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Crown Holdings (CCK)
NYSE:CCK
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Crown Holdings (CCK) AI Stock Analysis

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CCK

Crown Holdings

(NYSE:CCK)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$111.00
▲(10.86% Upside)
Crown Holdings' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are significant strengths, driving the overall score. However, technical indicators suggest caution, and valuation metrics indicate moderate attractiveness. The company's high leverage and potential tariff impacts present risks that investors should consider.
Positive Factors
Earnings
CCK delivered an impressive 2Q earnings beat with adjusted EPS of $2.15 vs. consensus of $1.88.
Financial Performance
CCK's Q2 results exceeded even elevated expectations, with beverage can volumes growing and adjusted EBITDA increasing by 8% due to operational excellence and support from food cans.
Guidance
Management raised its full-year 2025 EPS guidance by $0.40, reflecting confidence in continued execution despite macro uncertainties.
Negative Factors
Consumer Sentiment
APAC volumes were down significantly, with management noting slumping consumer sentiment due to tariffs.
Volume Growth
Light NA volume growth and potentially soft implied Q4 are concerns for investors worried about a deceleration in beverage can fundamentals.

Crown Holdings (CCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Crown Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCrown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) is a leading global supplier of metal packaging products, primarily serving the beverage, food, and consumer goods industries. Founded in 1892 and headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, the company operates through various segments, including Beverage, Food, and Transit Packaging. Crown's core products include aluminum cans, steel containers, and closures, which are designed to meet the needs of manufacturers and retailers worldwide. With a strong focus on sustainability and innovation, Crown Holdings is committed to providing efficient and environmentally friendly packaging solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyCrown Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its metal packaging products to a diverse range of customers in the beverage, food, and consumer goods sectors. The company's revenue model is built on several key streams, including the manufacturing and distribution of aluminum and steel cans, closures, and other packaging solutions. Crown benefits from long-term contracts and relationships with major beverage and food brands, which provide a steady demand for its products. Additionally, the company is focused on expanding its product offerings and enhancing its operational efficiencies, which contribute to its profitability. Significant partnerships with global beverage companies also play a crucial role in Crown's earnings, as these relationships often lead to volume commitments and collaborative innovation in packaging design. Furthermore, the increasing emphasis on sustainable packaging solutions positions Crown favorably in a market that is progressively shifting towards eco-friendly products.

Crown Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 21, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Crown Holdings reported a strong second quarter with record segment income and adjusted EBITDA, driven by growth in North American and European beverage segments. The company increased its guidance for the full year, reflecting confidence in continued strong performance. However, challenges persist in the Asia Pacific region due to tariffs, and there are concerns about potential tariff impacts and a slowdown in the Mexican market.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Segment Income and Adjusted EBITDA
Crown Holdings reported a record segment income of $476 million, up from $437 million in the prior year, and adjusted EBITDA. Free cash flow also improved to $387 million compared to $178 million in the prior year.
Successful North American and European Beverage Growth
North American beverage shipments rose by 1%, while European beverage volumes increased by 7%, contributing significantly to the company's strong performance.
Increased Guidance and Strong Cash Flow
The company raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $7.10 to $7.50 and projected third-quarter adjusted EBITDA to be between $1.95 and $2.05 per share. Free cash flow is estimated at $900 million for the year.
Robust Performance in North American Food Segment
North American food demand saw a significant 9% increase, driven by strong vegetable volumes, leading to a 150% improvement in income for the Other segment.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Asia Pacific
The Asia Pacific region saw a decline in income due to a high single-digit drop in Southeast Asian market volumes, impacted by tariffs that affected consumer confidence.
Potential Tariff Exposure
The company estimates a tariff impact of approximately $25 million, with $10 million in direct exposure and $15 million in indirect exposure, which could affect future financial performance.
Mexican Market Slowdown
The Mexican market appears to be slowing down, possibly due to economic factors and tariffs, which could impact future performance in the region.
Company Guidance
During the Crown Holdings' second quarter 2025 conference call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting a strong performance in the first half of the year. Key financial metrics included adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter at $2.15, up from $1.81 in the prior year, and net sales increasing by 3.6%. The company experienced notable growth in various segments, with North American beverage shipments up by 1%, European beverage volumes increasing by 7%, and North American food can volumes rising by 5%. Segment income for the quarter was $476 million, up from $437 million the previous year. Free cash flow significantly improved to $387 million for the first half of the year, compared to $178 million in the prior year, with the company returning $269 million to shareholders. Given these results, Crown Holdings raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to between $7.10 and $7.50 and projected third-quarter adjusted EBITDA to be between $1.95 and $2.05 per share. The company's expectations include a net interest expense of approximately $360 million, a full-year tax rate of 25%, and an adjusted free cash flow estimate of approximately $900 million after $450 million in capital spending.

Crown Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Crown Holdings exhibits strong profitability and cash flow generation, with solid margins and impressive free cash flow growth. However, the high leverage poses a risk if market conditions worsen.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Crown Holdings demonstrated solid profitability with a TTM Gross Profit Margin of 20.44% and a Net Profit Margin of 4.63%. Revenue showed a minor growth of 1.80% over the past year, reflecting a stable demand. The EBIT and EBITDA margins, at 12.91% and 14.82% respectively, indicate strong operational efficiency. However, the recent revenue growth is relatively modest compared to the historical performance.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 2.25, showing a high leverage which is typical for the industry but poses a risk if earnings fluctuate. The ROE at 19.23% is commendable, indicating effective use of equity. However, the Equity Ratio of 19.97% suggests a lower proportion of equity financing, which may affect financial stability under adverse conditions.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Crown Holdings has shown an impressive Free Cash Flow growth of 26.54% in the TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.36, highlighting robust cash earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.79 suggests efficient cash management despite the capital-intensive nature of the business.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.01B11.80B12.01B12.94B11.39B11.57B
Gross Profit2.46B2.54B2.46B2.30B2.37B2.39B
EBITDA1.78B1.64B1.73B1.75B281.00M1.45B
Net Income556.00M424.00M450.00M727.00M-362.00M579.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.48B13.85B15.03B14.30B13.88B16.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments936.00M918.00M1.31B550.00M531.00M1.17B
Total Debt6.49B6.42B7.70B6.98B6.26B8.21B
Total Liabilities11.11B10.62B12.17B12.01B11.55B14.07B
Stockholders Equity2.89B2.76B2.41B1.85B1.91B2.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow998.00M789.00M660.00M-36.00M89.00M728.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.31B1.19B1.45B803.00M905.00M1.31B
Investing Cash Flow87.00M-12.00M-804.00M-642.00M1.51B-535.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.88B-1.53B116.00M-25.00M-2.94B-239.00M

Crown Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price100.13
Price Trends
50DMA
102.81
Negative
100DMA
98.45
Positive
200DMA
92.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.50
Negative
RSI
45.74
Neutral
STOCH
40.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CCK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 100.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 100.24, below the 50-day MA of 102.81, and above the 200-day MA of 92.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CCK.

Crown Holdings Risk Analysis

Crown Holdings disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Crown Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Crown Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$11.73B21.1620.64%1.03%2.07%32.37%
68
Neutral
$14.33B24.759.59%1.53%-3.12%
67
Neutral
$6.63B12.6817.71%1.89%-5.05%-24.52%
67
Neutral
-8.26%10.64%
63
Neutral
$19.48B26.406.55%5.96%10.03%-28.33%
61
Neutral
$17.78B13.97-5.40%3.03%1.50%-15.71%
61
Neutral
$4.95B16.4614.54%1.67%5.49%-1.01%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CCK
Crown Holdings
100.13
10.69
11.95%
BALL
Ball
52.07
-10.86
-17.26%
GPK
Graphic Packaging
22.19
-7.26
-24.65%
SLGN
Silgan Holdings
46.80
-4.71
-9.14%
BERY
Berry Global Group
67.58
5.16
8.27%
AMCR
Amcor
8.55
-2.33
-21.42%

Crown Holdings Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Crown Holdings Completes $700M Note Offering
Neutral
May 28, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Crown Holdings, Inc. completed a note offering of $700 million in senior unsecured notes due 2033, with an interest rate of 5.875%. The proceeds will be used to repay existing debt and cover related expenses. This financial maneuver is expected to impact the company’s debt structure and financial strategy, potentially affecting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2025