While valuation is reasonable, potential risks from increased costs and macroeconomic uncertainties warrant caution.

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro (OMAB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap

$4.97B

Dividend Yield3.81%

Average Volume (3M)75.84K

Price to Earnings (P/E)18.5

Beta (1Y)1.13

Revenue Growth-10.13%

EPS Growth-6.82%

CountryUS

Employees1,163

SectorIndustrials

Sector Strength92

IndustryAirlines, Airports & Air Services

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)1.38

Shares Outstanding42,543,194

10 Day Avg. Volume62,636

30 Day Avg. Volume75,844

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG Ratio4.19

Price to Book (P/B)7.81

Price to Sales (P/S)0.00

P/FCF Ratio18.41

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

$106.00

Price Target Upside1.60% Upside

Rating ConsensusModerate Buy

Number of Analyst Covering2

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Norte (OMAB) is a leading Mexican airport operator that manages and operates a network of 13 airports in the central and northern regions of Mexico. The company focuses on providing high-quality airport services, including passenger and cargo services, airport facilities management, and commercial services within the airport premises. OMAB plays a crucial role in facilitating air travel and commerce within Mexico, contributing significantly to the country's transportation infrastructure.

How the Company Makes MoneyOMAB generates revenue primarily through aeronautical services, which include passenger charges, landing and parking fees for airlines, and other airport-related services. Additionally, the company earns income from non-aeronautical services, such as leasing space for retail shops, restaurants, and car rental services within airport terminals. OMAB also benefits from advertising revenues and parking fees. Strategic partnerships with airlines and commercial tenants help enhance the company's service offerings and revenue potential. Furthermore, OMAB may receive income from cargo handling and other auxiliary services, contributing to its diversified revenue streams.

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2025

(Q1-2025)

% Change Since: 20.09%|

Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025

Earnings Call Sentiment Positive

OMA reported strong growth in passenger traffic, revenue, and profitability metrics. However, challenges such as a significant decrease in construction revenues and increased operational costs were noted. While the growth in core operations is promising, external uncertainties in capacity growth and macroeconomic factors pose potential risks.

Q1-2025 Updates

Positive Updates

Significant Passenger Traffic Increase

OMA's passenger traffic totaled 6.4 million in Q1 2025, marking a 9.1% increase year-over-year. Domestic traffic grew by 8%, and international traffic rose by 15.1%.

Aeronautical Revenue Growth

Aeronautical revenues increased by 13.8% year-over-year, with aeronautical revenue per passenger rising by 4.3%.

Commercial and Diversification Revenue Surge

Commercial revenues grew by 22.8%, driven by VIP lounges, restaurants, and retail, with a notable 80% increase in VIP lounge revenues. Diversification revenues increased by 22%.

Strong Adjusted EBITDA Growth

Adjusted EBITDA increased by 16% to Ps.2.4 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 74.9%.

Dividend Declaration

OMA declared and paid a Ps.4.5 billion cash dividend at the 2025 Annual Shareholders Meeting.

Positive Financial Results

Consolidated net income reached Ps.1.3 billion, an increase of 19.7% compared to Q1 2024.

Negative Updates

Decrease in Construction Revenues

Construction revenues decreased by 60% due to lower MDP investment execution.

Increased Costs Impact

Cost of services and G&A expenses increased by 10.2% year-over-year, with a notable 42% rise in other costs and expenses.

Capacity Uncertainty

There are uncertainties in capacity growth due to macroeconomic factors and potential retrenchment by low-cost carriers.

Company Guidance

In the first quarter of 2025, Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte (OMA) reported significant growth across several metrics, with passenger traffic reaching 6.4 million, marking a 9.1% year-over-year increase. This uptick was supported by a 13.4% rise in seat capacity. Domestic passenger growth was robust at 8%, spurred by increased traffic on routes from Monterrey Airport, while international traffic surged by 15.1%. OMA launched 16 new routes, including five international ones. VivaAerobus and Volaris were key contributors, accounting for 49% and 22% of total traffic, respectively. Financially, aeronautical revenues rose by 13.8%, with commercial revenues witnessing a 22.8% increase, driven by enhancements in VIP lounges, restaurants, and retail. Non-aeronautical revenues climbed by 20.9%, propelled by OMA Carga and industrial services, which saw a 56.4% year-over-year revenue jump. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of Ps.2.4 billion, reflecting a 16% increase, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 74.9%. OMA's capital expenditures totaled Ps.502 million, while a Ps.4.5 billion cash dividend was approved in their 2025 Annual Shareholders Meeting.

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro exhibits strong financial health across all verticals. The company's consistent revenue growth and profitability point to a well-managed income statement. The balance sheet reflects a stable financial structure with controlled leverage and strong equity utilization. Cash flow generation is robust, supporting operational and strategic initiatives. Overall, the company is well-positioned within the transportation industry, with potential for sustained growth and profitability.

Income Statement

Very Positive

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro has demonstrated robust growth with a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2024. The company has maintained a strong Gross Profit Margin, increasing from approximately 46.9% in 2020 to 65.3% in 2024. The Net Profit Margin has also been healthy, with TTM figures showing significant profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, reflecting efficient operational management. The Revenue Growth Rate has been impressive, particularly between 2021 and 2022, showcasing the company's ability to expand effectively.

Balance Sheet

Very Positive

The company's Balance Sheet reflects a solid financial position with a stable Debt-to-Equity ratio. While Total Debt has increased over the years, equity has also strengthened, resulting in a stable leverage position. The Return on Equity (ROE) is quite strong, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio has remained relatively stable, suggesting a balanced approach to financing with equity and debt.

Cash Flow

Very Positive

Cash flow analysis reveals a strong ability to generate cash from operations, with Operating Cash Flow consistently growing. The Free Cash Flow has shown significant improvement since 2020, indicating effective capital management and investment strategies. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is favorable, demonstrating efficient cash conversion. Free Cash Flow growth has been supported by disciplined capital expenditure management.

TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Breakdown
Income Statement		Total Revenue
14.89B	15.07B	14.46B	11.93B	8.72B	5.37B
	Gross Profit
11.14B	9.84B	9.51B	7.34B	5.15B	2.52B
	EBIT
8.00B	8.08B	8.07B	6.06B	4.11B	1.72B
	EBITDA
9.38B	9.16B	8.97B	6.78B	4.84B	2.35B
	Net Income Common Stockholders
5.14B	4.93B	5.01B	3.90B	2.86B	1.09B
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.98B	1.66B	2.58B	3.34B	5.99B	2.96B
	Total Assets
15.59B	27.23B	25.24B	23.07B	22.89B	18.14B
	Total Debt
4.60B	11.46B	10.88B	10.39B	7.92B	4.71B
	Net Debt
1.64B	9.80B	8.30B	7.06B	1.93B	1.75B
	Total Liabilities
7.08B	16.69B	15.40B	14.52B	11.65B	7.31B
	Stockholders Equity
8.35B	10.38B	9.67B	8.37B	11.06B	10.65B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
4.80B	5.88B	5.93B	2.08B	2.52B	-138.16M
	Operating Cash Flow
6.58B	6.20B	6.33B	4.99B	4.45B	1.30B
	Investing Cash Flow
-2.87B	-2.51B	-2.79B	-2.75B	-1.79B	-1.32B
	Financing Cash Flow
-4.95B	-4.66B	-4.30B	-4.88B	292.27M	-528.89M

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Positive

Last Price104.33

Price Trends

50DMA

88.37

Positive

100DMA

82.38

Positive

200DMA

73.76

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

3.74

Negative

RSI

80.14

Negative

STOCH

93.86

Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OMAB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 104.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 98.35, above the 50-day MA of 88.37, and above the 200-day MA of 73.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.14 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.86 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OMAB.

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Risk Analysis

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks

We could be exposed to risks related to aircraft parts manufacturing. Q4, 2023

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ASR	80 Outperform	$9.71B	13.24	25.76%	6.83%	9.99%	17.81%
CAAP	77 Outperform	$3.34B	22.99	11.32%	―	6.45%	-64.13%
OMAB	77 Outperform	$4.97B	18.49	44.27%	3.81%	-10.13%	-6.82%
PAC	73 Outperform	$12.11B	25.90	36.66%	4.60%	-2.56%	-14.94%
LTM	71 Outperform	$11.73B	10.84	138.69%	1.65%	6.41%	49.58%
LUV	68 Neutral	$19.08B	39.76	5.63%	2.15%	3.26%	27.77%
Sector *	66 Neutral	$4.50B	12.28	5.32%	248.52%	4.13%	-12.36%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

OMAB

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro

104.33

34.76

49.96%

PAC

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico

238.95

83.27

53.49%

ASR

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste

323.90

37.02

12.90%

LUV

Southwest Airlines

33.48

4.47

15.41%

CAAP

Corporacion America Airports SA

20.48

3.04

17.43%

LTM

LATAM Airlines Group SA Sponsored ADR

38.59

13.87

56.11%

Glossary

OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.

NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.

UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.