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Co-Diagnostics Inc (CODX)
NASDAQ:CODX
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Co-Diagnostics (CODX) AI Stock Analysis

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CODX

Co-Diagnostics

(NASDAQ:CODX)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▲(3361.54% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/28/26
The score is held down primarily by severe deterioration in fundamentals (collapsed revenue, large ongoing losses, and sustained cash burn with equity erosion). Strong technical momentum provides some offset, while earnings-call updates show credible operational progress but also emphasize limited current revenue, negative gross margin, declining cash, and likely need for additional capital.
Positive Factors
Proprietary CoPrimer platform
A reusable proprietary primer platform gives durable product differentiation and lowers marginal development cost for new assays. Over 2–6 months this supports pipeline scalability, faster assay rollouts, recurring consumable demand and potential partner licensing, strengthening long-term commercial leverage.
Negative Factors
Cash depletion and funding need
With only $8.2M of cash and sizeable quarterly operating losses, the company faces a limited runway. A need to raise capital within months risks dilution or restrictive financing terms, and any delay could impede regulatory filings, manufacturing scale‑up and commercialization execution.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Proprietary CoPrimer platform
A reusable proprietary primer platform gives durable product differentiation and lowers marginal development cost for new assays. Over 2–6 months this supports pipeline scalability, faster assay rollouts, recurring consumable demand and potential partner licensing, strengthening long-term commercial leverage.
Read all positive factors

Co-Diagnostics (CODX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Co-Diagnostics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Co-Diagnostics, Inc. operates as a molecular diagnostics company that develops, manufactures, and sells reagents used for diagnostic tests that function through the detection and/or analysis of nucleic acid molecules in the United States and inter...
How the Company Makes Money
Co-Diagnostics primarily makes money by selling molecular diagnostic products and solutions used to detect pathogens. Key revenue streams include: (1) Sales of diagnostic test kits/assays and related consumables: The company generates revenue from...

Co-Diagnostics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call communicated meaningful operational and regulatory progress across multiple strategic fronts — completed upper respiratory enrollment (>1,400 patients), India manufacturing license and expanded TAM (~$13B), TB clinical start timing, land allocation in Saudi Arabia, and manufacturing automation plans (~4x efficiency). However, the company still reports very limited absolute revenue, a negative gross margin, widening net loss and adjusted EBITDA losses, and a substantial cash decline to $8.2M with an anticipated need for additional capital. Program-level uncertainties (COVID prevalence affecting submission scope), unfinished manufacturing rollouts and no assurance on strategic transactions temper the positive operational milestones. Overall, operational momentum is clear, but financial constraints and execution risks balance the outlook.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth Year-over-Year
Total revenue for Q1 2026 was $146,000, up from $50,000 in Q1 2025, an increase of approximately 192% YoY, demonstrating early commercial traction despite low absolute dollar levels.
Negative Updates
Very Limited Absolute Revenue and Negative Gross Margin
Despite strong YoY percentage growth, revenue remains small at $146,000. Cost of revenue was $194,000 producing a gross loss of ~$48,000 vs. a gross profit of $29,000 in the prior year — a deterioration of ~$77,000 quarter-over-quarter versus last year.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth Year-over-Year
Total revenue for Q1 2026 was $146,000, up from $50,000 in Q1 2025, an increase of approximately 192% YoY, demonstrating early commercial traction despite low absolute dollar levels.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management provided near‑term regulatory and commercial guidance highlighting that the upper‑respiratory clinical study is fully enrolled with more than 1,400 patients and management believes the data support an initial 510(k) submission for Flu A/Flu B/RSV (COVID to be added later if needed), with analytical work and documentation being finalized and a targeted filing in Q3 2026 for CLIA‑waived point‑of‑care clearance; TB clinical performance studies are scheduled to begin before month‑end with potential commercialization in India as early as the end of Q3; CoSara (9 years in market) has a CDSCO license to manufacture the PCR Pro, 15 CDSCO‑cleared PCR tests, a nationwide presence serving hundreds of lab customers, an expanded South Asia addressable market of roughly $13 billion, and an oligo facility inaugurated end‑2024, while Utah has produced hundreds of thousands of test cups and is developing an automated cup line expected to improve efficiency by ~4x; CoMira secured industrial land allocation in Sudair and has completed initial funding contributions; financials and capital guidance included Q1 revenue of $146k (vs. $50k), cost of revenue $194k (gross loss ≈$48k vs. prior gross profit $29k), operating expenses $9.2M (R&D $5.9M, S&M $0.5M, G&A $2.5M), net loss $9.1M or $4.06 per diluted share (vs. $7.5M or $7.05), adjusted EBITDA loss $8.7M (vs. $7.4M), cash of $8.2M (vs. $11.9M year‑end 2025), and the company expects additional capital will likely be required and is evaluating equity, debt, strategic partnerships and nondilutive funding.

Co-Diagnostics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is weak: revenue has collapsed to a very small base (TTM ~$0.72M), profitability has swung from strong profits (2021) to deep losses, and operating/free cash flow are persistently negative (TTM operating cash flow about -$28.2M). The balance sheet has low leverage (~0.13 debt-to-equity), but equity has eroded substantially (to ~$16.0M TTM), raising ongoing liquidity and durability concerns.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
21
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue718.17K622.49K3.92M6.81M34.22M97.89M
Gross Profit68.17K400.11K2.92M2.63M28.74M86.31M
EBITDA-30.86M-30.18M-38.70M-41.48M-10.31M46.40M
Net Income-48.50M-46.90M-37.64M-35.33M-14.24M36.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.50M24.74M64.00M95.32M123.09M160.03M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.23M11.88M29.75M58.55M81.26M89.86M
Total Debt2.03M1.24M2.15M2.99M347.92K0.00
Total Liabilities5.46M4.11M9.69M9.31M8.57M25.56M
Stockholders Equity16.04M20.63M54.31M86.01M114.52M134.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-28.99M-29.84M-29.90M-23.45M5.14M40.41M
Operating Cash Flow-28.24M-29.14M-29.16M-22.08M6.57M41.08M
Investing Cash Flow18.77M26.27M17.07M15.39M-58.17M4.10M
Financing Cash Flow15.79M11.81M103.91K-1.36M-14.03M450.40K

Co-Diagnostics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.26
Price Trends
50DMA
2.42
Positive
100DMA
2.67
Positive
200DMA
6.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.75
Negative
RSI
66.76
Neutral
STOCH
65.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CODX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.48, below the 50-day MA of 2.42, and below the 200-day MA of 6.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CODX.

Co-Diagnostics Risk Analysis

Co-Diagnostics disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Co-Diagnostics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Co-Diagnostics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$40.31M-0.40-164.92%-9.46%18.03%
46
Neutral
$10.27M-3.0058.76%-55.49%21.55%
45
Neutral
$16.11M-0.66-312.04%-100.00%100.00%
44
Neutral
$9.31M-0.41-335.47%33.77%-20.22%
41
Neutral
$9.50M-0.51-204.04%-59.95%56.67%
39
Underperform
$5.72M-0.62-220.42%51.71%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CODX
Co-Diagnostics
8.53
0.87
11.30%
SINT
Sintx Technologies
2.24
-0.47
-17.34%
VVOS
Vivos Therapeutics
0.70
-1.72
-71.07%
ADGM
Adagio Medical Holdings
0.72
-0.41
-35.93%
ALUR
Allurion Technologies
0.71
-1.95
-73.31%
HSCS
Heart Test Laboratories, Inc.
1.67
-1.86
-52.69%

Co-Diagnostics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Co-Diagnostics Announces $3 Million Private Placement Financing
Neutral
May 21, 2026
On May 19, 2026, Co-Diagnostics entered into a $3.0 million private placement with institutional and accredited investors, selling common stock or pre-funded warrants alongside five-year common warrants in a deal priced at-the-market under Nasdaq ...
Delistings and Listing ChangesFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Co-Diagnostics Regains Nasdaq Compliance and Listing Status
Positive
Mar 10, 2026
On March 9, 2026, Co-Diagnostics, Inc. received formal notice from Nasdaq that it had regained compliance with the $1.00 minimum bid price requirement and all other criteria for continued listing on The Nasdaq Capital Market. Trading in the compan...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 28, 2026