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Allstate Corporation (ALL)
NYSE:ALL
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Allstate (ALL) AI Stock Analysis

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ALL

Allstate

(NYSE:ALL)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$221.00
â–˛(9.25% Upside)
Allstate's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the most significant factors driving the score. The earnings call highlights robust growth and strategic initiatives, although technical indicators suggest a lack of momentum. Overall, the company's solid fundamentals and strategic direction position it well for future growth.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Allstate's consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term stability.
Investment Income Increase
Rising investment income enhances Allstate's financial flexibility and ability to reinvest in growth opportunities.
Leadership Changes
Strategic leadership changes can drive operational efficiency and innovation, positioning Allstate for future growth.
Negative Factors
Increased Claims in Protection Plans
Rising claims in protection plans could pressure Allstate's profitability, affecting long-term financial performance.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory hurdles in key markets like New York and New Jersey can limit Allstate's growth and market expansion.
Catastrophe Losses
High catastrophe losses can strain resources and impact Allstate's financial resilience, posing long-term risks.

Allstate (ALL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Allstate Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAllstate Corporation (ALL) is a leading American insurance company headquartered in Northfield Township, Illinois. It operates primarily in the property and casualty insurance sector, providing a wide range of insurance products including auto, home, renters, and life insurance. The company serves millions of customers across the United States and Canada through its extensive network of agents and digital platforms. Allstate is committed to offering financial services that help protect people from life's uncertainties and support them in their recovery from losses.
How the Company Makes MoneyAllstate generates revenue primarily through the sale of insurance premiums from its various products, particularly in auto and home insurance. The company collects premiums upfront from policyholders, which are then invested in a diversified portfolio of assets to generate investment income. Key revenue streams include underwriting profits from the difference between premiums collected and claims paid out, as well as investment income from its investment portfolio. Additionally, Allstate has partnerships with various agents and brokers, which help expand its market reach and customer base. The company also engages in risk management strategies and offers financial products, such as retirement and savings solutions, further contributing to its earnings.

Allstate Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Property-Liability Premiums
Property-Liability Premiums
Shows the revenue generated from property and liability insurance, highlighting the company's core business strength and pricing strategy effectiveness.
Chart InsightsAllstate's property-liability premiums have shown consistent growth, with a notable surge in 2024 and 2025. This aligns with the company's strategic expansion in auto and homeowners insurance across multiple states, as highlighted in their earnings call. Despite challenges from catastrophe losses in the homeowners segment, the overall positive momentum is driven by a 21% increase in new business and a robust growth strategy. The earnings call underscores a strong revenue trajectory and significant policy growth, reinforcing Allstate's competitive positioning in the market.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Allstate Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with significant growth in revenue, profit, and investment income. However, there are challenges in specific segments like increased claims in protection plans and regulatory hurdles in New York and New Jersey. The company's strategic initiatives and cost reduction efforts are prominently supporting growth, with a focus on leveraging technology for future expansion.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Profit Growth
Revenues increased to $17.3 billion, and policies in force increased to $209.5 million. Net income was $3.7 billion with an adjusted net income of $3 billion or $11.17 per share. Return on equity for the last 12 months was 34.7%.
Effective Cost Reduction
Expense ratio reduced by 6.7 points, supported by transformative growth initiatives aimed at increasing market share.
Investment Income Increase
Net investment income was $949 million in the third quarter, representing a 21.2% increase over the prior year quarter.
Homeowners Insurance Competitive Advantage
Homeowners business targeted a low 90s reported combined ratio and achieved a recorded combined ratio of 92.3% over 10 years.
Protection Services Growth
Protection Services grew with premiums up 12.7% compared to the third quarter of 2024, with significant growth in protection plans domestically and internationally.
Negative Updates
Increased Claims in Protection Plans
Adjusted net income for protection plans decreased by $5 million from the prior year quarter due to increased claims.
Challenges in New York and New Jersey
Continued regulatory challenges in getting new product approvals, affecting policy count growth in these states.
Nonstandard Auto Insurance Retention Impact
Growth in nonstandard auto insurance has a negative impact on overall retention, despite being economically attractive.
Company Guidance
During Allstate's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust financial metrics, including a revenue increase to $17.3 billion and a net income of $3.7 billion. Adjusted net income was $3 billion or $11.17 per share, driven by strong Property-Liability results and higher investment income. Allstate achieved a return on equity of 34.7% over the past year. The company also noted a rise in policies in force to 209.5 million, a 3.8% increase from the prior year, highlighting growth in Property-Liability and protection service premiums. The transformative growth initiative, launched six years ago, continues to boost Property-Liability market share, supported by a 6.7-point reduction in the expense ratio and expanded customer access. Additionally, Allstate is leveraging innovative technologies like generative AI to enhance operational efficiency and customer service, with 15% of coding now AI-generated or reviewed. The company is also developing the Allstate Large Language Intelligent Ecosystem (ALLIE) to further improve customer value and business operations.

Allstate Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Allstate demonstrates a solid financial performance with strong profitability and growth in the income statement, a stable financial structure with low leverage in the balance sheet, and excellent cash generation capabilities in the cash flow statement. However, there are areas for improvement, such as the gross profit margin and missing equity ratio data.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Allstate's income statement shows a strong recovery with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.37% and a net profit margin of 8.79%. The company has improved its profitability significantly from previous years, with a notable increase in EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, the gross profit margin has decreased compared to previous periods, indicating potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.34 in the TTM period, indicating prudent leverage management. Return on equity has improved to 26.35%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Allstate's cash flow statement is robust, with a strong free cash flow growth rate of 8.21% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not provided, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 97.50%, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. This strong cash flow performance supports the company's financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue66.41B63.52B56.59B50.62B48.68B41.93B
Gross Profit11.98B14.50B7.17B5.68B12.03B13.27B
EBITDA11.50B6.72B735.00M-648.00M7.88B7.81B
Net Income8.38B4.67B-188.00M-1.29B1.61B5.58B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets120.40B111.62B103.36B97.99B99.44B125.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments931.00M5.24B5.87B4.91B4.77B7.12B
Total Debt8.09B8.09B7.94B7.96B7.98B7.83B
Total Liabilities92.91B90.25B85.73B80.63B74.31B95.77B
Stockholders Equity27.50B21.44B17.77B17.49B25.18B30.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.35B8.72B3.96B4.70B4.77B5.18B
Operating Cash Flow11.57B8.93B4.23B5.12B5.12B5.49B
Investing Cash Flow-6.98B-8.25B-3.00B-1.73B510.00M-3.44B
Financing Cash Flow-1.85B-697.00M-1.24B-3.42B-5.24B-2.01B

Allstate Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price202.29
Price Trends
50DMA
201.87
Positive
100DMA
200.28
Positive
200DMA
198.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.91
Negative
RSI
57.99
Neutral
STOCH
77.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 202.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 195.77, above the 50-day MA of 201.87, and above the 200-day MA of 198.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -1.91 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALL.

Allstate Risk Analysis

Allstate disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Allstate reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Allstate Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$111.39B11.8214.06%1.31%6.68%-1.78%
78
Outperform
$61.62B10.8619.81%1.54%6.75%30.83%
77
Outperform
$51.32B6.3134.63%1.94%7.07%100.42%
74
Outperform
$35.65B10.4520.07%1.66%7.11%22.52%
74
Outperform
$122.91B11.4934.23%2.26%18.35%32.36%
74
Outperform
$25.18B12.0114.53%2.08%-0.63%-30.68%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALL
Allstate
202.29
8.52
4.40%
CB
Chubb
287.55
10.55
3.81%
CINF
Cincinnati Financial
164.64
16.95
11.48%
HIG
Hartford Financial
129.41
13.65
11.79%
PGR
Progressive
217.27
-37.42
-14.69%
TRV
Travelers Companies
279.81
25.65
10.09%

Allstate Corporate Events

Allstate Corp’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth
Nov 7, 2025

Allstate Corp’s recent earnings call paints a picture of robust financial health, marked by significant growth in revenue, profit, and investment income. While the company faces challenges in certain segments, such as increased claims in protection plans and regulatory hurdles in New York and New Jersey, its strategic initiatives and cost reduction efforts are driving growth. The focus on leveraging technology for future expansion is a key highlight of the call.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Allstate Reports September 2025 Catastrophe Losses
Neutral
Oct 16, 2025

Allstate has announced its estimated catastrophe losses and policies in force for September 2025. This release provides insights into the company’s financial performance and operational impact, reflecting its ongoing commitment to transparency with stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALL) stock is a Buy with a $223.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allstate stock, see the ALL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Allstate Announces Major Leadership Changes Effective October 2025
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

Allstate Corporation announced significant changes to its senior leadership team, effective October 1, 2025. Mario Rizzo will become the Chief Operating Officer, Jesse E. Merten will succeed him as President of Property-Liability, and John E. Dugenske will serve as interim Chief Financial Officer while maintaining his role as President of Investments and Corporate Strategy. These leadership changes are expected to impact the company’s operations and strategic direction, with adjustments in executive compensation reflecting their new roles.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALL) stock is a Hold with a $233.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allstate stock, see the ALL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Allstate Reports August 2025 Catastrophe Losses
Negative
Sep 18, 2025

In August 2025, Allstate released its monthly report detailing estimated catastrophe losses and policies in force, which is available on their investor website. This announcement provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial impact from recent events, potentially affecting its market positioning and operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALL) stock is a Buy with a $221.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allstate stock, see the ALL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Allstate Releases July 2025 Catastrophe Loss Report
Neutral
Aug 21, 2025

In July 2025, Allstate released its monthly report detailing estimated catastrophe losses and policies in force, which is available on their investor website. This announcement provides insights into the company’s financial health and operational status, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALL) stock is a Buy with a $235.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allstate stock, see the ALL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025