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Co-Diagnostics Inc (CODX)
OTHER OTC:CODX

Co-Diagnostics (CODX) AI Stock Analysis

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CODX

Co-Diagnostics

(OTC:CODX)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(861.54% Upside)
The score is pressured primarily by poor financial performance (steep post-2021 revenue decline, sustained losses, and ongoing cash burn) and a bearish technical trend (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is also constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support. Earnings-call initiatives and cost reductions provide only a modest offset, while the Nasdaq delisting risk is a significant additional negative factor.
Positive Factors
Proprietary CoPrimer technology
Owned CoPrimer chemistry provides a durable competitive advantage for accurate, rapid and lower-cost molecular tests. That IP supports product differentiation, licensing and partnerships across labs and healthcare systems, underpinning longer-term revenue potential as new assays are commercialized.
Low financial leverage
Very low debt gives Co-Diagnostics financial flexibility to pursue clinical programs, JV expansion and commercialization without heavy interest burdens. This reduces immediate liquidity stress and preserves options for strategic transactions or equity raises if operational results improve.
International joint ventures
JVs target large, underpenetrated markets (India, 19 MENA countries) and can accelerate commercial scale without sole funding burden. Structural market entry via partners may provide recurring revenue channels, distribution reach and regulatory/local-market expertise over multi‑year horizons.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline
Material top-line erosion since 2021 and sustained operating losses indicate weakened market traction and pricing or volume challenges. Persistently low revenue limits ability to absorb fixed costs, undermining margin recovery and making durable profitability reliant on successful commercial relaunches or new product uptake.
Negative cash flow profile
Repeated negative operating and free cash flow shows ongoing cash burn that erodes equity and forces reliance on external financing. Without sustained revenue growth or margin improvement, recurring cash deficits threaten operational continuity and constrain strategic investments over the medium term.
Nasdaq delisting risk & liquidity
Delisting proceedings and potential move to OTC materially increase liquidity and capital-raising friction, reduce institutional investor access and can hinder partnership negotiations. This structural market-access risk raises long‑term funding costs and could impair commercial credibility.

Co-Diagnostics (CODX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Co-Diagnostics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCo-Diagnostics, Inc. operates as a molecular diagnostics company that develops, manufactures, and sells reagents used for diagnostic tests that function through the detection and/or analysis of nucleic acid molecules in the United States and internationally. The company offers Co-Dx PCR platform, a polymerase chain reaction testing to patients in point-of-care and at-home setting. It also provides PCR diagnostic tests for COVID-19, influenza, tuberculosis, hepatitis B and C, human papillomavirus, malaria, chikungunya, dengue, and the zika virus. In addition, the company offers three multiplexed tests to test mosquitos for the identification of diseases carried by the mosquitos; molecular tools for detection of infectious diseases, liquid biopsy for cancer screening, and agricultural applications; tests that identify genetic traits in plant and animal genomes; and portable diagnostic device designed to bring PCR to patients in point-of-care and at-home settings. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Salt Lake City, Utah.
How the Company Makes MoneyCo-Diagnostics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its molecular diagnostic tests and related products. Its revenue model is built around the commercialization of its proprietary testing platforms, which are utilized by laboratories and healthcare providers. Key revenue streams include sales of test kits for infectious diseases, licensing agreements, and collaborations with other healthcare entities for product development and distribution. Significant partnerships with laboratories and healthcare organizations also contribute to its earnings, enabling Co-Diagnostics to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings.

Co-Diagnostics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted the company's strategic initiatives and international expansion efforts as major drivers of future growth. However, significant financial challenges remain, with declining revenue and continued net losses, albeit with improved operational efficiency.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Joint Ventures
Co-Diagnostics announced joint ventures with CoSara in India and CoMira in Saudi Arabia. The CoSara SPAC transaction is expected to unlock significant value, while CoMira marks expansion into 19 MENA countries, strengthening the company's international footprint.
AI Business Unit Launch
The launch of an AI business unit led by the Co-Dx Primer AI platform aims to enhance diagnostics, improve operational efficiency, and provide predictive epidemiological insights.
Upper Respiratory Multiplex Test
Initiation of clinical evaluations for a comprehensive respiratory panel detecting flu A, flu B, COVID-19, and RSV, supported by a RADx Tech grant from the NIH.
Improved Financial Efficiency
Operating expenses decreased from $10.6 million in Q3 2024 to $7.1 million in Q3 2025, reflecting operational efficiency improvements.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $0.1 million, a significant drop from $0.6 million in the same period the previous year.
Net Loss
Net loss for Q3 2025 was $5.9 million, although reduced from $9.7 million in Q3 2024, indicating ongoing financial challenges.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, Co-Diagnostics, Inc. provided guidance emphasizing four primary growth pillars. These include the engagement of Maxim Group to explore strategic alternatives for their Indian joint venture, CoSara Diagnostics, potentially through a SPAC transaction; the establishment of CoMira, a joint venture with Arabian Eagle to expand their presence in Saudi Arabia and the MENA region; the launch of an AI business unit to enhance operational efficiency and diagnostics; and the initiation of clinical evaluations for their upper respiratory multiplex test. Financially, Co-Diagnostics reported a revenue of $0.1 million and a net loss of $5.9 million, with operating expenses reduced to $7.1 million for the quarter, demonstrating a focus on operational efficiency. The company aims to strengthen its balance sheet through strategic direct offerings totaling $10.8 million and is optimistic about multiple commercial launches expected in 2026.

Co-Diagnostics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is weak: income statement deterioration (sharp revenue decline since 2021 and deeply negative profitability) and continued cash burn (negative operating cash flow and free cash flow) outweigh a comparatively stronger, low-leverage balance sheet that is still seeing equity erosion due to losses.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Results have deteriorated sharply from the strong profitability seen in 2020–2021 to sustained losses in 2022–2024, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) showing an especially severe margin collapse. Revenue has trended down materially since 2021, including a large decline in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), and profitability remains deeply negative (operating profit and net income). A modest positive is that gross margin is still positive in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), but it is far too low to offset operating costs given the current revenue base.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet remains a relative strength with very low leverage across periods (debt-to-equity consistently low, including TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)). However, equity has declined meaningfully from 2021–2023 levels, and returns on equity are strongly negative in recent periods, reflecting ongoing losses. Overall, CODX appears under-levered but is eroding its capital base as profitability remains weak.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Cash generation has turned unfavorable: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in 2023, 2024, and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating continued cash burn. While free cash flow has tracked net income closely (cash losses roughly in line with accounting losses), the direction is still negative, and recent free cash flow growth is also down. The key positive is that the company is not relying on heavy debt to fund these deficits, but the current cash flow profile is not sustainable without improvement in operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue507.89K3.92M6.81M34.22M97.89M74.55M
Gross Profit172.84K2.92M2.63M28.74M86.31M57.96M
EBITDA-34.33M-38.70M-41.48M-10.31M46.40M41.83M
Net Income-32.18M-37.64M-35.33M-14.24M36.66M42.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets44.74M64.00M95.32M123.09M160.03M71.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.44M29.75M58.55M81.26M89.86M47.31M
Total Debt1.47M2.15M2.99M347.92K0.000.00
Total Liabilities4.91M9.69M9.31M8.57M25.56M4.54M
Stockholders Equity39.83M54.31M86.01M114.52M134.48M66.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-31.81M-29.90M-23.45M5.14M40.41M27.39M
Operating Cash Flow-31.17M-29.16M-22.08M6.57M41.08M28.17M
Investing Cash Flow26.87M17.07M15.39M-58.17M4.10M-5.82M
Financing Cash Flow4.95M103.91K-1.36M-14.03M450.40K19.74M

Co-Diagnostics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.26
Price Trends
50DMA
7.11
Negative
100DMA
9.64
Negative
200DMA
9.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.34
Negative
RSI
27.63
Positive
STOCH
9.18
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CODX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.92, below the 50-day MA of 7.11, and below the 200-day MA of 9.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 27.63 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.18 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CODX.

Co-Diagnostics Risk Analysis

Co-Diagnostics disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Co-Diagnostics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Co-Diagnostics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$16.58M-0.18-50.49%39.93%
46
Neutral
$10.27M-0.47-220.42%-41.03%35.71%
44
Neutral
$4.98M-0.08-62.12%-87.84%29.16%
43
Neutral
$15.29M-0.82-335.47%18.76%60.09%
43
Neutral
$21.18M-0.19-210.36%-70.54%70.03%
40
Underperform
$12.36M-0.46-204.04%-60.89%94.49%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CODX
Co-Diagnostics
2.38
-19.67
-89.22%
SINT
Sintx Technologies
3.21
0.13
4.22%
VVOS
Vivos Therapeutics
1.62
-2.28
-58.46%
ADGM
Adagio Medical Holdings
1.00
-0.24
-19.35%
ALUR
Allurion Technologies
1.35
-5.11
-79.10%
HSCS
Heart Test Laboratories, Inc.
3.23
0.03
0.94%

Co-Diagnostics Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceStock Split
Co-Diagnostics Faces Nasdaq Delisting After Bid Price Noncompliance
Negative
Jan 13, 2026

On January 7, 2026, Co-Diagnostics received notice from Nasdaq that its common stock would be delisted from the Nasdaq Capital Market for continued non-compliance with the minimum $1.00 bid price requirement, after failing to maintain that level for the required 10 consecutive trading days by the end of its second 180-day grace period on January 5, 2026. Trading in the company’s securities is set to be suspended from Nasdaq at the open on January 14, 2026, with the shares expected to move to the Pink Limited Information tier of the OTC Market under the current “CODX” symbol; although the stock has traded at or above $1.00 since January 2, 2026 following a reverse split, Co-Diagnostics is seeking a favorable compliance determination from Nasdaq staff if it can maintain the required bid price through January 15, 2026, but there is no guarantee it will avoid or reverse the delisting, leaving investors facing heightened trading and liquidity risks.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODX) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Co-Diagnostics stock, see the CODX Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Co-Diagnostics Approves Reverse Stock Split to Maintain Listing
Neutral
Dec 30, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Co-Diagnostics’ stockholders approved a reverse stock split authorization, and on December 29, 2025, the board set the ratio at 1-for-30, combining every 30 issued and outstanding common shares into a single share without changing the par value or shareholder rights. The reverse split becomes effective around midnight leading into January 2, 2026, when the stock will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis on Nasdaq under the existing ticker “CODX” but with a new CUSIP, reducing the company’s outstanding common shares to roughly 2.1 million, proportionally adjusting options and warrants, and rounding any fractional entitlements up to the nearest whole share. The company stated that the move is intended to restore compliance with Nasdaq’s $1.00 minimum bid price requirement, a step that could help preserve its listing and access to public capital markets, while operational mechanics for shareholders will generally be handled automatically through brokers and its transfer agent, VStock Transfer, LLC.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODX) stock is a Hold with a $0.23 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Co-Diagnostics stock, see the CODX Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsStock Split
Co-Diagnostics Approves Reverse Stock Split Proposal
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Co-Diagnostics, Inc. held a special meeting of shareholders where a proposal to amend the company’s Articles of Incorporation was approved. This amendment allows for a reverse stock split of the company’s common stock at a ratio between 1-for-2 and 1-for-30, with the final ratio to be determined by the board within twelve months. This decision could impact the company’s stock structure and potentially its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODX) stock is a Hold with a $0.36 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Co-Diagnostics stock, see the CODX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026