Accor SA (ACCYY) AI Stock Analysis

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Accor SA

(OTC:ACCYY)

Rating:79Outperform

Price Target:

$12.00

▲(6.29%Upside)

Accor SA's solid financial performance, promising earnings call, and positive technical indicators support a strong stock outlook. While valuation is moderate, the company's growth prospects and stability in the travel lodging sector make it an attractive investment.

Accor SA (ACCYY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap

$13.81B

Dividend Yield0.19%

Average Volume (3M)3.90K

Price to Earnings (P/E)22.2

Beta (1Y)1.00

Revenue Growth10.94%

EPS Growth2.60%

CountryUS

Employees19,423

SectorConsumer Cyclical

Sector Strength68

IndustryTravel Lodging

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)0.30

Shares Outstanding1,224,834,500

10 Day Avg. Volume0

30 Day Avg. Volume3,898

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG Ratio-11.52

Price to Book (P/B)2.32

Price to Sales (P/S)0.00

P/FCF Ratio29.26

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

$11.00

Price Target Upside-2.57% Downside

Rating ConsensusModerate Buy

Number of Analyst Covering0

Accor SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAccor SA operates a chain of hotels. It operates through two segments, HotelServices, and Hotel Assets & Other. The company owns, operates, manages, and franchises hotels. It also provides digital services to independent hotel operators through D-edge platform; ResDiary, a flat-rate online table reservation system that is designed for restaurant owners; Gekko solutions, including digital hotel distribution and loyalty platforms for the travel industry and large companies; and concierge and customized services through John Paul, as well as hotel booking services; and other services in events, fine dining, and entertainment through Paris Society and Potel & Chabot platforms. In addition, the company offers distribution activities, such as private sales of hotel accommodation and luxury vacations through VeryChic platform; rental of private residences operated by onefinestay; and coworking spaces through Wojo and Mama Works. Further, it provides hotel management, procurement, cash management, IT, and advertising services, as well as various advisory services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 5,298 hotels with 777,714 rooms in 110 countries worldwide. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Issy-les-Moulineaux, France.

How the Company Makes MoneyAccor SA generates revenue primarily through hotel management services, franchising, and ownership. The company earns management fees by operating hotels on behalf of property owners, while franchise fees come from licensing its brands to third-party hotel operators. Additionally, Accor owns a select number of hotels, directly benefiting from the revenues generated by these properties. The company also leverages strategic partnerships and loyalty programs to enhance its revenue streams. Factors such as global tourism trends, brand reputation, and operational efficiency significantly influence Accor's earnings.

Accor SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 20, 2025

(Q4-2024)

% Change Since: 13.58%|

Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025

Earnings Call Sentiment Positive

The earnings call presented a strong performance with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, a robust pipeline, and impressive shareholder returns. However, challenges remain in certain geographic markets like China, and FX impacts coupled with cost pressures affected operating leverage.

Q4-2024 Updates

Positive Updates

Strong Revenue and EBITDA Growth

Revenue reached €5.606 billion, up 11% year-over-year, with recurring EBITDA reaching €1.120 billion, up 12%.

Record High Signings and Pipeline Growth

The value of signings increased by 11% above 2024, with a pipeline growth of 3.8%, supporting a midterm goal of delivering net unit growth of 3% to 5%.

Impressive Luxury and Lifestyle Segment Performance

Luxury and Lifestyle RevPAR grew by 10%, with notable openings like Fairmount Long Beach, SLS Cancún, and Mama Shelter in Dubai.

Strong Shareholder Returns

Returned €686 million to shareholders in 2024, equating to a 7.5% yield, with plans for a dividend increase of 7% over the previous year.

Positive RevPAR Growth

RevPAR growth of 5.8% in the fourth quarter and 5.7% for the full year, exceeding the high end of guidance.

Diversity and Inclusion Progress

Achieved 39% gender parity in leadership positions, with a goal to reach 50%.

AccorInvest Performance

Share of profit from AccorInvest increased significantly, with Accorinvest engaged in a large asset disposal plan.

Negative Updates

Challenges in Certain Geographic Markets

Performance in China was below expectations, with RevPAR still negative in the mid-single digits.

Operating Leverage Concerns

Despite strong revenue growth, operating leverage did not translate to an EBITDA number above the top end of the range due to FX impacts and cost pressures.

FX Impact on Financials

FX had a negative impact of about €22 million to €25 million on EBITDA.

Luxury Segment Incentive Fee Waivers

Termination of incentive fee waivers primarily for Sofitel and Fairmont in France impacted fee revenue.

Company Guidance

In the call, Accor's management provided guidance for the fiscal year 2024, highlighting several key metrics. The company achieved a recurring EBITDA of €1.120 billion, marking a 12% increase year-over-year, and reported a revenue of €5.606 billion, up 11% from the previous year. The net unit growth was 3.5%, aligning with their 3% to 4% guidance, while RevPAR rose by 5.7% for the full year, surpassing the upper end of their guidance range. Additionally, Accor's pipeline expanded by 3.8%, and they returned €686 million to shareholders, equating to a 7.5% yield. For 2025, they anticipate international travel to grow by 3% to 5%, with strong performance expected in the Middle East and improving conditions in Asia-Pacific and China. The company's management reiterated their commitment to delivering a 9% to 12% CAGR in EBITDA from 2023 to 2027, with consistent margin improvements of 100 basis points annually. They also announced the launch of the sale of their 30% stake in AccorInvest, expected to span 12 to 18 months.

Accor SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Accor SA demonstrates strong financial resilience with significant revenue growth, improved profit margins, and robust cash flow generation. The balance sheet indicates managed leverage and solid equity, enhancing overall financial stability.

Income Statement

Very Positive

Accor SA has demonstrated a strong recovery post-pandemic with consistent revenue growth, showing a revenue increase from €2.2 billion in 2021 to €5.6 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin has remained healthy, with a notable improvement in net profit margin from a loss in 2020 to 10.9% in 2024. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also seen a significant rebound, indicating operational efficiency and profitability.

Balance Sheet

Positive

The balance sheet of Accor SA is stable, with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74 in 2024, down from previous years, indicating managed leverage. The company maintains a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 41.7%. Return on equity has improved significantly, reflecting enhanced profitability and efficient use of equity.

Cash Flow

Very Positive

Accor SA's cash flow position is robust, marked by a substantial increase in operating cash flow and free cash flow over the years. Free cash flow grew from €-638 million in 2020 to €440 million in 2024, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating effective cash earnings conversion.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	5.61B	5.06B	4.22B	2.20B	1.62B
Gross Profit	2.74B	2.42B	1.82B	601.00M	183.00M
EBITDA	1.33B	1.03B	675.00M	22.00M	-1.37B
Net Income	610.00M	633.00M	402.00M	50.00M	-2.28B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	12.06B	11.27B	11.71B	10.77B	10.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.38B	1.28B	1.66B	1.67B	2.48B
Total Debt	3.74B	3.37B	4.34B	4.55B	4.86B
Total Liabilities	6.59B	5.96B	7.26B	7.17B	7.39B
Stockholders Equity	5.03B	4.93B	4.06B	3.28B	3.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	440.00M	415.00M	385.00M	-343.00M	-563.00M
Operating Cash Flow	733.00M	669.00M	496.00M	-263.00M	-497.00M
Investing Cash Flow	-358.00M	16.00M	-196.00M	-111.00M	885.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-400.00M	-1.04B	-327.00M	-431.00M	-195.00M

Accor SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Positive

Last Price11.29

Price Trends

50DMA

10.47

Positive

100DMA

9.88

Positive

200DMA

9.61

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

0.26

Negative

RSI

67.51

Neutral

STOCH

78.08

Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACCYY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.79, above the 50-day MA of 10.47, and above the 200-day MA of 9.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ACCYY.

Accor SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ACCYY	79 Outperform	$13.81B	22.19	14.87%	0.19%	10.94%	2.60%
H	75 Outperform	$14.11B	19.16	22.31%	0.51%	-7.38%	19.62%
MAR	72 Outperform	$74.66B	31.05	-144.82%	0.94%	5.45%	-9.50%
HTHT	69 Neutral	$9.95B	23.67	28.90%	4.73%	5.20%	-11.08%
IHG	66 Neutral	$17.83B	30.05	-27.16%	2.42%	6.34%	-11.99%
HLT	65 Neutral	$64.82B	43.01	-41.19%	0.22%	7.43%	38.52%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$16.95B	11.10	-7.23%	3.24%	1.71%	-24.93%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

ACCYY

Accor SA

11.29

3.25

40.42%

HTHT

H World Group

33.76

4.62

15.85%

Hyatt Hotels

147.29

-7.13

-4.62%

IHG

Intercontinental Hotels Group

116.62

11.04

10.46%

MAR

Marriott International

271.56

31.64

13.19%

HLT

Hilton Worldwide Holdings

270.85

50.73

23.05%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025