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Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO)
NYSE:AGO
AGO Stock Chart & Stats
$86.21
-$0.64(-0.71%)
At close: 4:00 PM EST
$86.21
-$0.64(-0.71%)
Day’s Range― - ―
52-Week Range$74.09 - $92.40
Previous CloseN/A
Volume41.44K
Average Volume (3M)337.06K
Market Cap
$3.98B
Enterprise Value$5.35B
Total Cash (Recent Filing)$6.76B
Total Debt (Recent Filing)$1.70B
Price to Earnings (P/E)8.3
Beta0.61
Next Earnings
May 07, 2026EPS Estimate
1.48Next Dividend Ex-DateN/A
Dividend Yield1.5%
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.32
Shares Outstanding46,109,097
10 Day Avg. Volume453,220
30 Day Avg. Volume337,060
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.19
Price to Book (P/B)0.78
Price to Sales (P/S)5.58
P/FCF Ratio5.74
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.35
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.27
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit5.67
Enterprise Value/Ebitda7.12
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$110.00Price Target Upside27.60% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)6.93
Revenue Forecast (FY)$824.55M
Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Market Leadership In Municipal InsuranceA dominant 58% share of new-issue municipal insured par and >$25B wrapped provides durable competitive scale. This market leadership secures privileged deal flow, distribution advantages and pricing power, supporting steadier PVP generation and underwriting volume over the medium term.
Balance-sheet ResilienceSizable equity and moderate leverage (D/E ~0.27–0.33) give the company durable capital buffers to absorb credit losses, support large municipal and structured guarantees, and fund new initiatives. This structural strength underpins underwriting capacity and long-term claim-paying credibility.
Strategic Diversification Into Annuity ReinsuranceThe Warwick Re acquisition establishes a new annuity reinsurance platform, diversifying revenue beyond municipal guarantees into recurring annuity and pension-risk flows. Over time this broadens earnings sources, leverages investment capabilities, and creates a structural growth runway independent of single-product cycles.
Bears Say
Volatile Operating Cash GenerationHistoric swings from deeply negative OCF to a large 2025 inflow indicate inconsistent cash conversion. That variability undermines predictability for underwriting capital, buybacks and dividend policy, complicates multiyear planning and increases reliance on timing-sensitive investment and financing decisions.
Unresolved Stressed Credits (Thames, Brightline)Open and potentially large problem credits (Thames; Brightline) pose lasting credit risk and potential volatility in reserves or marks. Outcomes and timing are uncertain; adverse resolutions could require incremental capital or write-downs, weakening underwriting economics and capital available for growth.
Holding-company Liquidity & Capital TradeoffsModest holding-company liquidity (~$130M total, ~$48M at AGL) limits immediate flexibility to fund opportunistic transactions. As management deploys capital into annuity reinsurance and block acquisitions, buybacks and dividends may be constrained, forcing durable allocation tradeoffs that affect growth and shareholder returns.
Assured Guaranty News
AGO FAQ
What was Assured Guaranty Ltd’s price range in the past 12 months?
Assured Guaranty Ltd lowest stock price was $74.09 and its highest was $92.39 in the past 12 months.
What is Assured Guaranty Ltd’s market cap?
Assured Guaranty Ltd’s market cap is $3.98B.
When is Assured Guaranty Ltd’s upcoming earnings report date?
Assured Guaranty Ltd’s upcoming earnings report date is May 07, 2026 which is in 65 days.
How were Assured Guaranty Ltd’s earnings last quarter?
Assured Guaranty Ltd released its earnings results on Feb 26, 2026. The company reported $2.32 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $1.453 by $0.867.
Is Assured Guaranty Ltd overvalued?
According to Wall Street analysts Assured Guaranty Ltd’s price is currently Undervalued.
Does Assured Guaranty Ltd pay dividends?
Assured Guaranty Ltd pays a Quarterly dividend of $0.34 which represents an annual dividend yield of 1.5%. See more information on Assured Guaranty Ltd dividends here
What is Assured Guaranty Ltd’s EPS estimate?
Assured Guaranty Ltd’s EPS estimate is 1.48.
How many shares outstanding does Assured Guaranty Ltd have?
Assured Guaranty Ltd has 46,109,097 shares outstanding.
What happened to Assured Guaranty Ltd’s price movement after its last earnings report?
Assured Guaranty Ltd reported an EPS of $2.32 in its last earnings report, beating expectations of $1.453. Following the earnings report the stock price went down -0.496%.
Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Assured Guaranty Ltd?
Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in AGO
What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology
Assured Guaranty Stock Smart Score
Neutral
1
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10
Analyst Consensus
Moderate Buy
Average Price Target:
$110.00 (27.60% Upside)
$110.00 (27.60% Upside)
Hedge Fund Trend
Decreased
By 77.4K Shares
Last Quarter.
Last Quarter.
News Sentiment
Very Bullish
Bullish news 80%
Bearish news 20%
Bearish news 20%
Technicals
SMA
Positive
20 days / 200 days
Momentum
5.41%
12-Months-Change
Fundamentals
Return on Equity
7.06%
Trailing 12-Months
Asset Growth
-1.55%
Trailing 12-Months
Company Description
Assured Guaranty Ltd
Assured Guaranty Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Insurance and Asset Management. It offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. The company insures and reinsures various debt obligations, including bonds issued by the United States state governmental authorities; and notes issued to finance infrastructure projects. It also insures and reinsures various the U.S. public finance obligations, such as general obligation, tax-backed, municipal utility, transportation, healthcare, higher education, infrastructure, housing revenue, investor-owned utility, renewable energy, and other public finance bonds. Further, it is involved in insuring and reinsuring of non-U.S. public finance obligations comprising regulated utilities, infrastructure finance, sovereign and sub-sovereign, renewable energy bonds, pooled infrastructure, and other public finance obligations; and the U.S. and non-U.S. Structured finance obligations, including residential mortgage-backed securities, life insurance transactions, consumer receivables securities, pooled corporate obligations, financial products, and other structured finance securities. Additionally, the company offers specialty insurance and reinsurance that include life and aircraft residual value insurance transactions; and asset management services comprising investment advisory services, including management of collateralized loan obligations, and opportunity and liquid strategy funds. It markets its financial guaranty insurance directly to issuers and underwriters of public finance and structured finance securities, as well as to investors in such obligations. Assured Guaranty Ltd. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.
AGO Company Deck
AGO Earnings Call
Q4 2026
0:00 / 0:00
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call emphasized multiple material accomplishments—record per-share metrics, strong adjusted operating income growth (Q4 per-share +83%, full-year per-share +28%), market leadership in new-issue municipal insurance (58% market share), a tripling of secondary market activity, solid alternative investment performance (full-year pretax alternatives +33%), completion of a strategic acquisition (Assured Life Re), and $500 million of share repurchases. Offsetting these positives are mix-driven limits on PVP and premium per par due to fewer large BBB deals, outstanding UK water (Thames) and other stressed credits (e.g., Brightline) that remain unresolved risks, modest holding company liquidity (~$130M), and potential tradeoffs between buybacks and capital deployment into the new annuity reinsurance platform. Overall, the company portrayed a strong operational and financial year with manageable but notable credit and capital-allocation risks.View all AGO earnings summariesAGO Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
$110.00
▲(27.60% Upside)
Technical Analysis
Ownership Overview
6.22% Insiders
30.87% Mutual Funds
15.61% Other Institutional Investors
18.61% Public Companies and
Individual Investors