Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO)
NYSE:AGO
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AGO Stock Chart & Stats
$84.80
-$0.64(-0.71%)
At close: 4:00 PM EST
$84.80
-$0.64(-0.71%)
Day’s Range― - ―
52-Week Range$74.18 - $92.40
Previous CloseN/A
Volume41.44K
Average Volume (3M)337.06K
Market Cap
$3.48B
Enterprise Value$4.80B
Total Cash (Recent Filing)$2.34B
Total Debt (Recent Filing)$1.71B
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.5
Beta0.57
Next Earnings
Aug 12, 2026EPS Estimate
1.53Next Dividend Ex-DateN/A
Dividend Yield1.5%
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)8.57
Shares Outstanding44,282,463
10 Day Avg. Volume453,220
30 Day Avg. Volume337,060
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.19
Price to Book (P/B)0.78
Price to Sales (P/S)5.58
P/FCF Ratio16.97
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.38
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.05
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit5.33
Enterprise Value/Ebitda8.98
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$92.33Price Target Upside8.88% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)7.06
Revenue Forecast (FY)$817.24M
Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Strong Profitability / High MarginsSustained, very high TTM net margins (~44%) provide a durable earnings buffer versus insurance loss variability, supporting the company's ability to fund claims, buybacks and dividends. High margins also improve return generation on invested premium, enhancing long-term capital accumulation and resilience.
Market Leadership In Municipal InsuranceDominant share (58% of new-issue insured par) and scale across >900 new-issue deals creates structural advantages: deeper distribution, better pricing power, and sourcing scale. Market leadership supports consistent PVP generation and competitive barriers that help sustain long-term premium flows.
Diversification Via Annuity Reinsurance AcquisitionAcquisition and launch of Assured Life Re creates a durable, new annuity-reinsurance revenue stream (MYGAs, pension risk transfer). This diversifies cash flows away from pure municipal guarantee premiums, leverages investment management capabilities, and provides a repeatable capital-deployment pathway over multi-year horizons.
Bears Say
Unresolved UK Water (Thames) ExposureAn outstanding, unresolved Thames exposure creates persistent credit and legal uncertainty that can require material reserve adjustments or cash outflows. Timing and outcome are unclear, meaning capital and loss reserves could be disrupted and impair underwriting results for multiple quarters or years.
Limited Holding-company LiquidityModest holding-company liquidity (~$130M, ~$48M at AG Ltd.) constrains flexibility for opportunistic block purchases, larger annuity acquisitions or rapid capital returns. Regulatory constraints on subsidiary dividends can amplify strain, forcing tradeoffs between buybacks, dividends and strategic capital deployment over the medium term.
Mix-driven Lower Premium Per ParA shift toward higher-rated AA and step-away deals reduces premium per dollar of insured par, limiting top-line growth despite rising insured par. Structurally, better credit mix lowers capital charges but can cap premium generation and constrain revenue expansion and near-term underwriting income growth.
Assured Guaranty News
AGO FAQ
What was Assured Guaranty Ltd’s price range in the past 12 months?
Assured Guaranty Ltd lowest stock price was $74.18 and its highest was $92.39 in the past 12 months.
What is Assured Guaranty Ltd’s market cap?
Assured Guaranty Ltd’s market cap is $3.48B.
When is Assured Guaranty Ltd’s upcoming earnings report date?
Assured Guaranty Ltd’s upcoming earnings report date is Aug 12, 2026 which is in 81 days.
How were Assured Guaranty Ltd’s earnings last quarter?
Assured Guaranty Ltd released its earnings results on May 07, 2026. The company reported $2.5 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $1.507 by $0.993.
Is Assured Guaranty Ltd overvalued?
According to Wall Street analysts Assured Guaranty Ltd’s price is currently Undervalued.
Does Assured Guaranty Ltd pay dividends?
Assured Guaranty Ltd pays a Quarterly dividend of $0.34 which represents an annual dividend yield of 1.5%. See more information on Assured Guaranty Ltd dividends here
What is Assured Guaranty Ltd’s EPS estimate?
Assured Guaranty Ltd’s EPS estimate is 1.53.
How many shares outstanding does Assured Guaranty Ltd have?
Assured Guaranty Ltd has 44,282,463 shares outstanding.
What happened to Assured Guaranty Ltd’s price movement after its last earnings report?
Assured Guaranty Ltd reported an EPS of $2.5 in its last earnings report, beating expectations of $1.507. Following the earnings report the stock price went down -8.953%.
Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Assured Guaranty Ltd?
Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in AGO
What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology
Assured Guaranty Stock Smart Score
Neutral
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Analyst Consensus
Moderate Buy
Average Price Target:
$92.33 (8.88% Upside)
$92.33 (8.88% Upside)
Blogger Sentiment
Bullish
AGO Sentiment 100%
Sector Average ―
Sector Average ―
Hedge Fund Trend
Decreased
By 77.4K Shares
Last Quarter.
Last Quarter.
Insider Transactions
Sold Shares
Worth $18.0M over
the Last 3 Months
the Last 3 Months
News Sentiment
Very Bullish
Bullish news 100%
Bearish news 0%
Bearish news 0%
Technicals
SMA
Positive
20 days / 200 days
Momentum
5.41%
12-Months-Change
Fundamentals
Return on Equity
7.38%
Trailing 12-Months
Asset Growth
5.84%
Trailing 12-Months
Company Description
Assured Guaranty Ltd
Assured Guaranty Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Insurance and Asset Management. It offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. The company insures and reinsures various debt obligations, including bonds issued by the United States state governmental authorities; and notes issued to finance infrastructure projects. It also insures and reinsures various the U.S. public finance obligations, such as general obligation, tax-backed, municipal utility, transportation, healthcare, higher education, infrastructure, housing revenue, investor-owned utility, renewable energy, and other public finance bonds. Further, it is involved in insuring and reinsuring of non-U.S. public finance obligations comprising regulated utilities, infrastructure finance, sovereign and sub-sovereign, renewable energy bonds, pooled infrastructure, and other public finance obligations; and the U.S. and non-U.S. Structured finance obligations, including residential mortgage-backed securities, life insurance transactions, consumer receivables securities, pooled corporate obligations, financial products, and other structured finance securities. Additionally, the company offers specialty insurance and reinsurance that include life and aircraft residual value insurance transactions; and asset management services comprising investment advisory services, including management of collateralized loan obligations, and opportunity and liquid strategy funds. It markets its financial guaranty insurance directly to issuers and underwriters of public finance and structured finance securities, as well as to investors in such obligations. Assured Guaranty Ltd. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.
AGO Company Deck
AGO Earnings Call
Q1 2026
0:00 / 0:00
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call emphasized multiple material accomplishments—record per-share metrics, strong adjusted operating income growth (Q4 per-share +83%, full-year per-share +28%), market leadership in new-issue municipal insurance (58% market share), a tripling of secondary market activity, solid alternative investment performance (full-year pretax alternatives +33%), completion of a strategic acquisition (Assured Life Re), and $500 million of share repurchases. Offsetting these positives are mix-driven limits on PVP and premium per par due to fewer large BBB deals, outstanding UK water (Thames) and other stressed credits (e.g., Brightline) that remain unresolved risks, modest holding company liquidity (~$130M), and potential tradeoffs between buybacks and capital deployment into the new annuity reinsurance platform. Overall, the company portrayed a strong operational and financial year with manageable but notable credit and capital-allocation risks.View all AGO earnings summariesAGO Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
$92.33
▲(8.88% Upside)
Technical Analysis
Ownership Overview
6.26% Insiders
29.16% Mutual Funds
22.03% Other Institutional Investors
11.25% Public Companies and
Individual Investors