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American Overseas Group Limited (AOREF)
OTHER OTC:AOREF
US Market
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American Overseas Group (AOREF) AI Stock Analysis

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AOREF

American Overseas Group

(OTC:AOREF)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$1,326.00
▲(2.00% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:04/30/26
The score is primarily driven by improved profitability and solid balance-sheet trends, tempered by volatile and weakening cash flow and a slight 2025 revenue decline. Valuation is a positive contributor due to the very low P/E, while technical signals are mixed-to-weak with price below key intermediate-term moving averages and negative MACD.
Positive Factors
Sustained Profitability & ROE
The company moved from prior loss years to consistent net income in 2024–2025 and mid‑to‑high teen ROE, showing restored underwriting/investment profitability. Durable earnings and strong ROE support capital formation and reinvestment ability over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Volatile & Declining Free Cash Flow
Sharp step‑downs in free cash flow over 2024–2025 and prior multi‑year volatility weaken confidence in earnings conversion and internal funding. Persistent FCF variability limits durable capacity to self‑fund claims, dividends, or reserve builds across insurance cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained Profitability & ROE
The company moved from prior loss years to consistent net income in 2024–2025 and mid‑to‑high teen ROE, showing restored underwriting/investment profitability. Durable earnings and strong ROE support capital formation and reinvestment ability over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

American Overseas Group (AOREF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

American Overseas Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
American Overseas Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides property/casualty insurance and reinsurance products and services in Bermuda, Barbados, and the United States. It offers non-standard auto insurance products through specialty man...

American Overseas Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Earnings have improved materially versus prior loss years, with sustained positive net income (~$9.4M in 2024 and ~$10.8M in 2025) and strong ROE (mid-to-high teens to ~20%). Balance sheet leverage appears manageable with debt-to-equity ~0.45–0.57 and declining total debt in 2025. Offsetting factors are a slight revenue decline in 2025 (~-3.3%) and notably volatile/weakening free cash flow from 2023 to 2025, which reduces confidence in earnings consistency.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue75.24M75.22M49.62M33.26M32.71M
Gross Profit46.36M75.22M49.62M33.26M32.71M
EBITDA16.15M14.47M-2.24M867.22K0.00
Net Income10.83M9.40M5.33M-948.87K-4.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets959.83M873.47M985.22M531.22M495.21M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.98M51.46M56.85M32.21M31.91M
Total Debt17.81M20.77M20.77M19.62M16.52M
Total Liabilities901.49M827.59M948.62M495.59M452.14M
Stockholders Equity58.33M45.88M36.30M30.18M37.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.97M6.12M38.21M3.31M16.78M
Operating Cash Flow13.97M6.12M36.09M3.31M16.78M
Investing Cash Flow-14.51M-10.17M-14.19M-4.04M-4.65M
Financing Cash Flow-4.94M-2.31M-255.02K562.80K-585.25K

American Overseas Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1300.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1261.25
Negative
100DMA
1294.52
Negative
200DMA
1160.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-8.75
Negative
RSI
45.72
Neutral
STOCH
50.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AOREF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1300 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1220.92, above the 50-day MA of 1261.25, and above the 200-day MA of 1160.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -8.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AOREF.

American Overseas Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$4.70B5.6722.09%20.12%98.92%
79
Outperform
$12.76B10.7527.25%0.57%-8.19%90.81%
75
Outperform
$602.19M6.5911.10%2.74%74.10%
75
Outperform
$2.72B5.5520.87%23.09%279.95%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$57.67M5.6420.70%0.02%15.19%
46
Neutral
$7.86M-2.82-50.32%371.98%37.76%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AOREF
American Overseas Group
1,227.50
627.47
104.57%
GLRE
Greenlight Capital Re
17.72
4.41
33.13%
RNR
Renaissancere Holdings
299.30
53.98
22.00%
SPNT
SiriusPoint
23.25
5.07
27.89%
OXBR
Oxbridge Re Holdings
0.97
-0.86
-46.99%
HG
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B
31.58
13.77
77.31%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026