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Align Tech (ALGN)
NASDAQ:ALGN
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Align Tech (ALGN) AI Stock Analysis

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ALGN

Align Tech

(NASDAQ:ALGN)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$154.00
▲(17.50% Upside)
Align Tech's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and strategic stock repurchase plan, which are offset by weak technical indicators and a mixed earnings outlook. The company's moderate valuation and restructuring plans also contribute to a cautious investment stance.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Position
Align Tech's robust financial health, characterized by low leverage and efficient cash flow management, supports its long-term stability and ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Innovative Product Portfolio
Align's focus on innovative products like Invisalign and iTero strengthens its competitive position in the orthodontics market, driving sustainable revenue growth.
Patent Protection Efforts
By enforcing its patents, Align protects its technological innovations, securing its market position and potential revenue streams from competitors.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue indicates potential challenges in maintaining market share and could impact long-term growth if not addressed.
Economic Uncertainty
Economic uncertainties can affect consumer spending and demand for Align's products, posing risks to revenue stability and growth.
Restructuring Costs
Restructuring costs may strain financial resources and reflect underlying operational challenges, impacting short-term profitability and strategic focus.

Align Tech (ALGN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Align Tech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlign Technology, Inc., a medical device company, designs, manufactures, and markets Invisalign clear aligners and iTero intraoral scanners and services for orthodontists and general practitioner dentists, and restorative and aesthetic dentistry. It operates in two segments, Clear Aligner; and Scanners and Services. The Clear Aligner segment consists of comprehensive products, including Invisalign comprehensive treatment that addresses the orthodontic needs of teenage patients, such as mandibular advancement, compliance indicators, and compensation for tooth eruption; and Invisalign First Phase I and Invisalign First Comprehensive Phase 2 package for younger patients generally between the ages of seven and ten years, which is a mixture of primary/baby and permanent teeth. This segment's non-comprehensive products comprise Invisalign moderate, lite and express packages, and Invisalign go; and non-case products include retention products, Invisalign training fees, and sales of ancillary products, such as cleaning material, and adjusting tools used by dental professionals during the course of treatment. The Scanners and Services segment offers iTero scanner, a single hardware platform with software options for restorative or orthodontic procedures; restorative software for general practitioner dentists, prosthodontists, periodontists, and oral surgeons; and software for orthodontists for digital records storage, orthodontic diagnosis, and for the fabrication of printed models and retainers. This segment also provides computer-aided design and computer-aided manufacturing services; ancillary products, such as disposable sleeves for the wand; iTero model and dies; third party scanners and digital scans; Invisalign outcome simulator, a chair-side and cloud-based application for the iTero scanner; Invisalign progress assessment tool; and TimeLapse technology, which allows doctors or practitioners to compare a patient's historic 3D scans to the present-day scan. The company sells its products in the United States, Switzerland, China, and internationally. Align Technology, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlign Technology generates revenue primarily through the sale of its Invisalign products and services, which include the clear aligners and associated treatment tools. The company earns significant income from orthodontic and dental professionals who purchase these products for their patients. Another key revenue stream comes from the iTero intraoral scanners, which are sold to dental practices to aid in the treatment process. Align also benefits from partnerships with dental professionals and practices, enabling it to expand its market reach and drive sales. Additionally, the company invests in research and development to innovate and maintain competitive advantage in the rapidly evolving dental technology market, which further contributes to its revenue generation.

Align Tech Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Reveals the profitability of each business segment, indicating which areas contribute most to the bottom line and where cost management might be needed.
Chart InsightsAlign Tech's gross profit from Clear Aligners shows a volatile trend with recent declines, reflecting challenges highlighted in the earnings call. Economic uncertainties and increased competition have pressured revenues, particularly in North America and Europe. Meanwhile, Imaging Systems and CAD CAM services have seen robust growth, driven by iTero Lumina upgrades. Align's strategic focus on cost-reduction and operational realignment aims to mitigate these challenges, but macroeconomic headwinds and a cautious outlook on clear aligner demand suggest potential volatility ahead.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Align Tech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with some strong areas of growth in specific segments and regions. However, the overall performance was overshadowed by significant challenges, particularly in North America and Europe, and a decline in revenue. The company faces ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and plans restructuring actions to address these challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Number of Doctors
Achieved a record number of doctors shipped to for the second quarter, demonstrating strong engagement with the professional community.
Systems and Services Segment Growth
Q2 '25 revenues for Systems and Services were $207.8 million, an increase of 13.9% sequentially and 5.6% year-over-year, primarily driven by iTero Lumina wand upgrades.
Invisalign First Growth
Invisalign First was a key year-over-year growth driver across all regions, reflecting rising demand for early intervention solutions.
Strong APAC Region Performance
Q2 clear aligner volume grew year-over-year in APAC, with increased submitters across orthodontists and GP channels, particularly driven by China.
Record Milestone for Teen Treatments
Surpassed a significant milestone of over 6 million teens and kids treated with the Invisalign system globally.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenues for Q2 were $1,012.4 million, down 1.6% year-over-year, with clear aligner revenues down 3.3% year-over-year.
Lower-than-Expected Case Conversions
Uneven patient case conversion led to a lower than typical seasonal uptick in case starts, particularly impacting June.
Challenges in North America and Europe
Lower-than-expected clear aligner volumes in North America and certain European countries, notably France and Germany.
Continued Economic Uncertainty
Ongoing economic uncertainties, including U.S. tariff turmoil and less affordable financing options, impacted demand for clear aligners.
Restructuring and Workforce Reduction
Align plans to take actions to realign certain business groups and reduce its global workforce, incurring onetime charges of approximately $150 million to $170 million in the second half of 2025.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Align Technology reported mixed financial results, with total Q2 revenues at $1.012 billion, reflecting a sequential increase of 3.4% but a year-over-year decline of 1.6%. Revenues from the Systems and Services segment rose 13.9% sequentially and 5.6% year-over-year, driven by the iTero Lumina wand upgrades, although sales of full iTero Lumina Systems were lower than expected. Clear aligner revenues, at $804.6 million, increased 1% sequentially, primarily due to favorable foreign exchange, but decreased 3.3% year-over-year, impacted by lower ASPs and product mix shifts. The operating margin stood at 16.1%, a 2.7-point increase sequentially, yet a 1.7-point increase year-over-year. Align anticipates further economic uncertainties and plans restructuring actions, expecting onetime charges of $150 million to $170 million in the second half of 2025, with a projected GAAP operating margin of 13% to 14% for the fiscal year. The company aims for a 5% to 15% revenue growth over the long term, despite the current challenges.

Align Tech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Align Tech maintains a strong financial position with robust profitability, stable revenue streams, and efficient cash flow management. The company's low leverage and effective equity utilization enhance its financial stability, while continued focus on operational efficiency supports its cash generation capacity.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Align Tech shows a consistent revenue stream with TTM revenue at $3.96 billion, though a slight decline from the previous year. Gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 69.8%, while the net profit margin is 11%. Despite a small drop in revenue, the company's profitability remains solid with stable EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is healthy with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, indicating minimal leverage. The equity ratio stands robustly at 62.9%, demonstrating strong financial stability. Return on equity is reasonable at 11.2%, reflecting effective use of equity.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Align Tech exhibits solid cash flow management with a free cash flow of $678 million in the TTM, showing growth over previous periods. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.67, suggesting efficient earnings conversion to cash. The ratio of free cash flow to net income stands at 1.55, indicating healthy cash generation relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.96B4.00B3.86B3.73B3.95B2.47B
Gross Profit2.77B2.80B2.71B2.63B2.94B1.76B
EBITDA793.41M816.80M799.05M779.84M1.09B480.71M
Net Income437.61M421.36M445.05M361.57M772.02M1.78B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.22B6.21B6.08B5.95B5.94B4.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments901.16M1.04B972.74M999.58M1.17B960.84M
Total Debt123.02M119.28M126.62M126.91M125.38M86.18M
Total Liabilities2.31B2.36B2.45B2.35B2.32B1.60B
Stockholders Equity3.91B3.85B3.63B3.60B3.62B3.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow678.30M622.65M608.06M276.83M771.45M507.26M
Operating Cash Flow731.07M738.23M785.78M568.73M1.17B662.17M
Investing Cash Flow-119.60M-254.91M-195.94M-213.32M-563.43M-231.51M
Financing Cash Flow-495.50M-355.72M-598.34M-501.69M-458.33M-30.81M

Align Tech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price131.06
Price Trends
50DMA
160.41
Negative
100DMA
171.30
Negative
200DMA
184.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.62
Negative
RSI
36.15
Neutral
STOCH
16.09
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALGN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 131.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 139.10, below the 50-day MA of 160.41, and below the 200-day MA of 184.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.09 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALGN.

Align Tech Risk Analysis

Align Tech disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Align Tech reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Align Tech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$20.00B24.586.52%0.95%4.11%-14.43%
78
Outperform
$16.35B33.079.20%1.99%5.78%61.52%
76
Outperform
$7.93B22.678.62%17.43%775.48%
73
Outperform
$1.54B23.1119.29%40.98%34.80%
63
Neutral
$9.54B22.1911.41%0.56%0.43%
52
Neutral
$4.75B-12.98%26.70%48.19%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALGN
Align Tech
131.06
-118.50
-47.48%
SNN
Smith & Nephew Snats
37.38
6.65
21.64%
UFPT
Ufp Technologies
204.03
-120.23
-37.08%
ZBH
Zimmer Biomet Holdings
100.96
-5.49
-5.16%
GMED
Globus Medical
58.24
-11.73
-16.76%
GKOS
Glaukos
80.64
-43.63
-35.11%

Align Tech Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Align Tech Announces $200 Million Stock Repurchase Plan
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Align Technology announced its plan to repurchase $200 million of its common stock through open market transactions as part of its $1.0 billion stock repurchase program approved in April 2025. This move reflects the company’s confidence in its long-term strategy and market opportunities, aiming to enhance stockholder value despite challenging macroeconomic conditions. The repurchase will be funded with cash on hand and is expected to be completed by January 2026.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025