Yara International (YARIY)
OTHER OTC:YARIY
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Yara International
(OTC:YARIY)
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Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(78.07% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:04/27/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial fundamentals (rebounded margins, higher ROE, and manageable leverage) but tempered by cyclicality and only moderate cash conversion. Technicals are supportive with an established uptrend and neutral momentum, while valuation is only average given the P/E and modest yield. Earnings call commentary reinforces operational and financial resilience, though meaningful safety, outage, and geopolitical/price-volatility risks remain.
Positive Factors
Improved profitability and margins
Rebounding margins and returns demonstrate the company can generate sustainable operating profitability through cycles. Higher EBIT/EBITDA margins and ROE provide durable earnings power to fund reinvestment, absorb commodity swings and support through-the-cycle capital allocation.
Negative Factors
Market cyclicality and geopolitical supply disruption
Structural geopolitical risks and regional bottlenecks can sustain price volatility, regionalize markets and depress premium spreads. For a commodity-exposed fertilizer producer, persistent fragmentation and supply shocks can erode predictable margins and complicate multi‑year planning and contracting.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved profitability and margins
Rebounding margins and returns demonstrate the company can generate sustainable operating profitability through cycles. Higher EBIT/EBITDA margins and ROE provide durable earnings power to fund reinvestment, absorb commodity swings and support through-the-cycle capital allocation.
Read all positive factors
Yara International (YARIY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$14.64B
Dividend Yield1.16%
Average Volume (3M)2.32K
Price to Earnings (P/E)22.8
Beta (1Y)0.30
Revenue Growth14.95%
EPS Growth376.45%
CountryUS
Employees16,624
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryAgricultural Inputs
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.82
Shares Outstanding509,451,260
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume2,323
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)2.38
Price to Sales (P/S)1.33
P/FCF Ratio21.74
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.21
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.09
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.34
Enterprise Value/Ebitda5.51
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)3.78
Revenue Forecast (FY)$18.82B
Yara International Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Yara International ASA is a global leader in crop nutrition and a key player in the agricultural sector. Founded in Norway in 1905, the company specializes in the production and distribution of nitrogen-based fertilizers, as well as providing sust...
How the Company Makes Money
Yara primarily makes money by manufacturing, marketing, and selling crop nutrition products and other nitrogen-based solutions. Its largest revenue stream comes from sales of mineral fertilizers—especially nitrogen fertilizers (e.g., nitrate-based...
Yara International Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a broadly positive commercial and financial performance: strong EBITDA (+40%), EPS (+60%), ROIC (12.2%) above target, improved free cash flow and demonstrable operational resilience and cost discipline. These positives are tempered by serious lowlights — notably deteriorating safety with 59 recorded accidents, significant market disruption from the Middle East conflict (disrupting ~1/3 of traded urea and driving large price spikes), production outages (Pilbara and Belle Plaine) and pressure on premiums and certain product lines. Overall, the company appears financially robust and operationally resilient, but faces material operational, safety and market risks that require active management.Positive Updates
Strong EBITDA Growth
EBITDA excluding special items of $896 million in Q1, up 40% year-on-year, driven by higher nitrogen upgrading margins in a tight market.
Negative Updates
Safety Deterioration and Human Toll
Safety performance weakened: TRI 1.2 ratio with 59 accidents over the last 12 months (59 colleagues injured). Management acknowledged further deterioration into Q2 and prioritized corrective actions.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong EBITDA Growth
EBITDA excluding special items of $896 million in Q1, up 40% year-on-year, driven by higher nitrogen upgrading margins in a tight market.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Yara’s guidance emphasized operational resilience and disciplined capital allocation rather than specific forward volume or price guidance: Q1 EBITDA excl. special items was USD 896m (+40% y/y) with EPS up ~60%, return on invested capital at 12.2% (vs 6% a year ago and above the >10% through‑the‑cycle target), and last‑12‑month EBITDA ~USD 3bn with accumulated cash flow ~USD 1.2bn; free cash flow improved by USD 196m despite a USD 35m increase in operating capital. Management reiterated no gas hedging (gas effects lag ~2 months) and the ability to import ammonia to keep finished‑goods output; Crop Nutrition deliveries were +3% y/y and Europe season‑to‑date +2.5% (EU urea imports Jan–Mar 4.2m t vs 4.9m), while market shocks have pushed urea +47% since February (Egypt FOB +77%). Operational headwinds include Belle Plaine turnaround (~150,000 t urea) and Pilbara outage (~140,000 t ammonia), fixed costs on a 12‑month basis at ~USD 2.3bn (down ~USD 230m vs Q2‑24) and a further USD 18m y/y cost reduction, and the improvement program targets >USD 200m EBITDA by end‑2027 and USD 350m by end‑2030 while pursuing up to +1.0m t of premium‑product growth and selective energy diversification projects (NEOM/US timelines).Yara International Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 16.22B | 15.62B | 13.81B | 15.43B | 23.90B | 16.62B |
| Gross Profit | 4.08B | 4.42B | 3.68B | 3.34B | 6.55B | 4.48B |
| EBITDA | 3.21B | 3.12B | 1.41B | 1.47B | 4.83B | 2.58B |
| Net Income | 1.40B | 1.37B | 14.00M | 48.00M | 2.78B | 449.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 17.81B | 17.14B | 14.99B | 16.03B | 17.98B | 17.27B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.22B | 913.00M | 317.00M | 447.00M | 908.00M | 350.00M |
| Total Debt | 4.27B | 4.18B | 4.05B | 4.23B | 4.22B | 4.33B |
| Total Liabilities | 8.69B | 8.39B | 7.99B | 8.46B | 9.38B | 10.15B |
| Stockholders Equity | 9.10B | 8.72B | 6.99B | 7.55B | 8.59B | 7.10B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.17B | 956.00M | 248.00M | 1.15B | 1.47B | 597.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 2.09B | 1.89B | 1.29B | 2.29B | 2.39B | 1.41B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -904.96M | -906.00M | -1.08B | -1.20B | -509.00M | -874.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -284.55M | -392.00M | -401.00M | -1.52B | -1.23B | -1.50B |
Yara International Technical Analysis
Neutral
17.97
Price Trends
26.67
Positive
23.50
Positive
21.02
Positive
Market Momentum
0.67
Positive
47.34
Neutral
34.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For YARIY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 17.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.45, below the 50-day MA of 26.67, and below the 200-day MA of 21.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for YARIY.
Yara International Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $18.99B | 8.62 | 29.95% | 2.56% | 19.34% | 32.92% | |
70 Outperform | $14.64B | 22.84 | 16.38% | 1.16% | 14.95% | 376.45% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
61 Neutral | $7.38B | 14.14 | 9.96% | 3.70% | 8.36% | 207.85% | |
59 Neutral | $7.15B | 32.61 | 3.77% | 3.36% | 4.56% | -44.50% | |
59 Neutral | $3.93B | -6.71 | -27.23% | 4.52% | -5.85% | ― | |
49 Neutral | $1.95B | -0.78 | -61.24% | 16.68% | -18.34% | -758.96% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
YARIY
Yara International
28.72
12.01
71.90%
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SMG
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65.38
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ICL
Icl
5.43
-1.09
-16.65%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.