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Adeia Inc. (ADEA)
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Adeia (ADEA) AI Stock Analysis

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ADEA

Adeia

(NASDAQ:ADEA)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▲(24.58% Upside)
Adeia's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, tempered by bearish technical indicators and litigation risks. The company's robust cash flow and profitability are significant strengths, but the ongoing legal challenges and adjusted revenue guidance due to litigation with AMD present notable risks. The valuation is reasonable but not compelling in the current market context.
Positive Factors
Non-Pay TV Revenue Growth
Strong growth in non-Pay TV revenue indicates successful diversification into new verticals, enhancing long-term revenue stability and market reach.
Patent Portfolio Expansion
Expanding patent portfolio strengthens competitive advantage and supports future licensing revenue, crucial for sustained growth in tech-driven markets.
Debt Reduction
Continued debt reduction enhances financial flexibility and reduces interest burden, improving long-term financial health and investment capacity.
Negative Factors
Litigation Against AMD
Ongoing litigation with AMD poses financial and operational risks, potentially affecting revenue and diverting resources from growth initiatives.
Adjusted Revenue Guidance
Reduced revenue guidance reflects challenges in securing key agreements, impacting short-term financial targets and investor confidence.
Increased Litigation Expenses
High litigation expenses can strain financial resources, limiting investment in growth areas and potentially affecting profitability margins.

Adeia (ADEA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Adeia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdeia (ADEA) is a technology company specializing in the development of innovative solutions for the media and entertainment sectors. The company focuses on providing intellectual property and licensing services, with a strong emphasis on enhancing consumer experiences through advanced technologies. Adeia's core products include patents and licensing related to digital content delivery, user interface enhancements, and data management systems, aimed at driving efficiency and engagement in media consumption.
How the Company Makes MoneyAdeia generates revenue primarily through licensing agreements for its extensive portfolio of patents and intellectual property. The company monetizes its innovations by partnering with various media and technology firms that seek to leverage Adeia's patented technologies in their products and services. Key revenue streams include upfront licensing fees, ongoing royalties from licensees based on product sales or usage, and strategic collaborations with industry leaders to co-develop new technologies. Adeia's ability to secure high-value partnerships in the rapidly evolving media landscape also contributes significantly to its earnings.

Adeia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While Adeia experienced strong growth in non-Pay TV revenue and successfully secured new license agreements, the impact of litigation against AMD and the subsequent adjustment in revenue guidance tempered the overall positive performance. The company's strategic initiatives in expanding its patent portfolio and reducing debt are commendable, but the ongoing legal challenges present potential risks.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Non-Pay TV Recurring Revenue Growth
Adeia's non-Pay TV recurring revenue was up 31% year-over-year for the third quarter and has increased by 81% since separation, indicating strong growth in new verticals such as semiconductors, OTT, and e-commerce.
Successful License Agreements
The company closed two long-term license agreements: a renewal with Altice, a major broadband and video service provider, and a new agreement with an e-commerce customer. Adeia has signed four e-commerce customers since entering this market last year.
Debt Reduction
Adeia made debt payments of $11.1 million during the quarter, continuing its commitment to pay down debt at an accelerated rate, with a total debt reduction of $312 million since separation.
Patent Portfolio Expansion
The company increased its patent portfolio from approximately 9,500 assets at separation to over 13,000, reflecting a growth of over 35%, primarily driven by internal R&D in areas like OTT, AI, and hybrid bonding.
Recognition and Awards
Adeia was named one of the Best Places to Work by U.S. News & World Report for two consecutive years and received the Best of Show Award for Most Innovative Technology at the Future of Memory and Storage Conference.
Negative Updates
Litigation Against AMD
Adeia filed multiple patent infringement lawsuits against AMD, reflecting challenges in reaching a business resolution for licensing agreements, potentially impacting revenue guidance for 2025.
Adjusting Revenue Guidance
The company lowered its 2025 revenue guidance range to $360 million to $380 million, primarily due to the unlikely closure of a license agreement with AMD, previously expected to contribute to the original guidance.
Increased Litigation Expenses
Litigation expenses were $5.2 million, a decrease from the prior quarter, yet still significant due to ongoing cases against Disney and AMD.
Company Guidance
During Adeia's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated financial guidance and metrics. Revenue for the third quarter was reported at $87.3 million, with non-Pay TV recurring revenue up 31% year-over-year. Due to litigation with AMD, Adeia lowered its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $360 million to $380 million, reflecting the unlikelihood of closing a licensing agreement with AMD this year. Operating expenses for the third quarter were $37.1 million, a 9% decrease from the prior quarter, while litigation expenses were $5.2 million, down 28% from the previous quarter. The adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was $50.7 million, with a margin of 58%. Adeia's pipeline remains robust, with multiple opportunities in media and semiconductor sectors expected to drive revenue growth in 2026. The company also emphasized its strong cash position, generating $17.8 million in cash from operations during the third quarter, and maintaining $115.1 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities.

Adeia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Adeia demonstrates strong financial performance with robust profitability and cash flow generation. The company shows impressive revenue and free cash flow growth, although the balance sheet indicates a moderate level of leverage.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Adeia's income statement shows strong profitability with a high EBIT margin of 34.52% and a net profit margin of 22.15% in the TTM period. The company has demonstrated a significant revenue growth rate of 32.7% in the TTM, indicating a positive growth trajectory. However, the gross profit margin is unusually high at 100%, suggesting potential data discrepancies or unique revenue recognition practices.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.14, indicating a manageable level of leverage. Return on equity is strong at 21.41%, showcasing effective use of equity. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Adeia's cash flow statement is robust, with a free cash flow growth rate of 147.4% in the TTM, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.33 indicates efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 93.55%, demonstrating strong cash profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue379.91M376.02M388.79M438.93M877.70M892.02M
Gross Profit321.55M303.25M293.51M324.71M523.74M638.92M
EBITDA188.02M206.50M237.82M269.33M235.64M348.53M
Net Income73.39M64.62M67.37M-295.88M-55.46M146.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.07B1.10B1.11B1.21B2.47B2.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments115.07M110.39M83.57M114.56M140.96M257.13M
Total Debt447.60M485.42M595.93M736.29M772.87M923.49M
Total Liabilities654.95M701.39M748.93M909.11M1.13B1.25B
Stockholders Equity413.72M396.57M356.62M301.41M1.35B1.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow191.78M210.64M146.41M170.16M220.65M369.29M
Operating Cash Flow205.55M212.46M152.75M183.02M234.79M427.60M
Investing Cash Flow-50.00M-24.02M-34.49M-2.91M-6.21M17.84M
Financing Cash Flow-160.15M-164.17M-178.26M-263.26M-196.25M-351.14M

Adeia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.04
Price Trends
50DMA
15.70
Negative
100DMA
15.05
Negative
200DMA
14.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.14
Positive
RSI
29.59
Positive
STOCH
6.21
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADEA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.22, below the 50-day MA of 15.70, and below the 200-day MA of 14.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.59 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.21 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ADEA.

Adeia Risk Analysis

Adeia disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Adeia reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Adeia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.74B15.7523.74%6.08%153.79%
69
Neutral
$1.74B36.9610.75%31.41%-40.89%
66
Neutral
-5.41%5.96%50.29%
65
Neutral
$1.32B18.5518.53%1.40%10.53%76.90%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
$960.46M37.36-2.13%
48
Neutral
$1.36B-11.64%13.49%-772.30%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADEA
Adeia
12.04
-0.03
-0.25%
PAR
Par Technology
33.50
-44.83
-57.23%
PRGS
Progress Software
40.62
-29.27
-41.88%
PRCH
Porch Group
9.12
5.53
154.04%
CXM
Sprinklr
7.11
-1.20
-14.44%
MLNK
MeridianLink
20.01
-2.99
-13.00%

Adeia Corporate Events

Adeia Inc. Navigates Growth Amid Legal Challenges
Nov 5, 2025

Adeia Inc. recently held its third-quarter earnings call, revealing a mixed sentiment among investors and analysts. The company reported robust growth in non-Pay TV revenue and secured new license agreements, which were positive highlights. However, the impact of ongoing litigation against AMD and the subsequent adjustment in revenue guidance tempered the overall positive performance. Despite these challenges, Adeia’s strategic initiatives in expanding its patent portfolio and reducing debt were commendable, although legal issues present potential risks.

Adeia Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 4, 2025

Adeia Inc. is a prominent research and development and intellectual property licensing company that plays a crucial role in the media and semiconductor industries by promoting the adoption of innovative technologies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025