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Ashford Hospitality Trust (AHT)
NYSE:AHT

Ashford Hospitality (AHT) AI Stock Analysis

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Ashford Hospitality

(NYSE:AHT)

41Neutral
Despite some positive strategic initiatives and growth in revenue metrics, Ashford Hospitality's financial instability, negative equity, and bearish technical indicators significantly weigh down its stock performance. The unattractive valuation further compounds its challenges, making it a risky investment.

Ashford Hospitality (AHT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ashford Hospitality Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAshford Hospitality Trust, Inc. (AHT) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) primarily engaged in the investment and ownership of upscale, full-service hotels located across the United States. The company's diverse portfolio includes properties affiliated with well-known brands such as Hilton, Marriott, and Hyatt. Ashford Hospitality focuses on acquiring and managing hotel properties to maximize long-term value and shareholder returns.
How the Company Makes MoneyAshford Hospitality Trust generates revenue primarily through the ownership and operation of its hotel properties. The company's income streams include room revenue from hotel stays, food and beverage sales from on-site restaurants and bars, and other ancillary services such as conference facilities and parking. Additionally, AHT benefits from strategic partnerships with major hotel brands that enhance brand recognition and operational efficiency. The company also seeks to optimize its portfolio by acquiring high-performing assets and disposing of underperforming ones, thereby enhancing overall profitability.

Ashford Hospitality Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ashford Hospitality faces significant financial challenges, with ongoing losses, negative equity, and cash flow difficulties. While there are some signs of operational improvement, the company's financial position remains weak, requiring strategic actions to stabilize and strengthen its financial health.
Income Statement
The company has experienced volatility in revenue, with a drop from $1.37 billion in 2023 to $1.17 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin improved significantly in 2024, reaching 100% due to high gross profit relative to revenue, which is unusual and may indicate reporting anomalies. The net profit margin has been negative over the years, reflecting ongoing losses, though it improved slightly in 2024. The EBIT margin showed improvement, indicating better operational efficiency, but the negative EBITDA margin is concerning.
Balance Sheet
30
The balance sheet is concerning with negative stockholders' equity, which indicates insolvency issues. The debt-to-equity ratio cannot be calculated due to negative equity, but the absence of reported debt in 2024 is a positive development. However, the equity ratio remains negative, highlighting financial instability. Return on equity is also negative, reflecting persistent losses.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement reveals challenges with negative free cash flow in 2024 and a significant decline from a positive position in 2023. Operating cash flow is negative, indicating difficulties in generating cash from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, consistent with the negative cash flow and net income. There is a need for improved cash management and operational efficiency.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.17B1.37B1.24B805.41M508.24M
Gross Profit
234.39M334.04M287.63M108.39M-56.15M
EBIT
259.21M130.44M76.25M-138.82M-465.37M
EBITDA
407.71M305.61M294.17M110.00M-66.53M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-60.30M-178.49M-141.06M-271.05M-633.22M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
112.91M178.93M417.06M592.11M92.91M
Total Assets
3.16B3.46B3.92B4.10B3.73B
Total Debt
2.69B3.46B3.90B3.93B3.77B
Net Debt
2.58B3.29B3.48B3.34B3.68B
Total Liabilities
3.37B3.69B4.05B4.08B3.99B
Stockholders Equity
-419.24M-261.14M-150.39M-2.65M-283.62M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-23.59M13.79M-64.53M-144.28M-164.92M
Operating Cash Flow
-23.59M14.39M39.22M-144.19M-149.53M
Investing Cash Flow
191.28M-89.75M-70.33M-34.04M-7.60M
Financing Cash Flow
-258.75M-172.13M-101.51M702.56M-73.76M

Ashford Hospitality Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.99
Price Trends
50DMA
6.81
Negative
100DMA
7.48
Negative
200DMA
7.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Negative
RSI
43.74
Neutral
STOCH
36.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AHT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.02, below the 50-day MA of 6.81, and below the 200-day MA of 7.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AHT.

Ashford Hospitality Risk Analysis

Ashford Hospitality disclosed 111 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ashford Hospitality reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ashford Hospitality Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$344.35M1.42%4.23%1.75%
BHBHR
64
Neutral
$130.07M-0.90%10.42%-2.42%23.64%
62
Neutral
$29.48M2.79%4.63%-61.60%
60
Neutral
$2.80B11.090.20%8508.36%6.13%-16.84%
SVSVC
56
Neutral
$344.94M-33.91%11.62%0.78%-128.16%
IHIHT
44
Neutral
$30.45M-25.66%0.78%4.55%-291.14%
AHAHT
41
Neutral
$34.54M-25.85%-14.65%-33.35%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AHT
Ashford Hospitality
5.99
-7.21
-54.62%
SVC
Service Properties
2.01
-3.46
-63.25%
CLDT
Chatham Lodging
6.98
-1.72
-19.77%
BHR
Braemar Hotels & Resorts
1.98
-0.69
-25.84%
SOHO
Sotherly Hotels
0.74
-0.70
-48.61%
IHT
InnSuites Hospitality
2.53
1.24
96.12%

Ashford Hospitality Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.17%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Ashford Hospitality Trust demonstrated strong growth in key revenue metrics and strategic cost reductions, contributing to significant progress towards financial goals. However, ongoing financial losses and challenges in specific segments, like government travel, highlight areas needing attention. Overall, the positive elements outweigh the negative, but financial losses remain a concern.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Ashford Hospitality Trust reported 3.2% comparable RevPAR growth, 3.6% comparable total revenue growth, and an 8.7% increase in comparable hotel EBITDA, demonstrating the effectiveness of strategic decisions.
Successful Hotel Conversions
The conversions of the La Concha Hotel in Key West and the Le Pavillon Hotel in New Orleans to Marriott's collections resulted in significant revenue growth, with La Concha seeing a 27% increase and Le Pavillon achieving a 78% rise in total revenue.
GRO AHT Initiative Progress
The GRO AHT initiative has contributed over $30 million of the $50 million run rate EBITDA improvement goal, with significant cost reductions at both property and corporate levels.
Capital Structure Improvements
The sale of the Courtyard Boston Downtown for $123 million and refinancing efforts have improved the capital structure, leaving Ashford Trust free of corporate debt.
Strategic Cost Reductions
Corporate expenses were reduced, including a 50% reduction in cash compensation for Board members and significant cuts to incentive awards, contributing to financial improvements.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Reported
A net loss attributable to common stockholders of $27.8 million or $4.91 per diluted share was reported for the quarter, highlighting ongoing financial challenges.
Negative AFFO Per Share
AFFO per diluted share was negative $0.98, despite improvements in total AFFO over the prior year quarter.
Government Segment Softness
Continued softness in the government segment and related travel, particularly affecting the D.C. market, posed challenges despite efforts to backfill with other segments.
Debt Structure Concerns
77% of Ashford's debt is effectively floating, which could pose risks in a fluctuating interest rate environment, despite some being fixed through interest rate caps.
Company Guidance
During the Ashford Hospitality Trust First Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company reported a 3.2% increase in comparable RevPAR, a 3.6% rise in total revenue, and an 8.7% improvement in hotel EBITDA compared to the previous year. Key highlights included a 78% revenue growth at Le Pavillon Hotel and a 27% increase at La Concha Hotel following their conversions to Marriott's Tribute and Autograph Collections, respectively. The GRO AHT initiative contributed significantly to a nearly 9% year-over-year growth in hotel EBITDA. The company also achieved a 50% reduction in cash compensation for board members, a refinancing of $123 million in loans, a strategic sale of Courtyard Boston Downtown, and a successful non-traded preferred stock offering raising $212 million. Executives emphasized continued efforts to enhance operational efficiencies, control costs, and improve the capital structure, with a focus on achieving a $50 million run rate EBITDA improvement through the GRO AHT initiative.

Ashford Hospitality Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ashford Hospitality Reports Q1 2025 Earnings Growth
Neutral
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust held an earnings conference call to discuss its first-quarter results, highlighting a 3.2% growth in Comparable RevPAR and an 8.7% increase in Comparable Hotel EBITDA. The company emphasized the success of its GRO AHT initiative, which aims to drive $50 million in run-rate EBITDA improvement through property-level performance and corporate expense reductions. Recent strategic moves, including hotel conversions and refinancing, have improved Ashford’s capital structure, while the closure of a non-traded preferred stock offering raised $212 million. Despite a net loss of $27.8 million for the quarter, the company remains focused on further enhancing hotel performance and reducing corporate expenses.

Spark’s Take on AHT Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AHT is a Neutral.

Ashford Hospitality’s stock score is low due to severe financial instability, bearish technical indicators, and unattractive valuation metrics. While strategic initiatives and operational improvements are promising, they are insufficient to counteract the significant financial and technical challenges, making the stock a risky investment.

To see Spark’s full report on AHT stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ashford Hospitality Completes $580 Million Hotel Refinancing
Positive
May 6, 2025

Ashford Hospitality Trust reported its first quarter 2025 results, highlighting a 3.2% increase in RevPAR and an 8.7% growth in Comparable Hotel EBITDA compared to the previous year. The company completed significant financial maneuvers, including a $580 million refinancing of 16 hotels and the sale of the Courtyard Boston Downtown for $123 million, as part of its ‘GRO AHT’ initiative aimed at driving EBITDA growth and improving shareholder value.

Spark’s Take on AHT Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AHT is a Neutral.

Ashford Hospitality Trust’s overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including persistent losses and negative equity. While strategic initiatives and corporate actions are positive, they are insufficient to overcome the financial instability and technical bearish trends. The company’s unattractive valuation further compounds its difficulties, making it a risky investment.

To see Spark’s full report on AHT stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ashford Hospitality Extends Morgan Stanley Loan to 2026
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

On April 14, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust announced the successful extension of its Morgan Stanley Pool mortgage loan, which is secured by 17 hotels. The loan, originally set to mature in November 2024, now has an initial maturity in March 2026 with two additional one-year extension options, potentially extending to March 2028. This extension, with a current balance of $409.8 million and an interest rate of SOFR + 3.39%, provides the company with increased flexibility to release assets upon sale. This strategic move, alongside the refinancing of 16 hotels completed in February, positions approximately 60% of Ashford’s outstanding debt to mature in 2027 and beyond, enhancing the company’s ability to strategically manage its portfolio.

Spark’s Take on AHT Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AHT is a Neutral.

Ashford Hospitality’s overall stock score is heavily impacted by its significant financial challenges, including persistent losses and negative equity. While there are positive strategic initiatives and recent corporate actions, the technical bearish trends and unattractive valuation further compound the company’s difficulties, making it a risky investment.

To see Spark’s full report on AHT stock, click here.

Dividends
Ashford Hospitality Declares Second Quarter Preferred Dividends
Positive
Apr 10, 2025

On April 10, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust announced that its Board of Directors declared dividends for various series of its preferred stock for the second quarter ending June 30, 2025. These dividends, which vary by series, are scheduled for payment on July 15, 2025, to stockholders of record as of June 30, 2025. Additionally, monthly cash dividends were declared for the Company’s Series J and Series K Redeemable Preferred Stock, with payments scheduled for May, June, and July 2025. This announcement reflects Ashford’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and may influence investor sentiment and the company’s market positioning.

Spark’s Take on AHT Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AHT is a Neutral.

Ashford Hospitality Trust’s overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including persistent losses and negative equity, which weigh heavily on the company’s outlook. Although strategic initiatives and recent corporate events are positive, they are not sufficient to offset the financial instability and technical bearish trends. The company’s valuation metrics further compound the challenges, making it a risky investment in its current state.

To see Spark’s full report on AHT stock, click here.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ashford Hospitality Proposes Amendment to Advisory Agreement
Positive
Mar 21, 2025

On March 21, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust announced a proposed amendment to its advisory agreement with Ashford Inc., aiming to reduce the base advisory fee as part of its ‘GRO AHT’ initiative. This amendment could lead to significant cost savings, potentially exceeding $3 million in 2025 and more than $11 million annually if the company’s enterprise value remains stable. The proposed changes include eliminating the Net Asset Fee Adjustment and reducing the Base Advisory Fee calculation, which underscores Ashford Inc.’s commitment to improving EBITDA and enhancing shareholder value.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ashford Hospitality Implements Cost-Cutting Measures for Growth
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

On March 20, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust announced that its largest property manager, Remington, has implemented several cost-cutting measures, including headcount reductions and reduced travel expenses, as part of the company’s ‘GRO AHT’ initiative. These efforts are expected to contribute over $11 million in incremental Hotel EBITDA, aligning with Ashford Trust’s strategic vision to optimize performance and create long-term shareholder value, with a goal of achieving $50 million in annual run-rate EBITDA improvement.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ashford Hospitality Announces Cost-Cutting Measures for 2025
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

On March 12, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust announced a reduction in corporate administrative and general expenses as part of its ‘GRO AHT’ initiative, aiming to enhance EBITDA and improve financial performance. The company expects these measures, which include cuts in legal, accounting, and consulting fees, to save over $4 million annually and contribute to more than $18 million in incremental EBITDA, reinforcing its commitment to operational efficiency and shareholder value.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ashford Hospitality Cuts Board and Management Compensation
Positive
Feb 28, 2025

On February 27, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust announced significant reductions in board and management compensation as part of its ‘GRO AHT’ initiative, aimed at improving annual run-rate EBITDA by $50 million and enhancing shareholder value. The company’s strategic moves, including a 50% reduction in board compensation and a decrease in executive incentive awards, are expected to generate over $11 million in incremental EBITDA, supporting its commitment to financial discipline and operational efficiency.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ashford Hospitality Reports Strong Q4 2024 Earnings Growth
Positive
Feb 26, 2025

In its fourth quarter 2024 earnings call held on February 26, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust reported a 3.1% growth in Comparable RevPAR, 4.6% growth in total revenue, and a 6.2% increase in Comparable Hotel EBITDA. The company highlighted its strategic initiatives, including the conversion of hotels to Marriott’s Autograph Collection and Tribute Portfolio, which led to significant revenue growth. Ashford also completed refinancing and asset sales to strengthen its financial position and launched the ‘GRO AHT’ initiative aimed at boosting EBITDA by $50 million through cost reduction, revenue maximization, and operational efficiency. These efforts are expected to enhance shareholder value and improve the company’s market positioning.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ashford Hospitality Extends Mortgage Loan for Hotel Indigo
Positive
Feb 26, 2025

On February 26, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust announced the successful extension of its mortgage loan for the Hotel Indigo Atlanta Midtown. Originally set to mature in December 2024, the loan now has an initial maturity in February 2026, with an option for a one-year extension until February 2027, maintaining a balance of $12.3 million at a floating interest rate of SOFR + 2.85%. This extension provides Ashford Trust with enhanced financial flexibility and stability in managing its real estate investments, potentially strengthening its market position in the upscale hotel sector.

Private Placements and Financing
Ashford Hospitality Closes $580 Million Refinancing Deal
Positive
Feb 12, 2025

On February 12, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc. announced it has closed a $580 million refinancing deal secured by 16 hotels. This refinancing replaces previous loans totaling approximately $438.7 million and offers a two-year term with potential extensions and a floating interest rate. The company utilized $72 million of the excess proceeds to pay off existing strategic financing and allocated the remainder for transaction costs and future capital expenditures, thereby addressing pending loan maturities and eliminating corporate-level debt.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ashford Hospitality Completes Strategic Financing Payoff
Positive
Feb 12, 2025

On February 12, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust announced that it has fully paid off its strategic financing, which dates back to early 2021 and was crucial in aiding the company’s recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. This financial achievement strengthens the company’s position by eliminating corporate-level debt and aligns with its ‘GRO AHT’ initiative to enhance asset performance and increase shareholder value.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.