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Adidas (ADDYY)
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Adidas (ADDYY) AI Stock Analysis

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ADDYY

Adidas

(OTC:ADDYY)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$121.00
▲(9.18% Upside)
Adidas's strong financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and profitability, is a significant positive factor. Technical analysis supports a bullish short-term outlook, although valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio suggest potential overvaluation. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data means these factors did not influence the score.

Adidas (ADDYY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Adidas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptionadidas AG, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, distributes, and markets athletic and sports lifestyle products worldwide. It offers footwear; apparel; and accessories and gear, such as bags and balls under the adidas brand. It sells its products through approximately 2,200 own-retail stores; mono-branded franchise stores and shop-in-shops; and wholesale and its e-commerce channels. The company was formerly known as adidas-Salomon AG and changed its name to adidas AG in June 2006. adidas AG was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Herzogenaurach, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyAdidas generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from the sale of its footwear, apparel, and accessories. The company operates a mix of wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels, with a significant portion of its earnings coming from selling products through its own retail stores and e-commerce platforms. Additionally, partnerships with professional sports teams, athletes, and influencers enhance brand visibility and drive sales. The company also benefits from licensing agreements, allowing it to earn revenue through the manufacturing and sale of branded products by third-party companies. Seasonal product launches and limited-edition collaborations create hype and exclusivity, contributing to increased sales. Furthermore, Adidas invests in sustainability initiatives, which appeal to environmentally conscious consumers, potentially boosting its market share and profitability.

Adidas Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Adidas reported a strong financial performance for Q1 2025, with significant sales growth and improved profitability. The company achieved notable successes in product launches and regional market growth, particularly in emerging markets and Latin America. However, uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariffs poses a potential challenge to maintaining margins, and the decrease in e-commerce sales highlights the impact of lost YEEZY sales. Overall, the positive highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, indicating a robust start to the fiscal year.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q1 2025 Financial Performance
Adidas reported a currency-neutral net sales increase of 13%, with the Adidas brand specifically seeing a 17% increase when excluding YEEZY. Gross profit margins improved by 90 basis points to over 52%. Operating profit (EBIT) reached €610 million, a nearly 400 basis point improvement, translating to a 9.9% operating margin.
Regional Growth Success
All markets showed growth, with North America up 13% for the Adidas brand, Europe up 16%, Greater China up 14%, and Latin America up 27%. Emerging markets also grew by 25%.
Apparel and Footwear Performance
Footwear sales grew by 17%, apparel approached double-digit growth, and accessories increased by 10%. The division is seeing increased consumer demand, particularly in lifestyle and performance categories.
Successful Product Launches and Brand Heat
Adidas experienced strong consumer demand for new products, including collaborations and limited editions. The brand's visibility in sports and lifestyle markets has increased, contributing to a successful quarter.
Negative Updates
U.S. Tariff Challenges
Adidas faces uncertainty from U.S. tariffs, which have been increased and could impact margins. The company is monitoring the situation and may need to adjust pricing strategies.
E-commerce Decrease
E-commerce sales decreased by 3% overall, although they rose by 18% when excluding YEEZY. The decline is attributed to the absence of €150 million in YEEZY sales from the previous year.
Company Guidance
In the adidas AG Q1 2025 Conference Call, the company reported strong financial metrics, highlighted by a 13% increase in net sales currency-neutral, and a noteworthy 17% growth excluding YEEZY. The gross profit margin improved over 52%, with the adidas brand showing a 160 basis point increase. Operating profit reached €610 million, nearly a 10% EBIT margin, reflecting a 400 basis point enhancement. The call emphasized regional growth, with Europe and Greater China up 16% and 14% respectively, while Latin America surged by 27%. North America saw a 13% rise in the adidas brand despite the absence of YEEZY sales. The company also spotlighted its strategic focus on local market execution, performance in key categories, and the ongoing impact of U.S. tariffs, maintaining its full-year guidance despite these challenges.

Adidas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Adidas demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability improvements, particularly in the TTM period. The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with manageable leverage. However, cash flow challenges, particularly in free cash flow, highlight areas for improvement. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory but should focus on enhancing cash flow generation.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Adidas has shown a strong revenue growth rate of 53.3% in the TTM period, indicating robust sales performance. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 51.2%, reflecting efficient production and pricing strategies. Net profit margin improved to 4.9%, showcasing enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins, while improved, suggest room for operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is slightly above 1, indicating a balanced but slightly leveraged position. Return on equity has improved to 22.3%, demonstrating strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid asset base. However, the leverage level should be monitored to avoid potential risks.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Free cash flow has decreased significantly by 55.5% in the TTM period, which is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low, indicating potential cash flow constraints. The free cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, suggesting some ability to generate cash from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.51B23.68B21.43B22.51B21.23B19.84B
Gross Profit12.55B12.03B10.18B10.64B10.77B9.85B
EBITDA2.99B2.51B785.00M1.75B3.11B1.98B
Net Income1.20B764.00M-75.00M254.00M1.49B432.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.50B20.66B18.02B20.30B22.14B21.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.43B2.48B1.48B966.00M3.94B4.24B
Total Debt5.47B5.59B5.56B6.46B5.33B5.89B
Total Liabilities13.94B14.79B13.10B14.95B14.30B14.36B
Stockholders Equity5.20B5.48B4.58B4.99B7.52B6.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow692.00M2.37B2.13B-1.24B2.52B1.04B
Operating Cash Flow1.23B2.91B2.55B-543.00M3.19B1.49B
Investing Cash Flow-342.00M-356.00M-450.00M495.00M-424.00M-115.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.71B-1.56B-1.43B-2.96B-2.99B479.00M

Adidas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price110.83
Price Trends
50DMA
102.25
Positive
100DMA
110.84
Negative
200DMA
116.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.94
Negative
RSI
60.38
Neutral
STOCH
85.75
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADDYY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 110.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 107.35, above the 50-day MA of 102.25, and below the 200-day MA of 116.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.75 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ADDYY.

Adidas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$8.13B24.5811.36%18.66%183.98%
77
Outperform
12.11%17.08%
71
Outperform
$39.90B30.5122.73%1.16%11.60%399.24%
71
Outperform
$15.07B15.1843.58%15.43%24.20%
68
Neutral
$4.43B21.5915.39%2.04%-71.52%
66
Neutral
$101.86B35.3221.12%2.35%-7.07%-44.29%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADDYY
Adidas
110.83
-16.20
-12.75%
CROX
Crocs
80.39
-59.16
-42.39%
DECK
Deckers Outdoor
98.85
-62.40
-38.70%
NKE
Nike
68.06
-12.31
-15.32%
SKX
Skechers USA
63.13
-4.43
-6.56%
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
43.51
-6.51
-13.01%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 02, 2025