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ARM Holdings PLC ADR (ARM)
NASDAQ:ARM
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ARM Holdings PLC ADR (ARM) AI Stock Analysis

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ARM

ARM Holdings PLC ADR

(NASDAQ:ARM)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$152.00
▲(9.42% Upside)
ARM Holdings' strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are significant strengths, driven by robust revenue growth in AI and data center segments. However, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, and technical indicators point to bearish momentum, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Business Model Transition
ARM is working to expand its Total Addressable Market (TAM) into more value-integrated silicon by designing partial or complete solutions, which could lead to significantly higher returns.
Market Expansion
Arm expects Arm CPU share at top hyperscalers to reach nearly ~50% this year, up from ~18% last year.
Sales Growth
ARM's consistent 15-20% sales/EPS growth is projected for the next decade, with strong recurring revenue visibility over the mid-/long-term.
Negative Factors
Operational Expenses
Operating expenses may remain high over the near-term, presenting unit/opex headwinds.
Smartphone Market Challenges
ARM's largest royalty end market, smartphones, continues to see unit headwinds, with management guiding royalty sales growth at the low-end of its prior 10-15% quarter-over-quarter guide.
Strategic Uncertainties
There is a lack of clarity and detail on Arm's forward strategy, raising investor concerns.

ARM Holdings PLC ADR (ARM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ARM Holdings PLC ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionARM Holdings PLC ADR (ARM) is a leading semiconductor and software design company specializing in the development of microprocessors, graphics processors, and related technologies. Headquartered in Cambridge, England, ARM operates in the technology sector and licenses its intellectual property to a global network of partners. The company's core products include processor designs, software tools, and system-on-chip (SoC) designs that power a wide range of electronic devices, from smartphones and tablets to automotive systems and wearables.
How the Company Makes MoneyARM Holdings makes money primarily through licensing and royalties. The company licenses its processor designs and related technologies to semiconductor companies and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) who integrate these designs into their own products. Licensing agreements typically involve an upfront fee for access to ARM's intellectual property, followed by ongoing royalties based on the number of devices sold that incorporate ARM's technologies. This business model allows ARM to scale its revenue without the need for significant manufacturing investments. Additionally, ARM generates revenue from support, maintenance, and training services offered to its licensees. Strategic partnerships with major technology companies also contribute to ARM's earnings, as these collaborations often lead to the development of new technologies and expansion into emerging markets.

ARM Holdings PLC ADR Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annualized Contract Value
Annualized Contract Value
Measures the yearly value of all active contracts, highlighting the company's revenue potential and customer commitment levels.
Chart InsightsArm Holdings' Annualized Contract Value has shown a robust upward trajectory, particularly since late 2023, reflecting strategic gains in AI and data center segments. The latest earnings call underscores this momentum, highlighting a 40% increase in AI workloads on Arm Neoverse chips and strong CSS licensing growth. Despite minor licensing revenue setbacks, Arm's expanding developer ecosystem and anticipated 25% revenue growth in the next quarter signal sustained demand and potential market share gains, especially among hyperscalers.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

ARM Holdings PLC ADR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: -14.95%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in revenue, especially in AI and data center segments, and success with CSS licensing. However, there were minor setbacks in licensing revenue and slower-than-expected growth in the smartphone market. Overall, Arm's performance was robust, with a positive outlook driven by increasing demand for AI compute.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Performance
Q1 was Arm's second highest revenue quarter at $1.05 billion, with royalty revenue reaching $585 million, up 25% year-on-year.
AI and Data Center Growth
Arm Neoverse data center chips saw a 40% increase in enterprise adoption year-on-year. Arm Neoverse CPUs now power major AI infrastructures like NVIDIA Grace and AWS Graviton.
CSS Licensing Success
Arm signed 3 additional CSS licenses this quarter, resulting in the highest royalty rates to date. Demand for CSS exceeded expectations.
Increased Developer Ecosystem
Over 22 million developers, representing more than 80% of the global base, build on Arm's platform, driving demand for Arm's compute solutions.
Strong Financial Metrics
Non-GAAP operating profit was $412 million with non-GAAP EPS of $0.35, above the midpoint of guidance.
Negative Updates
Licensing Revenue Decrease
Licensing and other revenue decreased by 1% year-on-year following a strong Q1 of FY '25.
Smartphone Market Growth Slower than Expected
Royalty revenue growth in the smartphone segment was not as strong as anticipated, despite outpacing the market.
Limited Impact from China Market
While China revenue increased to 21%, the specific H20 release didn't significantly impact Arm's business.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, Arm reported its second-highest revenue quarter at $1.05 billion, with a 25% year-on-year increase in royalty revenue, reaching $585 million. Licensing revenue was $468 million, driven by the adoption of Arm's AI platform across various industries. The quarter saw a 40% year-on-year increase in enterprises running AI workloads on Arm Neoverse data center chips, marking a 14x surge since 2021. The company signed three new CSS licenses, doubling its CSS licenses from a year ago, and highlighted the energy efficiency of its technologies, such as NVIDIA Grace Blackwell being 25x more efficient than previous x86-based systems. Arm's ecosystem now includes over 22 million developers, and its software developer base continues to grow, driving demand for its compute platform across markets. The company expects its Neoverse market share among hyperscalers to reach nearly 50% this year. Looking forward, Arm anticipates revenue growth of about 25% year-on-year in the second quarter, with expectations of maintaining both royalties and licensing revenue flat sequentially.

ARM Holdings PLC ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ARM Holdings PLC ADR exhibits a strong financial position with impressive revenue growth, solid profitability metrics, and robust cash flow generation. The low debt levels and high equity ratio underpin financial stability, positioning the company well for future growth. Despite the strong performance, continued focus on operational efficiency could further enhance margins and profitability.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
ARM Holdings PLC ADR shows strong income statement performance. The TTM gross profit margin is impressive at 96.55%, indicating robust cost management. The net profit margin stands at 16.96%, while the EBIT margin is 18.52%, both reflecting healthy profitability. Revenue growth is substantial, with a TTM increase of 10.19% over the previous year, driven by strong market demand. However, the EBITDA margin of 16.91% suggests some areas for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
87
Very Positive
The balance sheet of ARM Holdings is solid, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06 and a strong equity ratio of 74.53% in TTM, indicating financial stability and low leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is high at 9.98%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The strong equity position reduces potential risks from financial leverage, supporting long-term growth.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis for ARM Holdings shows a positive outlook, with a TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.46, indicating good cash generation from operations. The free cash flow growth rate is substantial at 271.91%, reflecting effective capital expenditure management and robust cash flow generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.95, further affirming efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.12B4.01B3.23B2.68B2.70B2.03B
Gross Profit3.90B3.80B3.00B2.48B2.48B1.79B
EBITDA822.00M902.90M374.00M841.20M962.50M876.80M
Net Income699.00M792.00M306.00M524.00M549.00M388.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.39B8.93B7.93B6.87B6.51B0.00
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.91B2.83B2.92B2.21B1.64B0.00
Total Debt396.00M356.00M226.00M219.00M261.00M0.00
Total Liabilities2.39B2.09B2.63B2.81B2.96B0.00
Stockholders Equity7.01B6.84B5.29B4.05B3.55B0.00
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow661.00M178.00M947.00M646.00M383.00M1.07B
Operating Cash Flow1.02B397.00M1.09B739.00M458.00M1.23B
Investing Cash Flow-333.00M-35.00M-516.00M-138.00M-619.00M-340.00M
Financing Cash Flow-229.00M-202.00M-208.00M-42.00M-32.00M-789.00M

ARM Holdings PLC ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price138.91
Price Trends
50DMA
148.17
Negative
100DMA
131.88
Positive
200DMA
136.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.08
Positive
RSI
40.79
Neutral
STOCH
48.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 138.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 148.15, below the 50-day MA of 148.17, and above the 200-day MA of 136.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ARM.

ARM Holdings PLC ADR Risk Analysis

ARM Holdings PLC ADR disclosed 87 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ARM Holdings PLC ADR reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Our development of CSS, chiplets, and complete end chip solutions as well as other more integrated compute products may subject us to new or enhanced competitive, brand, technological, regulatory and financial risks. Q1, 2025

ARM Holdings PLC ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$170.58B15.2544.62%2.18%15.82%34.20%
78
Outperform
$293.65B102.184.70%27.17%108.67%
77
Outperform
$1.02T27.1933.29%1.13%38.65%
75
Outperform
$117.22B64.305.21%1.65%-6.17%-14.16%
69
Neutral
$148.84B211.5311.03%17.84%63.71%
52
Neutral
$104.44B-19.24%0.51%-3.72%-2120.70%
50
Neutral
C$3.52B0.36-5.03%7.64%16.99%-2.41%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARM
ARM Holdings PLC ADR
138.91
6.60
4.99%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
177.51
22.23
14.32%
ADI
Analog Devices
231.63
9.50
4.28%
INTC
Intel
24.56
3.04
14.13%
QCOM
Qualcomm
157.85
-12.66
-7.42%
TSM
TSMC
238.88
65.38
37.68%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 16, 2025