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Chubb (CB)
NYSE:CB
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Chubb (CB) AI Stock Analysis

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Chubb

(NYSE:CB)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$377.00
▲(13.96% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/29/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, expanding revenue and net income, and robust cash generation) and a supportive earnings-call backdrop (strong quarter, confident growth outlook, and disciplined underwriting/capital returns). Valuation appears reasonable, while technicals are steady but not strongly bullish; the main offsetting risks are market pricing softness/competition and catastrophe/investment mark-to-market volatility flagged by management.
Positive Factors
Profitability & Revenue Growth
Chubb's sustained high TTM net margin (~18.5%) and multi-year revenue growth to ~$61.1B reflect durable underwriting economics and scaled distribution. Consistent margins across cycles support strong cash generation, enabling reserve funding, reinvestment and shareholder returns even through industry cycles.
Negative Factors
Property Pricing Weakness
Accelerating and deep declines in property pricing, especially in shared/layered accounts, represent structural revenue pressure. Persistent soft pricing reduces underwriting leverage, may force portfolio shrinkage or writing at dilutive rates, and can materially compress P&C margins over a multi-quarter horizon.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability & Revenue Growth
Chubb's sustained high TTM net margin (~18.5%) and multi-year revenue growth to ~$61.1B reflect durable underwriting economics and scaled distribution. Consistent margins across cycles support strong cash generation, enabling reserve funding, reinvestment and shareholder returns even through industry cycles.
Read all positive factors

Chubb (CB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Chubb Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Chubb Limited provides insurance and reinsurance products worldwide. The company's North America Commercial P&C Insurance segment offers commercial property, casualty, workers' compensation, package policies, risk management, financial lines, mari...
How the Company Makes Money
Chubb primarily makes money through (1) underwriting insurance and (2) investing the premiums it holds (its investment portfolio/“float”), with additional income from fees and services related to its insurance operations. 1) Underwriting income (...

Chubb Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Premiums
Net Premiums
Net Premiums measure the total revenue Chubb earns from insurance policies after deducting reinsurance costs. This is a key indicator of the company's ability to generate income from its core business operations, reflecting its market position and growth potential in the insurance industry.
Chart InsightsNet premiums show steady, accelerating multi‑year growth with recurring seasonality and pronounced recent momentum across both written and earned series, driven by broad retail, international and life expansion management emphasized. That top‑line strength supports underwriting leverage, ROE and capital returns, but translation into earnings remains vulnerable to catastrophe volatility and localized rate softness in large‑account property/financial lines. Management’s digital transformation and higher private‑asset mix aim to lift combined ratios and investment yield — monitor cat frequency and large‑account pricing as the chief risks to sustained margin improvement.
Data provided by:The Fly

Chubb Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 21, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong quarter with multiple positive financial and operating metrics: substantial core operating earnings, double-digit premium growth, robust investment income and high returns on tangible equity, coupled with active capital returns and favorable reserve development. However, the company also flagged meaningful market challenges—notably accelerating property pricing deterioration in large account/shared/layered segments, heightened competition in London and E&S channels driven by alternative capital and MGAs, a $500 million quarter of catastrophe losses, and $1.6 billion of unrealized investment markdowns. Management emphasized disciplined underwriting and balance-sheet strength as mitigants and signaled deliberate risk management actions (including shrinking poorly priced property exposure and opportunistic reinsurance). On balance, the positive operational and capital results in the quarter outweigh the near-term market and macro headwinds called out by management.
Positive Updates
Strong Core Operating Earnings
Core operating earnings of $2.7 billion, or $6.82 per share, both up substantially year-over-year; excluding catastrophe losses, core operating income rose 10.7% and EPS rose 13.5%.
Negative Updates
Property Pricing Weakness and Accelerating Softness
Property pricing weakness in key markets: North America property pricing down 2.6% overall; for shared and layered major/specialty property written by Chubb, pricing down 14.3%. Market pricing for business they passed on was down 30%–40%, and company noted pricing declines in shared/layered property accelerating toward ~25%–30% in the quarter.
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Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Core Operating Earnings
Core operating earnings of $2.7 billion, or $6.82 per share, both up substantially year-over-year; excluding catastrophe losses, core operating income rose 10.7% and EPS rose 13.5%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's forward-looking guidance included Q2 adjusted net investment income of $1.825–$1.85 billion (after Q1 adjusted NII of $1.84 billion and invested assets near $173 billion) and a full‑year core operating effective tax rate of 19.5%–20% (Q1 was 19.3%); they also reiterated expectations to continue generating strong growth in operating earnings, double‑digit EPS growth and double‑digit tangible book value growth, citing current annualized core operating return on tangible equity of 20.6% and core operating ROE of 14% as context.

Chubb Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality profitability and earnings power (TTM net margin ~18.5%, operating margin ~19.9%) with meaningful multi-year expansion in revenue (~$40.8B in 2021 to ~$61.1B TTM) and net income (~$8.5B to ~$11.3B TTM). Balance sheet is generally solid (healthy ROE, moderate historical debt-to-equity), and cash generation is strong (TTM OCF/FCF ~$15.9B; FCF-to-net income ~1.0x). Offsets include uneven growth/FCF trends and a few key TTM leverage/coverage fields shown as 0.0 (missing/invalid), reducing recent-period visibility.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue61.15B59.78B56.15B50.13B42.98B40.77B
Gross Profit21.52B17.61B16.17B13.84B10.83B11.33B
EBITDA12.39B14.11B12.52B10.51B7.34B10.57B
Net Income11.30B10.31B9.27B9.03B5.25B8.53B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets275.46B247.83B246.55B230.68B199.02B200.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.63B2.47B39.19B33.79B25.79B97.91B
Total Debt17.47B22.19B15.29B14.49B14.88B16.17B
Total Liabilities195.54B168.05B178.15B166.99B148.50B140.34B
Stockholders Equity73.79B73.76B64.02B59.51B50.52B59.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.90B14.54B16.18B12.63B11.26B11.15B
Operating Cash Flow15.90B14.54B16.18B12.63B11.26B11.15B
Investing Cash Flow-14.00B-12.98B-13.92B-7.65B-5.65B-6.66B
Financing Cash Flow-1.68B-1.85B-2.18B-4.49B-5.14B-4.41B

Chubb Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price330.83
Price Trends
50DMA
328.79
Positive
100DMA
316.52
Positive
200DMA
296.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.79
Negative
RSI
55.11
Neutral
STOCH
44.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 330.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 326.90, above the 50-day MA of 328.79, and above the 200-day MA of 296.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CB.

Chubb Risk Analysis

Chubb disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chubb reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Chubb Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$64.59B9.1724.14%1.49%4.12%83.05%
80
Outperform
$55.31B5.2939.47%1.91%5.58%124.80%
78
Outperform
$126.67B13.8615.69%1.22%8.28%
76
Outperform
$25.82B12.6226.08%1.88%6.60%9.14%
72
Outperform
$118.15B10.3045.09%2.20%13.89%32.56%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$23.79B11.85%-0.19%-15.02%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CB
Chubb
330.34
47.93
16.97%
ALL
Allstate
216.40
21.84
11.23%
MKL
Markel
1,908.99
90.39
4.97%
PGR
Progressive
203.03
-61.54
-23.26%
TRV
Travelers Companies
310.02
50.01
19.23%
WRB
W. R. Berkley Corporation
67.12
-2.70
-3.87%

Chubb Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Chubb Reduces Share Capital Through Treasury Share Cancellation
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
On March 10, 2026, Chubb Limited’s board executed a share capital reduction of CHF 5,993,287 by canceling 11,986,574 treasury shares with a par value of CHF 0.50 each that had been repurchased in 2025. The reduction aligns the company’...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 29, 2026