tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Chubb (CB)
NYSE:CB

Chubb (CB) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,866 Followers

Top Page

CB

Chubb

(NYSE:CB)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$360.00
▲(9.27% Upside)
CB scores well primarily on financial performance (strong profitability and a solid balance sheet) and a very constructive earnings call with record operating results and confident growth outlook. Technicals support the trend but show some near-term stretch, while valuation is reasonable on earnings but less supported by dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Underwriting discipline: low combined ratio
A record-low combined ratio (81.2%) and sharply higher P&C underwriting income reflect durable underwriting discipline and pricing/segmentation strength. Sustained low combined ratios drive persistent underwriting profitability, expand capital generation and support long-term returns and reinvestment capacity.
Diversified, broad premium growth
Broad-based premium growth across regions and lines (consumer, commercial, life) reduces concentration risk and supports steadier revenue trajectories. Geographic and product diversification increases resilience to localized cycles and underpins multi-year organic growth potential in both P&C and life segments.
Strong capital generation and tangible book growth
Large tangible-book-value gains and meaningful capital returns indicate robust internal capital generation and disciplined deployment. A rising tangible equity base plus active buybacks/dividends provides flexibility to fund growth, invest in higher-yield private assets, and sustain ratings over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Catastrophe loss volatility
Elevated catastrophe losses demonstrate recurring model and earnings volatility inherent to P&C insurance. Large-cat years can materially erode underwriting margins and capital cushions, forcing reserve draws or reduced capital returns and complicating multi-year earnings visibility and planning.
Rate pressure in large-account property / London market
Meaningful rate declines in large-account and London markets signal structural pricing headwinds in higher-limit commercial classes. Sustained competitive pressure can compress underwriting margins, challenge disciplined risk selection, and require higher volume or product mix shifts to maintain earnings over several quarters.
Long-tail reserve risk (asbestos runoff)
Adverse development in runoff reserves (asbestos) highlights persistent long-tail liability risk that can produce surprise charges and erode capital. Such reserve volatility complicates multi-year loss forecasts, capital planning and may constrain capital returns if adverse trends continue.

Chubb (CB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Chubb Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChubb Limited provides insurance and reinsurance products worldwide. The company's North America Commercial P&C Insurance segment offers commercial property, casualty, workers' compensation, package policies, risk management, financial lines, marine, construction, environmental, medical, cyber risk, surety, and excess casualty; and group accident and health insurance to large, middle market, and small commercial businesses. Its North America Personal P&C Insurance segment provides affluent and high net worth individuals and families with homeowners, automobile and collector cars, valuable articles, personal and excess liability, travel insurance, and recreational marine insurance and services. The company's North America Agricultural Insurance segment offers multiple peril crop and crop-hail insurance; and coverage for farm and ranch property, and commercial agriculture products. Its Overseas General Insurance segment provides coverage for traditional commercial property and casualty; specialty categories, such as financial lines, marine, energy, aviation, political risk, and construction risk; and group accident and health, and traditional and specialty personal lines for corporations, middle markets, and small customers through retail brokers, agents, and other channels. The company's Global Reinsurance segment offers traditional and specialty reinsurance under the Chubb Tempest Re brand to property and casualty companies. Its Life Insurance segment provides protection and savings products comprising whole life, endowment plans, individual term life, group term life, medical and health, personal accident, credit life, universal life, and unit linked contracts. The company markets its products primarily through insurance and reinsurance brokers. The company was formerly known as ACE Limited and changed its name to Chubb Limited in January 2016. Chubb Limited was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneyChubb generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance policies, which involves collecting premiums from policyholders in exchange for coverage against various risks. The company earns significant income from its core property and casualty insurance lines, which include both commercial and personal insurance. Additionally, Chubb generates revenue from investment income derived from the premiums it collects, which are then invested in a diversified portfolio of assets. Key revenue streams include premium income from policies that cover risks such as property damage, liability claims, and specialty insurance products. Chubb also benefits from reinsurance arrangements that help manage risk exposure. Strategic partnerships with brokers and agents enhance its distribution network, while its strong financial strength and reputation contribute to customer trust and retention, further bolstering its earnings potential.

Chubb Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Premiums
Net Premiums
Net Premiums measure the total revenue Chubb earns from insurance policies after deducting reinsurance costs. This is a key indicator of the company's ability to generate income from its core business operations, reflecting its market position and growth potential in the insurance industry.
Chart InsightsChubb's net premiums have shown a consistent upward trajectory, with both written and earned premiums experiencing significant growth since 2019. This trend highlights Chubb's robust underwriting capabilities and market expansion efforts. The recent quarters indicate sustained momentum, suggesting strong demand for Chubb's insurance products. Investors should note the strategic implications of this growth, as it positions Chubb favorably in the competitive insurance landscape, potentially leading to enhanced profitability and market share.
Data provided by:The Fly

Chubb Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 03, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple record-setting achievements across underwriting, investment income and life businesses, with broad premium growth, strong returns, tangible book value expansion and significant shareholder returns. Management acknowledged key risks — elevated catastrophe losses for the year, competitive pressure in large-account property and softness in certain financial lines segments, plus FX and regulatory risks — but positioned these as manageable relative to the company’s diversified global platform and disciplined underwriting. Overall, the positive operational results, strong capital generation and clear strategic initiatives (digital transformation, targeted investments) materially outweigh the disclosed headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly and Annual Operating Results
Core operating income for the quarter nearly $3.0B ($7.52/share), up ~22% in operating income and ~25% in EPS year-over-year; full-year core operating income just shy of $10B ($24.79/share), up ~9% in operating income and ~11% in EPS versus prior year.
Outstanding P&C Underwriting Performance
P&C underwriting income for the quarter was $2.2B, up 40% year-over-year with a record-low combined ratio of 81.2%; full-year P&C underwriting income $6.5B, up 11.6% with a record annual combined ratio of 85.7%.
Strong Premium Growth Across Businesses
Total company net premiums grew almost 9% in the quarter; full-year total premiums grew >6.5%. Quarterly P&C premium revenue grew >7.5% (consumer +~12%, commercial +>6%); life premiums up ~17% in the quarter and life full-year premiums up >15%.
Record Investment Income and Expanded Asset Base
Quarterly adjusted net investment income a record $1.81B, up 7.3% year-over-year; full-year adjusted net investment income grew 9% to ~$6.9B. Invested assets increased to ~$169B (from $151B a year ago) and cash & invested assets reported >$171B on the balance sheet.
Tangible Book Value and Shareholder Returns
Per-share tangible book value grew 25.7% for the year. Returned $4.9B of capital to shareholders in 2025 (including $3.4B share repurchases at an average $282.57/share and $1.5B of dividends).
Strong Returns and Operating Cash Flow
Quarter core operating return on tangible equity 23.5% and core operating ROE 15.9%. Adjusted operating cash flow $4.2B for the quarter and $13.9B for the year.
Broad Global Growth — International and Regional Success
International P&C premiums up 10.8% (over 8% in constant dollars); global retail premiums +12.5% (consumer A&H & personal +18.7%). Latin America +14.7% (consumer +~18%); Asia +13% (consumer +25%); North America P&C premiums +>6.5% with agriculture +>45% (profit-sharing related).
Life and Worksite Benefits Momentum
Life division pretax income $322M in the quarter, up just shy of 20%. International life premiums up ~18% in constant dollars; North America worksite benefits premiums up >16.5%.
Favorable Prior-Period Development and Reserve Discipline
Adjusted pretax prior-period development in active companies was favorable $430M in the quarter (64% short-tail, 36% long-tail), supporting underwriting results and combined ratios.
Investments and Rating-Quality Growth
A-rated portfolio increased ~$2.7B sequentially and ~$18.1B year-over-year; public fixed income contributed ~9% growth in investment income and private investments contributed ~$940M (8.5% growth).
Negative Updates
Elevated Full-Year Catastrophe Losses
Full-year pretax catastrophe losses were $2.9B, up from $2.4B prior year and driven substantially by the California wildfires in Q1; quarterly pretax cat losses were $365M. Management noted industry catastrophe losses approached ~$129B for the year, highlighting volatility.
Competitive Pressure in Large-Account Property and London Market
Management reported increasing competition quarter-to-quarter in large-account property (admitted and E&S) and across London open-market lines; London wholesale premiums were down ~1% and property pricing declined materially in large account/E&S (property pricing down >13.5% in large account/E&S).
Softness in Financial Lines Pricing
Financial lines overall remained soft across many markets; financial lines pricing down ~1.5% in North America and management described pockets of weakness, though some green shoots appeared in discrete classes.
Property Pricing Headwinds in Large Accounts
Overall property pricing down 1.5% (rates down 4.6% offset by exposure +3.3%); property pricing down >13.5% in large account and E&S, indicating meaningful rate pressure in specific segments.
Adverse Corporate Runoff Development (Asbestos)
Corporate runoff portfolio had adverse development of $162M in the quarter primarily related to the annual asbestos review.
Exposure to FX and Cat Volatility
Management emphasized that foreign exchange and catastrophe frequency/severity are uncontrollable drivers of reported results — FX swings and large catastrophe years can materially affect reported growth and earnings (company does not hedge revenue and matches assets/liabilities by currency).
Regulatory and Political Risk Around Personal Lines
Management noted potential political/regulatory scrutiny on perceived "excess profits" in personal lines (e.g., homeowners affordability debates) that could lead to policy actions affecting pricing or availability in certain jurisdictions.
Uncertainty Around Large Emerging Opportunities (Data Centers)
While underwriting opportunity in data centers is significant, management flagged execution risks: announced projects may not be built as planned, with headwinds including energy availability/cost, labor and supply-chain constraints — and investment returns across the broader tech/infrastructure buildout may be uneven.
Company Guidance
Management's forward-looking guidance included Q1 2026 adjusted net investment income of $1.81–$1.84 billion and an expected 2026 core operating effective tax rate of 19.5%–20%; they reiterated confidence in generating strong 2026 operating‑earnings growth and double‑digit EPS and tangible‑book‑value growth (cats and FX aside) driven by P&C underwriting, investment income and life; they plan to raise private investments from about 12% to ~15% of the portfolio over the medium term; and they noted supportive investment metrics today — fixed‑income yield ~5.1% (new‑money slightly above), invested assets/cash around $169–$171+ billion — plus a December‑presented target of roughly 150 basis points of combined‑ratio improvement from digital transformation over 3–4 years.

Chubb Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and operating efficiency (net margin ~16.5%, solid EBIT/EBITDA margins) and prudent leverage (debt-to-equity 0.24) support a high score. Offsetting factors include modest revenue growth (TTM ~1.8%) and slightly declining free-cash-flow growth (TTM -4.85%), which temper the overall financial strength.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Chubb's income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 28% and a net profit margin of approximately 16.5% in the TTM. Revenue growth has been positive, albeit modest at 1.8% in the TTM, indicating steady expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting efficient operations and cost management. Overall, the income statement reflects a stable and profitable business model with room for growth.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24, indicating prudent financial leverage. Return on equity is healthy at 14.3%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 26.6%, suggesting a strong capital base. While the balance sheet is stable, the relatively high total debt could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Chubb's cash flow statement reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth by 4.85% in the TTM, which could be a concern if it continues. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 8.89, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is stable at 1.0, reflecting consistent cash flow management. Overall, cash flow is stable but shows potential areas for improvement in growth.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue59.58B56.15B50.13B42.98B40.77B
Gross Profit27.54B16.17B13.84B10.83B11.33B
EBITDA10.08B12.52B10.51B7.34B10.57B
Net Income10.31B9.27B9.03B5.25B8.53B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets272.33B246.55B230.68B199.02B200.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.47B39.19B33.79B25.79B97.91B
Total Debt0.0015.29B14.49B14.88B16.17B
Total Liabilities192.55B178.15B166.99B148.50B140.34B
Stockholders Equity73.76B64.02B59.51B50.52B59.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0016.18B12.63B11.26B11.15B
Operating Cash Flow0.0016.18B12.63B11.26B11.15B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-13.92B-7.65B-5.65B-6.66B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-2.18B-4.49B-5.14B-4.41B

Chubb Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price329.45
Price Trends
50DMA
305.83
Positive
100DMA
293.55
Positive
200DMA
286.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.30
Negative
RSI
78.58
Negative
STOCH
90.13
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 329.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 307.13, above the 50-day MA of 305.83, and above the 200-day MA of 286.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.58 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CB.

Chubb Risk Analysis

Chubb disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chubb reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Chubb Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$25.90B12.3411.86%-6.96%-26.28%
80
Outperform
$129.66B12.8314.97%1.22%6.68%-1.78%
76
Outperform
$120.53B10.692.20%18.35%32.36%
76
Outperform
$65.85B10.7620.70%1.49%6.75%30.83%
74
Outperform
$54.20B5.4434.63%1.91%7.07%100.42%
71
Outperform
$26.67B15.7719.67%1.88%11.08%22.01%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CB
Chubb
329.45
60.13
22.33%
ALL
Allstate
207.12
18.93
10.06%
MKL
Markel
2,054.08
-5.75
-0.28%
PGR
Progressive
205.54
-30.53
-12.93%
TRV
Travelers Companies
295.22
51.55
21.16%
WRB
W. R. Berkley Corporation
70.19
10.31
17.22%

Chubb Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Chubb Releases Investor Presentation on Financial Performance
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

Chubb Limited has released a slide presentation on its website, intended for investor meetings starting December 8, 2025. The presentation, which will be available for at least 60 days, covers the company’s financial performance, business mix, strategic initiatives, and growth opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (CB) stock is a Buy with a $340.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chubb stock, see the CB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026