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Allurion Technologies (ALUR)
OTHER OTC:ALUR
US Market

Allurion Technologies (ALUR) AI Stock Analysis

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ALUR

Allurion Technologies

(OTC:ALUR)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(82.93% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/13/26
Overall score is held back primarily by weak financial performance: contracting revenue, large ongoing losses, heavy cash burn, and negative equity. Offsetting factors include improving cost control and constructive FDA/regulatory and balance-sheet restructuring progress discussed on the earnings call, plus moderately positive technical momentum. Valuation remains difficult to support due to negative earnings and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Non‑surgical, provider‑delivered product + digital program
Allurion’s core offering is a non‑endoscopic, swallowable balloon paired with remote monitoring and coaching delivered through providers. This business model creates a differentiated, recurring service bundle and lowers procedural complexity, aiding adoption and scaling across clinics over months to years.
Negative Factors
Multi‑year declining revenue
A sharp multi‑year revenue decline erodes scale, reduces per‑unit absorption of fixed costs, and weakens clinic penetration. Sustained top‑line contraction materially raises the time and capital required to restore growth and threatens long‑term viability absent successful commercial re‑acceleration.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Non‑surgical, provider‑delivered product + digital program
Allurion’s core offering is a non‑endoscopic, swallowable balloon paired with remote monitoring and coaching delivered through providers. This business model creates a differentiated, recurring service bundle and lowers procedural complexity, aiding adoption and scaling across clinics over months to years.
Read all positive factors

Allurion Technologies (ALUR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Allurion Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Allurion Technologies Inc. focuses on ending obesity with a weight loss platform to treat people who are overweight. Its platform, the Allurion Program, features swallowable and procedure-less intragastric balloon for weight loss (the Allurion Bal...
How the Company Makes Money
Allurion Technologies generates revenue through the sale of its medical devices, particularly the Allurion Balloon and associated services. The company typically sells its products directly to healthcare providers, hospitals, and clinics, which th...

Allurion Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted significant progress in the FDA approval process and successful restructuring efforts that improved financial efficiencies. However, these positives were tempered by a considerable decline in revenue and gross profit. The company's strategic initiatives, such as debt restructuring and R&D advancements, indicate a positive long-term outlook.
Positive Updates
FDA Approval Process Milestones
Allurion passed several critical milestones towards FDA approval for the Allurion Smart Capsule, including the completion of the substantive review phase with no observations or Form 483 issued, indicating readiness for the U.S. market.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue for the third quarter of 2025 was $2.7 million, a significant decrease from $5.4 million for the same period in 2024, primarily due to restructuring.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
FDA Approval Process Milestones
Allurion passed several critical milestones towards FDA approval for the Allurion Smart Capsule, including the completion of the substantive review phase with no observations or Form 483 issued, indicating readiness for the U.S. market.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the third quarter earnings call, Allurion Technologies provided several updates and metrics regarding its financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported a revenue of $2.7 million, reflecting a restructuring to focus on accounts promoting metabolically healthy weight loss. Operating expenses decreased by 29% to $10.9 million, narrowing the operating loss to $9.6 million, a 22% improvement from the previous year. Adjusted operating expenses were $8.4 million, and adjusted net operating loss was $6.9 million, both showing significant improvements from the prior year. Allurion also highlighted its progress toward FDA approval for the Allurion Smart Capsule, passing critical milestones such as the pre-approval and BIMO inspections with no observations. Furthermore, the company announced plans to restructure its balance sheet, aiming to be debt-free, and has initiated a transaction to exchange outstanding debt for convertible preferred equity. The strategic pivot to focus on combination therapy with GLP-1s and the development of a drug-eluting balloon as part of its R&D pipeline were emphasized as key components of Allurion's future growth strategy.

Allurion Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are highly stressed: TTM revenue declined to ~$17.2M (down ~13.6% vs. prior period) and remains in a multi-year downtrend, while losses are large (TTM EBIT about -$41.0M; net loss about -$43.3M) and cash burn is substantial (TTM operating/free cash flow about -$36.9M). The balance sheet shows negative equity (about -$82.9M TTM) and sizable debt versus a small asset base, elevating refinancing/dilution risk despite relatively strong gross margins (~61% TTM).
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
9
Very Negative
Cash Flow
10
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.21M32.11M53.47M64.21M38.24M0.00
Gross Profit10.49M21.50M41.50M50.73M29.19M0.00
EBITDA-33.37M-22.17M-69.03M-32.28M-8.01M201.13K
Net Income-43.29M-26.15M-80.61M-37.74M-12.39M-5.17K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.14M32.81M71.71M51.37M39.35M329.96K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.14M15.38M38.04M7.68M25.84M47.09K
Total Debt33.39M37.92M41.86M59.53M26.14M170.00K
Total Liabilities101.07M110.79M142.20M83.68M73.64M310.13K
Stockholders Equity-82.93M-77.98M-70.49M-32.31M-34.28M19.83K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-36.90M-42.91M-65.59M-48.53M-15.24M-40.00
Operating Cash Flow-36.90M-42.30M-63.98M-46.98M-14.33M-35.00
Investing Cash Flow0.00-611.00K-1.61M-1.55M-912.00K0.00
Financing Cash Flow14.32M20.21M95.99M30.54M28.95M47.13K

Allurion Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.82
Price Trends
50DMA
1.05
Negative
100DMA
1.29
Negative
200DMA
1.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
51.45
Neutral
STOCH
68.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALUR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.62, below the 50-day MA of 1.05, and below the 200-day MA of 1.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ALUR.

Allurion Technologies Risk Analysis

Allurion Technologies disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Allurion Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Allurion Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$10.12M-3.3558.76%-50.49%39.93%
46
Neutral
$23.21M-4.53-148.64%4.58%55.26%
46
Neutral
$7.27M-279.58%147.74%73.23%
44
Neutral
$4.23M-0.55-70.27%-87.84%29.16%
44
Neutral
$6.89M-0.34-57.19%18.94%
42
Neutral
$9.97M-0.63-204.04%-60.89%94.49%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALUR
Allurion Technologies
0.82
-2.38
-74.25%
IRIX
Iridex
1.35
0.35
35.00%
SINT
Sintx Technologies
2.42
-0.35
-12.64%
CODX
Co-Diagnostics
2.02
-7.58
-78.96%
XAIR
Beyond Air
0.69
-4.75
-87.32%
NVNO
enVVeno Medical
10.51
-85.74
-89.08%

Allurion Technologies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Allurion Shareholders Approve Governance Changes and Capital Actions
Positive
Dec 19, 2025
At its annual meeting on December 18, 2025, Allurion Technologies, Inc. re-elected directors Omar Ishrak, Douglas Hudson and R. Jason Richey to serve until the 2028 annual meeting and ratified Deloitte Touche LLP as its independent auditor for th...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Allurion Technologies Secures $5M in New Funding
Positive
Nov 12, 2025
On November 11, 2025, Allurion Technologies entered into a securities purchase agreement to sell shares and warrants for approximately $5 million, aiming to strengthen its balance sheet. Concurrently, the company agreed to exchange outstanding deb...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026