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Adeia (ADEA)
NASDAQ:ADEA

Adeia (ADEA) AI Stock Analysis

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Adeia

(NASDAQ:ADEA)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▲(5.34%Upside)
Adeia's stock is supported by a strong earnings call, reflecting positive growth prospects and strategic initiatives. While financial performance shows profitability, challenges in revenue growth and increasing litigation costs need attention. Technical indicators are favorable, suggesting upward momentum, and valuation metrics are reasonable. Corporate events are positive but have a minimal direct impact on the stock score.
Positive Factors
Financial Health
Debt reduced, showing financial responsibility and stability for Adeia Inc.
Licensing Momentum
Licensing momentum continues, indicating strong potential for future revenue growth.
Operational Performance
EBITDA beat expectations, suggesting efficient management and operational success for Adeia Inc.
Negative Factors
Litigation Costs
Litigation costs rose to $5.9M, from $2.9M in 1Q24 following November 2024 patent infringement lawsuits against the Walt Disney Company.
Market Sell-off
Adeia (ADEA) has been swept up in the latest market selling as fears related to tariffs have taken hold even though ADEA generates its revenue from long-term agreements.
Revenue Concerns
There was a slight revenue miss, which may cause concern about the company's immediate income.

Adeia (ADEA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Adeia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdeia Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer and entertainment product/solutions licensing company worldwide. It licenses its innovations to companies in the entertainment industry under the Adeia brand. The company licenses its patent portfolios across various markets, including multichannel video programming distributors comprising cable, satellite, and telecommunications television providers that aggregate and distribute linear content over networks, as well as television providers that aggregate and stream linear content over broadband networks; over-the-top video service providers, social media, and other new media companies, such as subscription video-on-demand service providers and social media companies; consumer electronics manufacturers, which includes smart televisions, streaming media devices, video game consoles, mobile devices, DVRs, and other connected media devices; and semiconductors, including sensors, radio frequency components, memory, and logic devices. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAdeia makes money primarily through licensing agreements and royalties derived from its extensive portfolio of patents. The company enters into agreements with various technology firms, allowing them to utilize Adeia's patented technologies in their products and services. Key revenue streams include licensing fees, which are typically structured as upfront payments, ongoing royalties based on product sales, or a combination of both. Significant partnerships with major players in the technology and media sectors also contribute to Adeia's earnings, as these collaborations often lead to lucrative, long-term licensing deals. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic litigation to enforce its patents and ensure fair compensation for the use of its intellectual property.

Adeia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 15.77%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Adeia had a strong first quarter with significant new customer acquisitions and robust non-pay TV revenue growth. However, increased litigation costs and challenges in the pay TV market present some concerns. The company's positive financial guidance and strategic focus on growth areas mitigate these challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Cash Flow
Adeia generated $88 million in revenue and $57 million in cash from operations, in line with expectations, and maintained a strong cash position.
Successful New License Agreements
Signed 10 license agreements in Q1 2025, including four new customers in growth areas such as social media, OTT, and semiconductors.
Significant Increase in Non-Pay TV Recurring Revenue
Non-pay TV parts of the business saw recurring revenue increase by 25% year-over-year.
Expansion of Patent Portfolio
Grew total patent portfolio to over 12,750 assets, with a focus on strategic acquisitions such as micro LEDs and imaging portfolios.
Positive Financial Guidance
Reiterated full-year 2025 revenue guidance of $390 million to $430 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 59%.
Negative Updates
Increased Litigation Expenses
Litigation expenses rose by 54% to $5.9 million due to ongoing disputes with Canadian pay TV operators and Disney.
Challenges in Pay TV Market
Anticipated declines in pay TV revenue, though offset by growth in other areas.
Potential Q2 Revenue Impact
Second quarter revenue could be impacted if certain deals are signed in the second half of the year, potentially leading to similar revenue figures as Q1.
Company Guidance
During Adeia's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance reiterating their full-year revenue projection of $390 million to $430 million. Operating expenses are expected to range from $166 million to $174 million, with an anticipated increase in litigation expenses in Q2. Interest expenses are projected between $41 million and $43 million, and other income is forecasted to be $4 million to $4.5 million. Adeia maintained a non-GAAP tax rate of 23% and expects an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 59%. The company highlighted their strong cash generation, with $57.1 million generated from operations, enabling ongoing stock buybacks and dividend payments. Additionally, Adeia emphasized their strategic growth through new customer acquisitions and patent portfolio expansions, including a 4% increase in operating expenses driven by R&D and litigation costs.

Adeia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Adeia's financial statements reveal a company with robust profitability margins and efficient cash flow management, but facing challenges in revenue growth and asset management. Despite a strong operational base, declining revenues and negative growth trends could pose future risks. The balance sheet remains stable with low leverage, yet decreasing equity could impact future financial flexibility.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Adeia's income statement reflects a mixed performance with a declining revenue trend over recent years. The TTM gross profit margin is robust at 90.81%, indicating efficient cost management. However, revenue has decreased significantly from previous years, with a negative growth rate from 2020 to 2025. The TTM net profit margin stands at 19.86%, showing profitability despite the revenue decline. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 35.85% and 48.94%, respectively, showcasing strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position with a stable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08 in TTM, reflecting low leverage. TTM ROE is 19.39%, indicating decent returns on equity. The equity ratio is 35.82%, suggesting a balanced capital structure, though lower than previous years due to declining total assets and stockholders' equity.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Adeia's cash flow statement shows strong free cash flow generation in TTM with a slight decline from the previous period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.68, indicating robust cash generation capability. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 2.50, highlighting effective cash management. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative, suggesting potential challenges in maintaining past growth levels.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue380.29M376.02M388.79M438.93M877.70M515.92M
Gross Profit365.83M303.25M388.79M324.71M391.21M813.66M
EBITDA201.20M206.50M237.82M315.49M351.50M437.11M
Net Income75.54M64.62M67.37M-295.88M-55.46M146.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.09B1.10B1.11B1.21B2.47B2.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments116.50M110.39M83.57M114.56M140.96M257.13M
Total Debt468.82M485.42M595.93M736.29M820.14M923.49M
Total Liabilities697.59M701.39M748.93M909.11M1.13B1.25B
Stockholders Equity389.47M396.57M356.62M301.41M1.35B1.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow189.12M210.64M146.41M170.16M220.65M369.29M
Operating Cash Flow202.37M212.46M152.75M183.02M234.79M427.60M
Investing Cash Flow-19.21M-24.02M-34.49M-2.91M-6.21M17.84M
Financing Cash Flow-157.00M-164.17M-178.26M-263.26M-196.25M-351.14M

Adeia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.24
Price Trends
50DMA
13.02
Positive
100DMA
13.38
Positive
200DMA
12.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Negative
RSI
62.57
Neutral
STOCH
86.93
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADEA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.42, above the 50-day MA of 13.02, and above the 200-day MA of 12.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.93 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ADEA.

Adeia Risk Analysis

Adeia disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Adeia reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Adeia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.42B11.4919.18%6.36%8.07%
68
Neutral
$1.55B20.7520.43%1.45%7.16%89.18%
SPSPT
66
Neutral
$1.18B-36.95%17.79%16.49%
63
Neutral
$1.31B195.272.81%22.75%-47.45%
63
Neutral
$1.24B-6.49%5.15%28.27%
63
Neutral
$1.58B-32.87%8.56%-4.21%
63
Neutral
$32.90B6.03-11.70%1.95%5.55%-19.87%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADEA
Adeia
14.24
3.23
29.34%
UPBD
Upbound Group
24.91
-4.13
-14.22%
SPT
Sprout Social
20.32
-15.36
-43.05%
SEMR
SEMrush Holdings
8.92
-4.47
-33.38%
MLNK
MeridianLink
16.26
-5.10
-23.88%
AMPL
Amplitude
12.33
3.43
38.54%

Adeia Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Adeia Announces Key Approvals at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 8, 2025

At the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 8, 2025, Adeia Inc. announced the approval of several key proposals. These included the election of seven board members, an advisory vote on executive compensation, and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions are likely to impact the company’s governance and financial oversight, reflecting stockholder confidence in the current leadership and strategic direction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 21, 2025