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Align Tech (ALGN)
NASDAQ:ALGN
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Align Tech (ALGN) AI Stock Analysis

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ALGN

Align Tech

(NASDAQ:ALGN)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$155.00
▲(11.89% Upside)
Align Tech's strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights are offset by valuation concerns and technical resistance. The company's strategic focus on growth and operational realignment is promising, but economic uncertainties and competitive pressures remain challenges.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained growth in Clear Aligner volumes indicates strong market demand and effective product positioning, supporting long-term revenue expansion.
Product Innovation
Continuous innovation in digital solutions enhances Align's competitive edge and strengthens its market position in orthodontics.
Cash Flow Management
Robust cash flow management ensures Align can invest in growth opportunities and maintain financial flexibility, supporting long-term stability.
Negative Factors
North America Retail Challenges
Challenges in the North American retail channel may hinder growth, impacting revenue and market penetration in a key region.
Systems and Services Revenue Decline
Declining Systems and Services revenue suggests potential weaknesses in product sales, which could affect overall profitability and growth.
Operating Margin Decline
A decline in operating margins indicates cost pressures and may affect profitability, challenging Align's ability to sustain its financial performance.

Align Tech (ALGN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Align Tech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlign Technology, Inc. is a global medical device company that specializes in the design, manufacture, and marketing of innovative products in the orthodontics and dentistry sectors. The company is best known for its Invisalign clear aligner system, which offers a discreet alternative to traditional metal braces for teeth straightening. In addition to Invisalign, Align Tech also provides the iTero intraoral scanner and other digital tools that facilitate dental treatment planning and patient engagement, thereby enhancing the overall orthodontic experience.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlign Technology generates revenue primarily through the sale of its Invisalign products and services, which include the clear aligners and associated treatment tools. The company earns significant income from orthodontic and dental professionals who purchase these products for their patients. Another key revenue stream comes from the iTero intraoral scanners, which are sold to dental practices to aid in the treatment process. Align also benefits from partnerships with dental professionals and practices, enabling it to expand its market reach and drive sales. Additionally, the company invests in research and development to innovate and maintain competitive advantage in the rapidly evolving dental technology market, which further contributes to its revenue generation.

Align Tech Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Invisalign Cases Shipped Worldwide
Total Invisalign Cases Shipped Worldwide
Tracks the number of Invisalign cases shipped globally, reflecting market demand and the company's reach in the orthodontic market.
Chart InsightsInvisalign case shipments have shown a gradual recovery since the pandemic dip, but recent earnings highlight challenges. Despite sequential growth, economic uncertainties and increased competition have dampened North American and European demand. Align's focus on cost-reduction and operational realignment aims to counteract these pressures. Strong performance in APAC, particularly China, offers a bright spot, but the company remains cautious about clear aligner demand amid macroeconomic headwinds. Investors should watch how Align navigates these challenges while leveraging growth in teen treatments and the APAC region.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Align Tech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in the Clear Aligner segment, particularly among teens and kids, and successful expansion in digital solutions and DSO channels. However, challenges persist in the North America retail channel and Systems and Services revenue, impacting operating margins and tax rates.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Clear Aligner Volume Growth
Q3 Clear Aligner volumes increased by 4.9% year-over-year and by 0.5% sequentially, with significant growth in the APAC and EMEA regions.
Invisalign Teen and Kids Segment
Record 256,000 teens and kids started Invisalign treatment in Q3, a 14.7% sequential increase and an 8.3% year-over-year increase.
Expansion in Digital Solutions
Introduction of new product innovations for iTero Digital Solutions, enhancing dental consultations and supporting Invisalign treatment conversions.
Growth in DSO Channel
Continued strong double-digit year-over-year growth in the DSO channel, particularly in EMEA and APAC regions.
Q4 Revenue Guidance
Expected Q4 2025 revenue growth in the range of $1.025 billion to $1.045 billion, indicating sequential growth from Q3.
Negative Updates
North America Retail Channel Challenges
Continued mixed performance in the North America retail doctor channel, impacting overall growth.
Decline in Systems and Services Revenue
Q3 Systems and Services revenues decreased by 8.6% sequentially and 0.6% year-over-year, primarily due to lower scanner system sales.
Operating Margin Decline
GAAP operating margin decreased to 9.7%, down 6.4 points sequentially and 6.9 points year-over-year due to restructuring and other noncash charges.
Higher Effective Tax Rate
Q3 GAAP effective tax rate increased to 40.1% from 28.2% in the previous quarter, impacting net income.
Company Guidance
During the Align Technology third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported several key metrics indicating strong performance in certain areas. Total revenues for the quarter reached $996 million, marking a 1.8% increase year-over-year but a slight 1.7% decrease sequentially. Clear Aligner revenues rose to $806 million, reflecting a 2.4% increase year-over-year, with volumes showing a 4.9% increase to 648,000 cases. The non-GAAP operating margin exceeded expectations at 23.9%, above the projected 22%. While the Systems and Services segment experienced a decline, with revenues dropping 8.6% sequentially to $190 million due to anticipated seasonality, the company saw robust growth in the EMEA and APAC regions, particularly among teens and kids. The iTero scanner installations expanded to over 120,000 units globally, a 12% increase year-over-year. Align also noted the successful launch of new product innovations within iTero Digital Solutions, aiming to enhance treatment planning and patient engagement. Looking ahead, Align anticipates Q4 2025 revenues to range between $1.025 billion and $1.045 billion, with expectations of sequential growth in both Clear Aligner volume and Systems and Services revenues, supported by favorable geographic mix and typical Q4 seasonality.

Align Tech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Align Tech shows strong revenue growth and profitability with a robust balance sheet. However, challenges in cash flow growth and slight margin compression need attention.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Align Tech demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 44.9%, indicating robust demand for its products. The company maintains healthy profitability margins, with a gross profit margin of 69.8% and a net profit margin of 11.0% in the TTM. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to previous years, suggesting increased operational costs or pricing pressures.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The balance sheet is solid, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.031, indicating prudent financial management and low leverage. The return on equity is stable at 11.3%, reflecting efficient use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio of 63.5% underscores a strong capital structure with significant equity backing.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow metrics show mixed results. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 92.8%, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -6.7%, suggesting potential challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 36.6%, pointing to a need for improved cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.98B4.00B3.86B3.73B3.95B2.47B
Gross Profit2.72B2.80B2.71B2.63B2.94B1.76B
EBITDA689.55M816.80M799.05M779.84M1.09B480.71M
Net Income378.40M421.36M445.05M361.57M772.02M1.78B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.23B6.21B6.08B5.95B5.94B4.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.00B1.04B972.74M999.58M1.17B960.84M
Total Debt87.28M119.28M126.62M126.91M125.38M86.18M
Total Liabilities2.28B2.36B2.45B2.35B2.32B1.60B
Stockholders Equity3.96B3.85B3.63B3.60B3.62B3.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow633.16M622.65M608.06M276.83M771.45M507.26M
Operating Cash Flow656.12M738.23M785.78M568.73M1.17B662.17M
Investing Cash Flow-130.44M-254.91M-195.94M-213.32M-563.43M-231.51M
Financing Cash Flow-570.19M-355.72M-598.34M-501.69M-458.33M-30.81M

Align Tech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price138.53
Price Trends
50DMA
133.39
Positive
100DMA
154.56
Negative
200DMA
169.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.88
Negative
RSI
57.95
Neutral
STOCH
35.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALGN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 138.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 132.79, above the 50-day MA of 133.39, and below the 200-day MA of 169.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.88 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALGN.

Align Tech Risk Analysis

Align Tech disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Align Tech reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Align Tech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$8.27B23.628.62%17.43%775.48%
$19.79B24.326.52%0.96%4.11%-14.43%
$10.04B26.869.58%0.56%-12.05%
$15.53B32.539.20%2.04%5.78%61.52%
$1.53B23.0819.29%40.98%34.80%
$5.02B-56.35-12.19%30.38%47.64%
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALGN
Align Tech
138.53
-72.25
-34.28%
SNN
Smith & Nephew Snats
36.77
12.08
48.93%
UFPT
Ufp Technologies
199.05
-78.57
-28.30%
ZBH
Zimmer Biomet Holdings
99.88
-7.51
-6.99%
GMED
Globus Medical
61.20
-13.52
-18.09%
GKOS
Glaukos
87.39
-43.99
-33.48%

Align Tech Corporate Events

Align Technology’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 31, 2025

Align Technology’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth in specific segments, despite facing challenges in others. The overall sentiment was positive, driven by strong performance in the Clear Aligner segment, particularly among teens and kids, and successful expansion in digital solutions and DSO channels. However, the company acknowledged ongoing challenges in the North America retail channel and a decline in Systems and Services revenue, which impacted operating margins and tax rates.

Align Technology Reports Q3 2025 Financial Performance
Oct 30, 2025

Align Technology, Inc. is a global medical device company specializing in the design, manufacture, and sale of the Invisalign System, iTero intraoral scanners, and exocad CAD/CAM software, which are used in digital orthodontics and restorative dentistry. The company is recognized for its innovative approach in the dental industry, offering advanced solutions for orthodontists and dentists worldwide.

Align Technology’s Clinical Study: A Game Changer in Orthodontics?
Oct 27, 2025

Align Technology is conducting a clinical study titled ‘Hyrax Vs. Invisalign Palatal Expander Clinical Study’ to compare the expansion results and overall experience between the Invisalign Palatal Expander and the Hyrax expander. This study aims to address conditions such as malocclusions and narrow maxillary arches, which are significant in orthodontic treatment.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Align Tech Announces $200 Million Stock Repurchase Plan
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Align Technology announced its plan to repurchase $200 million of its common stock through open market transactions as part of its $1.0 billion stock repurchase program approved in April 2025. This move reflects the company’s confidence in its long-term strategy and market opportunities, aiming to enhance stockholder value despite challenging macroeconomic conditions. The repurchase will be funded with cash on hand and is expected to be completed by January 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALGN) stock is a Buy with a $350.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Align Tech stock, see the ALGN Stock Forecast page.

Align Technology’s Mixed Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 1, 2025

Align Technology’s recent earnings call revealed a mixed sentiment, showcasing growth in certain segments while grappling with significant challenges. The company reported progress in its Systems and Services segment and celebrated milestones in teen treatments. However, these positive developments were overshadowed by a decline in clear aligner revenues and economic uncertainties affecting performance in North America and Europe. Align is also planning restructuring efforts to address these challenges.

Align Technology Reports Mixed Q2 2025 Results
Jul 31, 2025

Align Technology, Inc., a prominent player in the medical device industry, specializes in designing and manufacturing the Invisalign System, iTero intraoral scanners, and exocad CAD/CAM software, catering to digital orthodontics and restorative dentistry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025