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Co-Diagnostics Inc (CODX)
NASDAQ:CODX

Co-Diagnostics (CODX) AI Stock Analysis

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CODX

Co-Diagnostics

(NASDAQ:CODX)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$0.23
▼(-10.00% Downside)
The score is primarily pressured by weak financial performance (declining revenue, losses, and negative free cash flow) and bearish technical signals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support, while the earnings call adds modest offset from cost improvements and strategic growth initiatives that are still early-stage versus current financial strain.
Positive Factors
International Expansion
The joint ventures in India and Saudi Arabia enhance Co-Diagnostics' international footprint, potentially increasing market reach and revenue.
AI Business Unit Launch
The AI unit could improve operational efficiency and diagnostics, positioning Co-Diagnostics as an innovator in the biotech field.
Product Development
The new respiratory panel test could expand product offerings and meet demand for comprehensive diagnostic solutions, supporting growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The sharp revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could affect long-term financial stability.
Net Loss
Ongoing net losses highlight financial challenges, impacting the company's ability to invest in growth and innovation.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow suggests cash management issues, limiting the company's capacity to fund operations and strategic initiatives.

Co-Diagnostics (CODX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Co-Diagnostics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCo-Diagnostics, Inc. operates as a molecular diagnostics company that develops, manufactures, and sells reagents used for diagnostic tests that function through the detection and/or analysis of nucleic acid molecules in the United States and internationally. The company offers Co-Dx PCR platform, a polymerase chain reaction testing to patients in point-of-care and at-home setting. It also provides PCR diagnostic tests for COVID-19, influenza, tuberculosis, hepatitis B and C, human papillomavirus, malaria, chikungunya, dengue, and the zika virus. In addition, the company offers three multiplexed tests to test mosquitos for the identification of diseases carried by the mosquitos; molecular tools for detection of infectious diseases, liquid biopsy for cancer screening, and agricultural applications; tests that identify genetic traits in plant and animal genomes; and portable diagnostic device designed to bring PCR to patients in point-of-care and at-home settings. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Salt Lake City, Utah.
How the Company Makes MoneyCo-Diagnostics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its molecular diagnostic tests and related products. Its revenue model is built around the commercialization of its proprietary testing platforms, which are utilized by laboratories and healthcare providers. Key revenue streams include sales of test kits for infectious diseases, licensing agreements, and collaborations with other healthcare entities for product development and distribution. Significant partnerships with laboratories and healthcare organizations also contribute to its earnings, enabling Co-Diagnostics to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings.

Co-Diagnostics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted the company's strategic initiatives and international expansion efforts as major drivers of future growth. However, significant financial challenges remain, with declining revenue and continued net losses, albeit with improved operational efficiency.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Joint Ventures
Co-Diagnostics announced joint ventures with CoSara in India and CoMira in Saudi Arabia. The CoSara SPAC transaction is expected to unlock significant value, while CoMira marks expansion into 19 MENA countries, strengthening the company's international footprint.
AI Business Unit Launch
The launch of an AI business unit led by the Co-Dx Primer AI platform aims to enhance diagnostics, improve operational efficiency, and provide predictive epidemiological insights.
Upper Respiratory Multiplex Test
Initiation of clinical evaluations for a comprehensive respiratory panel detecting flu A, flu B, COVID-19, and RSV, supported by a RADx Tech grant from the NIH.
Improved Financial Efficiency
Operating expenses decreased from $10.6 million in Q3 2024 to $7.1 million in Q3 2025, reflecting operational efficiency improvements.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $0.1 million, a significant drop from $0.6 million in the same period the previous year.
Net Loss
Net loss for Q3 2025 was $5.9 million, although reduced from $9.7 million in Q3 2024, indicating ongoing financial challenges.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, Co-Diagnostics, Inc. provided guidance emphasizing four primary growth pillars. These include the engagement of Maxim Group to explore strategic alternatives for their Indian joint venture, CoSara Diagnostics, potentially through a SPAC transaction; the establishment of CoMira, a joint venture with Arabian Eagle to expand their presence in Saudi Arabia and the MENA region; the launch of an AI business unit to enhance operational efficiency and diagnostics; and the initiation of clinical evaluations for their upper respiratory multiplex test. Financially, Co-Diagnostics reported a revenue of $0.1 million and a net loss of $5.9 million, with operating expenses reduced to $7.1 million for the quarter, demonstrating a focus on operational efficiency. The company aims to strengthen its balance sheet through strategic direct offerings totaling $10.8 million and is optimistic about multiple commercial launches expected in 2026.

Co-Diagnostics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are weak: sharp revenue decline, ongoing net losses, and negative operating metrics. The balance sheet has low leverage and solid equity, but deteriorating assets/equity and negative free cash flow raise sustainability risk.
Income Statement
Co-Diagnostics has experienced a significant decline in revenue from its peak in 2021. The net income has turned negative, reflecting a challenging profitability landscape. Gross profit margins remain relatively high, but the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate operational inefficiencies. The company needs to address these issues to return to profitability.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with minimal debt, resulting in a low debt-to-equity ratio. However, the declining total assets and stockholders' equity indicate financial deterioration. The equity ratio remains solid, suggesting stability, but the negative return on equity highlights profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
Co-Diagnostics is facing negative free cash flow, primarily due to significant operating cash outflows. Despite positive investing cash flows, the inability to generate positive free cash flow to net income ratios suggests challenges in cash management and sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue507.89K3.92M6.81M34.22M97.89M74.55M
Gross Profit172.84K2.92M2.63M28.74M86.31M57.96M
EBITDA-34.33M-38.70M-41.48M-10.31M46.40M41.83M
Net Income-32.18M-37.64M-35.33M-14.24M36.66M42.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets44.74M64.00M95.32M123.09M160.03M71.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.44M29.75M58.55M81.26M89.86M47.31M
Total Debt1.47M2.15M2.99M347.92K0.000.00
Total Liabilities4.91M9.69M9.31M8.57M25.56M4.54M
Stockholders Equity39.83M54.31M86.01M114.52M134.48M66.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-31.81M-29.90M-23.45M5.14M40.41M27.39M
Operating Cash Flow-31.17M-29.16M-22.08M6.57M41.08M28.17M
Investing Cash Flow26.87M17.07M15.39M-58.17M4.10M-5.82M
Financing Cash Flow4.95M103.91K-1.36M-14.03M450.40K19.74M

Co-Diagnostics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.26
Price Trends
50DMA
9.83
Negative
100DMA
10.56
Negative
200DMA
9.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.24
Positive
RSI
37.69
Neutral
STOCH
40.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CODX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.34, below the 50-day MA of 9.83, and below the 200-day MA of 9.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CODX.

Co-Diagnostics Risk Analysis

Co-Diagnostics disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Co-Diagnostics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Co-Diagnostics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$19.95M-1.12-335.47%18.76%60.09%
46
Neutral
$20.20M-0.18-210.36%-70.54%70.03%
46
Neutral
$10.65M-0.49-220.42%-41.03%35.71%
44
Neutral
$15.75M-0.23-50.49%39.93%
41
Neutral
$12.82M-0.21-62.12%-87.84%29.16%
40
Underperform
$14.75M-0.55-204.04%-60.89%94.49%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CODX
Co-Diagnostics
6.12
-16.74
-73.23%
SINT
Sintx Technologies
3.83
0.47
13.99%
VVOS
Vivos Therapeutics
2.22
-2.63
-54.23%
ADGM
Adagio Medical Holdings
0.95
0.06
7.08%
ALUR
Allurion Technologies
1.70
-1.27
-42.76%
HSCS
Heart Test Laboratories, Inc.
3.35
0.13
4.04%

Co-Diagnostics Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Co-Diagnostics Approves Reverse Stock Split to Maintain Listing
Neutral
Dec 30, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Co-Diagnostics’ stockholders approved a reverse stock split authorization, and on December 29, 2025, the board set the ratio at 1-for-30, combining every 30 issued and outstanding common shares into a single share without changing the par value or shareholder rights. The reverse split becomes effective around midnight leading into January 2, 2026, when the stock will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis on Nasdaq under the existing ticker “CODX” but with a new CUSIP, reducing the company’s outstanding common shares to roughly 2.1 million, proportionally adjusting options and warrants, and rounding any fractional entitlements up to the nearest whole share. The company stated that the move is intended to restore compliance with Nasdaq’s $1.00 minimum bid price requirement, a step that could help preserve its listing and access to public capital markets, while operational mechanics for shareholders will generally be handled automatically through brokers and its transfer agent, VStock Transfer, LLC.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODX) stock is a Hold with a $0.23 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Co-Diagnostics stock, see the CODX Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsStock Split
Co-Diagnostics Approves Reverse Stock Split Proposal
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Co-Diagnostics, Inc. held a special meeting of shareholders where a proposal to amend the company’s Articles of Incorporation was approved. This amendment allows for a reverse stock split of the company’s common stock at a ratio between 1-for-2 and 1-for-30, with the final ratio to be determined by the board within twelve months. This decision could impact the company’s stock structure and potentially its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODX) stock is a Hold with a $0.36 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Co-Diagnostics stock, see the CODX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Co-Diagnostics Announces $7M Securities Purchase Agreement
Neutral
Oct 29, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Co-Diagnostics, Inc. announced a Securities Purchase Agreement with institutional investors to issue and sell 12,002,272 shares of common stock and 725,000 pre-funded warrants in a registered direct offering priced at-the-market under Nasdaq rules. The offering, expected to close on October 29, 2025, aims to raise approximately $7 million in gross proceeds, which will be used for working capital and general corporate purposes. Maxim Group LLC is acting as the sole placement agent, and the company has agreed to pay a cash fee and reimburse expenses related to the offering.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODX) stock is a Hold with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Co-Diagnostics stock, see the CODX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Co-Diagnostics Launches New Equity Distribution Agreement
Neutral
Oct 20, 2025

On October 20, 2025, Co-Diagnostics, Inc. entered into an Equity Distribution Agreement with Maxim Group LLC to establish an at-the-market equity program, allowing the company to offer and sell up to $10 million of its common stock. This move comes after the company terminated a previous agreement with Piper Sandler & Co. and Clear Street LLC, effective September 30, 2025. The new agreement provides flexibility in selling shares, but there is no obligation for the company to sell any shares, and the offering will conclude once the $10 million threshold is reached or the agreement is terminated.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODX) stock is a Hold with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Co-Diagnostics stock, see the CODX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Co-Diagnostics to Present at Lytham Partners Conference
Neutral
Sep 30, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Co-Diagnostics, Inc. announced its participation in the Lytham Partners Fall 2025 Investor Conference, where it will present a webcast and conduct one-on-one meetings with institutional investors. This engagement is part of the company’s efforts to strengthen its industry positioning and foster relationships with stakeholders, potentially impacting its operations and market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODX) stock is a Hold with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Co-Diagnostics stock, see the CODX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 25, 2025