Adeia (ADEA)
NASDAQ:ADEA
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Adeia
(NASDAQ:ADEA)
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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(14.07% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:04/23/26
Overall score reflects solid balance-sheet strength and cash generation plus positive business momentum from recent licensing wins and improved legal clarity (AMD), partially offset by a notable earnings-quality red flag in 2025 financials and technically overbought conditions that raise near-term risk.
Positive Factors
Diversification into OTT & Semiconductors
Adeia is shifting revenue mix away from legacy Pay‑TV by growing OTT and semiconductor licensing. Durable secular demand for OTT and chips expands its addressable market, lowers concentration risk, and supports recurring multi‑year licensing revenue and long‑term royalty streams.
Negative Factors
Earnings‑quality red flag
A negative gross profit and slightly negative EBITDA in 2025 point to accounting or recognition anomalies, one‑time items, or cost allocation issues that undermine the sustainable profitability signal. This raises risk that reported net margins may not persist absent clearer gross margin recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversification into OTT & Semiconductors
Adeia is shifting revenue mix away from legacy Pay‑TV by growing OTT and semiconductor licensing. Durable secular demand for OTT and chips expands its addressable market, lowers concentration risk, and supports recurring multi‑year licensing revenue and long‑term royalty streams.
Read all positive factors
Adeia (ADEA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$3.65B
Dividend Yield1.17%
Average Volume (3M)1.21M
Price to Earnings (P/E)17.0
Beta (1Y)1.20
Revenue Growth17.91%
EPS Growth71.90%
CountryUS
Employees150
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Application
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.86
Shares Outstanding110,703,735
10 Day Avg. Volume1,036,188
30 Day Avg. Volume1,206,026
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.23
Price to Book (P/B)3.92
Price to Sales (P/S)4.25
P/FCF Ratio12.61
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.03
Enterprise Value/Revenue8.48
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit9.76
Enterprise Value/Ebitda15.68
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$33.00Price Target Upside14.07% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering4
EPS Forecast (FY)1.42
Revenue Forecast (FY)$417.40M
Adeia Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Adeia Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer and entertainment product/solutions licensing company worldwide. It licenses its innovations to companies in the entertainment industry under the Adeia brand. The company licenses ...
How the Company Makes Money
Adeia primarily makes money by licensing its patented technologies to other companies under multi-year license agreements. Revenue is generated mainly through (1) recurring patent license fees and (2) royalties tied to customers’ products or servi...
Adeia Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Adeia Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 23, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call describes a very strong operational and financial year (record revenue, earnings, cash generation, significant new customer wins and diversified growth into OTT and semiconductors). Management emphasizes a robust pipeline and early 2026 deal momentum (including Microsoft). Offsetting risks include rising litigation expense and active disputes (e.g., DIRECTV), higher operating costs driven by variable compensation, guidance that implies margin compression to ~55% and a revenue range that could be below 2025 at the low end. On balance, the company delivered outsized 2025 results, has multiple growth vectors (OTT, semiconductors, patents/technology), and communicated a clear plan to manage legal and transition risks.Positive Updates
Record Annual Revenue and Earnings
Revenue of $443.0M for fiscal 2025 (record), exceeding the high end of guidance; operating income of $276M and adjusted EBITDA of $278M, both above guidance.
Negative Updates
Rising Litigation Expense and Active Legal Risks
Litigation expense totaled ≈$25M in 2025; Q4 litigation expense was $6.5M (up 25% QoQ). Management expects litigation expense to increase by ~$5M–$10M in 2026 and faces active disputes including DIRECTV and other matters (AMD, Canadian litigation).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Annual Revenue and Earnings
Revenue of $443.0M for fiscal 2025 (record), exceeding the high end of guidance; operating income of $276M and adjusted EBITDA of $278M, both above guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided full‑year 2026 revenue of $395 million to $435 million, with Pay‑TV expected to comprise ~35%–40% of revenue and OTT ~30%–35%; operating expenses are forecast at $184 million to $192 million (R&D and SG&A to grow modest single digits), litigation expense is expected to increase to roughly $30 million–$35 million (i.e., $5M–$10M above 2025’s ~$25M), interest expense $34M–$36M, other income $5.5M–$6.5M, an adjusted EBITDA margin of ~55%, a non‑GAAP tax rate of 21%, capital expenditures of about $2M, and management expects first‑ and second‑half revenues to be relatively equal.Adeia Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 443.39M | 376.02M | 388.79M | 438.93M | 877.70M |
| Gross Profit | 386.76M | 303.25M | 293.51M | 324.71M | 523.74M |
| EBITDA | 239.86M | 206.50M | 237.82M | 269.33M | 235.64M |
| Net Income | 111.08M | 64.62M | 67.37M | -295.88M | -55.46M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 1.04B | 1.10B | 1.11B | 1.21B | 2.47B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 136.73M | 110.39M | 83.57M | 114.56M | 140.96M |
| Total Debt | 435.92M | 485.42M | 595.93M | 736.29M | 772.87M |
| Total Liabilities | 558.76M | 701.39M | 748.93M | 909.11M | 1.13B |
| Stockholders Equity | 480.54M | 396.57M | 356.62M | 301.41M | 1.35B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 149.33M | 190.16M | 146.41M | 170.16M | 220.65M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 158.09M | 212.46M | 152.75M | 183.02M | 234.79M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -40.26M | -24.02M | -34.49M | -2.91M | -6.21M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -123.51M | -164.17M | -178.26M | -263.26M | -196.25M |
Adeia Technical Analysis
Positive
28.93
Price Trends
22.53
Positive
19.27
Positive
17.12
Positive
Market Momentum
1.54
Negative
75.71
Negative
91.47
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADEA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.66, above the 50-day MA of 22.53, and above the 200-day MA of 17.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.71 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.47 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ADEA.
Adeia Risk Analysis
Adeia disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Adeia reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Adeia Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | $3.65B | 16.95 | 26.34% | 1.17% | 17.91% | 71.90% | |
64 Neutral | $1.29B | 69.87 | 3.93% | ― | 7.64% | -80.72% | |
63 Neutral | $1.13B | -40.34 | 62.49% | ― | 13.03% | 7.07% | |
62 Neutral | $1.22B | 19.35 | 17.82% | ― | 22.42% | 51.07% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
53 Neutral | $588.17M | -17.39 | -10.01% | ― | 18.20% | -688.81% |
* Technology Sector Average
ADEA
Adeia
33.00
20.82
170.87%
PAR
Par Technology
14.26
-45.58
-76.17%
PRGS
Progress Software
28.95
-31.73
-52.29%
PRCH
Porch Group
10.31
4.06
64.96%
CXM
Sprinklr
5.19
-2.53
-32.77%
Adeia Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings
Adeia Sues DISH Network While Reaffirming 2026 Outlook
Neutral
Apr 1, 2026
On April 1, 2026, Adeia Inc. announced that its subsidiaries filed a patent infringement lawsuit in the U.S. District Court for the District of Colorado against DISH Network and certain affiliates, alleging unauthorized use of five patents from it...
Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Adeia, AMD Sign Multi-Year Semiconductor IP Licensing Deal
Positive
Mar 9, 2026
On March 9, 2026, Adeia announced a multi-year intellectual property license agreement with Advanced Micro Devices, granting AMD access to Adeia’s comprehensive semiconductor IP portfolio. The deal underscores Adeia’s role as a key pro...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Adeia Reshapes Executive Team to Sharpen Semiconductor Focus
Positive
Jan 26, 2026
On January 26, 2026, Adeia expanded and reshaped its executive leadership team to reinforce its long-term growth strategy and sharpen its semiconductor focus. The company appointed Craig Mitchell as chief semiconductor officer to lead semiconducto...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.