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Adeia (ADEA)
NASDAQ:ADEA
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Adeia (ADEA) AI Stock Analysis

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ADEA

Adeia

(NASDAQ:ADEA)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
▲(5.22% Upside)
Adeia's overall stock score reflects a balance of strong profitability and fair valuation, tempered by concerns over declining revenue and high leverage. The positive earnings call and corporate events provide some optimism, but technical indicators suggest caution.
Positive Factors
Financial Health
Debt reduction is a positive sign for financial health and future stability.
Innovation
ADEA revealed RapidCool technology that could help reduce the heat from semiconductors running in high computational environments.
New Agreements
The company secured 5 license deals including 3 with new customers, highlighting multiple opportunities to achieve its revenue guidance.
Negative Factors
Estimates Reduction
2Q estimates are trimmed for Adeia Inc. due to deal timing.
Litigation Costs
Litigation costs reached a multi-year-high, impacting financial performance negatively.
Uncertainty in Licensing
There has been no success in signing a large license that has been in the pipeline for the past year.

Adeia (ADEA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Adeia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdeia Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer and entertainment product/solutions licensing company worldwide. It licenses its innovations to companies in the entertainment industry under the Adeia brand. The company licenses its patent portfolios across various markets, including multichannel video programming distributors comprising cable, satellite, and telecommunications television providers that aggregate and distribute linear content over networks, as well as television providers that aggregate and stream linear content over broadband networks; over-the-top video service providers, social media, and other new media companies, such as subscription video-on-demand service providers and social media companies; consumer electronics manufacturers, which includes smart televisions, streaming media devices, video game consoles, mobile devices, DVRs, and other connected media devices; and semiconductors, including sensors, radio frequency components, memory, and logic devices. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAdeia makes money primarily through licensing agreements and royalties derived from its extensive portfolio of patents. The company enters into agreements with various technology firms, allowing them to utilize Adeia's patented technologies in their products and services. Key revenue streams include licensing fees, which are typically structured as upfront payments, ongoing royalties based on product sales, or a combination of both. Significant partnerships with major players in the technology and media sectors also contribute to Adeia's earnings, as these collaborations often lead to lucrative, long-term licensing deals. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic litigation to enforce its patents and ensure fair compensation for the use of its intellectual property.

Adeia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.33%|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive outlook with strong revenue and cash generation, successful new product launches, and recognition for company culture. However, there are concerns regarding increased litigation expenses and uncertainty in closing a major semiconductor deal. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about meeting its annual targets.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Cash Flow Performance
Delivered $85.7 million in revenue and $23.1 million in cash from operations. Reduced debt by $11.1 million, bringing total debt paydown since separation to over $300 million.
Launch of RapidCool Technology
Introduced RapidCool, a direct-to-chip liquid cooling technology for semiconductors, which lowers thermal resistance by 70% and manages heat at 3x current power densities.
License Agreement Expansion
Signed 5 license agreements, including 3 new customers in semiconductors and e-commerce. Non-pay TV recurring revenue increased by 28% year-over-year.
Recognition as Best Company to Work For
Adeia was named a Best Company to Work for by U.S. News and World Report for the second year in a row.
Negative Updates
Increased Litigation Expenses
Litigation expenses increased by $1.3 million or 23% from the prior quarter, primarily due to ongoing litigation with Disney.
Uncertainty in Semiconductor Deal
There is uncertainty regarding the closure of a significant semiconductor deal within the year, although multiple other opportunities are being pursued to mitigate this.
Company Guidance
During Adeia's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported $85.7 million in revenue and $23.1 million in cash from operations. They successfully reduced their debt by $11.1 million, totaling over $300 million in debt reduction since separation. Adeia reiterated its full-year revenue guidance, projecting revenue between $390 million and $430 million for 2025, while expecting operating expenses to range from $160 million to $166 million. The adjusted EBITDA margin was reported at 53% for the quarter, with a non-GAAP income tax rate of 23%. Adeia's patent portfolio grew by 2% in the quarter, reaching over 13,000 assets. The company highlighted multiple new licensing agreements, including a multiyear deal with STMicroelectronics, and showcased their innovative RapidCool technology in the semiconductor sector. They expressed optimism about achieving their revenue targets through diverse opportunities beyond the semiconductor segment and discussed a balanced capital allocation strategy, including dividends and share repurchases.

Adeia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Adeia's financial performance is mixed. Strong profitability metrics are overshadowed by declining revenue and high leverage. Efficient cost management and cash conversion are positives, but revenue growth and debt management need attention.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Adeia's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a strong EBIT margin of 36.16% and a net profit margin of 19.86%, reflecting good profitability. However, the revenue growth rate is negative, indicating a decline in revenue over the period. The gross profit margin remains high, suggesting efficient cost management, but the overall revenue decline is a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.20 in the TTM, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. The return on equity is healthy at 19.83%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -6.1% in the TTM, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.26, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust at 0.93, suggesting efficient cash conversion, despite the recent decline in free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue378.67M376.02M388.79M438.93M877.70M515.92M
Gross Profit205.27M376.02M388.79M324.71M391.21M813.66M
EBITDA188.56M206.50M237.82M315.49M351.50M437.11M
Net Income83.88M64.62M67.37M-295.88M-55.46M146.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.08B1.10B1.11B1.21B2.47B2.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments116.48M110.39M83.57M114.56M140.96M257.13M
Total Debt457.85M485.42M595.93M736.29M820.14M923.49M
Total Liabilities679.98M701.39M748.93M909.11M1.13B1.25B
Stockholders Equity402.92M396.57M356.62M301.41M1.35B1.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow189.00M210.64M146.41M170.16M220.65M369.29M
Operating Cash Flow202.03M212.46M152.75M183.02M234.79M427.60M
Investing Cash Flow-21.94M-24.02M-34.49M-2.91M-6.21M17.84M
Financing Cash Flow-162.29M-164.17M-178.26M-263.26M-196.25M-351.14M

Adeia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.78
Price Trends
50DMA
13.64
Positive
100DMA
13.23
Positive
200DMA
13.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Positive
RSI
54.60
Neutral
STOCH
52.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADEA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.53, above the 50-day MA of 13.64, and above the 200-day MA of 13.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ADEA.

Adeia Risk Analysis

Adeia disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Adeia reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Adeia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.25B12.0115.93%7.04%7.49%84.67%
65
Neutral
$1.26B-6.49%5.15%28.27%
63
Neutral
$936.34M-32.50%14.79%27.52%
63
Neutral
$1.36B16.8222.01%1.45%5.47%78.91%
60
Neutral
$1.60B-33.99%8.56%-4.21%
57
Neutral
HK$14.13B9.47-2.83%4.86%9.29%-48.65%
56
Neutral
$1.08B182.58-0.50%22.16%-107.92%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADEA
Adeia
13.78
2.92
26.89%
UPBD
Upbound Group
21.89
-8.79
-28.65%
SPT
Sprout Social
14.74
-16.42
-52.70%
SEMR
SEMrush Holdings
7.48
-6.09
-44.88%
MLNK
MeridianLink
16.03
-6.39
-28.50%
AMPL
Amplitude
12.60
4.62
57.89%

Adeia Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Adeia Announces Key Approvals at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 8, 2025

At the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 8, 2025, Adeia Inc. announced the approval of several key proposals. These included the election of seven board members, an advisory vote on executive compensation, and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions are likely to impact the company’s governance and financial oversight, reflecting stockholder confidence in the current leadership and strategic direction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025