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aka Brands Holding Corp (AKA)
NYSE:AKA
US Market

aka Brands Holding Corp (AKA) AI Stock Analysis

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aka Brands Holding Corp

(NYSE:AKA)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(7.48%Upside)
The overall stock score reflects modest revenue growth overshadowed by profitability concerns, high leverage, and bearish technical indicators. The positive aspects from the earnings call and corporate events suggest strategic progress, but risks from tariffs and high expenses remain. Investors should weigh these factors carefully.
Positive Factors
Business Model
The company's 'test and repeat' merchandising model introduces new and exclusive fashion weekly, minimizing inventory risk and quickly responding to trends.
Expansion Strategy
Strategic expansion into omnichannel experiences through physical stores strengthens brand awareness and generates a 'halo effect' that boosts online traffic.
Market Opportunity
The stock is trading at significantly lower multiples compared to its peer group, presenting a potential value opportunity as the company executes its strategy.
Negative Factors
Earnings Estimate
Despite lowering our first quarter estimate, we left our full-year adj. EBITDA estimate unchanged at $29.5M.
Stock Valuation
The stock is now trading at less than 0.5 times revenue and less than 8.0 times EBITDA, with potential for the multiple to work higher as the company executes its strategy.

aka Brands Holding Corp (AKA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

aka Brands Holding Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptiona.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. operates a portfolio of online fashion brands in the United States, Australia, and internationally. It offers apparel, footwear, and accessories through its online stores under the Princess Polly, Culture Kings, Petal & Pup, mnml, and Rebdolls brands, as well as operates eight physical stores under the Culture Kings brand name. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAKA Brands makes money primarily through the sale of apparel and accessories via its various digital platforms and e-commerce websites. The company generates revenue by leveraging its portfolio of brands, which each target specific fashion markets and customer demographics. AKA Brands' revenue streams are primarily derived from direct sales to consumers, utilizing efficient supply chain and digital marketing strategies to optimize profitability. Additionally, the company may engage in collaborations or partnerships with influencers and other brands to expand its reach and enhance its product offerings.

aka Brands Holding Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 22.99%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in net sales, successful expansion in physical stores and omni-channel initiatives, and improved profitability. However, the company faces challenges due to tariffs and increased expenses. The strategic initiatives to diversify the supply chain reflect a proactive approach to mitigate risks.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consistent Growth in Net Sales
Net sales increased approximately 12% on a constant currency basis to $129 million, with the U.S. growing 14% and Australia/New Zealand growing more than 6%.
Expansion of Physical and Omni-Channel Presence
Princess Polly opened its seventh store in SoHo, marking its strongest opening, and expanded to all Nordstrom stores, with encouraging early results.
Improved Profitability
The company exceeded profitability expectations with $2.7 million of adjusted EBITDA, reflecting strong top-line growth and operating discipline.
Strong Brand Performance
Princess Polly and Petal & Pup showed strong growth, with Princess Polly seeing double-digit revenue growth in dresses and significant expansion in lifestyle categories.
Successful Strategic Initiatives
The company has made significant progress in diversifying its supply chain, with minimal expected exposure to China by Q4 as production shifts to Vietnam and Turkey.
Negative Updates
Uncertainty Due to Tariffs
The current macro environment and uncertainty surrounding trade and tariffs pose potential challenges, with a transitory impact expected on the business.
Increased Expenses
General and administrative expenses increased due to higher wages and incentive compensation, with selling expenses affected by new store openings.
Impact of Adjustments in Supply Chain
The tariff environment will have a brief and transitory impact, primarily in Q2 and Q3, as the company shifts production out of China.
Company Guidance
The guidance provided during a.k.a. Brands Holding's first quarter 2025 earnings call included several key metrics. The company reported a net sales increase of approximately 12% on a constant currency basis to $129 million, with the U.S. market growing by 14%. Sales in Australia and New Zealand also saw growth of over 6%. The company achieved an 8% increase in its active customer base over the past 12 months and delivered $2.7 million in adjusted EBITDA. For the full fiscal year 2025, a.k.a. Brands projects net sales between $600 million and $610 million, reflecting a growth range of 4% to 6%. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $24 million and $27.5 million. The company aims to achieve a gross margin between 56.4% and 56.7%. The guidance anticipates that the recent tariff impacts will be most pronounced in the second and third quarters, with mitigation strategies in place, including supply chain diversification and selective pricing actions.

aka Brands Holding Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp is experiencing modest revenue growth but continues to struggle with profitability. High leverage and negative equity returns are concerning, and while operating cash flow has shown improvement, free cash flow is negative, limiting financial flexibility. The company needs to focus on turning around its operational performance to improve financial health and reduce risks associated with high leverage.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The income statement shows slight revenue growth with TTM revenue increasing by 2.06% from the previous year. However, the company is facing profitability challenges as indicated by negative EBIT and net income margins. The gross profit margin remains stable at 56.5%, but the negative net profit margin of -4.3% in the TTM suggests ongoing losses. The consistent decline in EBIT margins from a positive figure in 2020 to negative in recent years highlights operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate level of financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.8, indicating higher leverage, which could pose risks if earnings do not improve. The equity ratio has decreased, with stockholders' equity now making up 28.1% of total assets compared to 35.5% in the previous year. Despite these challenges, the return on equity is negative due to continued net losses, highlighting the need for strategic financial management.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. The company has managed to generate positive operating cash flow in the TTM, a positive shift from the previous period. However, free cash flow remains negative, indicating insufficient cash generation to cover capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not meaningful due to negative net income, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is similarly impacted by the negative earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue586.51M574.70M546.26M611.74M562.19M215.92M
Gross Profit331.22M327.50M300.28M337.25M307.66M126.40M
EBITDA2.94M6.23M-66.66M-143.44M27.20M28.90M
Net Income-25.41M-25.99M-98.89M-176.70M-6.09M14.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets396.57M385.20M361.72M509.64M687.85M189.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.68M24.19M21.86M46.32M38.83M26.26M
Total Debt201.17M183.59M136.25M184.70M135.87M10.85M
Total Liabilities285.09M267.57M213.10M262.56M236.82M50.55M
Stockholders Equity111.48M117.63M148.62M247.08M451.03M19.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.79M-10.92M27.39M-20.31M15.39M19.93M
Operating Cash Flow6.48M669.00K33.43M-319.00K23.97M21.71M
Investing Cash Flow-14.28M-11.59M-6.03M-25.31M-278.07M-2.38M
Financing Cash Flow14.20M15.51M-52.83M33.26M269.85M1.24M

aka Brands Holding Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.70
Price Trends
50DMA
10.86
Negative
100DMA
12.57
Negative
200DMA
17.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Positive
RSI
41.48
Neutral
STOCH
37.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AKA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.21, below the 50-day MA of 10.86, and below the 200-day MA of 17.01, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AKA.

aka Brands Holding Corp Risk Analysis

aka Brands Holding Corp disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. aka Brands Holding Corp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

aka Brands Holding Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.49B29.7311.97%9.09%106.50%
67
Neutral
¥253.98B13.046.57%2.83%5.07%-11.36%
62
Neutral
$880.94M-69.51%-10.55%9.27%
AKAKA
58
Neutral
$114.65M-20.57%8.09%74.06%
55
Neutral
$159.71M-4.61%6.05%29.58%
53
Neutral
$100.27M-17.72%4.93%-22.08%
41
Neutral
$177.44M-14.89%-84.75%77.25%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AKA
aka Brands Holding Corp
10.30
-5.69
-35.58%
BZUN
Baozun
2.50
0.10
4.17%
RVLV
Revolve Group
20.90
5.46
35.36%
LOGC
ContextLogic
6.65
1.12
20.25%
TDUP
thredUP
7.49
5.86
359.51%
DIBS
1stdibs.com
2.75
-1.68
-37.92%

aka Brands Holding Corp Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
aka Brands Elects New Board Members at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 30, 2025

On May 27, 2025, aka Brands Holding Corp held its annual meeting of shareholders, with 77.56% of total shares represented. During the meeting, Christopher Dean, Ilene Eskenazi, and Matthew Hamilton were elected to the board of directors for terms ending in 2028. Additionally, the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified.

The most recent analyst rating on (AKA) stock is a Hold with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on aka Brands Holding Corp stock, see the AKA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
a.k.a. Brands Reports Strong Q1 2025 Sales Growth
Positive
May 13, 2025

a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. reported a 10.1% increase in net sales for the first quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, with U.S. sales growing by 14.2%. The company achieved a 7.8% growth in active customers over the past year and reported an adjusted EBITDA of $2.7 million, up from $0.9 million in the previous year. The company is expanding its omnichannel presence, with Princess Polly opening new stores and debuting wholesale initiatives at Nordstrom. Despite a net loss of $8.4 million, a.k.a. Brands is optimistic about its strategic actions and flexible business model to navigate the evolving trade environment and maintain strong demand trends.

The most recent analyst rating on (AKA) stock is a Hold with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on aka Brands Holding Corp stock, see the AKA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025