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Yara International (YARIY)
OTHER OTC:YARIY
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Yara International (YARIY) AI Stock Analysis

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YARIY

Yara International

(OTC:YARIY)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$20.50
▲(9.04% Upside)
Yara International's overall stock score of 70 reflects its solid financial performance and stable technical indicators. The company's strong cash flow generation and recovery from previous revenue declines are significant strengths. The stock's valuation is reasonable, with a fair P/E ratio and a modest dividend yield. The lack of earnings call and corporate events data did not impact the score.

Yara International (YARIY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Yara International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionYara International ASA provides environmental and industrial solutions in Norway, European Union, Europe, Africa, Asia, North and Latin America, Australia, and New Zealand. The company offers nitrogen-based fertilizers, including urea, urea ammonium nitrate, calcium ammonium nitrate, ammonium nitrate, and ammonium sulfate; compound fertilizers that contain plant nutrients, such as nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium; and blended products, as well as foliar and fertigation solutions through micronutrients. It also offers farmer centric solutions; solutions for farming, such as crop monitoring, variable rate fertilization, N-Tester BT, and Driving Mode, a mobile app; N-Sensor, a tractor-mounted tool that allows growers to measure a crop's nitrogen requirement; CheckIT, a smartphone app using a library of crop photographs to give a simple and fast identification of nutrient deficiencies; TankmixIT, an app used to check for the physical compatibility when tank mixing; and Tankmix.com, an online service providing advice on the physical mixing characteristics of Yara's foliar products with agrochemicals. The company sells its products under YaraBela, YaraLiva, YaraMila, YaraRega, YaraTera, YaraVera, and YaraVita brands name. Yara International ASA was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.
How the Company Makes MoneyYara International generates revenue primarily through the sale of fertilizers, which account for a significant portion of its income. The company operates a diversified revenue model that includes the production and sale of various nitrogen-based fertilizers, as well as specialty fertilizers tailored for specific crops and growing conditions. Additionally, Yara earns income from agronomic advisory services that help farmers maximize crop yields and improve soil health. Key revenue streams include direct sales to agricultural producers and partnerships with distributors and cooperatives. The company also benefits from strategic alliances with industry stakeholders and government entities focused on sustainable agriculture, which can enhance its market reach and stability in revenue generation.

Yara International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 18, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive developments, such as progress on Clean Ammonia projects and cost reduction efforts, against challenges like reduced dividend payouts, high tax rates, and working capital inefficiencies. While there are promising market opportunities and strategic initiatives in place, financial caution and operational adjustments are necessary to address current obstacles.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Clean Ammonia Projects Progress
Yara remains optimistic about the profitability of its Clean Ammonia projects in the U.S., projecting first half 2026 for final investment decisions, emphasizing low-cost gas and scale as key factors.
Cost Reduction Plan on Track
Yara is on track to achieve a $150 million cost reduction by the end of 2025, with significant savings expected from FTE reductions and external cost reductions.
Positive Market Outlook
Yara reports a positive outlook for global nitrogen markets, highlighting tightening conditions and expectations for a strong application season in the U.S.
Strong Demand for Clean Ammonia
Yara sees firm demand in Europe driven by regulations like Redtree, ETS, and CBAM, while exploring multiple partnership opportunities for equity funding.
Negative Updates
Dividend Reduction and Leverage Concerns
Yara's Board has decided to lower the dividend payout for 2024 due to high leverage levels and low free cash flow, despite a positive outlook for the nitrogen market.
High Tax Rate Impact
Yara experienced a high tax rate in Q4, driven by unrecognized deferred tax assets and currency losses, impacting adjusted EPS figures.
Working Capital Challenges
Yara's working capital is at 108 days, above the target of 90 days, highlighting ongoing challenges in optimizing operational efficiency.
Mothballing of UK Plant
Yara has mothballed its Hull plant in the UK due to factors including gas costs, affecting its ammonia production capacity.
Company Guidance
During the Yara Fourth Quarter Results 2024 Conference Call, management provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. They reaffirmed their target of achieving a USD 150 million cost reduction by the end of 2025, primarily through external cost reductions and a hiring freeze, with the bulk of savings expected in the second half of 2025. Additionally, they discussed the Clean Ammonia projects, with a final investment decision (FID) anticipated in the first half of 2026, emphasizing low-cost gas, scale, and partnerships as essential variables. The company also highlighted its commitment to maintaining a strong dividend policy while exercising caution with leverage, acknowledging a positive outlook for the nitrogen market. Furthermore, Yara indicated plans to optimize its portfolio and explore equity funding structures for clean ammonia, while also addressing potential impacts from tariffs and shifting global market dynamics, including Chinese export policies.

Yara International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Yara International exhibits a solid financial performance with strong cash flow generation and stable profitability margins. The company has managed to recover from previous revenue declines, showing resilience in a challenging market. While leverage is moderate, the company should focus on maintaining consistent profitability to enhance shareholder value. The positive cash flow trajectory is a key strength, supporting future growth and investment opportunities.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Yara International's income statement shows a solid performance with a TTM gross profit margin of 27.20% and a net profit margin of 4.82%. The company has demonstrated revenue growth of 2.97% in the TTM period, recovering from a decline in previous years. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 8.62% and 15.89%, respectively, indicating efficient operational management. However, the volatility in revenue growth rates over the years suggests potential market challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 9.28% for the TTM, showing a decent return on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio stands at 47.68%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. While the company maintains a solid equity base, the fluctuating ROE over the years highlights potential profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Yara International's cash flow statement is strong, with a free cash flow growth rate of 22.66% in the TTM period, reflecting improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.30, indicating robust cash flow relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.39, suggesting efficient cash conversion. Despite past fluctuations, the recent positive trends in cash flow metrics are promising.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.55B13.81B15.43B23.90B16.62B11.59B
Gross Profit3.96B3.68B3.34B6.55B4.48B3.57B
EBITDA2.31B1.41B1.47B4.74B2.58B1.91B
Net Income701.00M14.00M48.00M2.78B449.00M691.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.90B14.99B16.03B17.98B17.27B16.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments837.00M232.00M447.00M908.00M350.00M1.33B
Total Debt4.17B4.05B4.23B4.22B4.33B4.29B
Total Liabilities8.82B7.99B8.46B9.38B10.15B8.38B
Stockholders Equity8.06B6.99B7.55B8.59B7.10B8.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow628.00M248.00M1.15B1.47B597.00M1.31B
Operating Cash Flow1.61B1.29B2.29B2.39B1.41B2.05B
Investing Cash Flow-957.00M-1.08B-1.20B-509.00M-874.00M248.00M
Financing Cash Flow-690.00M-401.00M-1.52B-1.23B-1.50B-1.23B

Yara International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.80
Price Trends
50DMA
18.52
Positive
100DMA
18.36
Positive
200DMA
16.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
56.98
Neutral
STOCH
62.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For YARIY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.35, above the 50-day MA of 18.52, and above the 200-day MA of 16.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for YARIY.

Yara International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
14.84B11.9826.23%2.23%9.53%36.15%
70
Outperform
$9.60B13.619.19%1.28%3.10%167.57%
65
Neutral
11.40B12.187.56%2.50%-7.71%297.49%
63
Neutral
7.92B21.596.10%2.97%-1.22%-14.31%
58
Neutral
4.28B43.462.24%7.00%1.16%-92.85%
52
Neutral
3.31B74.73-31.07%4.67%-2.05%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
YARIY
Yara International
18.80
3.37
21.84%
CF
Cf Industries Holdings
89.71
6.69
8.06%
FMC
FMC
33.15
-29.71
-47.26%
MOS
Mosaic Co
34.79
9.04
35.11%
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
56.58
-23.57
-29.41%
ICL
Icl
6.01
1.84
44.12%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 24, 2025