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Aquestive Therapeutics (AQST)
NASDAQ:AQST
US Market

Aquestive Therapeutics (AQST) AI Stock Analysis

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Aquestive Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:AQST)

Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-21.38%Downside)
Aquestive Therapeutics' overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and high leverage. Despite strategic initiatives for new product launches, these financial risks and the lack of positive earnings overshadow potential future gains.
Positive Factors
Market Potential
Anaphylm could generate peak sales of over $226M by 2035, indicating significant commercial potential.
Product Development
Aquestive has completed the submission of a New Drug Application (NDA) for Anaphylm, a non-device-based epinephrine product candidate that has demonstrated clinical results comparable to those seen with autoinjectors for the emergency treatment of severe allergic reactions.
Regulatory Progress
Aquestive previously received positive pre-New Drug Application (NDA) written response feedback from the FDA regarding the proposed Chemistry, Manufacturing, Controls (CMC) submission for Anaphylm.
Negative Factors
Financial Guidance
Management lowered full-year revenue guidance due to the FDA's revision of Libervant's regulatory status.
Legal and Regulatory Challenges
The recent US District Court Ruling for Libervant brings uncertainty to the program's future outlook on the US market.
Product Approval
The court ruling vacates the FDA’s approval of Aquestive’s drug product Libervant.

Aquestive Therapeutics (AQST) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aquestive Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAquestive Therapeutics, Inc. is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing innovative products that address unmet medical needs. The company specializes in orally administered drug delivery systems, leveraging its proprietary PharmFilm technology to create novel dosage forms. Aquestive's core products primarily target central nervous system (CNS) conditions, including epilepsy and anxiety disorders, offering patients alternative administration routes that improve convenience and compliance.
How the Company Makes MoneyAquestive Therapeutics generates revenue through the development and commercialization of its proprietary drug delivery systems, particularly focusing on orally dissolving films. The company earns money by selling its own pharmaceutical products, entering into licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical companies, and providing contract development and manufacturing services. Key revenue streams include product sales, milestone payments, royalties from partners utilizing its technology, and service fees from manufacturing and development contracts. Strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies also play a significant role in supporting its earnings by expanding the reach and application of its innovative drug delivery solutions.

Aquestive Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 11.58%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there was significant progress in the FDA review and commercial readiness for Anaphylm, the company faced substantial revenue declines and increased losses. The anticipation of Anaphylm's market entry and strategic preparations provide optimism, but financial challenges persist.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Anaphylm FDA Review Progress
Aquestive is over a month into FDA review for Anaphylm Epinephrine Sublingual film. An FDA action date is anticipated for late January or early February of 2026.
Commercial Prelaunch Phase for Anaphylm
Aquestive has officially entered the commercial prelaunch phase for Anaphylm, focusing on assembling a marketing team with significant experience, including members who built EpiPen to a billion-dollar brand.
Increased Awareness Efforts
The company has attended 25 conferences and published 16 posters and manuscripts, with plans to reach 30 publications by the FDA action date.
Strategic Payer Engagement
Aquestive is leveraging existing distribution and payer contracts to prepare for Anaphylm's launch, aiming to save months of startup time.
Negative Updates
Significant Revenue Decrease
Total revenues decreased by 28% to $8.7 million in Q1 2025 compared to $12.1 million in Q1 2024, driven by decreases in manufacturer and supply revenue.
Increased Net Loss
Net loss for Q1 2025 was $22.9 million compared to $12.8 million in Q1 2024, primarily due to increased selling, general, and administrative expenses.
Libervant Revenue Removal
Aquestive revised its financial guidance, excluding revenue for Libervant due to a change in regulatory status, impacting expected total revenue for 2025.
Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss was $17.6 million in Q1 2025 compared to a $7.2 million loss in Q1 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Aquestive Therapeutics First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the upcoming periods. Dan Barber, CEO, highlighted that they are in the commercial prelaunch phase for Anaphylm, with an FDA action date anticipated in late January or early February of 2026. The company has prepared for the launch by attending 25 conferences and publishing 16 posters and manuscripts, expecting nearly 30 by the FDA action date. In regards to financials, total revenues decreased by 28% to $8.7 million compared to the first quarter of 2024, primarily due to a decrease in manufacturer and supply revenue. The net loss for the quarter was $22.9 million, and the company revised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $44 million to $50 million, with a non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss of $47 million to $51 million. The company plans to de-emphasize AQST-108 studies to free up capital for Anaphylm's launch, aiming for a fast start in 2026 if the FDA approves the product.

Aquestive Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aquestive Therapeutics is experiencing significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, negative profit margins, and high leverage. The company's inability to generate positive cash flow from operations and its heavy reliance on debt financing pose serious risks to its financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Aquestive Therapeutics shows a declining revenue trend with a negative revenue growth rate in the TTM period compared to the previous year. The company has consistently reported negative net and gross profit margins, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. This performance points to significant struggles in achieving profitability and managing costs effectively.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet indicates a high level of debt relative to the company's negative equity, resulting in a concerning debt-to-equity ratio. The negative stockholders' equity suggests financial instability, with liabilities far exceeding assets. The equity ratio is negative, highlighting the company's reliance on debt financing. These factors collectively underline the financial risks and potential solvency issues facing the company.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows, with a deteriorating free cash flow growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, suggesting cash flow management challenges. Despite significant financing inflows, the company struggles to generate positive cash flow from its core operations, which raises concerns about liquidity and sustainability.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
54.23M57.56M50.58M47.68M50.83M45.85M
Gross Profit
37.09M39.69M29.75M28.29M35.84M32.88M
EBIT
-41.18M-30.77M-15.10M-42.07M-34.68M-42.89M
EBITDA
-35.35M-26.62M1.18M-39.58M-45.11M-39.15M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-54.24M-44.14M-7.87M-60.20M-90.04M-65.36M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
68.66M71.55M23.87M27.27M28.02M31.81M
Total Assets
102.23M101.42M57.42M55.67M61.99M62.88M
Total Debt
39.13M38.00M33.32M56.09M56.42M40.48M
Net Debt
-29.52M-33.54M9.45M28.82M28.40M8.67M
Total Liabilities
163.16M161.58M163.91M174.23M144.13M111.38M
Stockholders Equity
-60.93M-60.16M-106.49M-118.55M-82.13M-48.50M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-49.04M-35.92M-7.38M-12.31M-33.89M-45.98M
Operating Cash Flow
-48.77M-35.76M-6.38M-9.79M-32.98M-45.46M
Investing Cash Flow
-265.00K-159.00K-995.00K-2.52M-913.00K-517.00K
Financing Cash Flow
22.50M83.59M3.97M11.56M30.11M28.46M

Aquestive Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.18
Price Trends
50DMA
2.71
Positive
100DMA
2.85
Positive
200DMA
3.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
66.71
Neutral
STOCH
91.37
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AQST, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.58, above the 50-day MA of 2.71, and below the 200-day MA of 3.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.37 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AQST.

Aquestive Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Aquestive Therapeutics disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aquestive Therapeutics reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Compliance with ever evolving federal, state, and foreign laws relating to handling of information about individuals involves significant expenditure and resources, and any failure by us or our vendors to comply may result in significant liability, negative publicity, and/or an erosion of trust, and could materially adversely affect our business, results of operations, and financial condition. Q4, 2024
2.
Our business could be adversely affected if Libervant market access for ARS patients between two and five years of age is blocked. Q4, 2024
3.
Uncertainty about presidential administration initiatives could negatively impact our business, financial condition and results of operations. Q4, 2024

Aquestive Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$181.94M-48.14%-29.69%-105.88%
EBEBS
61
Neutral
$341.95M-21.63%-18.56%76.88%
55
Neutral
$34.02M-2.12%12.82%96.46%
53
Neutral
$5.23B3.23-44.27%2.82%16.82%0.11%
46
Neutral
$254.36M-83.58%6.88%-17.54%
45
Neutral
$279.11M77.48%5.29%-37.31%
40
Underperform
$182.07M23.44%12.99%17.78%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AQST
Aquestive Therapeutics
3.18
0.23
7.80%
EBS
Emergent Biosolutions
6.41
0.85
15.29%
LFCR
Lifecore Biomedical
6.87
1.36
24.68%
RMTI
Rockwell Med
1.01
-0.75
-42.61%
ESPR
Esperion
1.05
-1.20
-53.33%
DERM
Journey Medical Corp
7.20
2.88
66.67%

Aquestive Therapeutics Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aquestive Therapeutics Prepares for FDA Approvals and Launches
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

Aquestive Therapeutics has announced plans regarding the advancement of its product candidates, including Anaphylm, a sublingual film for epinephrine, and AQST-108, a topical gel for alopecia areata. The company is preparing for potential FDA approvals and market launches, which could significantly impact its market positioning and offer new alternatives in the treatment of these conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AQST) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aquestive Therapeutics stock, see the AQST Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aquestive Therapeutics Submits NDA for Anaphylm
Negative
May 12, 2025

Aquestive Therapeutics reported its first quarter 2025 financial results and provided a business update, highlighting the submission of a New Drug Application (NDA) for Anaphylm, an oral sublingual film for severe allergic reactions. The company plans a potential U.S. launch in early 2026, subject to FDA approval, and is focusing resources on this launch, pausing other projects. Financially, the company saw a 28% decrease in total revenues compared to the first quarter of 2024, primarily due to a decline in manufacture and supply revenue. The net loss increased to $22.9 million, driven by higher selling, general, and administrative expenses.

The most recent analyst rating on (AQST) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aquestive Therapeutics stock, see the AQST Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aquestive Therapeutics Awaits FDA Decision on Anaphylm NDA
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

On April 1, 2025, Aquestive Therapeutics announced positive results from its pediatric study for Anaphylm™ (epinephrine) Sublingual Film, marking the completion of its clinical program. The company has submitted a New Drug Application (NDA) to the FDA, expecting potential acceptance in the second quarter of 2025. The study involved patients aged seven to seventeen, showing consistent pharmacokinetic results with previous adult studies, and no serious adverse events were reported. Aquestive plans to launch Anaphylm in the first quarter of 2026, pending FDA approval.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aquestive Therapeutics Advances Product Pipeline and Market Access
Positive
Mar 10, 2025

Aquestive Therapeutics has announced its plans to advance several product candidates through clinical development and potential FDA approval. The company’s pipeline includes Anaphylm, a sublingual film for epinephrine delivery, and AQST-108, a topical gel for alopecia areata. Additionally, the company is working on expanding market access for its epilepsy treatment, Libervant, despite challenges related to orphan drug exclusivity. These developments could significantly impact Aquestive’s market position and offer new treatment options for patients.

Product-Related AnnouncementsLegal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aquestive Therapeutics Initiates Anaphylm NDA Filing Process
Neutral
Mar 5, 2025

Aquestive Therapeutics reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, highlighting the initiation of the Anaphylm NDA filing process with the FDA, with a potential launch in early 2026. The company also announced progress in its AQST-108 topical gel development for alopecia areata, aiming to start Phase 2a trials in 2025. Despite a decrease in total revenues by 10% compared to the previous year, the company is advancing its strategic priorities, including the launch of Libervant for young ARS patients, although facing legal challenges regarding its FDA approval.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.