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Chubb (CB)
NYSE:CB
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Chubb (CB) AI Stock Analysis

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Chubb

(NYSE:CB)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$320.00
▲(14.42% Upside)
Chubb's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors contributing to its overall score. The company's robust profitability, efficient operations, and strategic growth initiatives position it well in the competitive insurance industry. Technical analysis and valuation provide additional support, though some caution is warranted due to mixed technical signals and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Chubb reported operating EPS of $6.14 for the second quarter, beating the consensus of $5.96.
Financial Performance
Favorable loss experience across all segments contributed to the positive performance.
Stock Repurchases
2Q repurchases of $676mn exceeded the forecast of $500mn.
Negative Factors
Competition
Elevated levels of competition in large account property-related business resulted in rates dropping.
Earnings Projection
Earnings growth is expected to decline in the future before returning to modest growth.
Pricing Pressure
Pricing pressure in commercial property unlikely to ignite investor interest.

Chubb (CB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Chubb Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChubb Limited provides insurance and reinsurance products worldwide. The company's North America Commercial P&C Insurance segment offers commercial property, casualty, workers' compensation, package policies, risk management, financial lines, marine, construction, environmental, medical, cyber risk, surety, and excess casualty; and group accident and health insurance to large, middle market, and small commercial businesses. Its North America Personal P&C Insurance segment provides affluent and high net worth individuals and families with homeowners, automobile and collector cars, valuable articles, personal and excess liability, travel insurance, and recreational marine insurance and services. The company's North America Agricultural Insurance segment offers multiple peril crop and crop-hail insurance; and coverage for farm and ranch property, and commercial agriculture products. Its Overseas General Insurance segment provides coverage for traditional commercial property and casualty; specialty categories, such as financial lines, marine, energy, aviation, political risk, and construction risk; and group accident and health, and traditional and specialty personal lines for corporations, middle markets, and small customers through retail brokers, agents, and other channels. The company's Global Reinsurance segment offers traditional and specialty reinsurance under the Chubb Tempest Re brand to property and casualty companies. Its Life Insurance segment provides protection and savings products comprising whole life, endowment plans, individual term life, group term life, medical and health, personal accident, credit life, universal life, and unit linked contracts. The company markets its products primarily through insurance and reinsurance brokers. The company was formerly known as ACE Limited and changed its name to Chubb Limited in January 2016. Chubb Limited was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneyChubb generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance policies, which involves collecting premiums from policyholders in exchange for coverage against specified risks. The company has several key revenue streams, including commercial lines, personal lines, and specialty insurance products. Additionally, Chubb earns income from investment returns on the premiums collected, as these funds are typically invested in various financial instruments until claims need to be paid out. Significant partnerships with brokers, agents, and other distribution channels also enhance Chubb's market reach and contribute to its earnings. The company's strong reputation and extensive global presence further enable it to attract a diverse clientele, thereby bolstering its revenue generation capabilities.

Chubb Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Premiums
Net Premiums
Net Premiums measure the total revenue Chubb earns from insurance policies after deducting reinsurance costs. This is a key indicator of the company's ability to generate income from its core business operations, reflecting its market position and growth potential in the insurance industry.
Chart InsightsChubb's net premiums have shown a consistent upward trajectory, with both written and earned premiums experiencing significant growth since 2019. This trend highlights Chubb's robust underwriting capabilities and market expansion efforts. The recent quarters indicate sustained momentum, suggesting strong demand for Chubb's insurance products. Investors should note the strategic implications of this growth, as it positions Chubb favorably in the competitive insurance landscape, potentially leading to enhanced profitability and market share.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Chubb Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.34%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong overall performance with record core operating results and significant growth across several key segments and regions. However, challenges remain in the competitive large account commercial P&C market and financial lines pricing. Despite these challenges, the company's diversified portfolio and strategic discipline suggest a positive outlook for sustained growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Core Operating EPS and Income
Core operating EPS reached a record $6.14, reflecting a 14% increase from the previous year, backed by record underwriting income, strong investment results, and premium revenue growth. Core operating income also saw a record result of $2.5 billion, up 13%.
Strong Underwriting Performance
Published underwriting income was $1.6 billion, up 15% from the previous year, resulting in a combined ratio of 85.6%. Current accident year underwriting income, excluding catastrophes, increased by 11.5%, with a combined ratio of 82.3%.
Tangible Book Value Growth
Tangible book value per share grew 23.7% year-over-year and 8% from the previous quarter. The annualized core operating return on tangible equity was a robust 21%.
Global P&C and Life Insurance Premium Growth
Global P&C premiums, excluding agriculture, grew by 5.8% (6.4% in constant dollars), with life insurance premiums increasing nearly 17.5%.
Strong Regional and Segment Performance
North America P&C premiums, excluding agriculture, grew by 5.3%, with personal insurance up 9.1% and commercial up 4.1%. Internationally, Asia, Europe, and Latin America showed significant growth in both commercial and consumer segments.
Positive Investment Income
Adjusted net investment income was $1.69 billion, up 8%, with a fixed income portfolio yield of 5.1% and a new money rate averaging 5.4%.
Negative Updates
Competitive Large Account Commercial P&C Market
The large account commercial P&C market in the U.S. has become competitive, with property prices softening and a lot of capital chasing the business. This led Chubb to walk away from some business where pricing was inadequate.
Property Pricing Decline
Property pricing in North America was down 2.5%, with rates down 7%, although partially offset by an exposure change of 4.9%.
Financial Lines Pricing Pressure
Internationally, financial lines pricing was down over 6.5%, indicating continued softness in this segment.
Adverse Development in Corporate Runoff Portfolio
The corporate runoff portfolio experienced adverse development of $70 million, primarily due to asbestos-related claims development.
Company Guidance
During Chubb Limited's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported record performance metrics, emphasizing strong financial results and growth across various segments and geographies. Core operating EPS reached an all-time high of $6.14, marking a 14% year-over-year increase, while core operating income surged to a record $2.5 billion, up 13%. Underwriting income improved significantly, with a published underwriting income of $1.6 billion, reflecting a 15% increase, and a combined ratio of 85.6%. Investment income also rose, with adjusted net investment income of nearly $1.7 billion, an 8% increase, supported by a fixed income portfolio yield of 5.1%. Operating cash flow was robust at $3.2 billion, and tangible book value per share grew 23.7% from the previous year. The company highlighted growth in global P&C premiums, which increased by 5.8% overall, with commercial and consumer segments up 4.2% and 11.9%, respectively, while premiums in the Life Insurance division grew by 17.5%. Chubb also reported a strong balance sheet, with book value and tangible book value per share increasing by 6.1% and 8% for the quarter, respectively. The company maintained a disciplined underwriting approach amid competitive market conditions and executed a $1.1 billion capital return to shareholders, including share repurchases and dividends.

Chubb Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chubb demonstrates strong financial health with consistent profitability, efficient operations, and a stable financial structure. The income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent net profit margin, and the balance sheet is robust with low debt levels. However, there is a slight decline in gross profit margin and a negative free cash flow growth rate, which suggests some pressure on cost management and cash flow maintenance.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Chubb's income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent net profit margin around 16% to 18% over the years. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth rate is modest at 1.57%, indicating stable revenue generation. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin from 2024 to TTM suggests some pressure on cost management.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 in TTM, indicating prudent financial leverage. Return on equity is strong at 13.89%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is solid, reflecting a stable financial structure. However, the slight increase in debt levels over the years warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Chubb's cash flow statement reveals a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 9.34 in TTM, indicating excellent cash generation relative to earnings. Free cash flow to net income ratio remains stable at 1.0, reflecting consistent cash flow management. However, the negative free cash flow growth rate in TTM suggests potential challenges in maintaining cash flow levels.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue57.66B56.15B50.13B42.98B40.77B36.05B
Gross Profit15.74B16.17B13.84B10.83B11.33B36.05B
EBITDA12.55B12.52B10.51B7.34B10.57B4.97B
Net Income9.20B9.27B9.03B5.25B8.53B3.53B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets261.56B246.55B230.68B199.02B200.05B190.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments40.37B39.19B33.79B25.79B97.91B96.79B
Total Debt14.98B15.18B14.49B14.88B16.17B14.95B
Total Liabilities187.12B178.15B166.99B148.50B140.34B131.33B
Stockholders Equity69.39B64.02B59.51B50.52B59.71B59.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.00B16.18B12.63B11.26B11.15B9.79B
Operating Cash Flow14.00B16.18B12.63B11.26B11.15B9.79B
Investing Cash Flow-11.48B-13.92B-7.65B-5.65B-6.66B-7.52B
Financing Cash Flow-2.88B-2.18B-4.49B-5.14B-4.41B-2.08B

Chubb Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price279.68
Price Trends
50DMA
277.34
Positive
100DMA
282.58
Negative
200DMA
279.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Negative
RSI
60.94
Neutral
STOCH
72.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 279.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 270.58, above the 50-day MA of 277.34, and above the 200-day MA of 279.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CB.

Chubb Risk Analysis

Chubb disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chubb reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Chubb Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$26.74B16.0520.63%2.21%11.41%15.32%
82
Outperform
$54.57B9.7427.33%1.80%9.81%94.71%
81
Outperform
$59.64B11.7119.29%1.55%8.54%43.51%
80
Outperform
$144.85B13.9137.29%1.94%21.50%51.86%
79
Outperform
$108.81B12.0414.10%1.32%6.74%-4.05%
72
Outperform
$24.74B11.8313.23%1.66%8.51%
68
Neutral
$17.52B11.7210.43%3.85%9.75%2.39%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CB
Chubb
279.68
10.35
3.84%
ALL
Allstate
213.62
35.83
20.15%
MKL
Markel
1,971.84
407.83
26.08%
PGR
Progressive
252.68
17.26
7.33%
TRV
Travelers Companies
274.39
60.15
28.08%
WRB
W. R. Berkley Corporation
72.64
16.07
28.41%

Chubb Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chubb Announces $1.25 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Aug 6, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Chubb INA Holdings LLC announced its agreement to sell $1.25 billion in 4.900% Senior Notes due 2035 through a public offering. These notes will be fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Chubb Limited, indicating a strategic financial move that could impact the company’s market positioning and provide stakeholders with insights into its future financial strategies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2025