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Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize (ADRNY)
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Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize (ADRNY) AI Stock Analysis

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ADRNY

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize

(OTC:ADRNY)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$53.00
▲(28.64% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by strong, reliable cash generation and constructive earnings-call guidance (margin stability, EPS growth, solid free cash flow and higher shareholder returns). Valuation is reasonable for a defensive grocer. Technicals are supportive but tempered by extremely overbought momentum indicators, which increase near-term downside risk.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Consistent, accelerating free cash flow underpins durable financial flexibility: it funds reinvestment, covers dividends and buybacks, and cushions operational shocks. That persistent cash generation supports management's capital return plans and strategic M&A without relying on volatile external funding.
Negative Factors
Recent Revenue Weakness
A top-line contraction signals underlying demand or mix pressures that can persist across quarters. For a low-margin grocer, declining sales reduce operating leverage, strain margin sustainability, and increase reliance on cost actions or asset disposals to maintain profitability and shareholder returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Consistent, accelerating free cash flow underpins durable financial flexibility: it funds reinvestment, covers dividends and buybacks, and cushions operational shocks. That persistent cash generation supports management's capital return plans and strategic M&A without relying on volatile external funding.
Read all positive factors

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize (ADRNY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize (ADRNY) is a multinational retail company based in the Netherlands, specializing in food and grocery retail. The company operates a diverse portfolio of supermarket brands across Europe and the United States, including w...
How the Company Makes Money
Ahold Delhaize generates revenue primarily through the sale of groceries and household goods in its supermarkets and online platforms. The company's revenue model is driven by multiple streams, including in-store sales, e-commerce transactions, an...

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominately positive operational and financial picture: solid top-line growth, improving margins and EPS, strong free cash flow that enabled increased shareholder returns, meaningful online and AI-led progress, and clear sustainability advances. Material caveats include regulatory headwinds in Serbia, IFRS one-offs tied to the omnichannel transition, local structural impacts (e.g., tobacco cessation), and competitive and macro uncertainties in the U.S. On balance the positive results, cash generation and strategic momentum outweigh the challenges, though several issues warrant monitoring over the next few quarters.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-line Growth
Full-year net sales rose 5.9% to EUR 92.4 billion; Q4 net sales grew 6.1% to EUR 23.5 billion. Full-year comparable sales (excluding gas) increased 3.2%; Q4 comparable sales were +2.5% (including minor weather/calendar impacts).
Negative Updates
Serbia Pricing Regulation and Associated Headwind
Government intervention on price limitations in Serbia created notable headwinds and moved Serbia toward a loss-making position; management highlighted Serbia as a multi-quarter area of remediation and a drag on European margins.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-line Growth
Full-year net sales rose 5.9% to EUR 92.4 billion; Q4 net sales grew 6.1% to EUR 23.5 billion. Full-year comparable sales (excluding gas) increased 3.2%; Q4 comparable sales were +2.5% (including minor weather/calendar impacts).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided 2026 to an underlying operating margin of around 4% (with limited downside), mid- to high single‑digit diluted underlying EPS growth at constant rates, free cash flow of at least EUR 2.3 billion and gross CapEx of approximately EUR 2.7 billion; management flagged a 53rd week that is expected to add about 1.5–2% to net sales and 2–3% to underlying net income (with no material impact on operating margin), noted the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act will lower U.S. pharmacy sales by roughly $350 million with no underlying profit impact, the Delfood deal adds >€200 million of European sales, and reiterated shareholder returns actions including a proposed 6% dividend increase to €1.24 per share and a €1 billion share buyback program for 2026.

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and consistent operating/free cash flow is the core strength (FCF positive every year with a sharp acceleration in 2025). Margins are steady but thin (typical for grocery), while revenue growth slowed and turned negative in 2025 and profitability was volatile versus 2022 highs. Balance-sheet leverage is moderate with an improving risk profile after the large 2025 debt reduction.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue92.35B89.36B88.73B86.98B75.60B
Gross Profit24.51B23.80B23.85B23.30B20.68B
EBITDA6.59B6.48B6.50B7.27B6.34B
Net Income2.26B1.76B1.87B2.55B2.25B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets49.09B51.84B47.82B48.55B45.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.93B6.17B3.48B3.21B3.13B
Total Debt18.40B20.34B17.79B17.67B17.09B
Total Liabilities34.89B36.39B33.07B33.15B31.99B
Stockholders Equity14.20B15.45B14.76B15.40B13.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.99B3.92B3.99B3.62B3.10B
Operating Cash Flow6.99B6.22B6.47B6.11B5.47B
Investing Cash Flow-3.58B-1.73B-2.21B-2.01B-2.63B
Financing Cash Flow-5.68B-1.98B-3.78B-4.19B-3.05B

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price41.20
Price Trends
50DMA
44.13
Positive
100DMA
42.56
Positive
200DMA
41.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.73
Positive
RSI
47.58
Neutral
STOCH
3.04
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADRNY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 41.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 47.93, below the 50-day MA of 44.13, and below the 200-day MA of 41.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.04 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ADRNY.

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Risk Analysis

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$40.16B13.3915.70%3.32%5.42%19.26%
65
Neutral
$7.46B15.0538.21%16.60%49.76%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
$46.01B40.3313.04%2.15%-1.77%-70.83%
61
Neutral
$8.80B8.3128.54%3.49%2.08%-1.63%
58
Neutral
$1.66B17.846.83%2.06%3.11%6.54%
45
Neutral
$633.09M-4.43-19.78%7.22%-108.99%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADRNY
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize
46.41
10.44
29.02%
KR
Kroger Company
72.70
9.65
15.30%
WMK
Weis Markets
67.07
-5.79
-7.94%
SFM
Sprouts Farmers
78.90
-70.80
-47.29%
GO
Grocery Outlet Holding
6.45
-5.76
-47.17%
ACI
Albertsons Companies
17.13
-3.05
-15.12%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026