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Crown Holdings (CCK)
NYSE:CCK
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Crown Holdings (CCK) AI Stock Analysis

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CCK

Crown Holdings

(NYSE:CCK)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$109.00
▲(12.16% Upside)
Crown Holdings' overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call results, highlighting improvements in profitability and cash flow. While technical indicators and valuation suggest a neutral stance, the company's robust growth in the European segment and effective cash management are significant positives. Challenges in the Americas and high leverage are risks that need monitoring.
Positive Factors
European Beverage Segment Growth
Strong growth in the European segment indicates robust market demand and effective market penetration, supporting long-term revenue expansion.
Free Cash Flow Improvement
Improved free cash flow enhances financial flexibility, allowing for debt reduction, reinvestment, and shareholder returns, bolstering financial health.
Shareholder Returns
Significant share repurchases reflect strong cash generation and management's confidence in the business, enhancing shareholder value over time.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth and weather downturns.
Decline in Americas Beverage Volumes
Volume declines in key markets like Brazil and Mexico suggest competitive pressures and market challenges, potentially affecting future revenue growth.
Impact of Aluminum Price Increase
Rising aluminum prices can squeeze margins and increase costs, challenging profitability and requiring strategic sourcing and pricing adjustments.

Crown Holdings (CCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Crown Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCrown Holdings, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells packaging products and equipment for consumer goods and industrial products in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It offers products for consumer goods, including steel and aluminum cans for food and beverage industries. The company also provides products for industrial products, such as steel and plastic strap consumables and equipment, paper-based protective packaging, and plastic film consumables and equipment to metals, food and beverage, construction, agricultural, corrugated, and general industries. In addition, it offers other consumer products, glass bottles for beverage products, steel crowns, aluminum caps, steel strap, plastic strap, industrial film, and other related products, as well as equipment and tools, such as manual, semi-automatic, and automatic equipment and tools used in end of line manufacturing applications to apply industrial solutions consumables. Crown Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in Yardley, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyCrown Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its metal packaging products to a diverse range of customers in the beverage, food, and consumer goods sectors. The company's revenue model is built on several key streams, including the manufacturing and distribution of aluminum and steel cans, closures, and other packaging solutions. Crown benefits from long-term contracts and relationships with major beverage and food brands, which provide a steady demand for its products. Additionally, the company is focused on expanding its product offerings and enhancing its operational efficiencies, which contribute to its profitability. Significant partnerships with global beverage companies also play a crucial role in Crown's earnings, as these relationships often lead to volume commitments and collaborative innovation in packaging design. Furthermore, the increasing emphasis on sustainable packaging solutions positions Crown favorably in a market that is progressively shifting towards eco-friendly products.

Crown Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 20, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance with significant improvements in EPS, net sales, and free cash flow. The European beverage segment showed robust growth. However, there were challenges in the Americas beverage segment due to volume declines in Brazil and Mexico, and the impact of increased aluminum prices on margins. Overall, the positive developments outweigh the negative aspects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Earnings Per Share (EPS) Growth
The company reported earnings of $1.85 per share compared to a loss of $1.47 in the previous year. Adjusted EPS increased to $2.24 from $1.99.
Net Sales Increase
Net sales rose by 4.2% year-over-year, driven by a 12% increase in shipments across European beverage and favorable foreign currency translation.
Free Cash Flow Improvement
Free cash flow improved to $887 million from $668 million in the prior year, with higher income and lower capital spending.
Shareholder Returns
The company repurchased $105 million of common stock in the quarter and $314 million year-to-date, returning over $400 million to shareholders.
European Beverage Segment Growth
The European beverage segment saw income increase by 27% due to 12% volume growth, driven by market growth and substitution.
Adjusted Free Cash Flow Guidance
The company raised its 2025 full-year adjusted free cash flow estimate to approximately $1 billion after $400 million of capital spending.
Negative Updates
Decline in Americas Beverage Volumes
Americas beverage volumes were down 5% in the quarter, with a significant 15% volume decline in Brazil and Mexico.
Impact of Aluminum Price Increase
Delivered aluminum prices reached $2.1 per pound, up 54% in the last ten months, impacting margins in the Americas beverage segment.
Mixed North American Volumes
North American beverage volumes were mixed, down 3%, although there was a rebound in September.
Challenges in the Transit Packaging Segment
Transit packaging income remained flat due to lower equipment activity, despite increased shipments and cost efforts.
Company Guidance
During the call, Crown Holdings reported an improvement in their financial performance for the third quarter of 2025. Earnings per share rose to $1.85 from a loss of $1.47 in the previous year, with adjusted earnings per share increasing to $2.24 from $1.99. Net sales grew by 4.2%, driven by a 12% increase in European beverage shipments, while segment income rose to $490 million from $472 million. The company achieved a free cash flow of $887 million, up from $668 million, and executed share repurchases totaling $105 million for the quarter. Crown Holdings raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $7.7 to $7.8 and projected fourth-quarter adjusted EPS to range between $1.65 and $1.75. Despite some challenges in Latin America, the company remains on target with its long-term net leverage goal of 2.5 times and is committed to returning excess cash to shareholders.

Crown Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Crown Holdings exhibits strong profitability with solid gross and net profit margins. The company shows robust cash flow generation, but high leverage poses a risk if market conditions worsen. Overall, the financial position is strong, but debt management remains crucial.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Crown Holdings demonstrated solid profitability with a TTM Gross Profit Margin of 20.44% and a Net Profit Margin of 4.63%. Revenue showed a minor growth of 1.80% over the past year, reflecting a stable demand. The EBIT and EBITDA margins, at 12.91% and 14.82% respectively, indicate strong operational efficiency. However, the recent revenue growth is relatively modest compared to the historical performance.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 2.25, showing a high leverage which is typical for the industry but poses a risk if earnings fluctuate. The ROE at 19.23% is commendable, indicating effective use of equity. However, the Equity Ratio of 19.97% suggests a lower proportion of equity financing, which may affect financial stability under adverse conditions.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Crown Holdings has shown an impressive Free Cash Flow growth of 26.54% in the TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.36, highlighting robust cash earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.79 suggests efficient cash management despite the capital-intensive nature of the business.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.14B11.80B12.01B12.94B11.39B9.39B
Gross Profit2.60B2.54B2.46B2.30B2.37B2.03B
EBITDA2.05B1.90B1.82B1.75B279.00M1.45B
Net Income946.00M424.00M450.00M727.00M-560.00M579.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.55B13.85B15.03B14.30B13.86B16.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.17B1.02B1.40B639.00M592.00M1.24B
Total Debt6.49B6.42B7.70B7.21B6.46B8.38B
Total Liabilities11.05B10.62B12.17B12.01B11.53B14.09B
Stockholders Equity3.02B2.76B2.41B1.85B1.91B2.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.01B789.00M660.00M-36.00M89.00M728.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.34B1.19B1.45B803.00M905.00M1.31B
Investing Cash Flow75.00M-12.00M-804.00M-642.00M1.51B-535.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.95B-1.53B116.00M-25.00M-2.94B-239.00M

Crown Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price97.18
Price Trends
50DMA
95.74
Positive
100DMA
99.29
Negative
200DMA
94.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.60
Negative
RSI
54.68
Neutral
STOCH
32.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CCK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 97.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 94.73, above the 50-day MA of 95.74, and above the 200-day MA of 94.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CCK.

Crown Holdings Risk Analysis

Crown Holdings disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Crown Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Crown Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$11.21B12.0334.10%1.04%2.93%893.61%
$17.61B19.792.55%7.30%15.30%
$4.09B13.1414.58%2.05%11.10%6.55%
$12.79B21.959.59%1.67%-3.12%
$18.12B24.996.55%6.46%10.03%-28.33%
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
$4.74B9.0517.71%2.69%-5.05%-24.52%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CCK
Crown Holdings
97.18
5.06
5.49%
BALL
Ball
47.00
-11.60
-19.80%
GPK
Graphic Packaging
15.99
-11.31
-41.43%
PKG
Packaging
195.76
-28.87
-12.85%
SLGN
Silgan Holdings
38.62
-13.65
-26.11%
AMCR
Amcor
7.90
-1.76
-18.22%

Crown Holdings Corporate Events

Crown Holdings Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Oct 22, 2025

Crown Holdings, Inc. is a leading global supplier of rigid packaging products and services, primarily serving consumer marketing companies and various end markets from its headquarters in Tampa, Florida.

Crown Holdings’ Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth
Oct 22, 2025

The recent earnings call for Crown Holdings reflected a generally positive sentiment, highlighting strong financial performance and notable improvements across key financial metrics. The company reported significant growth in earnings per share (EPS), net sales, and free cash flow. While the European beverage segment demonstrated robust growth, challenges persisted in the Americas beverage segment due to volume declines in Brazil and Mexico, coupled with the impact of increased aluminum prices on margins. Overall, the positive developments in the company’s performance outweighed the negative aspects.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Crown Holdings Completes €500 Million Note Offering
Positive
Oct 8, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Crown European Holdings S.A., a subsidiary of Crown Holdings, Inc., completed a €500 million note offering with a 3.750% interest rate due in 2031. The proceeds will be used to redeem existing senior notes due in February 2026, enhancing the company’s financial structure. This strategic financial maneuver positions Crown Holdings to better manage its debt obligations and potentially improve its market standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (CCK) stock is a Buy with a $105.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crown Holdings stock, see the CCK Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Crown Holdings Announces €500M Senior Notes Issuance
Neutral
Sep 23, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Crown Holdings, Inc. announced that its subsidiary, Crown European Holdings S.A., entered into a Purchase Agreement to issue and sell €500 million in senior unsecured notes due 2031, with BNP PARIBAS acting as representative. The notes, which will mature on September 30, 2031, are aimed at refinancing existing debt, specifically the redemption of outstanding 2.875% Senior Notes due 2026, contingent upon the successful issuance of the new notes. This strategic financial move is expected to impact the company’s debt structure and potentially enhance its financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (CCK) stock is a Buy with a $106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crown Holdings stock, see the CCK Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Crown Holdings Announces €500 Million Notes Offering
Neutral
Sep 22, 2025

Crown Holdings, Inc. announced its intention to offer €500 million in senior unsecured notes through its subsidiary, Crown European Holdings S.A. The proceeds from this private placement will be used to redeem existing senior notes due in February 2026, along with covering related fees and expenses, which may impact the company’s financial strategy and debt management.

The most recent analyst rating on (CCK) stock is a Buy with a $106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crown Holdings stock, see the CCK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025