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Adagio Medical Holdings (ADGM)
NASDAQ:ADGM
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Adagio Medical Holdings (ADGM) AI Stock Analysis

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ADGM

Adagio Medical Holdings

(NASDAQ:ADGM)

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Underperform 39 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
$0.92
▲(0.88% Upside)
Adagio Medical Holdings' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by consistent losses and negative cash flows. The technical analysis further indicates bearish trends, while the valuation metrics highlight the company's unprofitability. These factors collectively suggest significant challenges for the company in achieving financial stability and market confidence.
Positive Factors
Product Innovation
ADGM's commitment to innovation in medical devices positions it well to address unmet needs in cardiovascular and neuromodulation treatments, potentially driving long-term growth and market differentiation.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships expand ADGM's market reach and distribution capabilities, enhancing its ability to penetrate new markets and increase revenue streams over time.
Equity Improvement
Improvement in equity suggests enhanced financial stability, providing a stronger foundation for future growth and investment opportunities.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenues indicate challenges in market demand or competitive positioning, potentially impacting long-term profitability and growth prospects.
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially affecting the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives or weather economic downturns.
Negative Cash Flows
Persistent negative cash flows suggest operational inefficiencies and reliance on external financing, which may not be sustainable, impacting long-term financial health.

Adagio Medical Holdings (ADGM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Adagio Medical Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdagio Medical Holdings, Inc., a developmental stage medical device company, focuses on the development and commercialization of ablation technologies for the treatment of cardiac arrhythmias. It offers treatment for cardiac arrhythmias, including atrial fibrillation, atrial flutter, and ventricular tachycardia. The company's product portfolio includes iCLAS atrial ultra-low temperature cryoablation (ULTC) catheter and accessories; vCLAS ventricular ULTC catheter; and Cryopulse atrial pulsed-field cryoablation catheter and accessories. Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Laguna Hills, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAdagio Medical Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its proprietary medical devices and therapies to hospitals, healthcare institutions, and clinics. The company employs a direct sales force as well as strategic partnerships with distributors to reach a broader market. Additionally, ADGM may also engage in licensing agreements for its technologies, allowing other companies to manufacture or distribute its products in exchange for royalties. Key revenue drivers include successful product launches, ongoing sales of existing devices, and potential partnerships with larger medical firms that can amplify distribution and market penetration. The company's focus on innovation and addressing specific medical needs further contributes to its potential earnings growth.

Adagio Medical Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Adagio Medical Holdings is facing significant financial challenges, with consistent losses and negative cash flows. Despite slight improvements in equity and cash position, the company remains highly leveraged and struggles with profitability. The medical devices industry is competitive, and the company needs to address operational inefficiencies and improve revenue generation to achieve financial stability.
Income Statement
15
Very Negative
Adagio Medical Holdings has experienced declining revenues over the past years, with a negative revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024. The company has consistently reported negative gross profit and net income, indicating significant challenges in achieving profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies and high costs relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
25
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, although it has improved from 2023 to 2024 as equity turned positive. The equity ratio remains low, suggesting limited financial stability. Despite improvements in stockholders' equity, the company still faces potential risks due to its high liabilities relative to assets.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows, which have slightly improved from 2023 to 2024. The company has relied on financing activities to support its cash position, which may not be sustainable in the long term. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue-143.00K269.00K300.00K189.00K270.00K
Gross Profit-1.07M-1.67M-1.01M-686.00K-888.00K
EBITDA-77.03M-62.48M-27.41M-23.04M-19.60M
Net Income-74.58M-53.76M-38.15M-23.67M-19.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets31.55M48.45M6.83M8.70M21.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.67M20.59M1.38M5.55M18.85M
Total Debt21.97M16.27M38.40M9.80M0.00
Total Liabilities32.86M28.54M138.85M104.57M94.06M
Stockholders Equity-1.31M19.91M-132.02M-95.88M-72.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-23.55M-31.11M-25.98M-22.90M-20.58M
Operating Cash Flow-21.99M-29.46M-25.65M-22.41M-19.31M
Investing Cash Flow-1.57M-1.65M-340.00K-500.00K-1.27M
Financing Cash Flow0.0015.63M21.88M9.53M130.00K

Adagio Medical Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.91
Price Trends
50DMA
1.38
Negative
100DMA
1.43
Negative
200DMA
1.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Negative
RSI
47.29
Neutral
STOCH
62.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADGM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.87, below the 50-day MA of 1.38, and below the 200-day MA of 1.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ADGM.

Adagio Medical Holdings Risk Analysis

Adagio Medical Holdings disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Adagio Medical Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Adagio Medical Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$10.04M0.3220.03%-99.28%-46.16%
48
Neutral
$17.71M-1.26-335.47%18.76%60.09%
42
Neutral
$21.31M-0.37-62.12%-87.84%29.16%
42
Neutral
$23.32M-25.18%-9.71%
39
Underperform
$17.79M-210.36%-70.54%70.03%
35
Underperform
$32.95M-2.50
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADGM
Adagio Medical Holdings
0.91
-1.39
-60.57%
CODX
Co-Diagnostics
0.35
-0.53
-60.05%
PAVM
PAVmed
0.33
-0.77
-70.00%
VVOS
Vivos Therapeutics
2.05
-1.98
-49.13%
IINN
Inspira Technologies Oxy BHN
1.15
-0.15
-11.54%
COCH
Envoy Medical
0.80
-1.30
-61.90%

Adagio Medical Holdings Corporate Events

Adagio Medical’s Cryoablation Study: A Potential Game-Changer for Cardiac Treatment
Oct 27, 2025

Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc. is conducting a clinical study titled ‘Cryoablation for Monomorphic Ventricular Tachycardia IDE Study: EFS and Pivotal.’ The study aims to assess the safety and effectiveness of the Adagio VT Cryoablation System for treating Sustained Monomorphic Ventricular Tachycardia (SMVT), a significant cardiac condition. This research is crucial as it could offer a new treatment avenue for patients suffering from SMVT.

Shareholder Meetings
Adagio Medical Sets Date for 2025 Annual Meeting
Neutral
Oct 24, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc. announced the date for its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, set for December 15, 2025. The company did not hold a 2024 Annual Meeting, prompting this announcement to inform stockholders about the upcoming meeting and the deadlines for submitting proposals and nominations. Stockholders must submit their proposals or nominations by November 3, 2025, to be considered for inclusion in the meeting’s proxy materials.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADGM) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Adagio Medical Holdings stock, see the ADGM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Adagio Medical Secures $19M for Cryoablation Tech
Positive
Oct 20, 2025

On October 20, 2025, Adagio Medical Holdings announced the closing of a $19 million private placement, aimed at advancing its proprietary Ultra-Low Temperature Cryoablation technologies for ventricular tachycardia. The funds will support FDA submission activities, enhance clinical experience, and expand manufacturing capabilities, positioning Adagio to improve treatment outcomes for VT patients and strengthen its market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADGM) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Adagio Medical Holdings stock, see the ADGM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Adagio Medical Raises $19M in Private Placement
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Adagio Medical Holdings entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with accredited investors to raise approximately $19 million upfront through a private placement of common stock and warrants, with potential additional proceeds of up to $31 million upon full exercise of the warrants. The funds will be used for working capital and advancing clinical and product development activities, potentially strengthening Adagio’s market position in cardiac arrhythmia treatment technologies.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADGM) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Adagio Medical Holdings stock, see the ADGM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Adagio Medical Reports Promising Results from FULCRUM-VT Study
Positive
Oct 10, 2025

On October 10, 2025, Adagio Medical Holdings announced preliminary acute safety and efficacy results from its FULCRUM-VT Study, which evaluates the company’s Ultralow Temperature Cryoablation (ULTC) technology for treating Sustained Monomorphic Ventricular Tachycardia (SMVT). The study, presented at the 20th Annual International Symposium on Ventricular Arrhythmias, showed a 97.4% acute clinical success rate with a favorable safety profile, highlighting the potential of ULTC technology to transform VT treatment. The study involved 207 patients across 19 sites in the U.S. and Canada, with results indicating the system’s promise for a broad patient population, including those with ischemic and non-ischemic cardiomyopathy. The company plans to share further results at the Heart Rhythm 2026 conference, aiming for FDA premarket approval.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADGM) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Adagio Medical Holdings stock, see the ADGM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Adagio Medical Completes Enrollment for FULCRUM-VT Study
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Adagio Medical Holdings announced the completion of enrollment for its FULCRUM-VT Pivotal FDA IDE study, evaluating the vCLAS™ Cryoablation System for monomorphic ventricular tachycardia. The study, which enrolled 208 patients across 20 centers in the U.S. and Canada, aims to support a pre-market approval application for the system. The vCLAS System, granted Breakthrough Device Designation by the FDA, is expected to address the needs of patients with drug-refractory ventricular tachycardia, with the PMA process anticipated to complete by the end of 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADGM) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Adagio Medical Holdings stock, see the ADGM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Adagio Medical Holdings Appoints New CFO Deborah Kaster
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

On September 5, 2025, Adagio Medical Holdings appointed Deborah Kaster as Chief Financial Officer, expanding her role from Chief Business Officer. Kaster, who joined Adagio in March 2025, brings over 25 years of financial leadership experience and will oversee both business and financial operations. This strategic move aims to align Adagio’s financial and strategic priorities, enhancing its growth potential in the medical device industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADGM) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Adagio Medical Holdings stock, see the ADGM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 02, 2025