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Accor SA (ACCYY)
OTHER OTC:ACCYY

Accor SA (ACCYY) AI Stock Analysis

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ACCYY

Accor SA

(OTC:ACCYY)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▼(-6.91% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/01/26
The score is driven primarily by steady but mixed fundamentals: strong post-pandemic profitability and positive free cash flow are tempered by a latest-year growth/earnings slowdown and higher leverage. Technicals are supportive (uptrend and positive MACD), while valuation is a headwind due to the high P/E despite a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Asset-light, diversified model
Accor’s asset-light model and broad brand portfolio (economy to luxury) generate recurring management and franchise fees. This reduces capital intensity, enhances scalability and margin stability, and diversifies revenue across geographies and owner-partners for durable cash generation.
Recovered profitability & margins
Net and EBIT margins normalized post-pandemic (EBIT margins ~11%–18%; net margins ~9%–13%), reflecting structural operating leverage and improved cost control. Sustained margins support resilience through cycles and provide a stronger base for fee-based earnings over the medium term.
Consistent positive free cash flow
Consistent and improving free cash flow since 2022 gives Accor enduring financial flexibility to reinvest in distribution and loyalty, pay down debt, and fund shareholder returns. Reliable FCF underpins long-term balance-sheet repair and supports strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Leverage increased materially to about 1.0 debt/equity, reducing financial flexibility. Higher debt raises interest and refinancing risk, limits capital allocation choices, and makes the business more vulnerable to a cyclical downturn in travel demand or rising rates over the medium term.
Latest-year revenue & earnings slowdown
A sharp slowdown in 2025—flat revenue and weaker net income—signals possible demand or pricing pressure. If sustained, weaker top-line growth will reduce fee income growth, compress margins and slow recovery of returns, challenging medium-term earnings momentum.
Moderate cash conversion & low coverage
FCF trailing net income and modest operating cash versus debt implies limited capacity to rapidly deleverage. Slower cash conversion constrains investment, dividends and debt reduction, leaving Accor more exposed to shocks or interest-cost increases in the medium term.

Accor SA (ACCYY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Accor SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAccor SA operates a chain of hotels. It operates through two segments, HotelServices, and Hotel Assets & Other. The company owns, operates, manages, and franchises hotels. It also provides digital services to independent hotel operators through D-edge platform; ResDiary, a flat-rate online table reservation system that is designed for restaurant owners; Gekko solutions, including digital hotel distribution and loyalty platforms for the travel industry and large companies; and concierge and customized services through John Paul, as well as hotel booking services; and other services in events, fine dining, and entertainment through Paris Society and Potel & Chabot platforms. In addition, the company offers distribution activities, such as private sales of hotel accommodation and luxury vacations through VeryChic platform; rental of private residences operated by onefinestay; and coworking spaces through Wojo and Mama Works. Further, it provides hotel management, procurement, cash management, IT, and advertising services, as well as various advisory services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 5,298 hotels with 777,714 rooms in 110 countries worldwide. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Issy-les-Moulineaux, France.
How the Company Makes MoneyAccor SA generates revenue primarily through hotel management and franchising fees, which are derived from the operation of hotels and the management of hotel brands under its portfolio. The company earns fees based on a percentage of hotel revenues and profits from properties it manages or franchises. Additionally, Accor benefits from ancillary services such as food and beverage sales, event hosting, and loyalty programs that attract repeat customers. Strategic partnerships with travel agencies, online booking platforms, and other travel service providers also contribute to its revenue streams. The company has been expanding its footprint through acquisitions and partnerships, enhancing its market presence and driving earnings growth.

Accor SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 20, 2025
(Q4-2024)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, a robust pipeline, and impressive shareholder returns. However, challenges remain in certain geographic markets like China, and FX impacts coupled with cost pressures affected operating leverage.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Revenue reached €5.606 billion, up 11% year-over-year, with recurring EBITDA reaching €1.120 billion, up 12%.
Record High Signings and Pipeline Growth
The value of signings increased by 11% above 2024, with a pipeline growth of 3.8%, supporting a midterm goal of delivering net unit growth of 3% to 5%.
Impressive Luxury and Lifestyle Segment Performance
Luxury and Lifestyle RevPAR grew by 10%, with notable openings like Fairmount Long Beach, SLS Cancún, and Mama Shelter in Dubai.
Strong Shareholder Returns
Returned €686 million to shareholders in 2024, equating to a 7.5% yield, with plans for a dividend increase of 7% over the previous year.
Positive RevPAR Growth
RevPAR growth of 5.8% in the fourth quarter and 5.7% for the full year, exceeding the high end of guidance.
Diversity and Inclusion Progress
Achieved 39% gender parity in leadership positions, with a goal to reach 50%.
AccorInvest Performance
Share of profit from AccorInvest increased significantly, with Accorinvest engaged in a large asset disposal plan.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Certain Geographic Markets
Performance in China was below expectations, with RevPAR still negative in the mid-single digits.
Operating Leverage Concerns
Despite strong revenue growth, operating leverage did not translate to an EBITDA number above the top end of the range due to FX impacts and cost pressures.
FX Impact on Financials
FX had a negative impact of about €22 million to €25 million on EBITDA.
Luxury Segment Incentive Fee Waivers
Termination of incentive fee waivers primarily for Sofitel and Fairmont in France impacted fee revenue.
Company Guidance
In the call, Accor's management provided guidance for the fiscal year 2024, highlighting several key metrics. The company achieved a recurring EBITDA of €1.120 billion, marking a 12% increase year-over-year, and reported a revenue of €5.606 billion, up 11% from the previous year. The net unit growth was 3.5%, aligning with their 3% to 4% guidance, while RevPAR rose by 5.7% for the full year, surpassing the upper end of their guidance range. Additionally, Accor's pipeline expanded by 3.8%, and they returned €686 million to shareholders, equating to a 7.5% yield. For 2025, they anticipate international travel to grow by 3% to 5%, with strong performance expected in the Middle East and improving conditions in Asia-Pacific and China. The company's management reiterated their commitment to delivering a 9% to 12% CAGR in EBITDA from 2023 to 2027, with consistent margin improvements of 100 basis points annually. They also announced the launch of the sale of their 30% stake in AccorInvest, expected to span 12 to 18 months.

Accor SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and margins recovered strongly post-2021 with solid net and EBIT margins and consistently positive free cash flow since 2022. Offsetting this, the latest year shows a clear slowdown (flat/negative revenue growth and lower net income/margin) and balance-sheet leverage has increased (debt-to-equity ~1.0), reducing flexibility if demand softens.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Profitability has largely normalized after the 2020–2021 disruption: net profit margin improved from deeply negative in 2020 to solidly positive in 2022–2024 (roughly 9%–13%), with healthy operating profitability in 2022–2025 (EBIT margin ~11%–18%). Gross margin expanded materially in 2023–2025, supporting earnings quality. The key weakness is the sharp slowdown in the most recent year, with 2025 revenue essentially flat versus 2024 and showing a large negative growth rate in the data, alongside a meaningful step-down in net income and net margin versus 2024.
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Leverage is moderate-to-elevated for the profile: debt is roughly in line with equity in 2025 (debt-to-equity ~1.0), up from ~0.68–0.86 in 2022–2024, indicating incremental balance-sheet risk. Equity remains sizable relative to assets, but the rising debt load reduces flexibility if lodging demand softens. Returns to shareholders were healthy in 2022–2024, but the 2025 return measure is reported as 0.0, limiting confidence in the latest-year return trend.
Cash Flow
61
Positive
Cash generation is positive and improving from the 2020–2021 trough: operating cash flow and free cash flow have been consistently positive since 2022, and 2025 shows strong free cash flow growth versus 2024. However, cash conversion versus earnings is only moderate (free cash flow below net income in recent years), and operating cash flow is relatively small versus the debt balance (low coverage), which can constrain deleveraging speed in a weaker cycle.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.64B5.61B5.06B4.22B2.20B
Gross Profit2.98B2.74B1.06B1.82B601.00M
EBITDA1.15B1.33B904.00M675.00M22.00M
Net Income431.28M610.00M633.00M402.00M50.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.74B12.06B11.27B11.71B10.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.21B1.38B1.28B1.66B1.67B
Total Debt4.30B3.74B3.37B4.34B4.55B
Total Liabilities7.03B6.59B5.96B7.26B7.17B
Stockholders Equity4.29B5.03B4.93B5.06B4.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow613.00M440.00M415.00M385.00M-343.00M
Operating Cash Flow810.00M733.00M669.00M496.00M-263.00M
Investing Cash Flow-331.00M-358.00M16.00M-157.00M-99.00M
Financing Cash Flow-494.00M-400.00M-1.04B-381.00M-431.00M

Accor SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.28
Price Trends
50DMA
11.19
Negative
100DMA
10.81
Negative
200DMA
10.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
29.28
Positive
STOCH
23.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACCYY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.39, above the 50-day MA of 11.19, and above the 200-day MA of 10.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.28 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ACCYY.

Accor SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$16.09B14.5832.28%3.60%5.70%9.53%
71
Outperform
$19.82B28.951.21%8.89%23.20%
69
Neutral
$70.15B46.530.21%6.68%48.03%
68
Neutral
$15.46B-294.43-1.51%0.36%2.61%-106.74%
68
Neutral
$89.01B32.030.84%4.68%-1.10%
62
Neutral
$12.40B30.8515.48%2.56%7.02%-5.37%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ACCYY
Accor SA
10.58
0.51
5.02%
HTHT
H World Group
52.56
16.92
47.47%
H
Hyatt Hotels
162.00
22.70
16.29%
IHG
Intercontinental Hotels Group
135.07
10.80
8.69%
MAR
Marriott International
335.94
67.38
25.09%
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings
304.91
45.99
17.76%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 01, 2026