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Crown Holdings (CCK)
NYSE:CCK

Crown Holdings (CCK) AI Stock Analysis

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CCK

Crown Holdings

(NYSE:CCK)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$117.00
▲(11.77% Upside)
Crown Holdings' overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights. The company's attractive valuation and strategic debt management further support its stability. However, technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, and regional challenges in the Americas present some risks.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Improvement
A large, sustained rise in free cash flow enhances Crown's ability to fund capital needs, reduce leverage, and return capital to shareholders. Reliable FCF supports strategic flexibility—deleveraging, share repurchases, and funding efficiency projects—bolstering long-term financial resilience.
European Beverage Volume Growth
Double‑digit volume growth in Europe indicates durable market share gains and successful substitution toward metal packaging. Structural demand improvement in a major region underpins revenue visibility, scale benefits, and margin leverage from higher utilization over the medium term.
Proactive Debt Management
Executing sizeable note issuance and tendering actions reflects active liability management to reshape maturities and costs. Such strategic moves can lower refinancing risk and support the stated net leverage target, improving long‑term balance sheet stability and financing flexibility.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
Elevated leverage increases interest expense sensitivity and limits strategic options during downturns. Persistent high debt-to-equity can constrain capex and M&A flexibility, making the firm more vulnerable to cyclical revenue swings and commodity cost shocks over the medium term.
Americas Volume Weakness
Sustained volume declines in key Americas markets signal structural demand or competitive pressures that can erode revenue and margin base. Weakness in large, higher‑margin markets reduces geographic diversification benefits and may require pricing or commercial reinvestment to recover volumes.
Aluminum Cost Inflation
Sharp, persistent aluminum price increases materially raise input costs for a metal packaging producer. If pass‑through to customers is constrained, margins compress; prolonged commodity inflation raises operating cost volatility and complicates long‑term margin sustainability planning.

Crown Holdings (CCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Crown Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCrown Holdings, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells packaging products and equipment for consumer goods and industrial products in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It offers products for consumer goods, including steel and aluminum cans for food and beverage industries. The company also provides products for industrial products, such as steel and plastic strap consumables and equipment, paper-based protective packaging, and plastic film consumables and equipment to metals, food and beverage, construction, agricultural, corrugated, and general industries. In addition, it offers other consumer products, glass bottles for beverage products, steel crowns, aluminum caps, steel strap, plastic strap, industrial film, and other related products, as well as equipment and tools, such as manual, semi-automatic, and automatic equipment and tools used in end of line manufacturing applications to apply industrial solutions consumables. Crown Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in Yardley, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyCrown Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of metal packaging products across multiple sectors. Its key revenue streams include the production of aluminum and steel cans for beverages, food containers, and other specialty packaging solutions. The company benefits from long-term contracts with major clients, which provide stable income and volume assurance. Additionally, Crown Holdings invests in advanced manufacturing technologies to improve production efficiency and reduce costs, enhancing its profitability. Strategic partnerships with leading brands and a focus on sustainability also contribute to its competitive advantage and market positioning, further driving revenue growth.

Crown Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Geography
Revenue By Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Crown Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 20, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance with significant improvements in EPS, net sales, and free cash flow. The European beverage segment showed robust growth. However, there were challenges in the Americas beverage segment due to volume declines in Brazil and Mexico, and the impact of increased aluminum prices on margins. Overall, the positive developments outweigh the negative aspects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Earnings Per Share (EPS) Growth
The company reported earnings of $1.85 per share compared to a loss of $1.47 in the previous year. Adjusted EPS increased to $2.24 from $1.99.
Net Sales Increase
Net sales rose by 4.2% year-over-year, driven by a 12% increase in shipments across European beverage and favorable foreign currency translation.
Free Cash Flow Improvement
Free cash flow improved to $887 million from $668 million in the prior year, with higher income and lower capital spending.
Shareholder Returns
The company repurchased $105 million of common stock in the quarter and $314 million year-to-date, returning over $400 million to shareholders.
European Beverage Segment Growth
The European beverage segment saw income increase by 27% due to 12% volume growth, driven by market growth and substitution.
Adjusted Free Cash Flow Guidance
The company raised its 2025 full-year adjusted free cash flow estimate to approximately $1 billion after $400 million of capital spending.
Negative Updates
Decline in Americas Beverage Volumes
Americas beverage volumes were down 5% in the quarter, with a significant 15% volume decline in Brazil and Mexico.
Impact of Aluminum Price Increase
Delivered aluminum prices reached $2.1 per pound, up 54% in the last ten months, impacting margins in the Americas beverage segment.
Mixed North American Volumes
North American beverage volumes were mixed, down 3%, although there was a rebound in September.
Challenges in the Transit Packaging Segment
Transit packaging income remained flat due to lower equipment activity, despite increased shipments and cost efforts.
Company Guidance
During the call, Crown Holdings reported an improvement in their financial performance for the third quarter of 2025. Earnings per share rose to $1.85 from a loss of $1.47 in the previous year, with adjusted earnings per share increasing to $2.24 from $1.99. Net sales grew by 4.2%, driven by a 12% increase in European beverage shipments, while segment income rose to $490 million from $472 million. The company achieved a free cash flow of $887 million, up from $668 million, and executed share repurchases totaling $105 million for the quarter. Crown Holdings raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $7.7 to $7.8 and projected fourth-quarter adjusted EPS to range between $1.65 and $1.75. Despite some challenges in Latin America, the company remains on target with its long-term net leverage goal of 2.5 times and is committed to returning excess cash to shareholders.

Crown Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Crown Holdings demonstrates solid financial performance with strong profitability and cash flow generation. Despite high leverage, the company maintains a healthy return on equity and operational efficiency. Continued focus on managing debt levels and sustaining revenue growth will be crucial for long-term stability and growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Crown Holdings shows a strong income statement with a consistent increase in revenue and profitability over the TTM period. The gross profit margin and net profit margin have improved, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting strong operational performance. However, the revenue growth rate has been volatile, with a recent positive trend after previous declines.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, which poses a risk due to significant leverage. However, the return on equity is robust, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced asset structure, but the high debt levels could impact financial stability if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend in free cash flow growth, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable, reflecting consistent cash flow relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. However, past fluctuations in free cash flow growth highlight potential volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.14B11.80B12.01B12.94B11.39B9.39B
Gross Profit2.60B2.54B2.46B2.30B2.37B2.03B
EBITDA2.05B1.90B1.82B1.75B279.00M1.45B
Net Income946.00M424.00M450.00M727.00M-560.00M579.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.55B13.85B15.03B14.30B13.86B16.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.17B1.02B1.40B639.00M592.00M1.24B
Total Debt6.60B6.42B7.70B7.21B6.46B8.38B
Total Liabilities11.05B10.62B12.17B12.01B11.53B14.09B
Stockholders Equity3.02B2.76B2.41B1.85B1.91B2.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.01B789.00M660.00M-36.00M89.00M728.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.34B1.19B1.45B803.00M905.00M1.31B
Investing Cash Flow75.00M-12.00M-804.00M-642.00M1.51B-535.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.95B-1.53B116.00M-25.00M-2.94B-239.00M

Crown Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price104.68
Price Trends
50DMA
101.03
Positive
100DMA
98.33
Positive
200DMA
98.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.74
Positive
RSI
56.07
Neutral
STOCH
74.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CCK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 104.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 103.88, above the 50-day MA of 101.03, and above the 200-day MA of 98.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.74 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CCK.

Crown Holdings Risk Analysis

Crown Holdings disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Crown Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Crown Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$20.02B25.932.42%7.23%-3.88%
73
Outperform
$20.43B25.867.44%6.20%28.41%-35.50%
73
Outperform
$12.07B12.9534.10%1.01%2.94%893.70%
68
Neutral
$4.56B14.6614.58%1.97%11.10%6.54%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$4.32B8.6316.24%2.91%-3.93%-27.37%
59
Neutral
$15.24B21.2811.74%1.53%2.87%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CCK
Crown Holdings
104.68
17.99
20.75%
BALL
Ball
56.87
2.04
3.72%
GPK
Graphic Packaging
14.65
-11.99
-45.00%
PKG
Packaging
222.55
16.48
8.00%
SLGN
Silgan Holdings
43.15
-10.75
-19.94%
AMCR
Amcor
44.25
-0.90
-2.00%

Crown Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Crown Holdings to Redeem Debentures in December
Neutral
Nov 24, 2025

Crown Holdings, Inc. announced that its subsidiary, Crown Cork & Seal Company, Inc., will redeem all outstanding 7-3/8% Debentures due 2026 on December 21, 2025. This redemption will result in the Debentures no longer being traded on the New York Stock Exchange after December 19, 2025, impacting the company’s financial operations and market activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (CCK) stock is a Buy with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crown Holdings stock, see the CCK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Crown Holdings Announces Cash Tender Offer Pricing
Neutral
Nov 19, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Crown Holdings, Inc. announced the pricing terms for a cash tender offer by its subsidiary, Crown Cork & Seal Company, Inc., to purchase its 7 3/8% Debentures due 2026. The tender offer, which expired on November 19, 2025, was part of the company’s strategic financial management, potentially impacting its debt structure and financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (CCK) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crown Holdings stock, see the CCK Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Crown Holdings Announces Cash Tender Offer for Debentures
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Crown Holdings, Inc. announced that its subsidiary, Crown Cork & Seal Company, Inc., has initiated a cash tender offer to purchase its outstanding 7 3/8% Debentures due 2026. This move allows the company to manage its debt obligations effectively, potentially impacting the trading market for the remaining Debentures and offering stakeholders a chance to tender their holdings before the offer expires on November 18, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (CCK) stock is a Buy with a $118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crown Holdings stock, see the CCK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025