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Allstate Corporation (ALL)
NYSE:ALL
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Allstate (ALL) AI Stock Analysis

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ALL

Allstate

(NYSE:ALL)

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Outperform 83 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:83Outperform
Price Target:
$244.00
â–˛(16.80% Upside)
Allstate's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the primary drivers of its high score. The company's robust earnings call highlights strategic growth initiatives and technological advancements, further enhancing its outlook. While technical indicators show positive momentum, caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant increase in revenue and policies in force indicates robust market expansion and customer acquisition, strengthening Allstate's market position.
Technological Advancements
The integration of AI and technology initiatives enhances operational efficiency and customer service, providing a competitive edge in the insurance industry.
Investment Income Growth
The growth in investment income supports financial stability and provides additional resources for strategic initiatives, enhancing long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory hurdles in key states can limit product offerings and policy count growth, potentially hindering market expansion and revenue growth.
Increased Claims Impact
Rising claims in protection plans can pressure margins and profitability, necessitating effective risk management and pricing strategies.
Nonstandard Auto Insurance Retention
While economically attractive, nonstandard auto insurance growth may affect customer retention, challenging long-term customer base stability.

Allstate (ALL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Allstate Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Allstate Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty, and other insurance products in the United States and Canada. The company operates through Allstate Protection; Protection Services; Allstate Health and Benefits; and Run-off Property-Liability segments. The Allstate Protection segment offers private passenger auto and homeowners insurance; specialty auto products, including motorcycle, trailer, motor home, and off-road vehicle insurance; other personal lines products, such as renter, condominium, landlord, boat, umbrella, and manufactured home and stand-alone scheduled personal property; and commercial lines products under the Allstate and Encompass brand names. The Protection Services segment provides consumer product protection plans and related technical support for mobile phones, consumer electronics, furniture, and appliances; finance and insurance products, including vehicle service contracts, guaranteed asset protection waivers, road hazard tire and wheel, and paint and fabric protection; roadside assistance; device and mobile data collection services; data and analytic solutions using automotive telematics information; and identity protection services. This segment offers its products under various brands including Allstate Protection Plans, Allstate Dealer Services, Allstate Roadside Services, Arity, and Allstate Identity Protection. The Allstate Health and Benefits provides life, accident, critical illness, short-term disability, and other health insurance products. The Run-off Property-Liability offers property and casualty insurance. It sells its products through call centers, agencies, financial specialists, independent agents, brokers, wholesale partners, and affinity groups, as well as through online and mobile applications. The Allstate Corporation was founded in 1931 and is based in Northbrook, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyAllstate generates revenue primarily through its insurance premiums collected from policyholders. The company uses a model where it assesses risk and sets premium prices accordingly, allowing it to earn income from underwriting insurance policies. Additionally, Allstate invests a significant portion of the premium income in various securities and assets, generating investment income. Key revenue streams include auto insurance, homeowner's insurance, and life insurance premiums. The company also earns fees from services related to insurance products and has partnerships with various financial institutions for cross-selling opportunities, enhancing its overall revenue generation.

Allstate Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Property-Liability Premiums
Property-Liability Premiums
Shows the revenue generated from property and liability insurance, highlighting the company's core business strength and pricing strategy effectiveness.
Chart InsightsAllstate's property-liability premiums have shown consistent growth, with a notable surge in 2024 and 2025. This aligns with the company's strategic expansion in auto and homeowners insurance across multiple states, as highlighted in their earnings call. Despite challenges from catastrophe losses in the homeowners segment, the overall positive momentum is driven by a 21% increase in new business and a robust growth strategy. The earnings call underscores a strong revenue trajectory and significant policy growth, reinforcing Allstate's competitive positioning in the market.
Data provided by:The Fly

Allstate Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with significant growth in revenue, profit, and investment income. However, there are challenges in specific segments like increased claims in protection plans and regulatory hurdles in New York and New Jersey. The company's strategic initiatives and cost reduction efforts are prominently supporting growth, with a focus on leveraging technology for future expansion.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Profit Growth
Revenues increased to $17.3 billion, and policies in force increased to $209.5 million. Net income was $3.7 billion with an adjusted net income of $3 billion or $11.17 per share. Return on equity for the last 12 months was 34.7%.
Effective Cost Reduction
Expense ratio reduced by 6.7 points, supported by transformative growth initiatives aimed at increasing market share.
Investment Income Increase
Net investment income was $949 million in the third quarter, representing a 21.2% increase over the prior year quarter.
Homeowners Insurance Competitive Advantage
Homeowners business targeted a low 90s reported combined ratio and achieved a recorded combined ratio of 92.3% over 10 years.
Protection Services Growth
Protection Services grew with premiums up 12.7% compared to the third quarter of 2024, with significant growth in protection plans domestically and internationally.
Negative Updates
Increased Claims in Protection Plans
Adjusted net income for protection plans decreased by $5 million from the prior year quarter due to increased claims.
Challenges in New York and New Jersey
Continued regulatory challenges in getting new product approvals, affecting policy count growth in these states.
Nonstandard Auto Insurance Retention Impact
Growth in nonstandard auto insurance has a negative impact on overall retention, despite being economically attractive.
Company Guidance
During Allstate's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust financial metrics, including a revenue increase to $17.3 billion and a net income of $3.7 billion. Adjusted net income was $3 billion or $11.17 per share, driven by strong Property-Liability results and higher investment income. Allstate achieved a return on equity of 34.7% over the past year. The company also noted a rise in policies in force to 209.5 million, a 3.8% increase from the prior year, highlighting growth in Property-Liability and protection service premiums. The transformative growth initiative, launched six years ago, continues to boost Property-Liability market share, supported by a 6.7-point reduction in the expense ratio and expanded customer access. Additionally, Allstate is leveraging innovative technologies like generative AI to enhance operational efficiency and customer service, with 15% of coding now AI-generated or reviewed. The company is also developing the Allstate Large Language Intelligent Ecosystem (ALLIE) to further improve customer value and business operations.

Allstate Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Allstate demonstrates strong financial health with significant revenue growth and improved profitability. The balance sheet is stable with prudent leverage, and cash flow generation is robust. However, attention should be paid to the declining gross profit margin, which could impact future profitability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Allstate's income statement shows strong performance with a significant revenue growth rate of 85.9% in the TTM period, indicating robust expansion. The net profit margin improved to 12.62%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the gross profit margin decreased compared to previous years, suggesting potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29, indicating prudent leverage. Return on equity is impressive at 35.27%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 22.84%, reflecting a stable financial structure. However, the decrease in gross profit margin could be a concern for future profitability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong free cash flow growth rate of 114.8% in the TTM period, highlighting excellent cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 97.86%, indicating efficient conversion of income into cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is not available, which limits a complete assessment.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue66.21B63.52B56.59B50.62B48.68B41.69B
Gross Profit18.22B14.50B7.17B5.68B12.03B13.03B
EBITDA11.62B6.72B735.00M-648.00M7.88B7.81B
Net Income8.38B4.67B-188.00M-1.29B1.61B5.58B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets120.40B111.62B103.36B97.99B99.44B125.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.67B5.24B5.87B4.91B4.77B7.12B
Total Debt8.09B8.09B7.94B7.96B7.98B7.83B
Total Liabilities92.91B90.25B85.73B80.63B74.31B95.77B
Stockholders Equity27.50B21.44B17.77B17.49B25.18B30.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.64B8.72B3.96B4.70B4.77B5.18B
Operating Cash Flow8.83B8.93B4.23B5.12B5.12B5.49B
Investing Cash Flow-6.98B-8.25B-3.00B-1.73B510.00M-3.44B
Financing Cash Flow-1.85B-697.00M-1.24B-3.42B-5.24B-2.01B

Allstate Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price208.91
Price Trends
50DMA
203.72
Positive
100DMA
201.91
Positive
200DMA
199.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.10
Negative
RSI
55.67
Neutral
STOCH
26.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 208.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 207.23, above the 50-day MA of 203.72, and above the 200-day MA of 199.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALL.

Allstate Risk Analysis

Allstate disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Allstate reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Allstate Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$54.95B6.8034.63%1.91%7.07%100.42%
82
Outperform
$37.76B11.0720.07%1.59%7.11%22.52%
81
Outperform
$25.90B12.3614.53%2.12%-0.63%-30.68%
80
Outperform
$115.66B12.2714.06%1.27%6.68%-1.78%
78
Outperform
$133.59B12.4834.23%2.14%18.35%32.36%
78
Outperform
$64.80B11.4219.81%1.49%6.75%30.83%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALL
Allstate
208.91
7.91
3.94%
CB
Chubb
294.50
13.65
4.86%
CINF
Cincinnati Financial
163.77
11.06
7.24%
HIG
Hartford Insurance
135.10
16.50
13.91%
PGR
Progressive
228.76
-26.38
-10.34%
TRV
Travelers Companies
288.52
31.00
12.04%

Allstate Corporate Events

Allstate Corp Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 7, 2025

Allstate Corporation, a leading provider of insurance products and services, operates primarily in the property and casualty insurance sector, offering protection for autos, homes, electronic devices, and identities through a broad distribution network.

Allstate Corp’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth
Nov 7, 2025

Allstate Corp’s recent earnings call paints a picture of robust financial health, marked by significant growth in revenue, profit, and investment income. While the company faces challenges in certain segments, such as increased claims in protection plans and regulatory hurdles in New York and New Jersey, its strategic initiatives and cost reduction efforts are driving growth. The focus on leveraging technology for future expansion is a key highlight of the call.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Allstate Reports September 2025 Catastrophe Losses
Neutral
Oct 16, 2025

Allstate has announced its estimated catastrophe losses and policies in force for September 2025. This release provides insights into the company’s financial performance and operational impact, reflecting its ongoing commitment to transparency with stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALL) stock is a Buy with a $223.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allstate stock, see the ALL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Allstate Announces Major Leadership Changes Effective October 2025
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

Allstate Corporation announced significant changes to its senior leadership team, effective October 1, 2025. Mario Rizzo will become the Chief Operating Officer, Jesse E. Merten will succeed him as President of Property-Liability, and John E. Dugenske will serve as interim Chief Financial Officer while maintaining his role as President of Investments and Corporate Strategy. These leadership changes are expected to impact the company’s operations and strategic direction, with adjustments in executive compensation reflecting their new roles.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALL) stock is a Hold with a $233.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allstate stock, see the ALL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Allstate Reports August 2025 Catastrophe Losses
Negative
Sep 18, 2025

In August 2025, Allstate released its monthly report detailing estimated catastrophe losses and policies in force, which is available on their investor website. This announcement provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial impact from recent events, potentially affecting its market positioning and operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALL) stock is a Buy with a $221.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allstate stock, see the ALL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Allstate Releases July 2025 Catastrophe Loss Report
Neutral
Aug 21, 2025

In July 2025, Allstate released its monthly report detailing estimated catastrophe losses and policies in force, which is available on their investor website. This announcement provides insights into the company’s financial health and operational status, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALL) stock is a Buy with a $235.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allstate stock, see the ALL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025