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Adecco Group AG (AHEXY)
OTHER OTC:AHEXY

Adecco Group AG (AHEXY) AI Stock Analysis

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AHEXY

Adecco Group AG

(OTC:AHEXY)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
â–¼(-14.79% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven primarily by steady underlying financial performance supported by solid cash generation, and a constructive earnings-call backdrop focused on market-share gains, productivity, and deleveraging. These positives are tempered by a weaker technical trend (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and only moderate growth/margin pressure, while reasonable valuation and a strong dividend provide support.
Positive Factors
Sustained market-share gains
Consistent multi-year market-share gains indicate structural competitive momentum and stronger client relationships. This scale advantage supports placement flow, pricing leverage in accounts and cross-sell of higher-value services, making organic recovery and margin resilience more likely over the next few quarters.
Negative Factors
Thin operating and net margins
Persistently thin margins leave limited buffer for cyclical slowdowns or rising costs. Small absolute margin percentages constrain retained earnings and investment capacity, making sustained margin expansion necessary for durable returns; otherwise earnings volatility could impair deleveraging and strategic investments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained market-share gains
Consistent multi-year market-share gains indicate structural competitive momentum and stronger client relationships. This scale advantage supports placement flow, pricing leverage in accounts and cross-sell of higher-value services, making organic recovery and margin resilience more likely over the next few quarters.
Read all positive factors

Adecco Group AG (AHEXY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Adecco Group AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Adecco Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides human resource services to businesses and organizations in Europe, North America, Asia Pacific, South America, and North Africa. It offers flexible placement, permanent placement, outsourci...
How the Company Makes Money
Adecco primarily makes money by providing workforce solutions to client companies and charging fees tied to placing and managing workers. A major revenue stream is temporary staffing (including payrolling), where Adecco recruits and assigns associ...

Adecco Group AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple operational and financial improvements—market share gains, improved Q4 revenue and margins, strong productivity, robust cash generation and measurable deleveraging—supported by targeted turnarounds (e.g., Akkodis Germany) and strong performance in North America, LHH and outsourcing services. Challenges include modest full‑year revenue growth, localized weakness (Akkodis Germany, permanent placement, some country-specific softness), one-off restructuring charges and early-stage AI scaling risks. Overall, the positive operational momentum, cash flow strength and clear deleveraging pathway outweigh the headwinds.
Positive Updates
Market Share Gains
The group gained significant market share—245 basis points vs. key competitors on a full-year basis and 395 basis points in Q4—indicating consistent outperformance across the past three years and strong competitive momentum.
Negative Updates
Modest Full-Year Revenue Growth
Full-year revenues increased only 1.3% year-on-year, indicating relatively slow top-line expansion despite market-share gains and quarter-to-quarter improvements.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Market Share Gains
The group gained significant market share—245 basis points vs. key competitors on a full-year basis and 395 basis points in Q4—indicating consistent outperformance across the past three years and strong competitive momentum.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance: management expects Q1 gross margin and SG&A (ex one‑offs) to be broadly stable sequentially (despite a ~20 bps FX headwind versus prior year and normal Q1 seasonality that typically raises SG&A by ~EUR 10–15m), reminded that H1 is a working‑capital outflow versus H2 inflows, and flagged FESCO timing differences versus last year; one‑offs are expected to fall to about EUR 40m in 2026 (vs ~EUR 60m in 2025). The board proposes a CHF 1.00/share dividend (46% payout) with a cash-or-scrip option, refinancing of the hybrid is underway, and the group reiterated its target to reduce net debt/EBITDA to ≤1.5x by end‑2027 (building on year‑end 2.4x, down 0.2x y/y and 0.6x q/q) while maintaining strong cash generation (LTM cash conversion 102%, FY operating cash flow EUR 613m, FCF EUR 483m; Q4 OpCF EUR 476m, capex EUR 50m, net debt EUR 2.29bn, DSO 51.8 days).

Adecco Group AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are steady but not accelerating: profitability remains positive with thin margins and recent revenue/margin softening, while leverage is moderate and has not materially declined. Cash generation is a relative strength with consistently positive operating cash flow and solid free cash flow, though free cash flow fell in 2025 versus 2024.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.08B23.14B23.96B23.64B20.95B
Gross Profit4.42B4.50B4.97B4.97B4.28B
EBITDA716.00M760.00M841.00M770.00M971.00M
Net Income283.36M303.00M325.00M342.00M586.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.75B12.10B12.43B13.26B11.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments387.83M482.00M556.00M782.00M3.05B
Total Debt3.49B3.48B3.67B3.70B3.48B
Total Liabilities8.36B8.51B8.83B9.36B8.06B
Stockholders Equity3.38B3.58B3.60B3.88B3.79B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow463.94M563.00M347.00M328.00M590.00M
Operating Cash Flow588.81M707.00M563.00M543.00M722.00M
Investing Cash Flow-149.84M-157.00M-209.00M-1.45B-206.00M
Financing Cash Flow-443.77M-634.00M-620.00M-1.38B980.00M

Adecco Group AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.67
Price Trends
50DMA
13.35
Negative
100DMA
13.93
Negative
200DMA
14.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.47
Negative
RSI
37.61
Neutral
STOCH
86.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AHEXY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.21, above the 50-day MA of 13.35, and above the 200-day MA of 14.49, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AHEXY.

Adecco Group AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$3.29B13.7313.94%2.89%3.65%5.71%
65
Neutral
$745.51M16.8723.66%0.88%9.64%9.93%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$3.97B23.748.80%4.22%-2.35%-3.74%
59
Neutral
$2.56B20.4510.26%8.65%-7.27%-43.88%
51
Neutral
$1.36B11.44-0.65%4.96%-2.44%-156.01%
45
Neutral
$1.11B-210.19-7.69%6.37%3.19%-86.21%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AHEXY
Adecco Group AG
11.84
-0.29
-2.35%
BBSI
Barrett Business Services
29.58
-9.31
-23.94%
NSP
Insperity
29.34
-46.73
-61.43%
KFY
Korn Ferry
63.36
4.28
7.24%
MAN
ManpowerGroup
29.35
-17.97
-37.97%
RHI
Robert Half
25.29
-18.57
-42.34%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026