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Adecco Group AG (AHEXY)
OTHER OTC:AHEXY

Adecco Group AG (AHEXY) AI Stock Analysis

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Adecco Group AG

(OTC:AHEXY)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
â–²(7.73%Upside)
Adecco Group AG's overall stock score is driven primarily by its financial performance and technical indicators. The company displays financial resilience with effective cash management, though profitability challenges persist. Technical analysis suggests stability with some short-term caution. Valuation metrics are reasonable, and the earnings call revealed both strategic wins and ongoing market challenges.

Adecco Group AG (AHEXY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Adecco Group AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdecco Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides human resource services to businesses and organizations in Europe, North America, Asia Pacific, South America, and North Africa. It offers flexible placement, permanent placement, outsourcing, training, upskilling and reskilling, career transition and workforce transformation, technology consulting and talent, tech academy, digital staffing services, and talent advisory and solutions under the Adecco, Adia, General Assembly, Badenoch + Clark, LHH, pontoon, Spring, and Modis. The company also operates Hired, a talent recruitment platform. As of December 31, 2021, it operated approximately 4,300 branches in 59 countries and territories. The company was formerly known as Adecco S.A. Adecco Group AG was founded in 1957 and is based in Zurich, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneyAdecco Group AG primarily generates revenue through its staffing and human resource services. The company earns money by providing temporary and permanent staffing solutions, charging client companies a fee for matching them with skilled workers. Adecco's revenue streams also include outsourcing services, where they manage entire HR processes for businesses, and career transition services, which assist employees during job changes. Key partnerships with businesses across diverse sectors and a global network of branches enhance Adecco's ability to source talent and fulfill client needs, contributing significantly to its earnings.

Adecco Group AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with both positive momentum in market share gains, U.S. growth, and strategic wins, yet faced challenges with revenue declines, margin pressure, and regional difficulties in Germany and France.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Market Share Gains
The Adecco Group gained further market share with a 30 basis points increase at the group level, on top of the 200 basis points delivered in 2024. The Adecco GBU was 130 basis points ahead of key competitors.
Return to Growth in the U.S.
Adecco U.S. returned to growth with an exit rate of +4% and a significant improvement from -12% in Q4 to -2% in Q1.
AI Adoption and Strategic Wins
The Group launched pre-screening agents in Adecco UK and new capabilities in Akkodis Germany as part of AI initiatives. Significant contract wins in Germany with an IT services provider and in the U.S. with a leading market research company were secured.
Strong APAC and LatAm Growth
Adecco APAC saw revenues up 11%, with Japan, Asia, and India driving growth. Latin America revenues grew 14%, led by Argentina, Colombia, and Brazil.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline and EBITA Margin Pressure
Revenues were €5.6 billion, 2% lower year-on-year, with a gross margin of 19.4%, which was 40 basis points lower year-on-year. EBITA excluding one-offs was €132 million, with a margin of 2.4%, 40 basis points lower year-on-year.
Challenges in Akkodis Germany
Akkodis' revenues were 8% lower year-on-year, with significant pressure in Germany due to challenges in the auto sector, impacting profitability.
Weak Performance in France
In France, revenues were 9% lower, attributed to market headwinds and impacts from large clients accounting for 350 basis points of the decline.
Negative Cash Flow from Operations
Cash flow from operating activities was negative at minus €144 million, reflecting lower business income and working capital absorption.
Company Guidance
During the Adecco Group's Q1 2025 call, guidance was provided with a focus on various metrics and strategic initiatives. Revenues reached €5.6 billion, reflecting a 2% year-on-year decrease on an organic, trading days-adjusted basis, but a 3% sequential increase. The gross margin was 19.4%, 40 basis points lower year-on-year, while EBITA excluding one-offs was €132 million, resulting in a 2.4% margin. Adjusted EPS fell 20% year-on-year to $0.48. Cash flow from operating activities was negative €144 million, with a cash conversion ratio of 105%. Management emphasized agile capacity management and cost control, aiming to maintain a 3% EBITA margin floor annually. Market share gains were highlighted, with a 30 basis point increase on top of the 200 basis points in 2024. The Group is leveraging AI solutions and strategic partnerships to enhance efficiency and reduce costs, while also focusing on navigating macroeconomic uncertainties and trade policy impacts.

Adecco Group AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Adecco Group AG demonstrates financial resilience with steady revenues and effective cash management. However, profitability measures have shown signs of pressure, with declining margins and increased leverage. The company must address these challenges to sustain financial health and growth.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Adecco Group AG has shown a consistent revenue base over the years with a recent slight decline. The gross profit margin remains stable around 19%, indicating good cost management. However, net profit margins have been under pressure, dropping from 2.5% in 2021 to 1.3% in 2024. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, reflecting challenges in maintaining operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, increasing from 0.70 in 2019 to 0.97 in 2024, suggesting a rising leverage. The equity ratio has decreased slightly, indicating an increased reliance on debt financing. Return on equity has also declined from 18.4% in 2021 to 8.5% in 2024, reflecting reduced profitability on shareholder's equity.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flows remain robust with operating cash flow consistently exceeding net income, showing effective cash management. The free cash flow has shown variability but is generally positive, supporting ongoing operations and investments. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, indicating less cash generation relative to earnings.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
23.14B23.96B23.64B20.95B19.56B
Gross Profit
4.50B4.97B4.97B4.28B3.79B
EBIT
541.00M632.00M547.00M780.00M118.00M
EBITDA
760.00M841.00M770.00M971.00M307.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
303.00M325.00M342.00M586.00M-97.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
482.00M556.00M782.00M3.05B1.49B
Total Assets
12.10B12.43B13.26B11.87B9.79B
Total Debt
3.48B3.67B3.70B3.48B2.29B
Net Debt
3.00B3.12B2.92B429.00M805.00M
Total Liabilities
8.51B8.83B9.36B8.06B6.57B
Stockholders Equity
3.58B3.60B3.88B3.79B3.21B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
563.00M347.00M328.00M590.00M563.00M
Operating Cash Flow
707.00M563.00M543.00M722.00M720.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-157.00M-209.00M-1.45B-206.00M-162.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-634.00M-620.00M-1.38B980.00M-290.00M

Adecco Group AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.46
Price Trends
50DMA
13.59
Negative
100DMA
13.33
Positive
200DMA
13.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Positive
RSI
44.45
Neutral
STOCH
7.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AHEXY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.01, below the 50-day MA of 13.59, and below the 200-day MA of 13.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AHEXY.

Adecco Group AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
KFKFY
77
Outperform
$3.57B14.8713.92%2.30%-3.27%62.57%
72
Outperform
$4.01B24.69162.14%1.24%1.50%-44.95%
67
Neutral
$4.57B14.707.98%2.38%-4.25%-6.06%
66
Neutral
$4.48B12.265.32%248.53%4.10%-12.36%
RHRHI
62
Neutral
$4.45B21.7514.49%5.14%-7.81%-40.22%
MAMAN
57
Neutral
$1.86B17.415.19%7.58%-5.52%133.51%
NSNSP
53
Neutral
$2.39B38.4948.65%3.82%1.90%-60.33%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AHEXY
Adecco Group AG
13.46
-4.38
-24.55%
NSP
Insperity
62.78
-28.03
-30.87%
KFY
Korn Ferry
69.96
8.88
14.54%
MAN
ManpowerGroup
40.61
-26.90
-39.85%
RHI
Robert Half
44.38
-16.40
-26.98%
TNET
TriNet Group
83.26
-20.66
-19.88%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.