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Yara International (YARIY)
OTHER OTC:YARIY

Yara International (YARIY) AI Stock Analysis

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YARIY

Yara International

(OTC:YARIY)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$20.50
▲(14.08% Upside)
Yara International's overall stock score reflects its solid financial performance and successful cost management, as highlighted in the earnings call. The technical analysis indicates a mild upward trend, while the valuation suggests the stock is reasonably priced. Market uncertainties and regulatory challenges pose risks, but the company's strategic initiatives and stable financials provide a strong foundation.

Yara International (YARIY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Yara International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionYara International ASA is a global leader in crop nutrition and a key player in the agricultural sector. Founded in Norway in 1905, the company specializes in the production and distribution of nitrogen-based fertilizers, as well as providing sustainable crop nutrition solutions. Yara operates in various segments, including fertilizers, crop protection, and digital farming, with a commitment to sustainability and innovation to enhance agricultural productivity worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyYara International generates revenue primarily through the sale of fertilizers, particularly nitrogen-based products, which are essential for crop growth. The company operates a revenue model based on the production and distribution of its core products, including urea, ammonium nitrate, and other specialty fertilizers. Key revenue streams include direct sales to farmers, agricultural distributors, and retail markets. Additionally, Yara invests in research and development to offer precision farming solutions, integrating digital tools that help farmers optimize their crop yields and resource use. Significant partnerships with agricultural organizations, research institutions, and sustainability initiatives also bolster its market presence and contribute to its earnings through collaborative projects and innovations in crop nutrition.

Yara International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 17, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted strong financial performance and successful cost management, but also raised concerns about market uncertainties and challenges faced by farmers due to input cost inflation and regulatory changes.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Stable NPK Sales in Brazil
Yara reported stable demand for NPK fertilizers in Brazil, despite a shift towards ammonium sulfate due to increased availability from China.
Strong Third Quarter EBITDA
Yara achieved a strong EBITDA performance in the third quarter, contributing to positive financial outcomes.
Cost Reduction Program Success
Yara surpassed its cost reduction target, increasing it from $150 million to $180 million by year-end.
Potential in U.S. Ammonia Projects
Yara is considering several clean ammonia projects in the U.S. with potential collaborations, aiming for double-digit return investments.
Negative Updates
European Nitrogen Market Uncertainty
There is uncertainty in the European nitrogen market due to political factors and upcoming changes like CBAM, which may impact pricing and demand.
Challenges with Farmer Affordability
Farmers face significant price inflation on inputs, and there is concern over the additional burdens from CBAM costs.
Higher Operating Capital Outflow
Yara experienced a meaningful net working capital outflow in the third quarter, affecting free cash flow generation.
Phosphate Market Pressure
High phosphate prices coupled with demand disruptions have led to pressure in the phosphate market, affecting affordability for farmers.
Company Guidance
During Yara's Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, several key metrics and insights were shared. The company increased its cost reduction target from $150 million to $180 million by year-end, emphasizing ongoing cost discipline. Yara highlighted stable nitrogen demand in Brazil, with a shift toward ammonium sulfate due to increased availability from China. In Europe, nitrogen prices were consistent with global levels despite Russian duties on nitrogen and phosphate products, and the upcoming Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is expected to add costs to nitrogen imports. Yara's strong synergies with its global ammonia system were noted as a strategic advantage, particularly in the U.S., where projects like blue ammonia are under consideration. The company reported strong EBITDA for Q3 and discussed the impact of high phosphate prices on margins, while also managing a concentrated demand season in the U.S. and stable deliveries in Brazil despite credit challenges.

Yara International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Yara International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.97
Price Trends
50DMA
18.57
Positive
100DMA
18.51
Positive
200DMA
17.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.37
Negative
RSI
65.76
Neutral
STOCH
95.79
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For YARIY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.73, below the 50-day MA of 18.57, and above the 200-day MA of 17.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.79 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for YARIY.

Yara International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$12.10B9.3527.46%2.53%12.59%31.40%
69
Neutral
$9.96B13.509.22%1.21%7.55%34.28%
65
Neutral
$7.45B6.0910.00%3.66%3.82%239.39%
60
Neutral
$6.36B17.246.15%3.53%1.77%-8.72%
50
Neutral
$3.40B23.704.49%-3.93%
47
Neutral
$1.64B-3.24-11.52%16.68%-13.42%-136.59%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
YARIY
Yara International
19.86
6.76
51.60%
CF
Cf Industries Holdings
79.01
-2.84
-3.47%
FMC
FMC
13.78
-31.43
-69.52%
MOS
Mosaic Co
24.03
0.88
3.80%
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
58.74
-5.60
-8.70%
ICL
Icl
4.88
0.17
3.61%

Yara International Corporate Events

Yara International Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Oct 18, 2025

Yara International (ADR) is a global leader in the production and distribution of nitrogen-based fertilizers and industrial products, operating across various regions including Europe, the Americas, Africa, and Asia. In its third-quarter report for 2025, Yara International reported a significant increase in its EBITDA, excluding special items, which rose by 38% to 804 million USD compared to the same quarter last year. This growth was attributed to favorable market conditions, cost reductions, and record-high production levels.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025